Brooks and Capehart on Nikki Haley announcing her support for Trump

Political analysis with David Brooks and Jonathan Capehart
24 May 202412:12

Summary

TLDRIn this political discussion, panelists analyze Nikki Haley's recent endorsement of former President Trump despite her previous criticisms. They debate the implications of her decision on her political future and whether moral character should influence policy discussions. The conversation also touches on the potential impact of Trump's criminal trial on public opinion and the election, as well as the outreach efforts by both President Biden and Trump to voters of color, with a focus on their contrasting messaging strategies.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Nikki Haley, a former presidential candidate, has announced that she will be voting for Trump despite her previous criticisms.
  • ๐Ÿค” David Brooks suggests that Haley's endorsement might be a strategic move to continue her political career within the Republican party.
  • ๐Ÿ† Jonathan Capehart criticizes Haley's decision as 'soulless', arguing that she has abandoned her values for political expediency.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š A significant portion of the American public is closely following Trump's criminal hush money trial, with potential implications for the upcoming election.
  • ๐Ÿคจ Brooks expresses skepticism about the impact of the trial on the election, suggesting that the central issue may be broader economic and social concerns rather than the trial itself.
  • ๐ŸŒŽ Brooks notes a global trend of right-wing parties doing well, hinting that this could influence the election outcome.
  • ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ President Biden and former President Trump are both making efforts to reach out to voters of color, with different messaging strategies.
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ The discussion highlights the importance of working-class voters and the potential shifts in their voting patterns.
  • ๐Ÿ‘ฅ There is debate over the actual level of support Trump has among Black and Latino voters, with skepticism about certain polls and their methodologies.
  • ๐Ÿ” The conversation emphasizes the need to look beyond surface-level polling numbers to understand the deeper motivations and identities of voters.
  • ๐ŸŒ The script touches on the influence of global political trends on the U.S. election and the importance of considering international contexts.

Q & A

  • What did Nikki Haley announce regarding her political future?

    -Nikki Haley announced that she will be back in her former position this fall, implying a return to political prominence.

  • What is the significance of Nikki Haley's endorsement of Trump?

    -Nikki Haley's endorsement of Trump is significant as it shows her alignment with the Republican party despite her previous criticisms, suggesting a strategic move for her political career.

  • What options does David Brooks suggest for a Republican politician regarding Trump?

    -David Brooks suggests two options: the Liz Cheney option, which involves taking a principled stand and potentially becoming a former politician, or the Marco Rubio option, which involves going along with Trump and not challenging his character.

  • What does Jonathan Capehart consider the 'soulless option'?

    -Jonathan Capehart refers to the 'soulless option' as the Marco Rubio approach, where one abandons their values and principles for political expediency.

  • What is the potential impact of Trump's criminal hush money trial on the upcoming election?

    -The trial's impact on the election is uncertain, but with 70% of people closely following the trial, a conviction or acquittal could influence public opinion and potentially affect voter behavior.

  • How does Jonathan Capehart view the importance of moral character in politics?

    -Jonathan Capehart believes that moral character is crucial in politics and should not be overlooked for political convenience or expediency.

  • What is the current public attention to Trump's criminal hush money trial according to the Quinnipiac poll?

    -According to the Quinnipiac poll, 70% of those surveyed are closely or somewhat closely following Trump's criminal hush money trial.

  • What does David Brooks believe about the central question of the upcoming election?

    -David Brooks suggests that if the central question of the election is whether Donald Trump is a threat to democracy, then the trial's outcome could have an effect on the election.

  • How might President Biden respond to the outcome of Trump's trial?

    -It is expected that President Biden will make a statement once the judicial process is complete, especially if there is a conviction, as it would raise questions about having a criminally convicted president.

  • What outreach efforts are President Biden and former President Trump making to voters of color?

    -Both President Biden and former President Trump are making efforts to reach out to voters of color, particularly Black and Hispanic voters, with different messaging strategies aimed at appealing to their concerns and interests.

  • What narrative does Jonathan Capehart refute regarding Trump's support among Black voters?

    -Jonathan Capehart refutes the narrative that Trump has made significant inroads with Black voters, citing a New York Times poll with a small sample size as misleading and not representative of the broader community.

