Dem Super Tuesday REVOLT: Uncommitted, Adam Schiff Shouted Down
Summary
TLDRThis video discusses the surprising results of the Democratic primary on Super Tuesday, where Joe Biden faced significant opposition from the 'uncommitted' vote across several states. The hosts analyze the strong performance of the 'uncommitted' and protest votes against Biden's policies, particularly his stance on the Israel-Gaza conflict. They dissect the implications of this voter dissatisfaction, especially among young voters, and how it could impact Biden's reelection prospects. The video also touches on the changing political landscape, with shifts in voter demographics and the potential realignment of traditional party allegiances.
Takeaways
- π² Unexpectedly strong protest votes against Joe Biden from Democrats in several state primaries, including nearly 30% in Minnesota going for 'uncommitted' or other candidates.
- π‘ Young voters and those opposing Biden's stance on the Israel-Gaza conflict were a major driving force behind the protest votes.
- π€·ββοΈ Biden did not give a victory speech on Super Tuesday, possibly to avoid facing protesters or difficult questions.
- π³οΈ Even in states like California where establishment candidates prevailed, there were vocal protests and disruptions during their events.
- π Concerning signs for Biden's re-election prospects, with declining support among key demographics like Hispanic, Black, and young voters.
- π The protest votes were driven by widespread dissatisfaction with Biden's policies, particularly regarding the Israel-Gaza conflict.
- π£οΈ Democrats are struggling to address this dissent, with rhetoric shifts but no substantial policy changes so far.
- βοΈ A growing sentiment, even among Biden's 2020 voters, that Israel is committing genocide in Gaza.
- π Establishment figures still downplaying or dismissing the concerns of protesters, risking further alienation.
- π© These results serve as major warning signs for Democrats about enthusiasm and turnout challenges in the general election.
Q & A
What were the key results from the Democratic primaries discussed in the script?
-Some notable results discussed were Joe Biden losing American Samoa to a relatively unknown candidate Jason Palmer, a significant 'uncommitted' protest vote against Biden across several states like Minnesota (almost 30%), North Carolina (13.3%), Massachusetts (around 15%), Colorado (around 20%), and Oklahoma (around 19%), and Biden's poor performance among young and Hispanic voters in places like South Texas.
Why did the Minnesota governor attribute the strong 'uncommitted' vote to Biden's stance on the Israel-Gaza conflict?
-The Minnesota governor stated that the 'uncommitted' voters were deeply concerned about the situation in Gaza and wanted to be heard on finding a lasting two-state solution and a ceasefire, indicating that Biden's policies on the Israel-Gaza conflict were a significant factor driving the protest vote.
How did the panelists interpret the 'uncommitted' protest vote against Biden?
-The panelists viewed the strong 'uncommitted' vote as an extraordinary rebuke of Biden's policies, particularly on the Israel-Gaza conflict, from young voters and Democrats who had supported him in 2020. They saw it as a clear message that Biden's stance on Gaza was unacceptable to a significant portion of the Democratic base.
What impact did the panelists believe the protest vote could have on Biden's prospects?
-The panelists suggested that the protest vote could affect Biden's turnout, margins, and potential for third-party challenges in the general election. They saw it as a warning sign that Biden's policies were alienating a crucial segment of young Democratic voters whose support he had relied on in 2020.
How did the panelists view Adam Schiff's performance in the California primary?
-The panelists noted that despite being an establishment figure and Biden ally, Adam Schiff secured a sizable portion of the vote in California. However, they pointed out that the Israel-Gaza conflict did not seem to be a central issue in that particular primary race.
What did the panelists make of the trends among Hispanic voters in South Texas?
-The panelists discussed how a significant protest vote emerged for Armando Perez Serat, a Democratic candidate critical of Biden, particularly among Hispanic voters in South Texas. They saw this as part of a broader shift in the region towards more Republican-leaning tendencies, driven partly by issues like immigration and inflation.
How did the panelists view the response from Biden's administration to the protest vote?
