The most important country you’ve never heard about

Johnny Harris
3 May 202428:12

Summary

TLDR视频脚本深入探讨了位于非洲之角的吉布提,这个小国因其战略地理位置成为全球大国争夺的焦点。吉布提坐落在红海的咽喉要道,控制着连接全球市场的重要航道,每日有数百万桶石油和大量集装箱船只通过此地。随着全球紧张局势的升温,包括美国、中国、法国和日本在内的国家都在吉布提设立了军事基地,以保护其经济利益和航道安全。视频还讨论了吉布提如何通过与外国势力的互动,巧妙地平衡各方利益,同时促进本国经济发展。此外,还提到了吉布提与邻国如埃塞俄比亚的关系,以及它在区域政治中所扮演的角色。最后,视频提出了对吉布提未来在大国竞争中如何保持平衡的疑问,以及这可能对全球秩序产生的影响。

Takeaways

  • 🚢 吉布提的战略位置:位于红海的咽喉要道,是全球贸易和石油运输的关键节点。
  • ⚓️ 海盗威胁:近年来,海盗在该地区劫持了数千艘船只,索取数亿美元赎金,对海上安全构成威胁。
  • 🔫 军事存在:美国、法国、日本和中国等国家都在吉布提设有军事基地,以保护其在该地区的利益。
  • 🌏 全球竞争:随着全球对化石燃料的依赖以及中国作为制造业超级大国的崛起,红海的这个咽喉要道变得更加重要。
  • 🏭 基础设施投资:中国在吉布提的投资包括铁路、管道和港口等大型基础设施项目,增强了其在该地区的影响力。
  • 💸 经济援助:外国政府支付给吉布提的军事基地租金帮助支撑了该国的经济。
  • 🛂 政治稳定:吉布提政府通过与外国政府的合作,尽管国内存在人权问题,但保持了一定程度的政治稳定。
  • 🚨 地区紧张:吉布提周边地区的政治紧张和冲突可能对该国的稳定构成威胁。
  • 🔄 地缘政治游戏:吉布提精于在大国之间进行平衡,利用其战略位置来增强自身利益。
  • ⛓ 军事基地对民众的影响:军事基地的存在对当地民众的生活有一定影响,包括噪音污染和事故风险。
  • ⚖️ 国际合作与竞争:吉布提的未来将取决于其能否继续在国际竞争与合作之间找到平衡点。

Q & A

  • 为什么吉布提的战略位置如此重要?

    -吉布提位于红海的咽喉要道,这个狭窄的水域是连接全球市场的重要航道,每天有数百万桶石油和30%的集装箱船通过这里。此外,它周围环绕着不稳定的情况,包括内战、叛军、代理战争、不稳定政府、失败国家和海盗,这使得这个地区成为全球紧张局势和对抗的焦点。

  • 吉布提如何从其战略位置中获益?

    -吉布提通过向外国军队提供军事基地租约来获得经济利益。这些租约为吉布提提供了重要的收入来源,帮助其建立了经济,并允许它在没有显著自然资源的情况下发展。

  • 为什么多个国家要在吉布提建立军事基地?

    -多个国家在吉布提建立军事基地是为了保护和确保通过红海和苏伊士运河的全球贸易和能源流动的稳定性。此外,对于像美国和中国这样的大国来说,这里也是展示其全球军事存在和影响力的重要地点。

  • 吉布提的邻国埃塞俄比亚对吉布提有多重要?

    -埃塞俄比亚是非洲第二大人口国,且完全是一个内陆国家,因此它严重依赖吉布提作为其通往世界市场的门户。95%的埃塞俄比亚贸易通过吉布提进行,这使得吉布提对埃塞俄比亚至关重要。

  • 外国军事基地对吉布提当地居民有什么影响?

    -外国军事基地为吉布提当地居民带来了一些积极影响,比如减少了饥饿人口的数量,并通过外国援助支持了经济。然而,基地的存在也可能导致一些问题,如事故、无人机坠毁以及对当地基础设施的损害。

  • 吉布提如何平衡各大国在其境内的利益冲突?

    -吉布提通过巧妙地在大国之间进行权衡,利用其战略位置作为筹码,以获取最大的利益。例如,当一个大国提供支持时,吉布提可能会利用这种支持来抵御其他国家的压力。

  • 吉布提拒绝俄罗斯建立军事基地的原因是什么?

    -吉布提拒绝俄罗斯建立军事基地的原因可能与美国的影响有关。据称,美国国家安全顾问访问吉布提并表示,如果吉布提不允许俄罗斯建立基地,美国将增加其军事基地租金。

  • 中国在吉布提建立军事基地的官方原因是什么?

    -中国官方声称在吉布提建立军事基地的原因是为了对抗海盗,保护其经济利益。然而,有分析认为,考虑到海盗威胁到2017年已大幅减少,中国建立基地可能有更深层次的战略考虑。

  • 吉布提如何利用其战略位置来促进经济发展?