  • What is the role of working-class voters in the upcoming election according to David Brooks?

    -David Brooks suggests that working-class voters are voting more like working-class voters, regardless of other identities they may have, indicating a shift that could have a significant impact on the election.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Nikki Haley's Trump Endorsement and Political Strategy

In this paragraph, the discussion revolves around Nikki Haley's decision to endorse former President Trump despite her previous criticisms during her campaign suspension speech. The analysis explores the implications of her choice, comparing it to the paths taken by other Republican politicians like Liz Cheney and Marco Rubio. It questions whether Haley's endorsement is driven by a desire to continue her political career or if there are other motivations at play, such as a potential vice-presidential run. The conversation also touches on the importance of moral character in politics and the potential impact of Trump's criminal trial on public opinion and the upcoming election.

05:00

๐Ÿ“บ Public Engagement with Trump's Criminal Trial and its Political Implications

This section of the script discusses the public's engagement with the criminal trial of former President Trump, particularly the hush money allegations. It highlights the significant number of Americans who are closely following the trial, as indicated by a Quinnipiac poll. The conversation speculates on how a conviction or acquittal might influence the election and the potential reactions of the public. The discussion also delves into President Biden's approach to commenting on the trial and the contrasting messaging strategies employed by Biden and Trump in their outreach to voters of color, including African American and Hispanic communities.

10:05

๐Ÿ“ˆ Analyzing Shifts in Voter Demographics and Political Messaging

The final paragraph of the script focuses on the shifts in voter demographics, particularly the working-class vote, and the political messaging aimed at different groups. It addresses the narratives surrounding Trump's alleged inroads with Black and Latino voters, critiquing the validity of certain polls and emphasizing the importance of economic policies in political messaging. The conversation also touches on the gender gap in voting patterns and the potential for working-class voters to sway elections, regardless of other identities. The paragraph concludes with a reminder that polls are snapshots and not predictive, highlighting the complexity of voter behavior and the challenges in interpreting polling data.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กNikki Haley

Nikki Haley is an American politician who served as the Governor of South Carolina and later as the United States Ambassador to the United Nations. In the video, she is discussed in the context of her political future and her decision to endorse former President Trump despite previously criticizing him. This decision is analyzed in terms of her political strategy and potential ambitions.

๐Ÿ’กEndorsement

An endorsement in politics refers to a public declaration of support for a person, cause, or organization. In the script, Nikki Haley's endorsement of Trump is a key point of discussion, highlighting her statement that she will be voting for him despite previous criticisms, which raises questions about political expediency versus principled stances.

๐Ÿ’กPolitical Expediency

Political expediency refers to actions taken by politicians to further their own interests, often at the expense of principles or long-term goals. The video discusses whether Haley's endorsement of Trump is driven by political expediency, suggesting that she may be aligning herself with a popular figure within her party to secure her future political career.

๐Ÿ’กCharacter

In the context of the video, 'character' refers to the moral qualities or principles of an individual, particularly a political figure. The discussion revolves around the importance of moral character in leadership and whether it should be overlooked for political gains, as seen in the analysis of Nikki Haley's actions and potential motivations.

๐Ÿ’กPopulist Party

A populist party is one that seeks to appeal to ordinary people who feel that their concerns are disregarded by established elite groups. The video mentions a 'working-class populist party,' referring to the Republican party's current alignment with Trump's populist rhetoric and the expectation for politicians to align with his program to ensure their political future.

๐Ÿ’กTrial

The term 'trial' in the script refers to the criminal trial involving former President Trump on charges related to hush money payments. The discussion centers on the potential impact of the trial's outcome on public opinion and the upcoming election, with speculation on how a conviction or acquittal might influence voter behavior.

๐Ÿ’กAcquittal

Acquittal is a legal term indicating that a person has been found not guilty of a crime. In the video, the potential acquittal of Trump is considered in terms of its possible effects on public perception and the political landscape, with the suggestion that it could embolden his supporters or influence undecided voters.

๐Ÿ’กConviction

A conviction refers to the verdict in a criminal trial where the defendant is found guilty. The video script explores the implications of a possible conviction of Trump, hypothesizing how it might affect the political race and the public's view of his candidacy.

