😥STOCK MARKET CRASH SIGNALS SAY RUN!!! DJT popped, who is next? NVDA? AMD? SMCI? technical analysis
TLDRThe video discusses various signals indicating a potential downturn in the stock market, with specific focus on stocks like Apple, Tesla, Amazon, and Google. Technical analysis highlights include divergences, MACD crossovers, and VIX movements, suggesting increased volatility and potential sell-offs. The speaker advises caution and emphasizes the importance of being prepared for market corrections, while also promoting a trading course for further education.
Takeaways
- 📉 The stock market is currently displaying signals that suggest investors should be cautious and potentially exit the market in April.
- 🔍 The presenter is conducting a detailed analysis of major stocks including Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Nvidia, AMD, and Meta, highlighting their current market signals and potential future movements.
- 🟥 The High Yield Growth (HYG) is showing a red bar on the histogram and a divergence, indicating a possible false breakout and a trend reversal to the downside.
- 📈 The MACD crossover on HYG could signal a potential negative trend, which is a warning sign for investors.
- 🔄 The VIX is approaching a potential upside crossover, which historically has been a point of interest for the presenter and could indicate increased market volatility.
- 🏠 The housing sector (HGX) is showing a significant downtrend, which if confirmed, could signal a downturn in the housing market.
- 💹 The presenter discusses the impact of rising yields on the bond market and the pressure it places on banks, suggesting a potential increase in interest rates.
- 📊 The S&P 500 (SPY) is showing mixed signals, with the potential for both upward and downward movements, and the presenter emphasizes the importance of watching the price action closely.
- 📈📉 The presenter suggests that despite some stocks showing potential for upward movement, the overall market signals are cautioning investors to be wary of a potential market downturn.
- 💰 The presenter also mentions an educational course available for a limited time at a discounted price, offering interested viewers the opportunity to learn more about trading strategies and market analysis.
- 📅 The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech is highlighted as an important event to watch, as it may influence market sentiment and direction.
Q & A
What is the main message the speaker is conveying about the stock market?
-The speaker is warning that the stock market is showing signals that suggest investors should be very cautious and potentially exit their positions, as there are indicators of a possible downturn.
Which financial instruments is the speaker analyzing in the video?
-The speaker is analyzing various stocks including SPY, QQQ, Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Nvidia, AMD, and Meta, as well as the VIX and the housing sector HGX.
What does the speaker mean by 'running for the hills' in the context of the stock market?
-The phrase 'running for the hills' is a metaphor suggesting that investors should quickly sell their stocks and move away from the stock market due to the potential risk of a significant decline in prices.
What is the significance of the red bar on the histogram for HYG?
-The red bar on the histogram for HYG (high yield growth) indicates a bearish signal, suggesting that the smart money is moving out of the market, and a potential breakdown to the downside is imminent.
What does the speaker suggest about the VIX?
-The speaker suggests that the VIX, which measures market volatility, is about to cross to the upside, indicating increased market selling and potential volatility in the near future.
How does the speaker view the current state of the housing sector as indicated by HGX?
-The speaker views the housing sector as potentially bearish, as HGX is showing a significant decline in one day. If this trend continues, it could signal a rapid downturn in the housing market.
What is the significance of the yield curves mentioned in the script?
-The yield curves being discussed are important because they are showing signs of a potential increase in interest rates, which could put pressure on banks and lead to a sell-off in the bond market.
What is the speaker's stance on trading during this period of market uncertainty?
-The speaker advocates for trading cautiously, like water, meaning to be fluid and adaptable. They suggest being prepared for both upward and downward movements and being ready to adjust strategies as the market evolves.
What is the significance of the daily expected moves for SPY and QQQ?
-The daily expected moves for SPY and QQQ provide traders with a range of potential price movements for these instruments. These ranges can act as support and resistance levels, helping traders make informed decisions about entry and exit points.
What does the speaker suggest about the potential future price action for Apple?
-The speaker suggests that Apple may be forming a head and shoulders pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. They caution that if this pattern confirms, Apple's price could head to lower levels.
What is the speaker's outlook on Tesla's stock?
-The speaker is cautiously optimistic about Tesla, noting that the stock has broken down but may have the opportunity to test a previous support level around 180-182. However, they warn that if the stock continues to decline, it could reach much lower levels.