    -吉布提通过向外国提供军事基地租约,以及参与大型基础设施项目,如铁路、管道和港口建设,来促进经济发展。这些项目虽然使吉布提陷入债务,但也为其带来了经济增长和现代化。

  • 吉布提的地理位置如何影响全球经济和地缘政治?

    -吉布提的地理位置使其成为全球贸易路线上的关键节点,特别是对欧洲的能源供应至关重要。此外,随着美国、中国和其他大国在该地区建立军事基地,吉布提成为了地缘政治竞争的焦点,影响着全球力量平衡。

  • 吉布提的未来将如何发展,它将如何应对大国间的竞争?

    -吉布提的未来将取决于其能否继续在大国间进行有效的权衡和平衡。随着全球秩序的变化和大国间竞争的加剧,吉布提可能需要在维护其战略利益和避免冲突之间找到新的平衡点。

Outlines

00:00

🚨 紧张局势:全球关注的红海战略要地

本段落介绍了G's Hy Rebels可能对商船的攻击,以及这可能导致苏伊士海峡的交通受阻,影响全球贸易。提到了伊朗支持的胡塞运动对红海货船的攻击,以及美国和英国对此的军事回应。强调了红海这个全球重要贸易通道的战略意义,以及周边不稳定的政治局势,包括内战、叛军、海盗活动等。特别提到了吉布提这个小国,它位于红海的咽喉部位,是多个国家军事力量的驻地,包括美国、欧洲国家、日本和中国的军事基地。

05:02

🌐 地缘政治:吉布提的战略位置

本段落深入探讨了吉布提的战略重要性,包括其在苏伊士运河开通后的历史价值,以及各国如何通过控制这个咽喉要地来争夺对亚洲的贸易路线。描述了吉布提如何利用其战略位置吸引外国势力,包括法国、英国、意大利和中国,以及这些国家在当地建立军事基地的情况。同时,提到了吉布提如何通过与外国的军事基地协议来支持其经济。

10:04

🏭 经济与军事:吉布提的双重角色

这一部分讨论了吉布提如何从全球反恐战争和对化石燃料的依赖中获益,成为美国在非洲的唯一永久军事基地,并且是全球能源供应链的关键点。提到了中国在吉布提建立军事基地的动机,以及中国通过基础设施项目在非洲扩大影响力。同时,也提到了这些军事基地对吉布提当地居民的影响,包括事故和对独裁政权的支持。

15:05

🌍 区域动态:吉布提与邻国的复杂关系

本段落涉及了吉布提与邻国之间的地缘政治关系,包括阿拉伯联合酋长国、卡塔尔、厄立特里亚和埃塞俄比亚。描述了吉布提如何在这些国家间进行外交平衡,以及它如何利用其战略位置来吸引外国投资和避免冲突。特别提到了吉布提如何通过将港口的控制权从阿联酋转移到中国来避免被一个大国所主导。

20:05

🔍 未来展望:吉布提在新兴全球秩序中的角色

最后,本段落对吉布提的未来角色进行了展望,强调了随着全球秩序的变化,吉布提可能面临的挑战。讨论了吉布提如何在大国竞争中保持平衡,以及它可能需要在不断升级的冲突中选择立场。同时,提到了吉布提如何继续利用其地理位置来促进自身利益,并对未来的全球合作与竞争提出了疑问。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡地缘政治

地缘政治是指国家根据地理位置、自然资源和国际关系等因素来制定其政治策略的现象。在视频中,Djibouti(吉布提)因其战略位置成为各国军事基地的所在地,体现了地缘政治的概念。例如,美国、法国、中国等国家都在Djibouti设有军事基地,这显示了该地区对于全球力量平衡的重要性。

💡红海

红海是一个位于亚洲和非洲之间的狭长海域,是全球贸易的重要航道,尤其是因为它连接了苏伊士运河,使得从欧洲到亚洲的海上运输更为便捷。视频中提到,红海是世界上30%的集装箱船和每天数百万桶石油的必经之路,凸显了其在全球经济中的关键作用。

💡苏伊士运河

苏伊士运河是连接地中海和红海的人工水道,极大地缩短了欧洲和亚洲之间的海上运输距离。视频中提到,苏伊士运河的开通改变了世界,使得Djibouti的战略位置变得更加重要,因为它靠近这个重要的水道。

💡Houthi(胡塞武装)

胡塞武装是也门的一个反政府武装组织,由伊朗支持。视频中提到,胡塞武装对红海的货船发动了近两个月的袭击,这导致了联合军事打击的回应,显示了该组织在地区冲突中的作用。

💡海盗

海盗是指在海上进行抢劫和敲诈勒索的犯罪分子。视频中提到,在过去几十年中,海盗在红海地区劫持了数千艘船只,并索取了数亿美元的赎金,这突出了红海作为全球航运要道所面临的安全挑战。

💡Djibouti(吉布提)