๐Ÿ’กVoter Outreach

Voter outreach is a political strategy aimed at engaging with potential voters to garner support. The script discusses efforts by both President Biden and former President Trump to reach out to voters of color, particularly Black and Hispanic voters, highlighting the different messaging strategies each has employed to appeal to these demographics.

๐Ÿ’กMoral Argument

A moral argument is a line of reasoning based on ethical principles or values. In the video, President Biden's speech at Morehouse College is mentioned, where he made a moral argument about democracy and masculinity, aiming to resonate with values of responsibility and integrity.

๐Ÿ’กWorking-Class Voters

Working-class voters are individuals who belong to the socioeconomic group engaged in manual labor or low-wage jobs. The video discusses the shift in political preferences among working-class voters, noting that they are increasingly voting based on their economic class rather than other identities, which could have significant implications for election outcomes.

Highlights

Nikki Haley announces she will be voting for Trump despite her previous criticisms.

David Brooks suggests that Haley's endorsement could be due to her desire to continue her political career within the Republican Party.

Jonathan Capehart criticizes the 'Marco Rubio option' where politicians align with Trump for political expediency, calling it 'soulless'.

Polls show 70% of Americans are closely following Trump's criminal hush money trial.

The potential impact of a conviction or acquittal in Trump's trial on the upcoming election is discussed.

Capehart expresses skepticism about the significance of polls and their predictive value for the election.

The importance of moral character in politics is debated, with Brooks arguing it should not be overlooked for political convenience.

The discussion suggests that the election may hinge on whether voters perceive Trump as a threat to democracy.

President Biden's outreach to voters of color, particularly Black and Hispanic voters, is highlighted.

Former President Trump's messaging to voters of color and his perceived inroads among these demographics are analyzed.

Capehart disputes the narrative of Trump gaining significant Black support, citing a New York Times poll with a small sample size.

The role of economic messaging combined with moral arguments in political speeches is discussed, with reference to President Biden's speech.

David Brooks points out the shift in working-class voters' behavior, suggesting a real trend across multiple elections and polls.

The conversation emphasizes the importance of understanding the central question of the election and its impact on voters' decisions.

The potential influence of international trends on the upcoming election is mentioned, with a comparison to other right-wing parties worldwide.

Transcripts

00:05

G

00:06

FORMER PRESIDENT TRUMP ON THE

00:07

CAMPAIGN TRAIL, NIKKI HALEY

00:10

ANNOUNCES SHE WILL BE BACK IN

00:11

HER FORMER ARRIVAL THIS FALL.

00:14

WE WILL TURN OUT TO THE ANALYSIS

00:15

OF BROOKS AND CAPEHART WITH

00:19

DAVID BROOKS AND JONATHAN

00:21

CAPEHART, ASSOCIATE EDITOR FOR

00:22

THE WASHINGTON POST.

00:22

GREAT TO SEE YOU BOTH HERE

00:24

IN PERSON TOGETHER.

00:26

LET'S START WITH NIKKI HALEY.

00:28

SINCE SHE ENDED HER CAMPAIGN,

00:30

THE BIG QUESTION WAS IF SHE

00:31

WOULD ENDORSE TRUMP THIS WEEK.

00:32

SHE ANSWERED THAT.

00:32

TAKE A LISTEN.

00:34

>> I WILL BE VOTING FOR TRUMP.

00:36

HAVING SAID THAT, I STAND BY

00:40

WHAT I SAID IN MY SUSPENSION

00:43

SPEECH, TRUMP WOULD BE SMART TO

00:49

REACH OUT TO THE MILLIONS OF WHO

00:51

VOTED FOR ME AND CONTINUE

00:51

TO SUPPORT ME, AND NOT ASSUME

00:55

THAT THEY ARE JUST GOING TO BE

00:55

WITH HIM.

00:57

AND I GENUINELY HOPE HE DOES

00:58

THAT.

01:00

>> DAVID, SHE DID NOT HAVE TO DO

01:01

THIS, RIGHT?