-The panelists believed that while the Biden administration had adjusted its rhetoric in response to the protest vote, with officials like Kamala Harris using more forceful language, the underlying policies towards Israel and Gaza had not substantially changed. They saw the rhetorical shift as an attempt to gaslight voters rather than address their concerns.
What did the panelists suggest about the changing dynamics between Democrats and pro-Israel lobbying groups like AIPAC?
-The panelists discussed how AIPAC's opposition to a relatively pro-Israel Democratic candidate in California suggested that the lobbying group was taking a more hardline stance, potentially moving away from bipartisanship towards aligning more closely with Republicans, similar to the trajectory of the NRA.
How did the panelists view the significance of the protest vote in the broader context of the Democratic Party's future prospects?
-The panelists saw the protest vote as a clear indication that a significant portion of the Democratic base, particularly young voters, had become radicalized on the Israel-Gaza issue and viewed Biden's policies as complicit in genocide. They suggested that ignoring or dismissing these concerns could have severe consequences for the party's ability to mobilize crucial voting blocs in future elections.
What role did the panelists believe mainstream media played in shaping perceptions around the protest vote?
-The panelists criticized mainstream media outlets like MSNBC for dismissing or mocking concerns about issues like immigration, which were driving the protest vote in certain regions. They saw this as indicative of a disconnect between establishment media narratives and the realities facing voters on the ground.
Outlines
π³οΈ Biden's Underwhelming Performance in the Democratic Primary
The paragraph discusses Joe Biden's poor performance in the Democratic primary, particularly his loss in American Samoa to a relatively unknown candidate, Jason Palmer. It highlights Biden's lack of a victory speech and the embarrassment caused by voters opting for the 'uncommitted' option across several states, indicating widespread dissatisfaction with Biden and his handling of the war in Gaza. The results from Minnesota are analyzed, where nearly 30% of voters chose 'uncommitted' or Dean Phillips, signaling strong opposition to Biden's policies, especially among younger voters.
π Analyzing the Protest Votes Against Biden
This paragraph delves into the protest votes against Biden across various states, including North Carolina, Massachusetts, Colorado, and Oklahoma. It examines the significant percentages of voters who chose 'uncommitted' or supported candidates like Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson, interpreting these votes as a direct rebuke of Biden's policies. The results in California are also discussed, where establishment candidate Adam Schiff secured a substantial vote share, while Barbara Lee and Katie Porter underperformed, suggesting that the Middle East issue did not weigh heavily in this particular primary.
βοΈ The Shifting Landscape of Public Opinion on Israel and Palestine
The paragraph focuses on the changing public opinion regarding the Israel-Palestine conflict, particularly among Democratic voters. It highlights polls showing that a majority of Biden's 2020 voters believe Israel is committing genocide, indicating a significant shift in attitudes. The paragraph discusses the disconnect between Biden's long-standing pro-Israel stance and the views of his party's base, which is becoming increasingly critical of Israel's actions. It also mentions protests and disruptions faced by Democratic politicians like Adam Schiff, Kirsten Gillibrand, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, illustrating the intense backlash over their positions on the Israel-Palestine issue.
πΊπΈ The Shifting Political Landscape in South Texas
This paragraph examines the results from South Texas, particularly Cameron County, where a significant protest vote was cast for Armando Perez Serat, a Democratic candidate critical of Biden's policies. It discusses the cultural and demographic shifts occurring in the region, with traditionally Democratic strongholds turning Republican. The paragraph suggests that issues like inflation, immigration, and cultural conservatism have contributed to this shift, challenging the traditional assumptions about voting patterns in the area. The analysis also touches on the concerns expressed by Republican voters in Virginia regarding immigration, highlighting the national significance of this issue.
