Barbara Corcoran reveals when housing prices ‘will go through the roof’

Fox Business
27 Mar 202410:54

Summary

TLDR在这段访谈中,嘉宾深入讨论了房地产市场的变化,包括佣金的可谈判性、买卖双方的沟通方式以及房价上涨的趋势。特别提到了佛罗里达和德克萨斯的市场情况,以及高端房产的交易情况。此外,还探讨了利率环境对市场的影响,以及纽约市房地产市场的吸引力和个人在行业中的竞争力。

Takeaways

  • 🏡 房地产经纪人的佣金一直是可以协商的,这一点并没有改变。
  • 📝 买家将获得关于经纪人费用的书面说明,这是市场上的一个积极变化。
  • 🚫 卖家和买家的经纪人不再能在MLS上查看佣金信息,这可能导致一些混乱。
  • 🔄 佣金的谈判空间可能不会太大,因为卖家认识到经纪人带来的买家价值。
  • 📉 尽管房地产市场价格上涨,但一些地区的房价可能达到顶峰,如佛罗里达和奥斯汀。
  • 💰 高端房产市场并非不受市场波动影响,也存在交易机会。
  • 🌐 外国买家和美国本土买家在某些高端房产市场中都很活跃。
  • 📈 利率环境的变化并未如预期那样影响房地产市场,市场反应复杂。
  • 🏠 房地产市场的供应短缺将继续推动市场向前发展。
  • 🎓 教育和培养销售人员对于房地产经纪公司的成功至关重要。
  • 💡 个人在房地产业务中的成功取决于他们愿意承担的风险和努力。

Q & A

  • 房地产经纪人的佣金是否一直是可协商的?

    -是的,根据访谈内容,房地产经纪人的佣金一直都是可协商的,这一点并没有发生变化。

  • 买家在购买房产时能得到哪些书面信息?

    -买家在购买房产时将得到所有与成本相关的书面信息,这样他们可以清楚地了解自己所需支付的费用。

  • 为什么卖家和买家的经纪人不能再在MLS上查看佣金信息?

    -根据访谈,现在卖家和买家的经纪人不允许在MLS上查看佣金信息,这可能是为了保护经纪人的财务隐私和避免潜在的利益冲突。

  • 卖家是否希望降低佣金?

    -卖家可能希望降低佣金,但这并不是绝对的。卖家认识到经纪人为他们带来了买家,因此佣金的谈判空间可能不会太大。

  • 房产销售成本的趋势是怎样的?

    -房产销售成本近年来一直在上升,随着房价上涨,销售成本也相应增加。

  • 佛罗里达州的房地产市场是否仍然有好的交易机会?

    -虽然佛罗里达州的房价仍在上涨,但在某些情况下,买家仍然可以找到不错的交易机会,尽管这可能比较困难。

  • 得克萨斯州的房地产市场状况如何?

    -得克萨斯州的房地产市场曾经增长迅速,但现在一些地区如奥斯汀的增长正在放缓,可能是因为供应过剩导致价格下降。

  • 高端房产市场是否对市场波动免疫?

    -高端房产市场并非完全免疫于市场波动,但在某些情况下,即使是非常奢华的房产也可能有不错的交易机会。

  • 利率环境对房地产市场有何影响?

    -利率环境对房地产市场有显著影响。如果利率下降,可能会吸引更多买家进入市场,从而推高房价。

  • 纽约市的房地产市场有何吸引力?

    -纽约市的房地产市场对投资者具有吸引力,因为它是一个重要的经济和文化中心,同时,由于教育人们和较少的租金限制,价格也在快速上涨。

  • 在当前的经济和政治不确定环境下,房地产市场将如何发展?