01:04

CHRIS CHRISTIE RAN AGAINST HIM

01:04

AND HAS NOT ENDORSED HIM, ASA

01:06

HUTCHINSON, THE SAME.

01:08

WHY DO THIS AND WHY NOW?

01:10

>> IF YOU ARE A REPUBLICAN

01:12

POLITICIAN, YOU HAVE TWO

01:13

OPTIONS, THE LIZ CHENEY OPTION,

01:15

WHERE YOU TAKE A PRINCIPLED

01:17

STANDING AND YOU BECOME A FORMER

01:18

POLITICIAN, OR THE SECOND, THE

01:25

MARCO RUBIO OPTION, WHICH AS YOU

01:26

GET ALONG WITH THE PROGRAM AND

01:27

DON'T SAY ANYTHING AND JUST GET

01:28

ALONG WITH TRUMP WORLD.

01:29

I ASSUME NIKKI HALEY WANTS TO

01:29

CONTINUE HER CAREER AS A

01:30

POLITICIAN AND BELIEVES

01:33

FUNDAMENTALLY IN THE REPUBLICAN

01:34

PARTY AND SHE HAS GONE FOR THE

01:35

MARCO RUBIO OPTION.

01:36

THE QUESTION I WOULD ASK HER IS,

01:39

IN MOST LINES OF WORK, IF YOU

01:40

THINK SOMEONE IS A MORAL

01:42

DEGENERATE, YOU DON'T GET TO THE

01:42

SECOND QUESTION OF, WHAT DO YOU

01:44

THINK ABOUT TAX POLICY?

01:45

[LAUGHTER]

01:45

YOU SORT OF STOP THERE.

01:47

SHE REALLY HAS SERIOUS NOT ONLY

01:50

DOUBTS BUT IS TOTALLY CONDEMNING

01:51

OF HIS CHARACTER.

01:52

WHY DO WE CARE ABOUT MARGINAL

01:55

TAX RATES?

01:56

IF HE'S A BAD GUY, HE'S GOING TO

02:00

BE -- SHE CARES ABOUT AMERICA'S

02:01

ALLIANCES ABROAD AND I AGREE

02:02

WITH HER ON MOST ISSUES ON THAT

02:03

FRONT BUT HE'S NOT GOING TO BE

02:04

GOOD FOR ALLIES IF HE'S GOING TO

02:05

BETRAY ALLIES, AS HE BETRAYS ALL

02:06

HIS FRIENDS.

02:08

MORAL CHARACTER REALLY DOES

02:09

MATTER.

02:10

IT IS NOT SOMETHING YOU JUMP

02:11

OVER FOR POLITICAL EXPEDIENCE.

02:12

>> IS IT ABOUT POLITICAL

02:15

SURVIVOR, IS IT A VP PLAY,

02:17

POTENTIALLY?

02:17

>> WHO KNOWS?

02:19

QUITE FRANKLY, I DON'T CARE.

02:21

AND I SAY THAT BECAUSE FOR

02:24

ALL THE THINGS DAVID JUST SAID,

02:27

THE MARCO RUBIO OPTION, GET WITH

02:27

THE PROGRAM, YOU THROW ALL THE

02:29

VALUES -- ALL YOUR VALUES, ALL

02:31

YOUR POSITIONS, ALL YOUR

02:33

CHARACTER OUT THE WINDOW FOR

02:34

POLITICAL PURPOSES?

02:35

THE MARCO RUBIO OPTION

02:37

IS A SOULLESS OPTION.

02:39

SHE CALLED TRUMP EVERYTHING BUT

02:42

A CHILD OF GOD IN THE CLOSING

02:46

WEEKS OF HER CAMPAIGN AND NOW

02:48

SHE IS SAYING I'M GOING TO VOTE

02:49

FOR HIM -- BUT?

02:50

THE DAVID'S POINT, THERE IS NO

02:53

BUT HERE.

02:56

WHEN IT COMES TO DOMESTIC POLICY

02:57

OR FOREIGN POLICY.