π° AIPAC's Influence and the Dynamics of the Israel-Palestine Debate
The paragraph explores the influence of AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee) in shaping the discourse on the Israel-Palestine conflict. It discusses the organization's significant financial resources and its efforts to target candidates who express even mild criticism of Israel, as seen in the case of David Min in California. The paragraph also touches on the potential shifts in AIPAC's strategy, drawing parallels with the NRA's transition from a bipartisan organization to a more partisan approach. Additionally, it mentions the visit of Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz to Washington, D.C., and the refusal of Republican Congressman Mike Johnson to meet with him, highlighting the complexities of the Israel-Palestine debate within the U.S. political landscape.
π The Rising Tide of Youth Engagement and Dissent
The final paragraph emphasizes the growing engagement and dissent among young voters, particularly regarding issues like access to abortion and the overturning of Roe v. Wade. It highlights the surge in youth turnout that helped Democrats secure victories in special elections, underscoring the importance of addressing the concerns of this demographic. The paragraph warns against dismissing or underestimating the outrage among young people over issues like the Israel-Palestine conflict, suggesting that a mere rhetorical shift by the Biden administration may not be enough to appease them. It concludes by reiterating the significance of the results in Minnesota, which demonstrated the depth of opposition to Biden's policies among young voters.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Uncommitted Vote
π‘Super Tuesday
π‘Gaza Conflict
π‘Protest Vote
π‘Generational Divide
π‘AIPAC
π‘Ceasefire
π‘Genocide
π‘College Campus
π‘Hispanic Voters
Highlights
Joe Biden lost American Samoa's primary to Jason Palmer, a virtually unknown candidate who ran a humorous campaign, winning the territory's delegates.
The 'uncommitted' vote against Biden performed strongly across several states, with nearly 30% in Minnesota rejecting Biden's candidacy over his handling of the Israel-Gaza conflict.
The younger the precinct, the stronger the support for the 'uncommitted' vote, signaling a generational divide over Biden's Israel-Gaza policy.
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz acknowledged voters' concerns over the 'intolerable' situation in Gaza and their demand for a ceasefire, stating the need to listen to these voters.
The high 'uncommitted' vote reflects widespread dissatisfaction with Biden's handling of the Israel-Gaza conflict, even among some Republicans according to polls.
A majority of Biden's 2020 voters now want the US to block weapons shipments to Israel, indicating a significant shift in the Democratic base's views on the issue.
Biden's stance on Israel seems outdated and disconnected from the changing dynamics within his party, where young voters are increasingly passionate about supporting Palestinian rights.
Democrats are struggling to campaign on college campuses due to protests over their stance on Gaza, a humiliating situation for the sitting president.
In California, establishment candidate Adam Schiff spent more money propping up a Republican opponent than his own campaign, fearing a head-to-head match against progressive Democrats.
The protests and voter dissatisfaction over Gaza are expected to be an ever-present problem for establishment Democratic politicians in the upcoming general election.
Biden's reluctance to change his policy on Israel, despite shifting public opinion within his party, suggests a disconnect that could impact voter turnout and his margins of victory.
The protest vote against Biden is not limited to Arab or Muslim Americans, but reflects a broader dissatisfaction among young Democratic voters, a crucial demographic for Biden's success.
In South Texas, a significant protest vote emerged for Armando Perez Serat, a Democrat critical of Biden's age and Israel policy, highlighting local concerns potentially changing Texas' electoral map.
The surge in young voter turnout, driven by outrage over issues like abortion rights, helped Democrats secure victories in recent special elections, suggesting dismissing their concerns could be costly.
AIPAC's heavy spending against a mildly critical Democratic candidate in California indicates a shift towards a more partisan Republican alliance, mirroring the NRA's trajectory.
