Justin Fields traded to Steelers, Bears playoff odds with Caleb Williams | NFL | FIRST THINGS FIRST

First Things First
18 Mar 202419:22

Summary

TLDRIn this transcript, the discussion revolves around the future of the Pittsburgh Steelers' quarterback situation, particularly focusing on the roles of Russell Wilson and Justin Fields. The conversation delves into the likelihood of Wilson retaining his starting position, the potential for Fields to take over, and the implications for the team's performance. The speakers also touch on the Chicago Bears' decision-making regarding Fields and the team's prospects for the upcoming season, including their potential to make the playoffs with improved roster changes.

Takeaways

  • 🏈 The discussion revolves around the future of the Pittsburgh Steelers' quarterback position, particularly focusing on Russell Wilson and Justin Fields.
  • đŸ€” There is skepticism about whether there will be a quarterback competition in Pittsburgh, given that both Wilson and Fields are new to the team.
  • 🏅 Russell Wilson is expected to start the season as the Steelers' quarterback, but there are doubts about his long-term future with the team.
  • đŸ”„ Justin Fields is seen as a potential future starter for the Steelers, with the expectation that he will eventually take over from Wilson.
  • 📈 Fields' development is a priority, and it's believed that learning from a veteran like Wilson could be beneficial for his growth.
  • 🎯 The conversation touches on the importance of the Bears' decision to trade Fields, highlighting that Chicago may have prioritized his development over immediate draft value.
  • đŸ€ There's agreement that the Steelers' offense has been in flux since Ben Roethlisberger's retirement, with several different plans and quarterback changes.
  • 🏆 The Steelers' management is praised for potentially prioritizing player welfare by not trading Fields to a team with an established starter, allowing him to develop further.
  • 📊 The script also discusses the potential for the Chicago Bears to improve in the upcoming season, with new additions to the roster and a possible playoff spot.
  • 🔄 The NFL's transition periods after long-time franchise quarterbacks leave their teams are highlighted, with varying degrees of success across different teams.
  • 🌟 The show ends with a debate on the potential playoff teams for the upcoming season, with the Bears mentioned as a possible dark horse contender.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of discussion in the transcript?

    -The main topic of discussion in the transcript revolves around the future of the Pittsburgh Steelers' quarterback position, particularly focusing on the roles of Russell Wilson and Justin Fields.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on whether there will be a quarterback competition in Pittsburgh?

    -The speaker believes that there won't be a quarterback competition in Pittsburgh, and that Russell Wilson will likely be the week one starter, despite his personal preference for Fields.

  • How does the speaker view the media's portrayal of quarterback competitions?

    -The speaker thinks that the media slightly overstates the importance of quarterback competitions due to the limited time available for new players to get up to speed with the starters during the offseason.

  • What is the speaker's prediction for Russell Wilson's future with the Steelers?

    -The speaker is pessimistic about Wilson's ability in the Steelers' offense and predicts that Wilson will not keep the starting job beyond the initial games of the season.

  • What skill does the speaker believe Justin Fields needs to improve to surpass Russell Wilson?

    -The speaker believes that Fields needs to significantly outperform Wilson in terms of passing accuracy to surpass him as the starting quarterback.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the Steelers' skill position talent?

    -The speaker acknowledges that the Steelers do have skill position talent, mentioning the presence of good running backs and a tight end, despite some recent roster changes.

  • How does the speaker compare Russell Wilson's performance since leaving Seattle to Justin Fields' performance post-rookie season?

    -The speaker points out that since Wilson left Seattle and Fields' rookie season, both have the same number of sacks, similar yards per game, and nearly identical touchdown to turnover ratios, with Fields being significantly younger.

  • What is the speaker's view on the likelihood of Fields and Wilson being with the Steelers in 2025?

    -The speaker believes that it is far more likely that Fields will be with the Steelers in 2025 than Wilson, considering they are both on expiring contracts and Fields' potential for future development.