02:59

I WISH NIKKI HALEY HAD STOOD BY

03:03

THE CONVICTION SHE SHOWED IN THE

03:04

FINAL WEEKS OF HER CAMPAIGN AND

03:05

GONE THE LIZ CHENEY ROUTE AND

03:09

NOT BLOW UP HER CAREER BUT TO

03:10

SOMETHING BIGGER THAN CRAVEN

03:13

POLITICAL AMBITION SOMEWHERE

03:14

DOWN THE ROAD.

03:16

>> YOU SAY SHE DID IT FOR

03:17

POLITICAL SURVIVOR, IS THAT

03:19

POLITICAL FUTURE UNDERMINED BY

03:21

SOMEONE WHO COMPLETELY 180'ED ON

03:26

HER STANCE?

03:27

NOW SHE ENDORSES HIM?

03:33

>> NOT IN MY LIFETIME, HOPEFULLY

03:34

A LITTLE LONGER THAN THAT.

03:34

[LAUGHTER]

03:35

FOR THE NEXT DECADE.

03:35

THIS IS A WORKING-CLASS

03:41

POPULIST PARTY AND YOU BETTER

03:42

GET WITH A TRUMP PROGRAM OR I

03:43

REALLY DON'T SEE A FUTURE FOR

03:43

YOU.

03:44

>> SPEAKING OF FORMER PRESIDENT

03:44

TRUMP, BY THIS TIME NEXT WEEK,

03:46

WE COULD HAVE A VERDICT IN HIS

03:49

CRIMINAL HUSH MONEY TRIAL IN NEW

03:50

YORK WHICH THE LATEST POLLS SHOW

03:51

A LOT OF AMERICANS HAVE BEEN

03:52

PAYING ATTENTION TO IN SOME

03:53

FORM.

03:54

THE LATEST NUMBERS FROM

03:55

QUINNIPIAC SHOW A 70% OF THOSE

03:58

POLLED SAY THEY ARE VERY CLOSELY

04:00

OR SOMEWHAT CLOSELY FOLLOWING

04:01

THE TRIAL.

04:02

DO YOU THINK A CONVICTION OR

04:05

ACQUITTAL CHANGES THE RACE AT

04:06

ALL?

04:09

>> YES, HOW COULD IT NOT WHEN

04:11

YOU HAVE 70% OF THE PEOPLE WHO

04:11

ARE PAYING ATTENTION?

04:12

IF IT IS AN ACQUITTAL,

04:15

I'LL BE CURIOUS TO SEE HOW

04:16

THE PEOPLE REACT.

04:16

IF IT IS A CONVICTION,

04:19

I'LL BE CURIOUS TO SEE HOW

04:20

PEOPLE REACT.

04:21

THAT IS A GREAT SIGN.

04:22

I AM GLAD THE MAJORITY OF

04:25

THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE

04:27

PAYING ATTENTION TO A TRIAL

04:29

THAT IS NOT EVEN BEING

04:34

TELEVISED.

04:34

BEFORE THE TRIAL STARTED,

04:35

I THOUGHT, YOU KNOW WHAT?

04:36

MAYBE THIS YEAR WILL BE

04:37

LIKE THE JANUARY 6 COMMITTEE

04:38

HEARINGS.

04:40

NOT MANY PEOPLE THOUGHT THEY

04:42

WOULD HAVE AN IMPACT BUT THEY

04:42

DID.

04:44

BECAUSE IT WAS LIKE A SLOW

04:45

TRICKLE.

04:45

PEOPLE PAID ATTENTION.

04:47

THEY MIGHT NOT HAVE TOLD PEOPLE

04:49

THEY WERE PAYING ATTENTION.

04:50

BUT HOW CAN YOU SIT THROUGH

04:52

10 EPISODES OF COMPELLING

04:55

TESTIMONY AND NOT HAVE IT IMPACT

04:56

YOU?

04:57

WHAT'S INTERESTING HERE IS --

05:00

THIS CHILD IS NOT EVEN BEING

05:01

TELEVISED.

05:02

ON CABLE TELEVISION,

05:03

THEY ARE GETTING LIVE

05:06

READOUTS FROM REPORTERS

05:08

INSIDE THE COURTROOM YET PEOPLE

05:09

ARE PAYING ATTENTION.

05:09

THAT IS A GREAT SIGN

05:11

FOR THE REPUBLIC.