Djibouti是一个位于非洲东北部的小国,由于其靠近红海的战略位置,成为了多国军事基地的所在地。视频中解释了Djibouti如何利用其地理位置来吸引外国军事基地,并通过租赁基地来增强其经济。

💡全球贸易

全球贸易指的是世界各国之间商品和服务的交换。视频中提到,全球约10%到15%的贸易通过红海进行,这强调了红海在全球经济中的重要性,以及保护这一贸易路线的稳定性对于全球经济的至关重要。

💡军事基地

军事基地是武装部队用于训练、部署和维护军事装备的设施。视频中提到,Djibouti是多个国家军事基地的所在地,包括美国、法国、中国和日本,这些基地的存在反映了Djibouti在维护地区安全和全球贸易中的作用。

💡不稳定国家

不稳定国家指的是政治、经济或社会方面存在严重问题,导致国家治理困难或失败的国家。视频中提到,红海周围的一些国家正处于内战、反叛民兵、代理战争、不稳定政府或失败国家的状态,这些不稳定因素增加了该地区的不安全和不确定性。

💡全球经济

全球经济是指世界各国经济相互依存和互动形成的经济体系。视频中强调了Djibouti的战略位置对于全球经济的重要性,因为它靠近红海这个全球贸易的关键通道,任何该地区的不稳定都可能对全球经济产生影响。

💡外国援助

外国援助是指一个国家或组织向另一个国家提供的资金、物资或技术支持。视频中提到,Djibouti从外国军事基地的租赁中获得收入,这种援助有助于支持Djibouti的经济,尽管这个国家缺乏自然资源和农业土地。

Highlights

G's Hy Rebels可能攻击商业船只,若发生可能使红海海峡数周甚至数月受阻。

近两个月来,伊朗支持的胡塞运动对红海的货船发动了攻击,联合军事打击是对这些攻击的回应。

红海的这个狭窄点虽仅数十公里宽,但每天有数百万桶石油和30%的集装箱船通过此处,连接全球市场。

过去几十年中,海盗在该地区劫持了数千艘船只,索取数亿美元的赎金。

美国和英国对也门的胡塞叛军进行反击,后者向通过该水域的货船发射火箭。

吉布提是位于红海海峡的一个小国,对美国、欧洲多国、日本和中国的军事存在具有重要性。

吉布提是埃塞俄比亚与世界贸易的门户,95%的埃塞俄比亚贸易通过吉布提。

吉布提通过向外国租赁军事基地,解决了自身没有大规模工业或资源的问题,并帮助建立了经济。

2011年,日本获准在吉布提建立其唯一的海外军事基地。

2017年,中国在吉布提建立了支持基地,距离美国基地仅一步之遥。

中国通过大型基础设施项目如铁路、管道和港口,赢得了当地人的好感,并使吉布提陷入对中国的债务。

吉布提是全球唯一一个美国和中国军事基地相邻的地方,到目前为止双方相处融洽。

美国国家安全顾问访问吉布提,表示如果吉布提不允许俄罗斯建立基地,美国将增加其租赁费用。

吉布提政府通过平衡各大国的利益,利用其战略位置为自己谋求利益,但这种做法非常微妙且危险。

随着全球秩序的转变,吉布提的角色将变得更加复杂,它将继续在大国之间进行平衡。

吉布提的地理位置使其成为全球政治的焦点,大国之间的竞争可能会威胁到世界的稳定。

吉布提通过巧妙地利用其战略位置,避免了与邻国的冲突,并在大国之间找到了生存之道。

Transcripts

00:02

breaking news because G's Hy Rebels they

00:05

could attack a commercial ship and could

00:08

bog the straight up for weeks if not

00:14

months there is a part of the world that

00:17

everyone is keeping an eye on right now

00:18

the joint military strikes were in

00:20

response to nearly two months of attacks

00:22

by the iran-backed houthi movement on

00:25

cargo ships in the Red Sea it is

00:27

becoming more and more important for the

00:29

global rivalries and tensions that are

00:32

heating up on our globe right now it is

00:34

this choke point in the Red

00:37

[Music]

00:40

Sea it's pretty small it's a few dozen

00:43

kilometers wide but through this little

00:45

choke point flows a lot of important

00:47

things the internet millions of barrels

00:49

of oil per day 30% of all Container

00:52

ships that connect Global

00:55

markets and this choke point is

00:58

surrounded by un stable situations

01:01

countries that are in Civil Wars Rebel

01:04

militias proxy wars unstable governments

01:08

failed States and pirates in recent

01:11

decades Pirates have hijacked thousands

01:14

of ships here extracting hundreds of

01:16

millions of dollars in ransoms a topic

01:18

we did a whole Deep dive on in another

01:20

video and lately as War has raged in the

01:22

Gaza Strip the fiercely anti-western

01:25

hooti rebels in Yemen have been firing

01:28

rockets at cargo ships traveling through

01:30

this water leading the US and UK to

01:32

strike back a ship attacked by Iran back

01:35

to the rebels last month sank in the Red

01:37

Sea the region is vital yet volatile all

01:40

at once and yet in the middle of all of

01:43

this is this one Beacon of stability a

01:46

little piece of land that is easy to

01:48

miss but that is more important than you

01:50

might think it is the country of jaib

01:54

[Music]