  • What was the reported reason for the Bears choosing to send Fields to Pittsburgh?

    -The Bears reportedly chose to send Fields to Pittsburgh to put him in a position to continue his development as a backup to Wilson and eventually as a starter, despite having better offers with stronger draft capital.

  • What is the speaker's prediction for the Chicago Bears' performance in the upcoming season?

    -The speaker predicts that the Bears will be a 10 or 11 win team and make the playoffs, citing improvements in their roster and the potential for better quarterbacking.

  • Which teams does the speaker believe will make the playoffs from the NFC North division?

    -The speaker believes that the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers will definitely make the playoffs from the NFC North division.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 Quarterback Controversy and Team Dynamics

This paragraph discusses the quarterback situation in the NFL, focusing on the roles of Russell Wilson and Justin Fields. The speaker shares his opinion that while Wilson should start the season as the quarterback, Fields may take over later due to Wilson's performance and the team's lack of skill position talent. The conversation also touches on the importance of quarterback competitions and the potential impact on team dynamics, with a prediction that Fields could eventually become the Steelers' long-term starter.

05:01

đŸ€” Speculation on Future Team Lineups

The second paragraph revolves around the speculation of future team lineups, particularly focusing on the contracts and potential futures of Justin Fields and Russell Wilson within the Pittsburgh Steelers. The discussion includes the likelihood of Fields being with the Steelers in 2025, the decision on Fields' fifth-year option, and the comparison of the two quarterbacks' performances post-Fields' rookie season. The speaker also reflects on the challenges faced by teams after their long-time franchise quarterbacks retire or leave.

10:03

đŸ€ Analyzing the Chicago Bears' Decision

In this paragraph, the focus is on the Chicago Bears' decision-making process regarding Justin Fields. The speaker analyzes the reported offers the Bears received for Fields and their choice to send him to Pittsburgh. The conversation emphasizes the importance of player development and the potential impact on team morale and future success. The speaker also discusses the Bears' roster changes and their potential to be a playoff contender, highlighting the additions of Montes Sweat and DJ Moore to their roster.

15:05

🏆 Predicting Playoff Contenders

The final paragraph delves into predictions for the upcoming NFL season, with a particular emphasis on the potential playoff contenders. The speaker shares his belief that the Chicago Bears are likely to make the playoffs, based on their improved roster and the potential of their new quarterback, Caleb Brew. The discussion also includes an analysis of other teams' chances, such as the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers, and the speaker's reasoning behind considering the Bears as a dark horse candidate for the playoffs.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Man of Steel

The term 'Man of Steel' is used metaphorically in the script to refer to a new key player, Nick Wright, who is expected to have a significant impact on the team's performance. This phrase is often used in sports to describe a strong, resilient, and highly valued player, drawing a parallel to the superhero of the same name known for his strength and invulnerability.

💡quarterback competition

A 'quarterback competition' in American football refers to a situation where two or more players are vying for the position of the team's starting quarterback. This often occurs during training camps or preseason games and is a way for coaches to evaluate which player is best suited to lead the team offensively.

💡skill position talent

In American football, 'skill position talent' refers to players who are known for their agility, speed, and overall technical skill, typically playing in positions such as wide receiver, running back, or quarterback. These players are crucial for the team's offensive success and often have a significant impact on the game.

💡depth chart

A 'depth chart' in sports is a ranking of players according to their position on a team. It outlines who the starting players are, as well as their backups. The depth chart is important for understanding team strategy and predicting which players will be on the field during a game.

💡sacked

In American football, to be 'sacked' refers to a defensive player tackling the offensive quarterback behind the line of scrimmage before they can throw a pass. Sacks are a negative statistic for quarterbacks as they can result in lost yardage and potentially harm the quarterback's performance.

💡touchdown to turnover ratio

The 'touchdown to turnover ratio' is a statistical measure in American football that compares the number of touchdowns a player scores to the number of turnovers they cause (such as interceptions or fumbles). A higher ratio indicates better decision-making and ball security by the player, particularly the quarterback.

