🚨 Biden FINALLY gets the good news he's been waiting for

No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen
1 Apr 202410:42

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses the recent positive momentum for Joe Biden, with rising poll numbers against Trump and successful fundraising. It highlights the strategy of targeting Republican voters, particularly those who are open to Democratic policies on issues like NATO and reproductive rights. The Alabama State House member's election, won by a significant margin on a platform of protecting abortion and IVF rights, is emphasized as a key example of this strategy in action. Additionally, the economic strength under Biden's administration and Trump's legal challenges are presented as factors that could influence the upcoming election.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Joe Biden's polling has been consistently rising against Donald Trump, with at least eight national surveys showing Biden leading in the polls.
  • 🔄 Biden's campaign is making significant fundraising progress, recently raising $25 million in a single event, surpassing Trump's combined total from December and January.
  • 🌟 The Biden campaign is focusing on appealing to Republican voters, particularly those who are open to supporting democracy and pro-democracy Republicans, without pandering to conservative issues.
  • 🤝 Biden has been reaching out to former Trump administration figures, such as Nikki Haley, to build bridges and understand the perspectives of former Republicans.
  • 🛑 The script highlights the importance of discussing common ground between left-leaning individuals and certain Republican voters, such as on issues like NATO, bodily autonomy, and protecting democracy.
  • 📊 The economic situation is increasingly viewed positively for Biden, with the stock market hitting new highs, low unemployment rates, and energy independence contributing to his image.
  • 🎙️ Trump's campaign and rallies are described as negative and divisive, potentially alienating moderate voters and not reflecting the current needs and desires of the general public.
  • 🚨 The script warns against complacency, emphasizing the need for continued vigilance and effort in the political process, despite the apparent momentum for Biden.
  • 🗳️ The interviewee, Marilyn L, successfully campaigned on reproductive rights and IVF in Alabama, despite the state's traditionally conservative stance on these issues.
  • 💬 Marilyn L's personal story and outreach to voters have resonated strongly, leading to open conversations and a sense of community among those facing similar reproductive health challenges.

Q & A

  • What is the main theme of the discussion in the video transcript?

    -The main theme of the discussion is the recent positive political developments for Joe Biden, particularly in relation to polling numbers, fundraising success, and the potential to attract Republican voters who are not aligned with Trump.

  • How has Joe Biden's polling been recently?

    -Joe Biden's polling has been consistently improving, with at least eight national surveys showing him leading Donald Trump. The Morning Consult poll also indicates that Biden is gaining ground in six swing states.

  • What significant fundraising achievement did Biden's campaign accomplish?

    -Biden's campaign held a fundraiser in New York with former presidents Obama and Clinton, raising $25 million in a single day, which is more than what Donald Trump raised combined in December and January.

  • What is the strategic approach of the Biden campaign in terms of attracting Republican voters?

    -The Biden campaign is focusing on finding common ground with pro-democracy Republicans on issues like protecting NATO, bodily autonomy, and democracy. They are also leveraging former Trump allies who have spoken out against him as surrogates to reach out to Republican voters.

  • What economic factors are mentioned as beneficial for Biden's campaign?

    -The strong economy, with the stock market hitting fresh highs, the unemployment rate staying under 4% for the longest uninterrupted stretch in half a century, and the US achieving energy independence are all factors that are potentially benefiting Biden's campaign.

  • What challenges are highlighted for Trump's campaign?

    -Trump's challenges include his rallies not being well-received, his campaign being based on controversial topics, the upcoming criminal trial starting on April 15th, and previous legal findings of rape and fraud against him.

  • How did Marilyn L manage to flip a Republican-held seat in Alabama?

    -Marilyn L focused her campaign on protecting abortion rights and IVF, issues that resonated with voters despite the traditionally conservative leanings of Alabama. She shared personal stories and connected with voters on a deeply personal level.

  • What was the impact of the Diane Sawyer special on Marilyn L's campaign?

    -The Diane Sawyer special featuring women affected by the abortion ban, including Alyssa Gonzalez from Alabama, inspired Marilyn L to share her own story and use it as a key part of her campaign messaging.

  • How have voters responded to Marilyn L's personal story and campaign focus?

    -Voters have responded positively, often sharing their own stories and experiences with Marilyn L. This has led to a more open dialogue and a sense of community among those facing similar reproductive health challenges.

  • What is the significance of Marilyn L's campaign strategy in Alabama?