01:57

boti jibuti is this small arid country

02:01

right on the choke point and it is home

02:03

to the militaries of the United States

02:06

of several European powers of Japan

02:09

Japan's only foreign military base by

02:11

the way and right down the road from the

02:12

American base China's first Military

02:15

Base outside of its

02:17

[Music]

02:21

country katar has peacekeepers here the

02:23

United Arab Emirates ran the biggest

02:25

Port Eritrea seized some of its

02:27

territory recently and Ethiopia one of

02:30

the largest countries in Africa runs

02:32

almost all of its trade through Djibouti

02:34

Ethiopia's landlocked and this is their

02:36

like gateway to the world it's a lot

02:39

jibuti is a lot there's a lot going on

02:41

in jibuti which is why today we are

02:43

talking about this place I want to

02:45

explore why so many Powers want to be

02:48

here why everyone is converging on this

02:51

little tiny patch of land the size of

02:53

New Jersey and I want to ask if little

02:56

Djibouti one of the poorest countries in

02:58

the world can balance all these rival

03:01

Powers against each other without

03:03

falling victim to them you know 10 to

03:05

15% of global trade moves through the

03:08

Red Sea we will not hesitate to defend

03:11

lives and the free flow of

03:16

Commerce hey going to pause really quick

03:18

I'm actually excited about today's

03:20

sponsor cuz it's a tool that I have

03:22

wanted to exist for a long time and now

03:24

it exists as many of you have told me in

03:27

the comments we live in a world where

03:29

it's really hard to trust media and news

03:32

there's so many different news outlets

03:34

and more and more news outlets have a

03:36

political bias it used to not be like

03:38

this but now it is and social media

03:40

makes it worse and so what are we to do

03:43

those of us who want factual reporting

03:45

from around the world the answer is

03:48

ground news ground news is a website and

03:51

an app that feeds in 50,000 different

03:54

sources of news condensing it into one

03:57

story that gives you a lot more

03:58

information about that story it shows

04:01

you the bias ranking how much of the

04:03

coverage it leans right or leans left or

04:05

is centered it gives you a rating on the

04:08

factuality of each source with ground

04:10

news you can quickly compare coverage

04:12

from all these different outlets and get

04:15

a much better view of what the story

04:18

actually is and one of my favorite

04:19

features is once you use ground news a

04:21

bunch they will tell you what your blind

04:23

spots are you're clicking only on a

04:25

certain type of article that leans a

04:27

certain way they'll show you the other

04:28

side so that you you don't just get

04:30

caught in the Echo chambers that are so

04:32

common on social media and news today

04:34

like right now as I'm recording this

04:35

there's this story about us China

04:39

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05:31

today's video Let's dive back into the

05:34

story of jib

05:35

boti this little choke point is called

05:38

the Bob ALB or gate of Tears it used to

05:43

be nothing but a recipe for

05:46

shipwrecks it was known mostly for

05:48

strong winds unpredictable crosscurrents

05:51

and shallow reefs that made navigating

05:53

it dangerous and it wasn't very valuable

05:56

because if you go through it you just

05:58

end up in the Red Sea which was a dead

06:00

end for most of history that is until a

06:02

French company miraculously cut a canal

06:06

through this part of Egypt and changed

06:08

the world forever nearly having the time

06:11

that it would take for Europeans to get

06:13

to Asia where they were all racing each

06:14

other to conquer colonize and bring back

06:17

unfathomable wealth to their

06:20

[Music]

06:23

countries the Suz Canal was a massive

06:27

upgrade to this hunt for resources

06:30

was this video kind of an excuse for me

06:32

to buy these really old beautiful books

06:34

about the Suez Canal yes it was for

06:37

France this engineering Miracle called

06:39

the Suez Canal was their chance to beat

06:42

out their big rival the British Empire

06:44

who was clearly winning the race

06:46

dominating the routes to Asia before

06:49

Suez opened the canal was supposed to

06:51

change that so now you have a new front

06:53

in this race a Scramble for control over

06:55

this new route to Asia this windy little

06:58

choke point was no longer just the Gate

07:00

of Tears it was an important bit of

07:03

water one of the most important on Earth

07:05

at least for the empires they had to

07:07

keep an eye on

07:08

[Music]