💡fifth-year option

The 'fifth-year option' is a clause in the contracts of NFL players drafted in the first round, which allows the team that drafted them to extend the player's contract for an additional year (the fifth year). This option is typically picked up by the team to secure the player's services for a longer period, often at a higher salary.

💡transition

In the context of the script, 'transition' refers to the process of changing from one quarterback to another, specifically from Russell Wilson to Justin Fields. This term is often used to describe the shift in team dynamics, strategies, and performance that occurs when a new player takes over a key role from an established player.

💡mediocre

The term 'mediocre' describes something that is average or of moderate quality, neither particularly good nor bad. In the context of the script, it is used to describe the potential performance level of the Steelers if they do not have a strong quarterback leading their team.

💡locker room

The 'locker room' refers to the physical space where athletes change clothes and prepare for their games, but it also carries a metaphorical meaning related to the team's atmosphere and morale. In sports, the locker room dynamic is crucial for maintaining team cohesion and motivation.

Highlights

Discussion on the newest Man of Steel, Nick Wright, and his upcoming season with an iron plate.

Justin Fields' move to Pittsburgh and the apparent lack of a quarterback competition.

Speculation on whether Russ should be the week one starter, with opinions suggesting he will be despite some reservations.

Analysis of the media's role in overstating quarterback competitions due to time constraints.

Debate on the readiness of quarterbacks in a new system and the challenges they face.

Opinion that Russell Wilson will start the season but may not keep the job due to performance concerns.

Discussion on the skill position talent of the Steelers, including notable players like Fri M at tight end.

Comparison of Russ's performance last year and the potential for improvement this year.

Debate on whether Russ is in a declining phase of his career.

Statistical comparison between Russell Wilson and Justin Fields since Fields's rookie season.

Discussion on the likelihood of Fields and Wilson being with the Steelers in 2025 and the implications of their contracts.

Opinion on the importance of Fields's development as a backup to Wilson and the potential for him to become a starter.

Analysis of the Steelers' offensive struggles since Big Ben's retirement and the various plans they've attempted.

Comparison of the Patriots' performance post-Brady and the Saints' plan post-Drew Brees.

Discussion on the Bears' decision to send Fields to Pittsburgh and the potential offers they turned down.

Debate on whether the Bears did the right thing by sending Fields to a team with an established starter.

Predictions on the Bears' performance in the upcoming season with improved talent and quarterbacking.

Discussion on the potential for the Bears to make the playoffs and the competition within their division.

Final thoughts on the Bears' prospects and the possibility of them being a dark horse in the playoff race.

