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Stock Market Adviser
26 Feb 202407:11

TLDRThe video discusses the stock market, focusing on the recent trends and levels of a particular stock. The speaker analyzes the selling pressure, volume, and investor sentiment, highlighting the importance of not overconfidence in any stock. They discuss support and resistance levels, the impact of institutional fund buying, and the strategy for averaging down in the face of a decline. The video also touches on the positive company news and its potential to affect future stock performance.

Takeaways

  • 📉 The speaker discusses the recent trend in the stock market, particularly focusing on the performance of a specific stock (referred to as 'Stalk') and its import level.
  • 📈 There was a previous video where the speaker predicted a potential drop in the stock if certain import levels were breached, which seems to have occurred.
  • 🔄 The stock has reversed from the level of 1.54, indicating a significant change in market sentiment.
  • 💰 A large investment of 90 crores was made at 0.8 levels, showing significant interest in the stock.
  • 📊 The speaker mentions a high volume of selling pressure in the stock, with 63 lakhs in volume, indicating a potentially bearish trend.
  • 📉 The stock has fallen from its previous support level, and the speaker predicts further downside based on current market dynamics.
  • 🔄 The speaker advises on managing risk by averaging out investments across different levels to mitigate potential losses.
  • 🚀 Despite the current downtrend, there are still positive news and developments for the company, which could influence future stock performance.
  • 📅 The speaker emphasizes the importance of not letting emotions dictate investment decisions and to focus on strategic planning.
  • 🌐 The overall market cap has surpassed 4000 crores, but the stock's performance at this cap is uncertain due to the current selling pressure.
  • 🔢 The speaker concludes with advice on how to strategically enter and exit positions based on the stock's performance and market conditions.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of discussion in the video?

    -The main topic of discussion in the video is the recent trend and analysis of a particular stock, focusing on its import level, selling pressure, and future predictions based on the current market situation.

  • What does the speaker mention about the stock's import level?

    -The speaker mentions that the stock has a significant import level, which is a crucial factor to consider as it can influence the stock's price movement. If the import level collapses, the stock price could potentially drop further.

  • What happened on the Friday mentioned in the script?

    -On the Friday mentioned, the speaker had created a video discussing the stock's situation. They highlighted the stock's import level and the possibility of a further price drop if the level collapses.

  • What is the significance of the 155 level mentioned in the script?

    -The 155 level is mentioned as an important support level for the stock. The speaker had previously stated that a reversal from this level was needed, and it eventually occurred, leading to a significant price movement.

  • What does the speaker say about the stock's selling pressure?

    -The speaker notes that there is a high selling pressure on the stock, which is evident from the large volumes being observed. This selling pressure is a significant negative point for the stock and could lead to further price declines.

  • What is the speaker's view on the stock's future price movement?

    -The speaker believes that the stock's price movement will depend on various factors, including the selling pressure, import levels, and overall market sentiment. They suggest that the stock could potentially drop to the 10 level in the future, considering the current trends and market conditions.

  • What advice does the speaker give regarding investment strategy?

    -The speaker advises investors to never put all their money into one stock at once and to always have an average amount for better risk management. They also suggest averaging down on high levels and dividing funds into parts for fresh entries at different price levels.

  • What is the speaker's stance on the stock's long-term view?

    -The speaker seems to have a positive long-term view of the stock, suggesting that the company's business is growing and that the stock's future value could be set by the company's future profits. They encourage viewers to consider a long-term view on the stock.

  • What does the speaker say about the stock's delivery?

    -The speaker mentions that despite the delivery happening at 98, due to the low circuit in the lower circuit, the delivery is almost 100%, which is a significant point to consider in the stock's current situation.

  • What is the speaker's strategy for managing risk in the current market scenario?

    -The speaker emphasizes the importance of not keeping all eggs in one basket and averaging down to manage risk. They also suggest dividing funds for fresh entries at different price levels and maintaining a long-term view for better risk management.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the company's management announcements?

    -The speaker views the company's management announcements as positive, stating that there are no significant problems with the company and that it is fundraising positively. They suggest that the stock's price movement is not negatively affected by company news.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Stock Market Analysis and Future Predictions

The paragraph discusses the recent trends in the stock market, focusing on the performance of a particular stock (referred to as 'Stalk') and its implications. The speaker analyzes the support and resistance levels, volume, and investor sentiment. They also touch upon the impact of short-term trading strategies and mutual fund actions on the stock's performance. The speaker predicts that the stock's decline will continue, based on the selling pressure and the lack of positive news. They also mention the importance of diversification and averaging down for long-term investors.

05:00

🔢 Financial Planning and Investment Strategy

This paragraph delves into the importance of financial planning and strategic investing in the context of the stock market. The speaker emphasizes the need for investors to have a diversified portfolio and to average down on investments to mitigate risk. They discuss the impact of market fluctuations on different support levels and the potential for future growth. The speaker advises on setting entry points for investments and managing risks, suggesting a methodical approach to adding funds at different price levels. They conclude with a reminder that while short-term corrections may occur, long-term growth prospects remain positive.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Sealing

Sealing in the context of the video refers to a level or price point at which a significant amount of buying or selling interest is expected to occur. It is a term used in stock trading to indicate a level where the stock price is anticipated to either reverse direction or consolidate before continuing its trend. In the script, the speaker discusses how the sealing level has been breached, indicating a potential change in the stock's direction.