07:09

it so the British take this little

07:12

Island right at the choke point they put

07:14

a lighthouse on

07:17

it they also take control of a port just

07:20

south of the choke point the Italians

07:22

then show up and purchase this bit of

07:23

Coastline from local Sultans eventually

07:25

taking over this whole stretch of Coast

07:27

called Eritrea and the French would

07:30

start fixating on this strip of sparsely

07:32

populated Coast right on the banks of

07:34

the choke point the land that would

07:36

become

07:38

jibuti The Sultans here told the French

07:41

that yes they could have a bit of this

07:43

newly strategic land in exchange for

07:46

protection the locals here knew what was

07:48

going on the great Empires were all

07:49

scrambling and racing and they were

07:51

going to use their Prime real estate to

07:54

get what they wanted to Leverage The

07:56

Situation smart and totally a theme

08:00

throughout this

08:00

[Music]

08:02

video so the French set up their colony

08:05

they call it K Fran de Somali or French

08:08

Somali land this choke point would

08:11

become a key base for projecting power

08:13

and refueling on their way to carve up

08:16

and plunder

08:19

Asia France would hold on to their

08:21

little Colonial invention for a long

08:24

time even as the world would decolonize

08:26

after World War II France held on to

08:29

this strategic Colony along the choke

08:31

point until eventually the locals rose

08:34

up there were protests they clashed with

08:36

the local authorities and it led to an

08:38

independence vote and in 1977 Djibouti

08:41

became a new

08:44

[Music]

08:49

country jibuti was independent but they

08:53

had a problem in the words of some New

08:55

York Times reporting from 1977 the tiny

08:58

new nation had no Army less than one

09:00

square mile of aable land and no

09:02

resources except for sand salt and

09:05

20,000 camels yeah not good so once

09:10

again they made a deal with France jib

09:12

boti wouldn't be France's anymore but

09:13

they would be allowed to retain a

09:15

military base in the country in exchange

09:18

for security and protection as well as

09:20

economic aid but this didn't change the

09:22

fact that jibuti had very little natural

09:24

resources or arable land their economy

09:26

fell into a crippling depression

09:28

eventually there was a civil war and it

09:29

wasn't looking good for Djibouti

09:31

djibouti's salvation would eventually

09:33

come when they realized that they should

09:35

hearken back to the old days and start

09:37

exploiting the thing that had made them

09:39

valuable all those years ago their

09:42

location let's go go go stop shoting

09:47

believe has crashed into the world TR

09:50

very Freedom came under attack a series

09:53

of deliberate and deadly terrorist Acts

09:57

3 months after 9/11 the United States

09:59

was about to come crashing into the

10:02

Middle East in a new way and they asked

10:03

jibuti if they could set up a base there

10:06

and jibou says yes suddenly after the

10:09

global war on terror America realizes

10:11

that it's one of the key locations it

10:14

matters to be there you had you know

10:17

alqaeda in Yemen you had alqaeda in even

10:20

Horn of Africa so they needed a base and

10:22

jibuti was one country which was willing

10:24

to offer them it would become America's

10:26

only permanent military base on the

10:28

continent of Africa and and it would be

10:29

a key jumping off point for George

10:31

Bush's war on terror and reminder that

10:34

it's now the 21st century things have

10:37

changed in the world and this little

10:38

choke point was becoming more valuable

10:40

again but for different reasons than the

10:43

old

10:45

days number one the world had become

10:48

addicted to fossil fuels oil and gas

10:52

which was the lifeblood of their

10:53

economies and most of that oil and gas

10:55

was coming from over here from the land

10:58

and Waters of the countries around this

11:00

Persian Gulf where it was then put on

11:03

ships and sent around the world a lot of

11:06

it heading west through this vital choke

11:09

point up the Red Sea into the Suez Canal

11:12

and onto Europe the world knew that

11:14

their energy was vulnerable because

11:16

Egypt in earlier decades had weaponized

11:18

the canal by closing it by blocking it

11:21

one time for 8 years inflicting

11:24

immediate pain on the countries that

11:26

rely on this constant flow of energy and

11:29

goods

11:29

[Music]