Transcripts

00:01

that doesn't cut it what do you mean

00:03

live from New York it's a show that I

00:05

can't believe it has a cast on like a

00:08

child what what do you want for me

00:10

saying what do you want for me I'm going

00:12

to sign it after so am I Greg Jennings

00:14

wouldn't let us sign his you guys can

00:16

his you guys can definitely sign mine

00:18

his was cool why what it was the exact

00:21

this it's cool his he he was more in

00:23

capacitated I'm out here fighting buddy

00:25

okay it's first things first uh today we

00:29

start with the newest Man of Steel Nick

00:31

Wright who's going to have an iron plate

00:34

okay Justin Fields now in Pittsburgh but

00:37

it doesn't look like there's going to be

00:38

a quarterback

00:40

competition I guess so sure which

00:42

frankly seems strange Russ tweeting that

00:44

the quarterback room uh is about to be

00:47

fire that's good uh so we'll start with

00:50

you Nick should Russ be the week one

00:53

starter if it were up to me no but I'm

00:55

certain he will be and I think

00:59

quarterback comp competitions are

01:00

slightly overstated by the media because

01:04

of the lack of time because if you have

01:07

two new guys and you're going to need to

01:10

get at least one of them up to speed

01:13

they are going to need so much more time

01:16

in your off season with the ones you

01:18

know what I mean with the starters

01:20

getting the Reps so I think a

01:21

quarterback competition with an

01:23

incumbent and someone brought in to

01:24

compete with him is different than this

01:27

situation where both guys are totally

01:29

new and and if you give both guys you

01:31

know 45% of the first team reps with the

01:34

other third quarterback getting 10% of

01:36

them neither's going to be ready so I do

01:38

think it will be Russell Wilson week one

01:41

but as confident as I am that it's

01:43

Russell week one I believe it' be Justin

01:44

week 18 and the weeks leading up to it I

01:47

do not think Russell Wilson will keep

01:49

this job but I think he will start with

01:51

this job on a very short leash and

01:53

because I am much more pessimistic about

01:56

Russ's ability in any offense much less

01:58

the Steelers offense right now with

02:00

their lack of overall skill position

02:03

talent I I don't think he'll keep the

02:05

job but I think it will be his week one

02:07

well one I think they do have skill

02:09

position Talent you know you got Fri M

02:10

at tight end you got pickings I know

02:12

they got rid of Deontay Johnson but you

02:14

got pickings you got two good running

02:15

backs so I think they got pretty good

02:17

talent I I agree with you Russ will will

02:21

well what I say is he should enter

02:23

training camp as the number one on the

02:26

depths chart now if he gets beat out and

02:29

like you said it's hard to have a real

02:31

cuz they also don't go as hard as they

02:33

used to with tackling and things like

02:35

that so but if he were to he would have

02:38

to like really just completely outshine

02:42

Russ passing because we know running

02:45

he's goingon to be a better Runner but

02:47

if he were to come out with accuracy

02:49

which he's had trouble with accuracy I'm

02:51

talking about Fields but he would have

02:52

to look so much better in the air than

02:55

Russ And Russ would have to look

02:57

essentially washed for me to move him

03:00

ahead of of of Justin I mean I didn't

03:03

think Russ looked wash last year and so

03:06

I think if he's number one on the depth

03:08

chart if it's even or close maybe

03:11

Justin's a little better you start with

03:13

Russ because also Nick I think it's

03:15

easier to move from Russ to Justin than

03:18

Justin to Russ if Russ were to not start

03:22

and if it was a close competition he

03:24

doesn't start in the regular season I

03:26

think he's upset his mood could ruin the

03:30

he would say the right thing but it

03:31

could work against the locker room

03:33

whereas if he starts off I'm I agree

03:36

short leas plays three or four games and

03:38

looks bad through the first four games

03:41

then he's benched the Locker Room's not

03:43

like oh bro we got this guy who's w a

03:45

Super Bowl he's a veteran they they saw

03:48

oh he wasn't good so I think that would

03:50

be a smoother transition so I I look

03:53

we'll see what Russ does but I do think

03:55

he'll start and if he can hold it he can

03:57

hold it if not go to Justin so I go

03:59

ahead W no no you go the I just I do we