    -尽管存在许多不确定性,如战争和经济波动,但房地产市场的发展主要受房屋供应短缺的推动,预计市场将继续向前发展。

Outlines

00:00

🏠 房地产市场的未来趋势

本段落讨论了房地产市场的一些变化和趋势。首先提到了房地产经纪人的佣金问题,指出佣金一直都是可以协商的,这一点并没有改变。接着讨论了买家和卖家在市场中的动态,强调了买家将能够清楚地了解到经纪人的成本。此外,还提到了房地产市场的价格上涨问题,尤其是在一些热门地区如佛罗里达和德克萨斯,但同时指出这些市场可能正在达到饱和点。最后,强调了房地产价格的上涨与税收的关系,以及人们对此的看法和反应。

05:01

📉 利率环境对房地产市场的影响

这部分内容探讨了当前的利率环境对房地产市场的影响。提到了即使联邦储备银行已经开始降息,市场的反应却是相反的,显示出市场的复杂性和不可预测性。接着讨论了如果利率进一步下降,可能会吸引更多的买家进入市场,从而推动房地产市场的增长。此外,还提到了高端房地产市场的情况,指出即使是高价房产,也存在交易的机会,尤其是现金交易。最后,讨论了外国买家在美国房地产市场的活跃程度,以及利率变化对市场的影响。

10:01

🌆 城市与郊区房地产市场的差异

这一部分讨论了城市与郊区房地产市场的不同特点和趋势。首先提到了受访者个人对房地产市场的看法,包括对纽约市的偏爱以及对郊区市场的兴趣。接着讨论了房地产市场的供需关系,强调了房屋供应短缺是推动市场发展的主要因素。此外,还提到了房地产市场的教育方面,受访者分享了自己如何通过教育人们来取得成功。最后,讨论了犯罪率对房地产市场的影响,以及年轻一代对城市的看法和他们的迁移趋势。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡房地产经纪人

房地产经纪人是指在房地产市场中代表买卖双方进行交易的专业人士。在视频中,提到了房地产经纪人的佣金问题,强调了他们的服务费用是可协商的,并且一直是这样,这表明经纪人的角色和收入模式正在受到市场变化的影响。