    -Marilyn L's campaign strategy is significant because it shows that focusing on personal stories and issues like reproductive rights can be successful even in traditionally conservative states, and it challenges the narrative that such issues cannot win elections.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Biden's Rising Polls and Fundraising Success

This paragraph discusses the positive news for Joe Biden as his polling numbers consistently rise against Donald Trump, with at least eight national surveys showing Biden leading. The momentum is shifting in Biden's favor, especially with his recent fundraiser in New York, where he raised $25 million in a single day, outperforming Trump's combined total for December and January. The paragraph also highlights the importance of appealing to Republican voters who are not aligned with Trump, such as those who support Nikki Haley. The Biden campaign is focusing on common ground with these voters, emphasizing issues like NATO, bodily autonomy, and democracy. The paragraph concludes with a call for continued vigilance in the political landscape, despite the favorable trends for Biden.

05:01

🚨 Trump's Challenges and Biden's Economic Strength

The paragraph outlines the challenges facing Trump, including his inability to gain more support from the general public, his upcoming criminal trial, and past legal issues. In contrast, Biden is benefiting from a strong economy, with the stock market hitting new highs, low unemployment rates, and energy independence. The paragraph emphasizes that while the economy has been robust, the credit for this strength is now starting to align with Biden's leadership. The narrative of American Carnage and dystopia at Trump's rallies is also mentioned, suggesting that his messaging may not resonate well with the broader population.

10:02

🌟 Marilyn L's Campaign on Abortion and IVF in Alabama

Marilyn L, a newly elected member of the Alabama State House, discusses her campaign focused on protecting abortion rights and IVF. She navigated this challenging topic in a conservative state by highlighting the personal stories of women affected by reproductive health issues. The paragraph details her interactions with voters and the emotional responses she received, emphasizing the isolation that often accompanies these situations. Marilyn L's own story and that of Alyssa Gonzalez, a woman from Alabama, are shared to illustrate the real-life implications of abortion bans. The paragraph concludes with an encouragement for open dialogue on these issues to provide support for those facing difficult reproductive health decisions.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Trump

Refers to Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States. In the context of the video, he is mentioned as a figure of opposition, with the discussion focusing on the negative news cycle surrounding him and his potential impact on the upcoming elections.

💡Biden

Refers to Joe Biden, the 46th President of the United States. The video highlights his rising poll numbers against Trump and various strategic moves his campaign is making to appeal to a broader voter base, including former Republican supporters.

💡Alabama State House

Refers to the legislative body of the state of Alabama, which is responsible for creating and passing laws at the state level. In the video, a newly elected member of the Alabama State House is interviewed, highlighting the political shifts occurring within traditionally conservative states.

💡Abortion Rights

Refers to the political and social movement supporting a woman's right to choose whether to have an abortion. The video discusses how this issue has become central to certain political campaigns and elections, with candidates taking positions based on their stance on abortion rights.

💡IVF (In Vitro Fertilization)

Refers to the medical procedure where an egg is fertilized by sperm outside the body and then implanted in a woman's uterus. The video mentions IVF as a key issue in the political campaign of the interviewee, emphasizing the importance of reproductive rights and technological advancements in family planning.

💡Swing States

Refers to states in the U.S. that do not consistently vote for one political party, making them crucial in determining the outcome of national elections. The video highlights how Biden is making gains in these states, which can be pivotal in securing an election victory.

💡Republican

Refers to a member or adherent of the Republican Party, one of the two major political parties in the United States. The video discusses the challenges and opportunities for Republicans, particularly those who do not align with Trump's policies, in the current political climate.

💡Nikki Haley

Refers to the former Governor of South Carolina and U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations under President Trump. In the video, she is discussed as a figure who may not have as much support as previously thought, indicating a potential shift in political dynamics.

💡Economy

Refers to the financial and economic conditions of a country or region, including factors like employment rates, stock market performance, and overall prosperity. The video discusses the strong U.S. economy and how it may impact the political landscape and Biden's approval ratings.

💡Never Trumpers

Refers to Republicans or conservatives who do not support or endorse Donald Trump. The video discusses the Biden campaign's efforts to appeal to this group, indicating a strategic move to broaden the Democratic voter base.

💡Democratic System

Refers to a form of government where power is vested in the people, who exercise it directly or through elected representatives. The video emphasizes the importance of protecting and respecting the democratic system, which is seen as under threat by certain political actions.

Highlights

Interview with newly elected Alabama State House member Marilyn L, who flipped a Republican-held seat by focusing on protecting abortion rights and IVF.