04:03

agree that Justin field should be at the

04:05

place in his career where he's still

04:07

improving yeah that the theoretically

04:10

should be all right do we agree that

04:12

Russ is in the pace place in his career

04:15

where he's clearly declining well I

04:17

think he he improved from two years ago

04:20

to last year sure and I think he could

04:22

now he's not going to get back to what

04:24

he was in Seattle at his best but he

04:26

could improve on last year so so and you

04:28

and I obviously feel differently about

04:30

where he was last year and how well or

04:32

poorly he played point I'm making is

04:34

this can we just show what these two

04:37

players have been post Justin's rookie

04:39

season so since Russ left Seattle and

04:41

you know since Justin wasn't a rookie

04:43

Russ yes has more wins and a slightly

04:46

higher completion percentage they have

04:48

both been sacked the same amount of

04:50

times their yards per game is the same

04:52

their touchdown to turnover ratio is

04:54

essentially the same and and Justin is

04:57

nearly a full decade younger yeah so for

05:01

those reasons I I think it is and I I

05:04

don't know where you stand on this one

05:05

Brew I think it is far more likely

05:08

because they're both going to be on

05:09

expiring contracts I know there was some

05:11

question like oh the Steelers will have

05:12

to make a decision on Justin Field's

05:14

fifth year option there is no chance

05:16

they're picking up that option because

05:17

they have to make that decision before

05:19

the year starts brw yeah they have to

05:21

make that decision this off season

05:22

they're not going to pick up a 20 plus

05:24

million do guaranteed thing for Justin

05:26

Fields there's no chance I'm not I'm not

05:29

saying definitely they will but I could

05:31

see them doing it because they're

05:33

looking at him as their guy of the

05:34

future and what's the what's the other

05:36

route like they're going to be at the

05:38

worst they're going to be mediocre right

05:40

so you're not going to get like a high

05:42

draft pick so the I guess the point I

05:44

was making I think it is I think it is

05:47

close to a 0% chance they pick up his

05:50

fifth year option but despite that I

05:53

think there is far greater likelihood

05:56

that Justin Fields is on the Pittsburgh

05:57

Steelers in 2025 than there is Russell

05:59

Wilson is on the Steelers in 2025 you

06:02

would hope so if you're a Steelers fan

06:04

and so right and so I I just think I

06:05

think Justin will ultimately be the

06:07

starting quarterback and will finish the

06:09

season as the starting quarterback and

06:11

how he plays in that stretch is what is

06:13

going to determine if they bring him

06:16

back next season you know what I mean to

06:18

be their long-term starter I think they

06:19

hope clearly that he plays well and he's

06:22

their starter for the next sever from

06:24

what they're saying they hope he does

06:25

not play they're making Russ is the

06:28

starter Russ star you could start R now

06:31

look if Russ has a great year they make

06:33

the playoffs make a nice run sure but if

06:36

Russ I think they want to see what

06:38

Justin's made of out in practice as well

06:42

because it's good for him to sit at the

06:45

feet of in a great organization a great

06:48

head coach and a Super Bowl champion

06:51

like this could be good for him to learn

06:53

I mean Jordan love I know he started uh

06:56

Justin and he would be going to the

06:58

bench but still it was good for Jord

06:59

Love and we saw great improvement from

07:02

him from early in his career to coming

07:05

in finally as a starter so why couldn't

07:08

you see that with Fields okay uh

07:09

Steelers offense since Big Ben retired I

07:12

tried to find like the inflection point

07:14

I'm like this is where they're at almost

07:17

bottom of the league in absolutely

07:18

everything they've had several different

07:21

plans here which including you sign

07:23

trabis you drafted picket you start

07:25

trabis you start picket okay uh pick it

07:29

get gets hurt you bring back trabis you

07:31

bring in Rudolph Rudolph's now gone he

07:34

loses the playoff game oh Russ is here

07:36

Russ calls Kenny picket on Friday we ran

07:39

the clip of Russ saying yeah talk to

07:41

Kenny picket we were like yep let's get

07:43

it let's be great later on that day when

07:46

the show would like Kenny pickets gone

07:48

and Justin Fields is in it just feels