05:12

>> I'M SUPER SKEPTICAL.

05:13

[LAUGHTER]

05:14

U.S. PEOPLE, ARE YOU PLAYING --

05:18

YOU ASK PEOPLE, ARE YOU PAYING

05:19

CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE ENTIRE

05:20

ELECTION?

05:20

IS LIKE 45%, 50%.

05:22

I'M SUPER SKEPTICAL.

05:24

[LAUGHTER]

05:27

WILL IT AFFECT THE ELECTION?

05:31

I AM UNSURE ABOUT IT.

05:36

A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT SAY IT

05:37

WILL.

05:37

BUT THE CRUCIAL QUESTION IS,

05:38

WHAT IS THIS ELECTION ABOUT?

05:40

ABRAHAM LINCOLN SAID EVERY

05:42

ELECTION IS ABOUT AN ESSENTIAL

05:43

QUESTION, IS THIS ELECTION ABOUT

05:46

--

05:46

DONALD TRUMP IS A THREAT TO

05:47

DEMOCRACY, IF THAT IS WHAT IS

05:50

AT THE CENTER OF PEOPLE'S MINDS,

05:52

THEN THE TRIAL WILL HAVE AN

05:53

EFFECT.

05:54

BUT THE CRUCIAL QUESTION IS,

05:55

THE ELITES ARE

05:59

SCREWING US AND CRUSHING THIS

06:01

COUNTRY AND IF NOT, PEOPLE WILL

06:04

NOT BE AFFECTED BY THE CHILD

06:05

BECAUSE PEOPLE HAVE BIGGER

06:05

THINGS ON THEIR MINDS.

06:08

MY REVELATION IS, IT IS A

06:10

MISTAKE TO LOOK AT THIS ELECTION

06:11

IN AMERICA ONLY TERMS.

06:12

IF YOU LOOK AROUND THE WORLD,

06:14

WHO WAS DOING WELL, IT'S PEOPLE

06:16

LIKE DONALD TRUMP WHETHER IT IS

06:17

IN MODI IN INDIA, IN INDONESIA,

06:22

IN THE NETHERLANDS, ALL AROUND

06:24

THE WORLD, RIGHT WING PARTIES,

06:28

PORTUGAL, THEY ARE DOING

06:29

PHENOMENAL.

06:31

THIS MAY BE JUST THAT KIND OF

06:31

YEAR.

06:33

BUT I AM UNCERTAIN.

06:34

WHICH WILL BE THE CENTRAL

06:35

QUESTION?

06:36

>> IF THE TRIAL MATTERS, AND

06:38

IF THERE IS A CONVICTION,

06:42

SO FAR WE HAVE SEEN PRESIDENT

06:42

BIDEN KEEPING IT AT ARMS LENGTH,

06:46

DO YOU THINK WE WILL HEAR MORE

06:47

FROM HIM IF THERE'S A

06:47

CONVICTION?

06:48

WILL HE LEAN INTO IT?

06:49

>> WE WILL HEAR MORE FROM HIM

06:52

ONCE OF THE JUDICIAL PROCESS HAS

06:53

PLAYED ITSELF OUT.

06:55

NO MATTER WHAT THE VERDICT IS.

06:57

IF IT'S A CONVICTION,

06:59

YOU BETTER BELIEVE HE WILL SAY

07:00

SOMETHING ABOUT IT.

07:01

YOU WANT IT CRIMINALLY --

07:05

A CRIMINALLY CONVICTED PRESIDENT

07:05

OF THE UNITED STATES?

07:09

IF IT IS AN ACQUITTAL,

07:09

I LOOK FORWARD TO HEARING WHAT

07:10

THE MESSAGE IS.

07:11

JUST AS PRESIDENT BIDEN

07:13

DID NOT TALK ABOUT TRUMP

07:16

BY NAME UNTIL HE WAS THE

07:16

PRESUMPTIVE NOMINEE, I DON'T

07:18

EXPECT THEM TO SAY ANYTHING

07:19

UNTIL THE CASE IS DONE.