Joe Biden's polling consistently increasing against Donald Trump, with at least eight national surveys showing Biden leading.

Biden gaining ground in six swing states, tying the race in Michigan and Pennsylvania, and leading in Wisconsin.

Biden's successful fundraiser in New York with former presidents Obama and Clinton, raising $25 million in a single day.

Biden's campaign capitalizing on the opportunity to attract Republican voters disillusioned with Trump, such as those who supported Nikki Haley.

The Biden campaign's strategic outreach to pro-democracy Republicans and former Trump allies like Liz Cheney and John Kelly.

Biden's campaign focusing on common ground with Republican voters, such as protecting NATO and bodily autonomy.

The economy's strength and the closing gap between economic performance and credit given to Biden for presiding over it.

The stock market hitting fresh highs, the unemployment rate staying under 4%, and Biden adding 15 million jobs to the economy.

The United States achieving energy independence, potentially benefiting the incumbent party in the upcoming election.

Donald Trump's rallies and campaign being based on divisive and controversial issues, which may not resonate with the broader public.

Trump's upcoming criminal trial and past legal issues potentially impacting his electoral prospects.

Marilyn L's campaign in Alabama focused on women's health and reproductive rights, despite the state's conservative leanings.

Marilyn L's personal story and its central role in her campaign, connecting with voters through shared experiences.

The impact of the IVF ruling in Alabama and how it became a critical part of the conversation during Marilyn L's campaign.

Marilyn L's interactions with voters and the personal and emotional connections formed through discussing reproductive rights and health issues.

The importance of open dialogue around reproductive rights and health issues, reducing the isolation felt by many families.

Transcripts

00:00

today we're going to talk about a

00:01

tornado of bad news for Trump and good

00:03

news for Joe Biden in I interview newly

00:05

elected member of the Alabama State

00:06

House Marilyn L who flipped a republican

00:08

held seat by 25 points by running on a

00:11

campaign based on protecting abortion

00:13

rights and protecting IVF I'm Brian

00:15

Tyler Cohen and you're watching no

00:18

[Music]