07:50

like a lot of tumult in Pittsburgh and

07:54

as you talk about Justin Fields excuse

07:56

me if you talk about Jordan love the

07:58

fact that I feel like it's a little bit

08:00

of a packer story that they went from

08:02

Aaron Rogers to Jordan love seamlessly

08:05

well right after doing the same thing

08:07

far to Rogers but that's that's and this

08:09

is just so messy and we still don't know

08:11

what's going to happen when you don't

08:12

have a good quarterback and it's also

08:14

what life is like after your longtime

08:17

franchise quarterback steps away this is

08:19

why I felt like belich was getting

08:22

unfairly malign the last few years what

08:24

has the Patriots playing been post Brady

08:26

it would look a lot like that simam

08:30

get rid of this guy what has the Saints

08:32

plan looked like post Drew Brees a lot

08:34

of the same thing even a worse

08:36

quarterback than those guys obviously

08:37

what does the Falcons plan look like

08:39

post Matt Ryan a lot of weirdness you

08:42

you are if you are a good enough

08:45

organization to not bottom out when your

08:48

franchise quarterback goes away you're

08:51

kind of screwed that's a good you know

08:52

what I mean like you do what the Packers

08:54

did you draft some may up may upset your

08:57

starter correct and also be fortunate

09:00

that with the Rogers case that he's

09:01

available in the 20s with the Jordan

09:03

love case and with Jordan I love how

09:05

Jordan played at the end of last year

09:07

and in the playoff game as well I he is

09:09

still something of an unknown quantity

09:11

you know what I mean as far as because

09:12

he's got do it another year right how

09:13

people felt about him the first the

09:15

Colts were amazing with pton Manning

09:18

then he misses one year they're so bad

09:20

they get Andrew Luck if that team was

09:22

good enough to have gone eight and8 the

09:24

year pton was hurt they could you know

09:25

what I mean they could have entered this

09:27

same treadmill of Medi where you can't

09:30

replace the guy weird wouldn't you say

09:32

though that I mean they went from having

09:35

no legitimate starting quarterback now

09:37

it's an inter possibly two stting think

09:40

that's a good thing why not what do you

09:43

mean I think it's strange to have two

09:45

quarterbacks I I think it's like they

09:47

don't know if the the second one can

09:49

play Justin Fields they don't know if

09:51

either play they don't know if either if

09:54

if Russ let's say they had Russ last

09:56

year and doing exactly what he did 26

09:59

touch

09:59

eight picks top six they had the season

10:03

no they they seven they may have won

10:07

more than 10 games see so I don't I so

10:09

they had the worst quarterback play in

10:11

the league by a mile and still won and I

10:15

I understand that and the Broncos and

10:16

again I we disagree about Russ's play

10:18

last year my point is the Steelers last

10:21

year with Russell Wilson at quarterback

10:24

or the rotating cast of characters they

10:26

had their ceiling was going to be

10:28

getting bounced in round one and that's

10:30

what it was like if they had a great

10:31

quarterback be different but Ross or

10:33

picket Mason trabis any of those guys

10:35

their ceiling was going to be bouncing

10:37

around okay uh checking on the bear side

10:39

of things we reportedly turned down a

10:41

better offer for Fields Courtney Corin

10:44

writing on ESPN the Bears had an

10:45

additional offer with stronger draft

10:47

capital from a team with an established

10:49

starter per Source but chose to send

10:51

fields to Pittsburgh with the hopes of

10:54

putting the 25-year-old in a position to

10:56

continue his development first as a

10:58

backup to Wilson and eventually as a

11:01

starter your reaction bro well what was

11:04

better fifth round sixth round that's

11:07

not conditional where it could get

11:09

better like straight six round pick I

11:11

mean if it was that close then I think

11:14

they did the right thing because you

11:17

send a message to players or at least

11:19

you theoretically do that hey we care

11:21

about our players and their future CU

11:24

there's already the feeling that you did

11:27

not do right by Justin Fields because

11:29

didn't put players around him that could

11:31

help him win and he had two head coaches

11:33

two offensive coordinators so you may

11:34

not have given him a chance in some

11:36

people's eyes so now you do this hey