07:20

>> WE HAVE SEEN PRESIDENT BIDEN

07:23

AND FORMER PRESIDENT TRUMP DOING

07:24

A LOT OF OUTREACH TO VOTERS OF

07:25

COLOR IN PARTICULAR, BLACK

07:30

VOTERS AND HISPANIC VOTERS, A

07:31

GROUP THAT WENT HEAVILY FOR MR.

07:32

BIDEN AND 2020 -- IN 2020.

07:35

HERE IS PART OF WHAT HE HAD TO

07:36

SAY TO THE GRADUATING CLASS AT

07:38

MOREHOUSE COLLEGE.

07:39

>> WE KNOW BLACK MEN ARE GOING

07:42

TO HELP LEAD US IN THE FUTURE,

07:43

FROM THIS CLASS AND THIS

07:44

UNIVERSITY.

07:45

[APPLAUSE]

07:51

GRADUATES, THIS IS WHAT WE ARE

07:52

UP AGAINST, EXTREMIST FORCES.

07:58

THEY PEDDLE FICTION, A

08:02

CARICATURE.

08:04

BUT BEING A MAN IS ABOUT

08:07

TOUGH TALK.

08:08

ABUSING POWER, BIGOTRY,

08:12

THEIR IDEA IS TOXIC.

08:14

>> HERE IS HOW FORMER PRESIDENT

08:16

TRUMP ADDRESSED A CROWD IN THE

08:16

BRONX LAST NIGHT.

08:18

>> THESE MILLIONS AND MILLIONS

08:21

OF THAT ARE COMING INTO OUR

08:22

COUNTRY -- THE'S BIGGEST IMPACT

08:26

ON THE BIGGEST NEGATIVE IMPACT

08:28

IS AGAINST OUR BLACK POPULATION

08:33

WHO ARE LOSING THEIR JOBS,

08:35

LOSING THEIR HOUSING, LOSING

08:36

EVERYTHING THEY CAN LOSE.

08:37

>> THOSE ARE TWO VERY

08:40

DIFFERENT KINDS OF MESSAGING YET

08:43

TRUMP HAS MADE INROADS WITH SOME

08:43

OF THESE VOTERS OF COLOR.

08:44

WHY DO YOU THINK THAT IS?

08:46

>> OK, BUCKLE UP.

08:47

[LAUGHTER]

08:48

THIS INROADS, THIS NOTION

08:51

TRUMP HAS MADE INROADS AS A

08:55

RESULT OF A NEW YORK TIMES POLL

08:56

THAT CAME OUT IN FEBRUARY, WHERE

08:58

SHOCKINGLY IT SAID TRUMP WAS

09:00

GETTING 23% OF BLACK SUPPORT --

09:03

NOW, WHEN I WAS CONFRONTED WITH

09:05

THIS, I WAS LIKE, DO YOU EVEN

09:08

KNOW THE SAMPLE SIZE?

09:10

BECAUSE I DON'T BELIEVE THAT --

09:11

AS ANY BLACK POLLSTER, THEY ARE

09:14

LIKE, IT'S NOT THERE.

09:15

THE SAMPLE SIZE ON THAT POLL WAS

09:19

119 RESPONDENTS FOR A NATIONAL

09:22

POLL.

09:23

>> IT'S A FALSE NARRATIVE.

09:24

>> IT'S A FALSE NARRATIVE.

09:25

WE GO THROUGH THIS EVERY FOUR

09:26

YEARS.

09:27

WILL BLACK VOTERS SHOW UP?

09:28

THE SUPPORT IS SOFTENING --

09:31

MY GOD, IT FEELS LIKE, TO LOTS

09:33

OF US THAT THESE NARRATIVES ARE

09:36

PERPETUATED SO THAT IF THE

09:37

DEMOCRAT LOSES, NO MATTER WHAT

09:39

RACE, OH, THE AFRICAN AMERICANS

09:43

DID NOT SHOW UP SO IT IS THEIR

09:43

FAULT.

09:44

WITH THE PRESIDENT'S'S SPEECH,

09:47

HE MADE THE MORAL ARGUMENT ABOUT

09:48

DEMOCRACY AND MASCULINITY IN

09:51

EVERYTHING BUT HE ALSO TALKED

09:51

SPECIFICS.