00:19

lie so I know we've been in kind of a

00:21

doom Loop where Trump does everything

00:23

wrong and yet still the polling doesn't

00:25

seem to budge even an inch we finally

00:27

got some good news on that front Joe

00:29

Biden's polling has consistently been

00:30

going up against Donald Trump with at

00:32

least eight National surveys uh showing

00:35

Biden leading Donald Trump in the polls

00:37

uh the morning consult poll shows Biden

00:39

gaining ground in six swing States tying

00:41

up the race in Michigan and Pennsylvania

00:43

and also leading in Wisconsin now as the

00:46

momentum clearly starts to shift to

00:48

Biden's favor add that to some more good

00:50

recent news for Biden just this past

00:52

week he held a fundraiser in New York

00:53

with former presidents Obama and Clinton

00:55

pulling in 25 million bucks alone from

00:58

just one event that $25 million is more

01:01

than Donald Trump pulled in in December

01:03

and January combined and Joe Biden did

01:05

it in a single day here's another one uh

01:08

something that I personally have been

01:09

calling for remember that a February

01:11

Quinn aak poll showed that about half of

01:13

haly Voters would vote for Trump while

01:15

about 37% would vote for Biden Nikki

01:18

Haley by the way is a republican she was

01:20

Trump's own un Ambassador uh the fact

01:22

that fewer than half of her supporters

01:24

would come out for Trump is not only a

01:26

huge warning sign for him but opposes a

01:28

massive opportunity for Joe Biden that

01:31

this many Republicans are in play in

01:33

fact Haley basically left the Biden

01:35

campaign a trail of bread CS in terms of

01:37

how many voters in each primary state

01:39

are persuadable which you know if I'm

01:41

talking about it you better believe that

01:42

Biden's campaign knows about it and is

01:44

acting on it which brings us to this ad

01:47

that the Biden campaign just released

01:48

bir brain I call it bird

01:51

brain Nikki Haley has made an Unholy

01:54

alliance with rhinos never trumpers

01:56

Americans for no Prosperity she sitting

01:59

there like

02:00

she's gone crazy she's a very angry

02:03

person she is not presidential Timber I

02:05

don't need votes we have all the votes

02:07

We

02:09

need he is she's gone haywi there aren't

02:11

that many never trumpers anymore how do

02:13

you bring these Micky Haley voters back

02:14

into the tank I'm not sure we need too

02:17

many and look the ad is the first step

02:20

but it signals that the Biden campaign

02:21

is taking this opportunity seriously and

02:23

by the way that doesn't mean that

02:24

Biden's going to tack right it doesn't

02:26

mean that he's going to call for tax

02:27

cuts for billionaires or start fear ing

02:30

about migrant Caravans but there are

02:32

plenty of issues where the left and

02:33

these pro-democracy Republicans these

02:35

Haley voters already do have common

02:38

ground like protecting NATO like

02:40

protecting the freedom to have bodily

02:41

autonomy like IVF and building your own

02:44

family like protecting democracy

02:47

remember what Trump and his magga

02:49

acolytes are advocating for is not

02:50

American it's not patriotic and he's

02:53

losing people on the right because of

02:54

that so Biden doesn't have to reinvent

02:56

the wheel here to show these non-trump

02:58

supporting Republicans that they there

02:59

is a lot of common ground between the

03:01

two sides if for nothing else than our

03:03

mutual respect for uh a democratic

03:05

system of government I actually spoke

03:07

with Tim Miller as part of our YouTube

03:09

series called inside the right about

03:10

this exact issue and he echoed this

03:12

optimism about the Biden campaign you

03:14

know there's an article in Politico

03:15

today about how maybe Biden could be

03:17

doing even more to try to reach out to

03:19

these former Republicans but uh in this

03:21

article it said that they hadn't he

03:22

hadn't called I think Pence and Christie

03:24

yet which I think he should but he had

03:26

called Haley um and I think that was

03:28

noteworthy and and and um there was a

03:30

separate article in the dispatch about

03:32

how Biden's Finance team had reached out

03:34

to the praly Grassroots and finance

03:37

organizations so you can tell that they

03:39

are taking this seriously I'd like to

03:41

take more seriously it doesn't mean and

03:42

and here's the thing it doesn't mean

03:45

pandering onto like conservative issues

03:48

really right it means talking about the

03:50

issues where you agree NATO Ukraine for

03:53

example come to mind um and then also

03:56

just kind of leveraging the other allies

03:59

which are you know the people that went

04:00

and worked for Trump that have spoken

04:02

out against him Liz Cheney Cy huderson

04:05

John Kelly Mike Pence right like trying

04:07

to to sort of solidify that group and

04:10

use them as surrogates to speak to the

04:13

Haley voters those are kind of the

04:15

elements I think that are going to go

04:16

into this campaign and it's it's clearly

04:18

a good start what what we've seen so far

04:21

this week so again this ad signals that

04:23

they are taking this opportunity

04:24

seriously and that there are more good

04:25

things to come on the Nikki Haley voter

04:27

front more good news what does everybody

04:29

you always say that elections are about

04:31

at the end of the day the economy and

04:33

the economy has been strong but there's

04:34

been this this uh languishing gap

04:36

between how strong the economy is and

04:39

the credit that Biden's getting for

04:40

presiding over it well that Gap is

04:42

finally starting to close and it's

04:44

coming at a good time as we head into

04:46

November the stock market is hitting

04:48

fresh highs every single week the

04:49

unemployment rate has now been under 4%

04:52

for the longest uninterrupted stretch in

04:54

half a century Biden's added 15 million

04:56

jobs to the economy consumer sentiment

04:58

is surging to to its highest point in

05:00

years the US is now energy independent

05:03