Transcripts
Ryan uh let's talk about what happened
in the Democratic primary last night
because some of these results were
really interesting huge shout out to
American
Samoa yes American Joe Biden lost
American s Samoa to a guy who's
extraordinarily famous here in the
mainland on the mainland uh but other
otherwise he was embarrassed in a lot of
States uh by the uncommitted vote
basically across the country uh we do
not have a speech to show you from Joe
Biden because even though he is running
for real election he did not give a
super Tuesday victory speech instead he
uh kind of stared blankly out at a at a
crowd after mumbling that he would get
in trouble if he took questions it's
almost too painful a video to even
subject you guys to so we're not even
not even going to show it because it
would we that would make us complicit in
the elder abuse that is being uh dealt
out to Joe Biden not that I have any
sympathy for him given uh you know what
he's doing in Gaza right now so you kind
of kind of guess what he has coming to
him yet it's still kind of painful and
sad to watch that's for sure all right
so let let let's get to what the voters
are doing to them we can start in
Minnesota is put this put this first one
up here uh kind of a shocking to The
Establishment result in Minnesota with
close to 20% of the electorate uh uh
voting uncommitted this is a campaign
that had about a week to organize itself
and that that's on top of 8% for Dean
Phillips yes by the way so almost
30% just just between the two of those
against Biden uh people were say so they
spent about $5,000 over the course of a
week something like that to organize
this campaign organizers for that uh
campaign were telling me over over the
course of the week that they actually
expected to outperform Michigan because
the the phone banking that they were
doing was just landing on voter after
voter after voter who was telling them
uh no we're already uncommitted like it
basically it was an it was organic that
it spread from New Hampshire over to
Michigan and then in into Minnesota in
Ilan Omar's District which is number
five in Minnesota uh they'll win they'll
win at least a delegate they may win
three delegates at least across the
state that means the party process in
Minnesota is going to send at least
three people to Minnesota who will be
representing kind of a free Palestine
ceasefire and the war in Gaza vote huge
Somali Muslim population obviously
outside Minneapolis but there was also
this you know uh the correlation between
age and support for uncommitted was
basically one to one the younger a
Precinct was the stronger the support
was there was one Precinct that had
something like 80% for uncommitted that
must be a fun neighborhood so the the
governor addressed this uh we have a
clip of that let's let's roll Tim Waltz
Minnesota Governor Tim Waltz about
40,000 votes right now 20% of the vote
going to uncommitted and we've seen that
already in this Primary in um in
Michigan what message are voters in your
state trying to send to President Biden
and what do you want to see President
Biden do in
response yeah look they're engaged we're
really proud Minnesota civic
responsibility we have some of the
highest voter turnouts these are voters
that are deeply concerned as we all are
the situation in Gaza is is intolerable
um and I think trying to find a solution
a lasting two-state solution certainly
the president's mooved towards
humanitarian Aid and asking us to get to
a ceasefire that's what they're asking
to be heard and that's what they should
be doing uh we've gone through this
before and we know that now we make sure
we've got 8 months we start bringing
these uh folks back in we listen to what
they're saying uh that's a healthy thing
that's happening here but I would note
that uh that the former president uh
lost twice as many votes here in
Minnesota to Nikki Haley and I've seen
some of these exit polls out of North
Carolina and others 80% of folks said
they're not voting for him who voted for
Nikki Haley we'll get these folks back I
think it's take them seriously their
message is clear that they think this is
an intolerable situation and that we can
do more and I think the president's
hearing that all right let's bring back
Crystal and Sager into the conversation
uh Chrystal what do you make so not of
the not not only in Minnesota North
Carolina Colorado around the country
Minnesota had the strongest performance
for uncommitted but around the country
it was clear uh that there is like
widespread dissatisfaction uh with with
Biden and with his war effort what what
did you make of it yeah when you combine
uncommitted and keep in mind that not
all of these states had uncommitted on
the ballot um which is why you should
consider you know the votes for Maryann
and the votes for Dean and the votes for
uncommitted I think you should count all
of those as basically Biden protest
votes and also whatever other candidates
Jen and the other like unknown
candidates that popped up on some of
these ballots so quite significant um
the Minnesota performance is nothing