💡Imported Level

An imported level is a price point that has significance due to past price action, and is thus expected to influence future price movements. In trading, these levels are used to make informed decisions about entry and exit points. The speaker in the video talks about an imported level at 155, indicating that it was a critical support level for the stock, and its breach could lead to further declines.

💡Redemption

Redemption in the context of the video refers to the process of selling or liquidating a security, such as a stock or bond, in exchange for cash. It is often used when investors want to realize their gains or cut their losses. The speaker discusses redemption in relation to the stock's price movement and the investors' behavior, indicating that a large volume of redemptions could put downward pressure on the stock price.

💡Selling Pressure

Selling pressure is a term used to describe a situation in the market where there is an abundance of sellers and not enough buyers. This imbalance can cause the price of a security to fall. In the video, the speaker highlights the high selling pressure in the 'ered' share, indicating that there is a lot of supply without enough demand, which could lead to a decrease in the stock price.

💡Volumes

Volumes in the context of stock trading refers to the number of shares or contracts traded during a given period. High volumes often indicate increased interest in a particular security and can influence price movements. The speaker in the video discusses the high volumes as a significant factor affecting the stock's price, suggesting that large trading activity can be a leading indicator of market sentiment.

💡Lower Circuits

Lower circuits in stock trading refer to a situation where the price of a stock has fallen below a certain pre-determined level, often due to a sell-off or negative news. This can trigger automatic stop-loss orders, leading to further price declines. In the video, the speaker mentions lower circuits as a level of support, indicating that if the stock price falls below this level, it could trigger additional selling and a potential continuation of the downward trend.

💡Open High and Low

Open high and low refer to the highest and lowest prices a stock has reached since the market opened. These are important indicators for traders as they provide insights into the day's price action and can help in making trading decisions. In the video, the speaker discusses the open high and low as a reference for understanding the stock's performance throughout the day.

💡Investment

Investment in the context of the video refers to the act of committing money into financial schemes, shares, or other assets with an expectation of achieving a profit. The speaker mentions a significant investment of 90 crores, highlighting the involvement of large players in the market and their influence on the stock's price movement.

💡Future Value

Future value in finance refers to the value of an asset or investment at a specific point in the future, considering factors like growth, interest, or appreciation. The speaker in the video talks about the future value of the company's shares, suggesting that the company is expected to perform well and thus its stock price will increase in the future.

💡Profit Booking

Profit booking is the process of selling an asset or security to realize gains that have accumulated through price appreciation. It is a common practice among traders and investors who aim to lock in their profits. In the video, the speaker discusses profit booking as a reason for the stock's price movement, indicating that large players are selling their positions to book profits.

💡Average

In the context of the video, averaging refers to the strategy of buying a stock at different price levels to reduce the average cost per share. This is often done to mitigate risk and to take advantage of price fluctuations. The speaker advises viewers to average down by buying the stock at lower prices, which can be a prudent strategy in a declining market.

💡Financial Company

A financial company is an entity that operates in the financial sector, providing services such as banking, investment, and insurance. In the video, the speaker discusses the financial company's valuation and its business growth, which are important factors for investors to consider when evaluating the stock's future performance.

Highlights

The speaker discusses the recent trends in the stock market, particularly focusing on the performance of a specific stock (referred to as 'एरेड').

The stock 'एरेड' has experienced a significant drop due to a high import level and selling pressure.

The speaker mentions a previous video where they predicted the potential drop in 'एरेड' shares if certain import levels were breached.

There was a large investment of 90 crores at a share price of 0.8, which led to a significant bulk deal.

Many people were caught in FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), buying shares at 0.8 expecting a rise.

The speaker advises against overconfidence in any stock, as mutual funds could have bought shares at 1 instead of 0.8, but chose to book profits in the short term.

The speaker predicts that the maximum drop in 'एरेड' could reach 180, and from there it could bounce back.

The current selling pressure is very high, with volumes of 63 lakhs being observed.

The speaker notes that the difficulty in the stock is not with the lower circuit but with the high selling pressure and volumes.

There is no negative news or company issues causing the stock to drop; it's purely market dynamics at play.

The company is reportedly funding and almost all news is positive, yet the stock continues to drop.

The speaker suggests that the selling pressure may continue as long as the PE ratio remains high.

The speaker provides levels at which the stock found support and resistance, and predicts future movements based on these levels.

The speaker advises on investment strategies, such as averaging down and dividing funds into portions to enter at different price levels.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of not putting all money into one investment and averaging down to mitigate risk.

The speaker concludes that the stock is expected to open lower the next day due to the continued selling pressure.

The speaker suggests that if the circuit does not open, the stock could reach a level of 10 rupees.

The speaker advises on long-term views for future growth and cautions against short-term market corrections.