and as more and more people begin to

05:04

feel these changes it'll continue to

05:06

benefit the guy at the top and one last

05:09

thing Trump seems incapable of helping

05:11

himself his rallies are straight

05:13

American Carnage Revenge T dystopias his

05:16

campaign is predicated on releasing

05:17

prisoners who assaulted cops on January

05:19

6 he wants a nationwide abortion ban and

05:22

right now the only people who know this

05:24

are the people who read his truths on

05:26

true social or who go to his rallies

05:28

Trump isn't really platformed right now

05:30

meaning once people do start to tune in

05:32

and listen to this lunatic's unhinged di

05:35

tribes it's only going to hurt him add

05:37

that to the fact that he's starting his

05:38

first criminal trial on April 15th and

05:40

he'll go into the election most likely

05:42

as a convicted felon add that on top of

05:45

the fact that he's been found liable of

05:46

rape and fraud and all of this combined

05:49

is not going to do him any favors with

05:50

people outside the orbit of his cult so

05:53

look the point of me saying this is not

05:55

to say that Biden's got this thing in

05:56

the bag or that Trump is done for

05:57

obviously we have to stay vigilant

05:59

because anything can happen and in this

06:01

country it does tend to happen more

06:03

often than we like it is to say that we

06:05

can win and that we've got the momentum

06:07

on our side so much of the right

06:09

strategy is to make us feel helpless

06:11

that we just like throw our hands up in

06:13

the air and give up because Teflon Don

06:15

never seems to have anything happen to

06:17

him they want you to despair because

06:18

that helps them so don't give them the

06:20

satisfaction because far from being

06:22

Invincible Donald Trump is in as

06:24

precarious a situation right now as he's

06:26

ever been here's a preview of my

06:28

interview with Marilyn L

06:30

how did you navigate running a campaign

06:31

predicated on abortion and IVF in a

06:34

state like

06:36

Alabama well we knew that abortion was

06:39

going to be a key part of our messaging

06:41

when we went into the campaign in my 22

06:44

2022 campaign uh the Dos decision hadn't

06:48

been handed down yet and once that came

06:50

it became a piece of that campaign this

06:54

time around things have been a little

06:56

bit different and Women's Health heare

07:00

and Reproductive Rights have have sort

07:02

of been at the heart of this

07:04

campaign and when we started this

07:06

campaign we hadn't had the IVF ruling

07:09

here in this state and so that was a

07:11

real shocker and then that became part

07:14

of the conversation and I've had so many

07:17

people reach out to me to share their

07:19

own

07:20

stories and I think people are talking

07:23

about these issues now more openly and

07:26

more freely and I think that's really

07:28

healthy dialogue that's taking place now

07:31

I know that that your story your story

07:33

in particular has been a central focus

07:35

of your campaign would you mind sharing

07:37

that today no I'm glad to do that

07:41

um so it started when I saw the Diane

07:45

saw your special on the brink and she

07:47

profiled I believe it's 16 women from

07:49

across the country who've been affected

07:51

by the abortion ban and one of those uh

07:55

women Alysa Gonzalez is a young woman

07:57

who also lives in Alabama

08:00

and I reached out to her and my husband

08:02

and son and I went over to meet with

08:04

Alyssa and her

08:06

family and her story and mine have many

08:10

parallels and I shared my story then

08:13

with

08:14

Alyssa and we both we both were to have

08:17

second Sons these were very much wanted

08:21

additions to our families both of the

08:25

babies had a genetic disorder

08:27

triom uh hers was a triom 18 mine was

08:30

triom 13 both of us were told that the

08:34

babies were not viable at all it was

08:37

catastrophic and both of us were told

08:39

that our lives were at

08:41

risk but in Alyssa's case she had to

08:45

travel 500 miles to a place she'd never

08:48

been to before with a doctor she had

08:51

never met whereas two decades ago I got

08:55

the care that I needed right here with

08:56

my own doctor in my own Hospital and the

08:59

stark contrast of the fact that we have

09:02

taken this giant step backwards really

09:05

compelled me at that point to share my

09:08

story help take us through what your

09:11

interactions with voters have been like

09:13

because I'm assuming you know these

09:15

aren't exactly uh Medicare for all

09:17

Advocates calling for a $50 minimum wage

09:20

so so who are these voters and what has

09:21

it been like on the campaign Trail for

09:24

you it's been interesting and it it's

09:26

been very personal um not just telling

09:28

my own personal story but also from

09:31

hearing from so many other women and

09:34

families that have been affected by not

09:38

just um the kind of situation Alyssa and

09:41

I were in but miscarriages and eptopic

09:43

pregnancies and now the fertility issue

09:46

and I knock on doors and women hug me

09:49

you know it it's been just really

09:51

incredible and people have been sharing

09:54

stories with me that they said I I

09:56

haven't spoken about this in 30 years or

09:59

no nobody knows this except my immediate

10:02

family and often these kinds of

10:05

situations that families find themselves

10:07

in can be very isolating and I hope

10:11

that's one of the things that's coming

10:12

from having these conversations around

10:15

these issues is that they're coming out

10:18

into the open more and and that people

10:21

will get more support when they're going

10:23

through difficult times like this to

10:26

watch the full interview with Marilyn L

10:27

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10:32

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Tags associés
Political AnalysisPolling TrendsBiden CampaignTrump CritiqueAlabama ElectionAbortion RightsIVF AdvocacyRepublican ShiftEconomic StrengthSocial Issues
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