Outlines
📉 Stock Market Warning Signs
The speaker begins by addressing the audience and expressing concern over current stock market signals. These signals suggest a potential downturn, advising investors to be cautious. The focus is on specific stocks such as Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Nvidia, AMD, and Meta, with an emphasis on market analysis and price action. The speaker mentions a red bar on the histogram and a divergence in high yield growth (HYG), indicating a possible false breakout and a shift to a negative trend. The discussion also includes the MACD crossover and potential volatility increases, urging viewers to pay attention to these indicators.
🔍 Analyzing Market Indicators
This paragraph delves deeper into market indicators, highlighting the VIX and its potential to cross to the upside, signaling increased market volatility. The speaker also discusses the double bottom pattern in the SPY and its implications. Attention is drawn to the potential for a pullback and the importance of short time frames in trading. The housing sector (HGX) is also mentioned, with a significant drop indicating a possible negative trend. The speaker warns of the potential for an ugly market situation due to rising yields and the impact on the bond market and banks. An upcoming talk by Jerome Powell is mentioned as an event to watch.
💹 Market Volatility and Tech Stocks
The speaker continues the analysis by discussing the impact of rising yields on tech stocks, which typically require more loans and funding for growth. The rapid increase in yields makes this more expensive, leading to potential sell-offs in tech stocks. Despite some negative signals, the speaker notes that not all tech stocks are experiencing a sell-off. The dollar's strength is also discussed, with the speaker noting that while it's showing positive signs, it could lead to insider selling and potential market tops. The paragraph concludes with a brief mention of a course on trading and a birthday celebration.
📈 Daily Expected Moves and Trading Strategies
The speaker shifts focus to the daily expected moves for the SPY and the Q's, providing specific price points for upside and downside scenarios. The importance of these levels as support and resistance is emphasized, with the speaker advising on how to react to market movements. A potential double top signal on the 2-hour chart is discussed, along with the possibility of a market reaction. The speaker also mentions the need to be open to a pullback and the importance of paying attention to market signals. The paragraph ends with a call to action for viewers to watch the live stream for further discussion.
🚀 Individual Stock Analysis
The speaker provides a detailed analysis of individual stocks, including Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Nvidia, AMD, and Meta. For each stock, the speaker discusses specific technical indicators, price levels, and potential market reactions. The analysis includes potential bullish and bearish scenarios, with a focus on understanding the market signals and preparing for different outcomes. The speaker also mentions the importance of being nimble and adapting to market conditions, as well as the potential impact of broader market trends on individual stocks.
🌐 Market Outlook and Final Thoughts
In the final paragraph, the speaker wraps up the market analysis and provides an outlook on the potential direction of the stock market. The speaker notes the interesting times we are in, with some stocks showing resilience despite broader market concerns. The speaker also mentions the importance of being prepared for potential market corrections or pullbacks and advises viewers to consider waiting for these events before investing. The paragraph concludes with a thank you to the audience for their support and engagement, and a reminder about the availability of a trading course and the provision of weekly expected moves for individual stocks through Patreon.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Stock Market
💡Technical Analysis
💡Volatility
💡MACD
💡Divergence
💡Head and Shoulders
💡Yields
💡Dollar Strength
💡Patron
💡Trading like water
💡April Fool's Day
Highlights
The stock market is showing signals that suggest caution and potentially leaving the market.
Specific stocks such as Apple, Tesla, Amazon, and others are analyzed for their market signals.
High Yield Growth (HYG) is indicating a false breakout and a potential downside break.
The MACD crossover on HYG could signal the start of a negative trend.
The VIX is showing signs of a potential volatility increase and market selling.
The housing sector (HGX) is experiencing a significant down day, possibly indicating a market downturn.
Yield increases may put pressure on banks and affect the overall market.
The dollar's strength is flashing a red signal, indicating potential insider selling.
The S&P 500 (SPY) is displaying signals that warrant attention and caution.
Tech stocks and growth companies may suffer due to increasing costs of loans and funding.
There is a potential for a rapid market downturn, likened to a 'rug pull' where people may not be able to exit their positions.
The video discusses the importance of being nimble and trading like water in the current market conditions.
The speaker emphasizes the potential for a significant market correction or pullback in the near future.
A course is being offered for a limited time at a discounted price of $100 for those interested in learning more about trading strategies.
The speaker expresses appreciation for the audience's engagement and participation in the trading community.