11:30

by the way semi side note this flow of

11:33

energy becomes even more important when

11:35

Europe almost entirely Cuts ties with

11:37

Russian natural gas after Russia invaded

11:39

Ukraine in 2022 so they have to get more

11:41

natural gas from this region Qatar was

11:43

not sad about that let's put it that way

11:45

anyway we're getting off topic Europe

11:47

needs this route to stay stable they

11:49

need these little dots to keep

11:52

flowing so that's one reason that the

11:54

choke point has become more vital than

11:56

ever the other reason is China

12:00

china Rose to become a manufacturing

12:03

superpower they make a lot of stuff and

12:05

they send it to the west and a lot of

12:07

that comes through this choke point and

12:10

all of this vital trade is happening in

12:12

a region that is full of unstable

12:14

governments rising anti-western militias

12:17

and Somali pirates making this route

12:20

precarious and dangerous and subject to

12:25

problems so jibuti has become this vital

12:29

place here at the choke point an

12:31

incredibly important strategic location

12:33

in a sea of turmoil okay but there's

12:35

more in addition to all of this global

12:37

economy importance there's also Regional

12:39

importance to Djibouti notice djibouti's

12:42

neighbor Ethiopia the second most

12:44

populous country in Africa and as you

12:47

can see one that is totally landlocked

12:50

it is not good to be a big country that

12:53

is landlocked because the water is where

12:55

we trade so jibuti is the gateway to E

12:59

Ethiopia's millions of people to trade

13:01

with the world 95% of Ethiopia's trade

13:04

passes through jibuti so jibuti this

13:06

colonial creation from France in the

13:09

1880s is now once again an incredibly

13:13

important place on the map it's become

13:16

once again a highly strategic

13:20

location and when there are highly

13:22

strategic locations superpowers start

13:24

moving in in 2011 Djibouti approved

13:28

Japan a passive IST sort of non-military

13:30

country to open a military base on jouti

13:34

their one and only foreign military

13:36

base then you have Italy who set up a

13:39

military base here in 2013 Spain and

13:41

Germany also have a military presence

13:43

here they are not permanently hosted

13:45

with a base they're actually hosted by

13:46

France and the soldiers live in these

13:49

hotels permanently okay that's not weird

13:52

at all but yeah as you can see the great

13:54

powers are back they're back in Djibouti

13:57

like the old days not to compete with

13:59

one another but to all band together to

14:01

police this vital choke point so that

14:03

the global economy that has brought

14:04

prosperity to all of us can stay stable

14:07

everything keeps flowing everyone is

14:09

happy and this solved a big problem for

14:11

Djibouti who again didn't have a big

14:14

industry or any kind of resource they

14:16

make a lot of money off of these leases

14:18

to foreign countries which has helped

14:20

build their economy and like the old

14:22

days when one side shows up the Rival

14:26

won't be far behind

14:31

China has agreed to set up a support

14:33

base in jibou so the Chinese base is

14:36

right here and they are going to be

14:37

watching us as we're watching them in

14:40

2016 jibuti announces that they've been

14:42

talking to China and that they've agreed

14:45

to give them land to open their own

14:47

military base which was built and opened

14:50

right down the road from the American

14:51

base in 2017 so China says they're there

14:54

because of pirates pirates have been

14:56

wreaking havoc in this area so they're

14:58

there to stabilize their economic

15:00

interests because of pirates but as we

15:02

discovered in our Deep dive on Pirates

15:04

by 2017 the pirate issue was basically

15:07

over there was almost no hijackings in

15:09

this region I me look at this graph oh

15:12

and the Chinese base has this big deep

15:14

Pier that is like large enough to handle

15:18

an aircraft carrier and nuclear

15:20

submarines so this isn't about Pirates

15:23

China also did the most China thing when

15:24

they moved in here which was instead of

15:26

just building a base they also came with

15:29

of these big ticket infrastructure

15:31

projects as like gifts to win the favor

15:34

of the locals we're talking Railway

15:36

pipeline Port all very expensive all

15:39

putting jibuti into a lot of debt to

15:42

China they're doing this all over Africa

15:44

which we talk about in another Deep dive

15:46

video we did on the topic mapping all of

15:48

China's giant infrastructure projects in

15:50

Africa and what that means and a lot of

15:52

shout outs to other videos today huh so

15:54

jibuti is now the only place on Earth

15:55

where the United States and China these

15:58

two Rivals have military bases right

16:01

next to each other and so far everyone's

16:04

been playing nice there's been no

16:05

Shenanigans other than both sides

16:07

accusing each other of spying on each

16:08

other constantly oh and there was the

16:10

lasers the US says that China was

16:13

pointing lasers into the eyes of Pilots

16:15

while they were taking off which like if

16:18

they really did that that's just like

16:19

why why would you do that like why did

16:21

you do that don't do that okay but jibou

16:23

doesn't let every country in Russia

16:26

wanted to have their own base in jibuti

16:28

and jouti said no it probably helped

16:31

that the American national security

16:32

adviser flew to Djibouti and told them

16:35

that the US would double how much

16:36

they're paying for their lease if

16:38

Djibouti didn't let Russia

16:42

in okay but what about the people jibuti

16:45

isn't just one big military base there's

16:47

almost a million people who live here

16:49

and their day today probably consists of

16:52

a lot of jet engine sounds for got to

16:55

talk to my old grad school Professor

16:56

David Vine who is an expert on us

16:58

military bases and how they affect the

17:00

locals so what we were talking about is

17:03

a foreign government foreign military

17:06

occupying large swas of land fenced off

17:10

and uh hosting large amounts of Weaponry

17:13

high-powered Weaponry of many many

17:23

kinds because these bases are so close

17:25

to like the big city there have been

17:29

accidents especially with drones the US

17:31

used to take off their drones and some

17:33

would fall and actually crash onto like

17:35

civilian infrastructure so they had to

17:37

open a separate air

17:43

[Music]