💡佣金

佣金是指在交易中支付给中介或经纪人的费用。在视频中,讨论了佣金的可协商性以及卖家和买家经纪人的佣金问题,说明了佣金制度的变化和市场对这些变化的反应。

💡房地产市场

房地产市场是指买卖房产和土地的市场,包括住宅、商业和工业物业。视频中讨论了不同地区的房地产市场状况,如佛罗里达、德克萨斯和纽约的市场趋势。

💡房价

房价是指购买房产所需支付的金额。视频中多次提到房价,强调了房价上涨的趋势以及这对买家和卖家的影响。

💡利率环境

利率环境是指影响贷款成本的经济状况,包括中央银行设定的基准利率。视频中讨论了利率环境对房地产市场的影响,以及人们对联邦储备银行可能降息的担忧。

💡市场过热

市场过热是指市场的需求远远超过供应,导致价格迅速上涨。视频中提到了某些地区的房地产市场可能过热的情况,如佛罗里达和德克萨斯。

💡高端房产

高端房产是指市场上价格昂贵、设施豪华的房产,通常面向高收入人群。视频中讨论了高端房产市场的情况,包括豪宅和顶层公寓的交易。

💡外国买家

外国买家是指来自其他国家的购房者。视频中提到了外国买家在美国房地产市场的活动,特别是在曼哈顿的高端房产市场中。

💡经济

经济是指一个地区或国家的生产、分配和消费商品与服务的系统。视频中讨论了经济状况对房地产市场的影响,包括战争和其他不确定因素。

💡城市

城市是指人口密集、经济和文化活动集中的地区。视频中讨论了城市对房地产市场的影响,以及人们对于城市生活的偏好。

💡创业

创业是指个人或团队发现、创造并开展新的商业活动的过程。视频中提到了个人在创业过程中的经验和感受,以及如何通过教育和培养销售人员取得成功。

Highlights

房地产专家对未来市场的看法

佣金的可谈判性一直是存在的

买家将获得书面形式的所有费用明细

卖家和买家经纪人不再能在MLS上查看佣金信息

卖家可能不会大幅降低佣金

房地产销售成本的上升与房价上涨有关

佛罗里达和德克萨斯的市场热度可能达到顶峰

高端房产市场并非不受市场影响

即使利率下降,房地产市场可能仍会上涨

房地产市场的不确定性和挑战

纽约市的房地产市场依然具有吸引力

犯罪率对房地产市场的影响

个人在房地产业的起步和成长

女性在商业竞争中的地位和优势

房地产市场的供需关系和价格趋势

房地产经纪人的角色和市场适应性

Transcripts

00:10

 >> I LOOK FORWARD TO INTERVIEW

00:11

 MY NEXT GUEST.

00:18

 NO ONE KNOWS REAL ESTATE

00:18

 BETTER.

00:23

 GOOD TO SEE YOU.

00:32

 LET ME ASK YOU, WAS THIS

00:33

 REALTOR'S DECISION.

00:40

 THEIR DAYS ARE NUMBERED AT 6%

00:41

 COMMISSION IS GONE, WHAT DOES

00:43

 THAT MEAN.

00:45

 I WANT YOUR TAKE.

00:46

 >> THERE'S A LOT OF CONFUSION

00:48

 AROUND THE TOPIC, THE MOST

00:49

 CONFUSION IS NOW COMMISSIONS

00:50

 ARE NEGOTIABLE.

00:51

 THEY'VE ALWAYS BEEN NEGOTIABLE.

00:54

 THAT HASN'T CHANGED UP.

00:56

 IF YOU ARE A BUYER IN THE

00:57

 MARKETPLACE AND NEED A BROKER

00:58

 TO HELP YOU TO BUY A HOUSE, YOU

01:05

 WILL GET EVERYTHING IN WRITING,

01:06

 GIVEN THEIR COST.

01:09

 THAT'S A GOOD CHANGE.

01:10

 EVEN THOUGH MOST WORKERS ARE

01:11

 DOING IT ANYWAY.

01:13

 THE CONFUSING PART IS SELLERS

01:16

 AND BUYERS BROKERS ARE NOT

01:16

 ALLOWED TO LOOK UP COMMISSIONS

01:19

 ANYMORE ON THE MLS.

01:25

 I WON'T PAO AS A BROKER.

01:28

 THERE IS NO COMMUNICATION OTHER

01:30

 THAN THE MLS, BROKERS ARE IN

01:33

 PARTICULAR.

01:33

 NEIL: SELLER WILL WANT TO BRING

01:34

 IT DOWN.

01:37

 >> NOT NECESSARILY.

01:42

 >> THEY COULD BE NEGOTIATED

01:42

 SLIGHTLY, NOT SO MUCH.

01:47

 SELLERS RECOGNIZE BROKERS

01:49

 BRINGING THEIR BUYERS.

01:55

 I DON'T SEE THAT AS CHANGING AT

02:00

 ALL.

02:02

 HOW IS THAT COMMUNICATED?

02:03

 COMMUNICATION CAUSED THAT.

02:07

 NEIL: ONE OF THE RECENT

02:07

 COMMENTS, THE COST OF SELLING

02:10

 HOMES WILL LIKELY GO DOWN.

02:14

 >> IT'S VERY DIFFERENT.

02:20

 AND GIVE IT TO THE BUYER.

02:27

 AND THEY TAKE ANY SAVINGS, IT

02:31

 HAS BEEN GOING UP.

02:34

 IT'S BEEN GOING UP THE LAST FEW

02:41

 YEARS, AND HOUSE PRICES HAVE

02:41

 GONE UP 6%.

02:46

 AND NOT ENOUGH HOUSES GO

02:47

 AROUND.

02:51

 >> YOU DON'T THINK THERE'S A

02:56

 COMEUPPANCE, THERE'S A TORRID

02:57

 RUN IN PLACES LIKE FLORIDA,

03:01

 TEXAS WAS GOING FAST BUT WE

03:02

 HEAR AUSTIN SLOWING DOWN,

03:05

 FLORIDA IS HITTING A CEILING,

03:06

 DON'T KNOW IF THAT'S THE CASE.