short of astonishing and I heard this
talking point over and over again on CNN
like oh sure Biden lost a few votes but
look at Nikki Haley eating into trump it
is a very different deal to to vote for
an actual candidate and also by the way
for it to be a lot of Democrats and
independents who are voting for that
actual candidate then to have voters
taking the time out of their day to show
up to directly say screw you and your
disgusting immoral policy Visa V Gaza I
mean that is extraordinary with no money
think of how much money Nikki Hy spent
there was almost literally no money
spent on this effort in Minnesota it
popped up in a week's time and
outperformed by percentage
what was done in Michigan so I think it
is absolutely extraordinary and I do
think that you have seen a rhetorical
shift from the Biden Administration
directly because of this uncommitted
protest vote so you saw you know kamla
Harris with some more strenuous language
backing basically the same policy but
you also see all of the Dem flax out
there instead of going back to oh well
Israel has a right to defend itself now
the line is well Biden is working day
and night to you know try to secure this
ceasefire and he hears them and he
agrees with them so basically trying to
Gaslight but you can see there has been
an impact and that they are feeling
pressure you couple that with the just
abject horror of the flower Massacre and
I think you do see that they are feeling
some kind of pressure from this movement
which will only continue and grow post
super Tuesday and once again the results
show this is not just a problem with
Arab American this isn't just a problem
with Muslim Americans or some other
narrow demographic group if you are a
Democrat and you want to win the
presidency of the United States once
again you need young people to show up
for you and not to stay home and young
people are sending you as loud and clear
a message as they possibly can that this
current posture viav Israel and Gaza is
utterly unacceptable and Biden wouldn't
have won without a pretty decent Surge
from young voters in 2020 I mean his
margins either yeah absolutely and one
second Ryan can you break down the other
states for everybody the
uncommitted yes because I know that we
have all the other states there do we do
we have the element that that we can put
up here all right so let yeah let's
let's run through these uh quickly so uh
there we've got North Carolina rocking
in at at 133% which is you know pretty
pretty strong performance at least as
strong as uh Michigan uh move move to
the next one we got
Massachusetts coming in at almost 10%
with another uh nearly 5% for Dean
Phillips uh move on to the Colorado
primary uh what eight almost 9% uh plus
then a handful you know so you're
looking at almost 20% kind of protest
votes with about 10% uh there and then
the Oklahoma primary uh almost 10% of
Oklahoma Democrats um saying uh un
uncommitted like end end this war and if
you know the if the Democratic party was
but also nine and N for Dean Phillips
and Marion Williamson yes right right
which it's also a protest vote at this
point yes and you know so if if the
party was an actual like power seeking
operation that ran rationally somebody
like the guy you just saw the Minnesota
Governor Tim Walls would he'd be the
nominee you know probably Waltz uh you
know to into into the white house
instead dad joke yeah do you like that
one no you loved it uh instead to
Crystal's Point all we're getting is
this kind of change in rhetoric and if
you boil down what their change in
rhetoric is it's we are not complicit in
this evil we are just too weak and
incompetent to stop it which is okay I
guess that makes us feel better about it
maybe but that's not much of a selling
point at
all well actually this is interesting
because in California here's
establishment darling Adam shiff uh if
we put B6 up on the screen the primary
this is a huge primary election in
California people know the high-profile
candidates uh Katie Porter Barbara Lee
uh now Steve Garvey actually did better
than Katie Porter and Barbara Lee's
margins here or their percentages here
put together uh so this goes to the
Jungle Primary runoff type situation
Adam Schiff secured 33% of the vote uh
I'm just curious Ryan Crystal sger what
your take is on uh you know with with
the Middle East weighing so heavily on
Democratic voters Minds Adam Schiff is a
Biden establishment Ally also a
conspiracy monger and weirdo but that
aside um I mean that's a it did not
weigh in here in this in this California
primary it's very it's very interesting
Barbara Lee you know uh fairing fairing
terribly I was actually in California
over over the
weekend talking to a voter uh who is his
his primary issue was uh anti-war and
later in the conversation he said I hope
Barbara Lee wins her re-election I was
like actually you know she's running for
Senate he's like what he's like no way
that's awesome that's that's that's so
cool it's like Barb Barbara Lee is so
screwed like this is like this is like
her base and he didn't even know uh that