11:38

we're looking out for him if it

11:40

significantly was better which I doubt

11:43

but let's say somebody's offering a

11:44

third round pick you got to do you got

11:47

to do you got to do what's best for your

11:49

team regardless so I agree with that so

11:51

I might so this is the scenario I

11:53

painted to you before the show Wilds cuz

11:55

what they got was a sixth in a year you

11:57

know not this year's draft next year

11:59

draft that could be a four if he plays

12:02

more than half those games let's say

12:04

buffalo called cuz we know Buffalo

12:05

wanted a backup quarterback because they

12:07

signed Mitch trabis inexplicably to more

12:09

than the league minimum but set that

12:10

aside say buffalo called and said we'll

12:13

give you our fifth round pick this year

12:15

for Justin Fields I don't think it's bad

12:18

business for Chicago to say yeah we're

12:21

not do it the gap between the value on

12:24

those is not enough given the fact he is

12:27

clearly very popular in the locker room

12:29

and I understand it's business not

12:31

personal when people talk about the

12:33

Bears doing Justin Fields wrong they I

12:37

sometimes that stuff bothers me in this

12:39

specific case and I thought Danny when

12:41

he was on on Friday made a good point

12:43

when you look at the blowby blow of it

12:45

year one Justin you're not going to play

12:47

Andy Dalton is Andy Dalton gets dinged

12:49

he's all of a sudden starting week three

12:51

year two we want to be the worst team in

12:54

the league we're going to trade roquan

12:56

Smith we're going to tra we're going to

12:57

take all our dead cap right now which I

12:59

thought was the long-term smart thing

13:01

for the team brutal for the player right

13:04

and then year three all of a sudden it's

13:07

like okay we're kind of ready to be good

13:09

but we're also changing the offense on

13:11

the flight those things I understand why

13:13

they would be like you know what he

13:15

handled himself aside from one press

13:16

conference right his teammates like him

13:18

let's not send him somewhere where he

13:20

has no chance of being the starter

13:22

unless you know like to Bru point the

13:25

return is so good we have to put

13:28

business ahead of it

13:31

way there been rep like oh they had a

13:34

two or a offered to them if they did

13:38

they turned that down back when they

13:41

thought they were still going to be able

13:43

to get that not because they were they

13:45

didn't have that wasn't available now

13:47

exactly right that that offer was gone

13:49

when they took this one and not

13:51

presented like well they could have

13:52

taken a three this week and in said they

13:54

took this that I do not believe at all

13:56

meanwhile Caleb to the bear is basically

13:58

done you know I'm not a professional

14:00

investment broker and I don't give

14:02

investment advice but minus 4,000 would

14:05

mean you get two and a half% return on

14:07

your money in six weeks that's a great

14:08

that's a great that's better than any

14:10

stock you're going to get America if you

14:11

can put that because it is a 100% chance

14:14

he is drafted by the Chicago Bears

14:16

number one and so minus 4,000 you bet

14:19

4,000 make a 100 bucks can't do that

14:21

guaranteed in the market but now to the

14:23

point uh the Bears are better than

14:25

people think and they were last year and

14:28

they have since added things so the

14:30

Bears the Luke I'm e flu would tell you

14:34

his defense can't function unless it has

14:37

at least one a-level pass rusher to then

14:41

have everything rotate off the back end

14:42

of it so how did the Bears look once

14:44

they added Montes sweat who is not

14:46

that's not adding Prime Von Miller but

14:48

it's adding a good player all of a

14:50

sudden they were fine it's not like they

14:52

were great they were fine they outscored

14:55

their opponents they had top 10 points

14:57

per game and opponents yards per game

14:59

defense they have now added to DJ Moore

15:03

who with quarterbacking that evidently

15:05

was only worth a sixth round pick did

15:07

this last year Keenan Allen and Keenan

15:10

did that in only 13 games now I think

15:11

Keenan is going to be less productive

15:14

because of his age but you then add the

15:17

fact that in addition to Caleb Brew they

15:19

are going to with the ninth pick of the

15:21

draft either be able to add romad dun

15:24

Brock Bowers with the second tackle off

