Palantir Stock Price Target on Critical Support Level!

Data Dispatch
1 Apr 202408:13

TLDRThe video discusses the technical analysis of Palantir Technologies (PLTR) stock, highlighting a potential head and shoulders pattern and a critical support level around $23.40. It also addresses the recent pullback in AI stocks, the high valuation of PLTR, and the upcoming earnings report. The video suggests that the current scenario might present a 'buy the dip' opportunity for bulls, while cautioning about the risks of a failed support level test and the potential for increased market volatility.

Takeaways

  • 📉 The speaker discusses a potential support level test for Palantir (PLTR) stocks, particularly at the earnings gap level around $2340.
  • 📊 A head and shoulders technical pattern has been formed for PLTR, which is typically bearish.
  • 🔄 Current trading volume for PLTR is around 71 million, matching the 3-month average and indicating potential selling pressure.
  • 📉 General market stock futures are slipping, which could influence PLTR's performance as the second quarter begins.
  • 💹 Despite a high valuation with a forward P/E ratio of 69.99, PLTR has been outperforming with strong earnings and growth metrics.
  • 📈 PLTR has been consistently beating earnings per share (EPS) estimates, with 16 positive revisions in the last 90 days.
  • 🔢 The next earnings report for PLTR is anticipated to provide more insight into the company's performance and future prospects.
  • 📌 One analyst has lowered their price target for PLTR, contributing to the bearish sentiment.
  • 🚀 The AI industry is experiencing a boom, with Nvidia's stock performance serving as a key indicator of the sector's momentum.
  • 💰 A potential pullback in PLTR's stock price might present a buying opportunity for bullish investors, especially if the support level holds.
  • 📈 PLTR's commercial and government contracts, including the Titan contract, have been significant drivers of their recent growth.

Q & A

  • What is the main technical pattern discussed for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) in the script?

    -The main technical pattern discussed is a head and shoulders pattern, which is typically bearish in nature.

  • What is the critical support level for PLTR mentioned in the script?

    -The critical support level mentioned is around $23.40.

  • How does the average volume for PLTR compare to the volume at the time of the discussion?

    -The average volume for PLTR over the past 3 months is about 71 million, and at the time of the discussion, the volume is also at 71 million.

  • What is the potential outcome if the support level for PLTR fails?

    -If the support level fails, a gap test is likely to occur, testing the area established after Q4 earnings were reported.

  • What is the forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for PLTR according to the script?

    -The forward P/E ratio for PLTR is 69.99.

  • How does PLTR's valuation compare to its industry average?

    -PLTR is trading at a premium compared to its industry average, with a P/E ratio significantly higher than the industry average.

  • What is the recent trend in earnings per share revisions for PLTR?

    -Earnings per share revisions for PLTR have been上调 (increased) 16 times in the last 90 days.

  • What is the significance of the AI boom for PLTR and the overall market?

    -The AI boom is driving momentum and energy into AI stocks, including PLTR, with increased buying pressure and potential for profit-taking.

  • What is the potential scenario for PLTR if it establishes a new support level?

    -If PLTR establishes a new support level, it could help accelerate the stock back into the mid-$20s range.

  • What upcoming event is expected to influence PLTR's stock price?

    -The next earnings report is expected to influence PLTR's stock price, with potential for increased volatility and market reactions based on the results.

  • What is the speaker's stance on PLTR's long-term prospects despite short-term volatility?

    -The speaker is not scared of the short-term volatility and maintains a long-term positive perspective on PLTR, focusing on its growth and performance over time.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Market Analysis and PLTR Support Level Discussion

This paragraph delves into the current state of the market, focusing on the support level of PLTR (Palantir Technologies) that may be tested in the near future. It discusses the recent Easter weekend, the general market's condition, and the specific situation with AI stocks, including PLTR. The analysis highlights a potential head and shoulders technical pattern, which is typically bearish, and the critical reversal point at around $2340. The paragraph also touches on the average volume for the past three months and the impact of the general market's performance on PLTR. The potential for a gap test is mentioned if the support level fails, hinting at increased volatility. Additionally, the options volume for the week's expirations is noted, with a focus on the $23 strike call and the comparable number of puts. The paragraph concludes with a brief mention of the reasons behind PLTR's dip compared to the broader market and the upcoming earnings reports that could influence the stock's performance.

05:00

🚀 AI Boom and PLTR's Market Position

The second paragraph shifts focus to the AI boom affecting the entire industry, using Nvidia as an example of the sector's growth. It discusses the momentum and buying pressure in AI stocks and speculates on whether profit-taking could be a factor in the current market scenario. The potential earnings gap test for PLTR is highlighted, emphasizing the importance of being aware of this event. The paragraph also explores the possibility of a pullback presenting an opportunity for bulls, considering the stock's high valuation and its performance in recent earnings reports. The discussion includes PLTR's commercial success, involvement with private businesses, and governmental contracts, suggesting that a pullback could be a natural market response. The paragraph concludes with a forward-looking perspective, encouraging viewers to share their opinions on the potential market movements and emphasizing the presenter's long-term outlook on PLTR despite short-term volatility.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Support Level

A support level in the context of the video refers to a price point where a stock is expected to find buying interest and potentially bounce back up after a decline. It is a level at which the selling pressure is expected to be absorbed by demand, preventing further price drops. In the script, the speaker discusses the potential testing of a critical support level for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) at the earnings gap level, which is around $2340.