she was running which goes to the
problem for anybody running in
California that it's just so insanely
expensive but Sager uh what do you make
of that well California obviously
basically a rigged you know electoral
system so like let's all be honest
around that uh especially with the
Dynamics that you just uh highlighted
also just to pick up on that we have a
saw here some of the protesters who were
interrupting Adam shiff and this goes to
the question of how that will play out
in the actual general election let's
take a listen to
[Applause]
that to thank you so as everybody could
see I mean this is going to be an
everpresent problem I think for many of
these establishment Democratic
politicians we covered previously on our
show about how Joe Biden is going to
like extensive lengths not to campaign
um and college campuses pretty
humiliating when the sitting Democratic
president you can't go to a college
campus Al honestly Ryan that may be why
he didn't do a victory speech last night
and they're just terrified as I
understand it they've been contracting
some thirdparty security service to try
and screen people before you go in I
mean once we've gotten to that point you
know thing things are not looking good
for you and it is humiliating because
you've not only got the votes in terms
of uncommitted but you've also got the
physical manifestation of that at every
public appearance that you make from
here on thus far so overall I mean I'm
just coming back to the same Trump issue
where crystal is Right many of those
people who voted in the primary are Dem
are just probably Democrats here though
you know we have a probably a bigger
problem just given the gap between like
the policy that would actually have to
happen to even get maybe half of these
people back in the door it's very likely
that he could if there is a fatal blow
in November there will be many many
reasons as to why that happened but it's
very likely we can trace a lot of it
back to here and to this right now yeah
a Democrat not being able to go to a
college campus is like a republican who
couldn't campaign in The Villages
Florida and and underscoring that point
if we could put up B3 and then Chris I
want to get your uh response to this
this the element B3 this polling that
shows that even among uh Republicans 30%
of Republicans want arms shipments
blocked uh to Israel but 6 62% of Voters
who supported Biden in 2020 want the US
to block weapons shipments to Israel uh
ceasefire and blocking weapons shipments
is not a divisive or controversial
position it is the overwhelming majority
position of democratic voters uh yet it
is in stark contrast to what the
president is actually doing
Crystal yeah that's exactly right and I
continue to bring this up but I am
struck by the poll that found that a
majority of Joe Biden 2020 voters say
Israel is committing a genocide I you
just
cannot possibly overstate the sea change
in American politics that has occurred
Visa the view of Israel and the view of
our relationship with regards to Israel
and so when you see you know the actions
of someone like Joe Biden who's been in
DC for 50 years and has this view of
Israel that d back you know hasn't
progressed since 1970 and whatever he
thought of it at the time the other
thing is that you know one of his
Ironclad Like rules of the road in
politics is you never lose by being too
pro Israel because you know there's much
more funding on that side I'm just not
trying to be an anti-semitic comment
it's just statement of reality given the
the funding behind APAC and how
influential that has been and how
comparatively I mean there's basically
no funding benefit to be gained on the
Palestinian side of the equation um and
also typically the people who vote on
that issue are the people who are most
vifer usly lock step for whatever it is
that Israel wants to do um that
particular Dynamic May well be changing
I think that's the piece that is
different that Biden and many other
Democratic politicians really haven't
accounted for that now you have this
very very impassioned and frankly
radicalized group of predominantly but
not exclusively young voters who are
voting directly on this issue and so I
think that's part of you know where the
disconnect and why they've been so slow
to even change the rhetoric with regards
to Israel and Palestine let alone they
still haven't changed the policy so this
is a massive issue that you know there
videos every day coming out of Kirsten
gillan's Town Hall you know so many
protesters there AOC getting chased out
of a movie theater because she won't
call it a genocide Adam shiff getting
shouted down at his own victory speech
every single Democrat is being held to
account for this monstrous abhorent
policy that again a majority of their
own party says makes them complicit in a
genocide so I think the political
landscape has completely flipped in a
way that many of these politicians
haven't accounted for um just to throw
on a couple things specifically about
California don't claim to be a political
expert in the ins and- outs of