09:54

$16 BILLION INVESTED IN HBCUS.

09:57

CUTTING BLACK CHILD POVERTY.

09:59

WHAT GOT THE BIGGEST APPLAUSE

09:59

LINE WAS STUDENT DEBT RELIEF.

10:04

HE IS COMBINING AN ECONOMIC

10:05

MESSAGE WITH THE MORAL MESSAGE.

10:08

AND KNOWING WHO HIS AUDIENCE IS,

10:13

DONALD TRUMP, THIS IS NOT ABOUT

10:16

GETTING BLACK VOTERS TO VOTE FOR

10:17

HIM, THIS IS NOT ABOUT GETTING

10:19

LATINO VOTERS TO VOTE FOR HIM,

10:21

BECAUSE THERE ARE QUITE A FEW

10:23

HISPANIC AMERICANS THERE, AT

10:26

THAT RALLY IN THE BRONX, BUT

10:27

THIS IS NOT ABOUT COURTING THEM,

10:31

THIS IS ABOUT A PERMISSION

10:32

STRUCTURE FOR WHITE VOTERS ON

10:35

THE PERIPHERY WHO LOOK AND HEAR

10:36

LANGUAGE LIKE THAT AND THINK, I

10:38

DON'T LIKE THAT, I DON'T LIKE

10:39

HIM, I DON'T LIKE THE WAY THAT

10:40

SOUNDS, BUT WAIT, HE IS IN THE

10:42

SOUTH BRONX, TALKING TO THOSE

10:46

PEOPLE, MAYBE HE'S NOT THAT BAD.

10:47

THAT IS OUTRAGEOUS.

10:49

>> DAVID, A FINAL WORD HERE.

10:51

WE'VE GOT A MINUTE LEFT.

10:52

>> I DON'T THINK THIS IS ABOUT

10:53

ONE POLL.

10:54

[LAUGHTER]

10:55

OBAMA WON THE WHITE WORKING

11:00

CLASS BY 76%, BIDEN IS UP BY 6%.

11:02

THE RESULTS IN TEXAS AND

11:07

CALIFORNIA, LATINO VOTERS IN

11:08

2020, THOSE WERE ACTUAL RESULTS.

11:10

THOSE WERE RESULTS SHOWING A

11:10

SHIFT.

11:11

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL POLL

11:17

SHOWING AFRICAN-AMERICAN MEN,

11:18

30% FOR TRUMP, THESE ARE A WHOLE

11:18

BUNCH OF BOWLING RESULTS --

11:19

THE QUESTION IS, WILL THE

11:21

RESULTS LEAD TO VOTING RESULTS?

11:24

A LOT OF THESE PEOPLE ARE SO

11:25

DISAFFECTED THAT THEY MAY NOT

11:25

VOTE.

11:26

IT IS FUNDAMENTALLY TRUE THAT

11:28

WORKING-CLASS VOTERS ARE VOTING

11:29

MORE LIKE WORKING-CLASS VOTERS

11:31

NO MATTER WHAT OTHER IDENTITIES

11:32

THEY MAY HAVE.

11:34

I THINK THERE'S A GENDER GAP

11:35

WHERE GUYS ARE MOVING.

11:36

HOW BIG THAT IS?

11:38

A LOT OF THESE PEOPLE MAY

11:44

REGISTER A PROTEST WITH THE

11:44

POSTER BECAUSE THEY ARE UPSET

11:45

WITH THINGS BUT THAT DOES NOT

11:46

MEAN THEY ARE GOING TO VOTE THIS

11:47

WAY.

11:47

I WILL LEAVE IT UP TO --

11:48

I THINK THE TREND TOWARD WORKING

11:50

CLASS PEOPLE VOTING, THAT

11:53

IS A REAL THING THAT IS ACROSS A

11:54

LOT OF ELECTIONS AND A LOT OF

11:55

POLLS.

11:56

>> POLLS OUR A MOMENT IN TIME,

11:59

THEY ARE NOT PREDICTIVE.

12:00

IT'S GREAT TO SEE YOU BOTH.

12:01

THANK YOU SO MUCH.

12:02

โ™ช