💡Head and Shoulders Pattern

The head and shoulders pattern is a technical analysis chart formation that indicates a reversal from a bullish trend to a bearish one. It consists of two troughs (shoulders) and a peak (head) between them. In the video, the speaker refers to a head and shoulders technical pattern that has been formed for PLTR, which is typically bearish in nature and signals a potential downward movement in the stock price.

💡Volume

Volume in stock trading refers to the number of shares that are traded during a given period of time. High volume often indicates increased interest in a stock and can be a significant factor in price movements. The video discusses the average volume for PLTR over the past three months and how the current trading volume matches this average, which could be an indicator of selling pressure.

💡Earnings Gap

An earnings gap is a price gap that occurs after the market closes following the release of a company's earnings report. It happens when the after-hours trading price does not overlap with the closing price from the previous day. In the video, the earnings gap level for PLTR is mentioned as a critical point that could be tested, which was established after Q4 earnings were reported.

💡Bearish Potential

A bearish potential refers to the possibility of a decline in the price of a security or market. It is a term used when the outlook for a particular stock or market is negative, suggesting that it may experience downward price movement. In the context of the video, the speaker is analyzing the technical indicators and market sentiment around PLTR, which suggest a bearish potential due to various factors including the head and shoulders pattern and the current trading volume.

💡Options Volume

Options volume refers to the number of options contracts traded during a given period. It is an important metric for investors who use options as part of their trading strategies. In the video, the speaker mentions the options volume for PLTR, particularly at the $23 strike call and the 25 strike put, indicating the market's expectations and sentiment towards the stock's future price movement.

💡Price Target

A price target is the estimated value that an analyst believes a company's stock will reach within a specified time frame. It is a projection based on various factors such as financial performance, industry trends, and market conditions. In the video, the speaker discusses how one analyst decreased their price target for PLTR, which has influenced the stock's valuation and market sentiment.

💡Valuation

Valuation refers to the process of determining the economic value of a company or asset, often based on financial metrics such as price-to-earnings ratio, discounted cash flow, and others. In the context of the video, the high valuation of PLTR is discussed, indicating that the stock is currently trading at a premium compared to its industry peers.

💡Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Earnings Per Share (EPS) is a measure of a company's profitability, calculated by dividing the net income by the number of outstanding shares. It indicates the portion of a company's profit allocated to each share of common stock. In the video, the speaker mentions PLTR's earnings per share and how it has been performing in recent quarters, which is a key factor in evaluating the company's financial health and investor expectations.

💡AI Boom

The AI boom refers to a period of rapid growth and increased interest in artificial intelligence technologies and companies within the industry. It is often characterized by significant investments, advancements in AI capabilities, and a surge in the stock prices of AI-related companies. In the video, the AI boom is mentioned as a contributing factor to the momentum and energy behind PLTR and other AI stocks.

💡Blockbuster Earnings

Blockbuster earnings refer to a company's financial results that significantly exceed market expectations, often leading to a substantial positive impact on the stock price. It is a term used to describe exceptional financial performance, usually characterized by high revenue growth and strong profitability. In the video, the speaker recalls PLTR's previous earnings report, which was described as blockbuster and led to a 43% increase in the stock price in February.

💡Pullback

A pullback in financial markets refers to a temporary decrease in the price of a security or market after a period of significant gains. It is often seen as a healthy correction and can present buying opportunities for investors who have been waiting for lower prices to enter the market. In the video, the speaker discusses the possibility of a pullback for PLTR and how it could be viewed as an opportunity for bullish investors.

Highlights

Discussion of an important support level for PLTR that could be tested soon.

Mention of a potential head and shoulders technical pattern formed, which is typically bearish.

Analysis of PLTR's critical reversal point at around $2340.

Observation of selling pressure due to average 3-month volume being at 71 million.

General market stock futures slipping and its potential impact on PLTR.

The possibility of a gap test if the support level at $2340 fails.

PLTR's options volume for the end of the week expirations, especially at the $23 and $25 strike calls and puts.

PLTR's dip being more significant than the broader market.

Upcoming earnings report and its potential impact on PLTR's future.

One analyst decreasing their price target for PLTR and its effect on the stock.

PLTR's high forward price-to-earnings ratio compared to its industry average.

Positive grades for growth, profitability, momentum, and revisions, despite negative valuation grades.

PLTR's earnings per share revisions up 16 times in the last 90 days.

Discussion on the AI boom across the industry and its influence on PLTR's momentum.

The potential for profit-taking in AI stocks, including PLTR.

PLTR's significant growth in February after blockbuster earnings and the 70% increase in commercial revenue.

The possibility of a pullback being a buying opportunity for bulls.

The importance of the upcoming earnings gap test and its implications for PLTR's stock price.

Encouragement for viewers to share their opinions on PLTR's future performance.