15:26

the board or the first or second def

15:28

Defensive Player of any position off the

15:30

board and they added Swift so I expect

15:34

the seven and 10 bears with better

15:36

quarterbacking more Talent not the dead

15:39

cap that had been weighing down the last

15:40

two years to be a 10 or 11 win team so I

15:43

expect them to make the playoffs all

15:45

right so you you came on strong at the

15:47

end saying they're going to make the

15:48

playoffs because this question I think

15:50

Nick hacked your computer why and threw

15:53

Dark Horse in there oh no because when

15:56

we talked about it on the phone call

15:59

it was are they making the playoff I

16:01

will pick them to make the playoffs as

16:02

of now so are dark I don't believe in

16:05

dark non in the hunt will they be I'm

16:08

not are they making the playoff yeah

16:11

they'll be in the hunt but here's the

16:12

thing I think Detroit and Green Bay are

16:16

definitely making the playoffs and that

16:18

so that's two in that division so you I

16:20

think you like those teams too if I

16:21

remember Nick's tears I think both werey

16:25

yeah the Bears I think the Bears were on

16:27

the I mean the Bears were quite high as

16:28

well

16:29

we're going to have three I I don't

16:31

think you saying three from that

16:32

division but I think I still think

16:34

Dallas and Philly I know I don't have

16:35

like a strange team in here but Atlanta

16:37

I got uh and then San Francisco and the

16:39

Rams so you have the same playoffs as

16:42

last year with Baker out and the Falcons

16:43

in that's not going to happen it's just

16:45

not going to be the same we will see I

16:47

mean but that's the the it's just not

16:50

you yelled at me when I didn't think

16:51

bejan Robinson would be Rookie of the

16:53

Year I'm just saying I'm just saying and

16:56

so I just think that if you let me put

16:59

it a different way brw cuz if go ahead

17:01

sorry no I'm just saying which one's not

17:03

making it Detroit or they could have

17:05

three cuz the NFC is kind of weak but I

17:08

think I think those two are I almost

17:10

think you're looking at it from the

17:11

wrong direction which is aside from the

17:14

NFC South which we think you know what I

17:16

mean there's could have a division right

17:18

but Atlanta and Tampa could no what I'm

17:21

let me ask it a different way let's just

17:23

say Atlanta's in if another NFC team

17:26

that missed the playoffs last year is is

17:29

going to make it which most years

17:30

there's at least two new per conference

17:33

are the bears not the best bet the

17:35

options would be Washington or the

17:37

Giants the the Bears uh and the fourth

17:41

NFC North team oh The Who Am oh the

17:44

Vikings the Vikings the you don't have a

17:46

quarterback right now we said the NFC

17:48

South we said New Orleans Carolina

17:50

Atlanta and then Seattle or Arizona like

17:53

some people might say Seattle they got a

17:55

new head coach if you think there's

17:56

going to be a bounceback year from Kyler

17:57

I get it my point is I think I think the

18:00

Bears are the best is the right dark

18:03

hores cuz I don't think Caleb's going to

18:04

be CJ Stout now I think Caleb will be

18:07

good eventually and but I think this

18:09

year he'll show promise he'll make us

18:11

say yeah that was the right pick but I

18:13

don't think he's coming in like CJ so

18:15

but CJ I I think you even if you're

18:17

right on that CJ had to be CJ because

18:20

that Texans team was earned the number

18:23

two pick on their own volition that

18:25

Texans team was was awful the year

18:28

before they were a three- win team no I

18:30

get it but you're saying because they

18:32

were bad he had to be so good no no I'm

18:34

giving CJ credit my point is if we if

18:37

the Bears were the typical number one

18:39

pick team we would expect usually about

18:43

a three- win Improvement if they draft

18:45

the right quarterback my point is a

18:48

three- win Improvement for the Bears is

18:50

10 because they won seven g games last

18:53

year that's not bad yeah I'll buy that I

18:56

I might buy that so you really I might

18:58

buy it argument it's a who you pick to

19:00

win the N te oh my gosh BR who you pick

19:03

to win the NFC last year and they made

19:04

the playoffs the

19:06

Eagles short of the turnovers we were

19:08

heading the right direction body

19:10

betrayed him everyone knows back thanks

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