17:50

strip apart from occasionally running

17:53

over cows the soldiers mostly keep to

17:57

themselves US soldiers don't even go

17:59

into the city to like buy stuff all of

18:00

it is flown in creating a little slice

18:03

of America right in Djibouti like they

18:06

don't even drink the water from jouti

18:07

it's all flown

18:26

in and then there's the dictator well I

18:30

want to welcome president G and his

18:31

delegations here today the US base in

18:33

particular but also the French and

18:35

Chinese bases which are the largest of

18:37

of the collection are all helping to

18:40

prop up undemocratic regime that has you

18:43

know been accused of widespread human

18:45

rights abuses every time a foreign power

18:48

makes a deal with jibuti and pays them a

18:50

lot of money in exchange for them being

18:51

able to be there they basically validate

18:55

this terrible dictator who's been in

18:56

power for 25 years there's no real

18:59

elections Free Press freedom of speech

19:01

plenty of Human Rights abuses but on the

19:04

other side there's at least one way that

19:07

regular people in Djibouti benefit from

19:08

all of this fewer people go hungry today

19:11

than at the conclusion of the Civil War

19:13

and even though the economy is still

19:15

poor all of this foreign aid still does

19:17

support it is that worth it to them I

19:19

don't actually know and another version

19:22

of this video that I want to do someday

19:23

is to go there and talk to the people

19:25

and hear what their thoughts are about

19:27

the bases in jib and what that feels

19:29

like to live so close to all of these

19:31

foreign militaries for now we're talking

19:33

about the geography the history the

19:37

[Applause]

19:39

geopolitics okay speaking of geopolitics

19:42

there is another angle to this story

19:45

that is devilishly complicated to get

19:47

into and I'm not going to get into all

19:49

the juicy details you'll understand why

19:51

when I start talking about it it has to

19:52

do with the regional geopolitics the

19:54

rivalries and the concerns and the

19:56

issues of all of these countries that

19:58

are right next to Djibouti not just the

20:00

outside Powers I want to just give you a

20:01

little sampling of what this looks like

20:03

because it's pretty wild so you have all

20:04

these Gulf countries and some of them

20:07

are not totally on the same team but

20:10

almost all of them are thinking about

20:12

the future and they're realizing that

20:13

oil is not going to be a big part of

20:14

their future because oil is not going to

20:16

be a big part of any of our future

20:18

hopefully and they're realizing that

20:19

they're going to need to invest in the

20:21

Horn of Africa this region here which

20:24

they believe is probably going to be the

20:25

future of their food their future Bread

20:27

Basket so so hold that for a second and

20:30

then look at Ethiopia and Eritrea

20:32

Ethiopia as we mentioned uses Djibouti

20:34

as their gateway to the world they need

20:36

it to feed their millions of people all

20:38

of this geopolitics is also playing out

20:41

in jibuti this little country that has

20:43

to navigate everyone's interests so

20:45

here's a quick episode of this drama to

20:47

give you an idea of what it looks

20:49

like the United Arab Emirates UAE used

20:53

to be like best friends with jibuti it

20:55

was like one of their most important

20:57

Partners the UAE built and owned this

20:59

giant Port that basically runs

21:02

djibouti's entire economy but then the

21:04

UAE got really close to jibuti neighbor

21:07

and kind of enemy Eritrea this was very

21:10

worrisome because jibou doesn't want

21:12

Eritrea to become the new jibou they're

21:14

a mortal threat they don't want the UAE

21:16

to just shut down djibouti's like

21:18

strategic offering okay fast forward to

21:21

like 2017 the UAE with their close

21:24

friends Saudi Arabia are in a feud with

21:27

Qatar which also has a military presence

21:30

in Djibouti right up here on this border

21:33

now that Qatar and the UAE are fighting

21:36

with each other they turn to jibuti and

21:39

say Hey you are too close with the UAE

21:42

we're out of here Qatar takes their

21:44

soldiers out of this border area and

21:47

right away Eritrea takes some of this

21:49

land from Djibouti this may seem like

21:51

some petty border skirmishes but

21:54

remember where we are here this is the

21:56

vital choke point Bob ALB every inch of

22:00

land matters every little conflict could

22:03

be the spark that stops the global

22:05

economy and what this little flareup

22:06

shows us is how Djibouti finds itself in

22:09

the center of conflicts between other

22:11

countries that it kind of doesn't want

22:12

to be in the middle of but like has

22:14

found itself in the middle of because it

22:17

hosts all of their militaries but wait

22:19

there's more Djibouti is actually really

22:21

good at this they know how to play the

22:23

game and to play all these Powers off of

22:25

each other and we'll see what happens

22:26

next so they're kind of beholding to the

22:28

UAE UAE has way too much leverage over

22:30

them so finally it all comes to a head

22:32

and they kick the UAE out from this

22:35

really vital port and they give a

22:37

massive chunk of it to wait for it China

22:41

the new arrival to jib boti that no one

22:43

wants to mess with they now have the

22:45

port and jibuti is now on their side and

22:48

the UAE can't do anything about it

22:50

jibuti saved itself from one power by

22:53

pleasing a bigger power do you see how

22:55

this works do you see what game they're

22:57

playing here

22:59

[Music]

23:01

so that is why this tiny country in East

23:04

Africa is so important it's kind of the

23:07

definition of geopolitics politics

23:11

happening because of geography to

23:13

project legitimacy this choke point is

23:16

only going to become more important day

23:18

by day we're seeing it happen I mean

23:20

like right now as I'm filming this the

23:21

houie rebels are like potentially

23:23

cutting internet cables in this choke

23:25

point three crew members have been

23:27

killed in a the first death since houthi

23:29

Rebels began attacking shipping in the

23:30

Red Sea after months of bombing Merchant

23:33

ships to punish the West for supporting

23:36

the IDF war in Gaza I mean it's this

23:38

kind of threat that jibuti was set up to

23:40

handle that is why all these foreign

23:42

militaries are here and yet for me there

23:44

is a subtler threat that is emerging

23:48

here which you can see when you just

23:50

look at this map of

23:53

bases jibuti hosts rival countries

23:56

during a time when we are Transit iing

23:59

away from a rules-based order where all

24:02

the great Powers have an incentive to

24:04

work together under one system that is

24:06

dominated by the United States that

24:08

deeply benefits the United States and

24:09

its allies but that works because the

24:12

United States imposes and protects those

24:15

rules those rules are being challenged

24:17

and what is emerging is a system that is

24:20

Messier more disruptive to these

24:22

reliable rules that have kept everything

24:24

stable kept the United States on top and

24:27

unfortunately we know all too well what

24:29

happens when great Powers start

24:32

competing with each other more and more

24:34

over vital resources and vital

24:37

geographies in fact most of the history

24:40

of war is what happens when great powers

24:43

are competing with each other it's ugly

24:46

it's messy it's violent it provokes a

24:48

zero Su way of thinking competition

24:52

racing to secure and control and exploit

24:56

vital geographies like strategic choke

24:59

points that lead into the most important

25:02

Waterway on the planet as this rivalry

25:04

heats up jibuti role is going to become

25:06

more complex its government will

25:08

continue to do what it's done playing

25:10

the big Powers off each other exploiting

25:12

its great real estate to benefit itself

25:15

but I believe that there comes a point

25:17

in every escalating conflict where you

25:19

kind of have to choose sides I want

25:22

jouti to continue to embody the positive

25:25

some thinking that has kept the world

25:28

relatively stable these last 70 years

25:31

but it's definitely playing with a very

25:33

delicate Balancing Act and there's a

25:35

chance that it could stumble so as you

25:37

all know I will be keeping an eye on the

25:41

global order as well as jib boti to try

25:44

to see where this is going to see if the

25:46

great powers can continue to cooperate

25:48

and compete but cooperate or if we're

25:51

heading back into the old days where

25:52

competition threatens to rip the world

25:55

apart I don't think it's inevitable but

25:57

it's going to take effort to avoid

26:00

[Music]

26:24

it hey thanks for watching and thanks to

26:27

the New York Times for having the times

26:29

machine which is every one of their

26:30

newspapers ever digitized in nice

26:33

highres so I can read what the New York

26:35

Times was reporting on in

26:36

1977 love it for those who don't know we

26:38

have a new channel called search party

26:40

which is coverage from my old colleague

26:43

Sam Ellis who was the creator of Vox

26:45

Atlas he now has his own channel that we

26:47

started together the search party is

26:49

geopolitics and Global Sports publishes

26:52

every couple of weeks is really good

26:53

stuff if you like the stuff on this

26:55

channel you'll probably like this stuff

26:56

over there I want to say a giant thank

26:57

you to The Newsroom members we have a

26:59

couple thousand contributors on patreon

27:02

that allow us to do independent

27:04

journalism in a rigorous way here on

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YouTube I'm very grateful to them and um

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for those who sign up you get a behind

27:12

thes scenes Vlog which is a behind the

27:14

scenes of how we make what we make on

27:15

the channel you get access to my scripts

27:17

and you get the warm fuzzy feeling of

27:19

supporting independent journalism I've

27:20

got a pretty exciting project coming up

27:23

that we've been working on since like

27:26

August um it has to do with Japan

27:29

and we've been working really hard to

27:30

get access to some very specific places

27:33

and people and things in Japan I'm

27:35

leaving on that trip very soon and I'm

27:37

very excited to share with you because

27:38

it's a deeper approach than I've done in

27:42

a long time if ever and it's going to be

27:44

really wonderful so stay tuned for that

27:47

subscribe if you are not subscribed and

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you want to uh watch more videos that we

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are making we're trying to make better

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videos and different videos continue to

27:55

improve for all of you so thank you for

27:58

being here I'll see you in the next one

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[Music]