03:12

 WHAT DID YOU THINK?

03:12

 >> I SAID SOMETHING SIMILAR TO

03:13

 THAT.

03:16

 I SAID SOMEONE WAS ASKING IF

03:17

 YOU COULD FIND A GREAT DEAL OF

03:20

 FLORIDA ANYMORE, FLORIDA IS

03:21

 OVER MEANING GETTING A GREAT

03:22

 DEAL BECAUSE PRICES ARE STILL

03:24

 GOING UP AND IT IS THE CASE,

03:24

 IT'S HARD TO FIND A HOUSE IN

03:26

 FLORIDA, YOU NEVER GET A GOOD

03:27

 DEAL.

03:31

 THE PRICE SET IS REALLY WHAT I

03:32

 MEANT BY THAT.

03:32

 NEIL: IT IS A LOW TAX STATE BUT

03:38

 THE REAL ESTATE TAXES, GIVEN

03:40

 THE RISING REAL ESTATE --

03:41

 >> SUBSTANTIAL.

03:42

 PEOPLE THINK ABOUT THAT.

03:45

 LAUREN: 1 NECESSARILY WRITING

03:45

 OFF FLORIDA.

03:49

 ANY MARKET YOU WOULD CONSIDER

03:51

 THAT WOULD GET TOO HOT OR TOO

03:53

 HOT?

03:56

 >> AUSTIN HAS SEEN BAD DAYS.

03:57

 YOU HAVE TO APPRECIATE IT,

04:04

 CONSTRUCTION WAS NONSTOP,

04:05

 OVERSUPPLY OF PLACES TO BUY.

04:08

 THEY ARE COMING DOWN BY 8%.

04:16

 NEIL: THE HIGH END PROPERTY FOR

04:17

 $100 MILLION CONDOS AND

04:20

 PENTHOUSES SEEM TO BE

04:21

 IMPERVIOUS.

04:22

 >> THEY ARE NOT IMPERVIOUS BUT

04:23

 A LOT OF GOOD DEALS ARE BEING

04:25

 MADE.

04:27

 THE TROPHY PROPERTIES THAT ARE

04:30

 VERY VERY EXTRAVAGANT, A LOT OF

04:32

 MONEY BEING EXCHANGED SO YOU

04:36

 CAN GET A DECENT DEAL.

04:38

 THEY ARE ALWAYS CASH

04:40

 TRANSACTIONS.

04:41

 NEIL: A LOT OF FOREIGN BUYERS.

04:42

 >> GOOD NUMBER OF AMERICAN

04:45

 BUYERS, 60% OF THE VERY

04:48

 AFFLUENT PEOPLE BUYING IN

04:49

 MANHATTAN ARE AMERICANS AND

04:50

 THAT'S NOT USUALLY THE CASE.

04:53

 NEIL: THE INTEREST RATE

04:57

 ENVIRONMENT, PEOPLE GET

04:58

 CONCERNED, FEDERAL RESERVE

04:58

 START CUTTING ALREADY.

05:00

 MARKETS HAVE DONE THE OPPOSITE

05:03

 AND BACKED UP A LITTLE BIT.

05:07

 HOW DO YOU EXPLAIN THAT.

05:09

 >> I CAN'T EXPLAIN THE RATES

05:10

 BUT I CAN EXPLAIN IF RATES GO

05:14

 DOWN JUST ANOTHER PERCENTAGE

05:20

 POINT AND PRICES -- EVERY ONE

05:22

 WILL COME OUT, PROBABLY 10

05:26

 BUYERS ON THE SIDELINES, THAT

05:28

 ARE ACTIVELY IN THE MARKETS.

05:32

 EVERYONE WILL CHARGE THE MARKET

05:33

 AND IF YOU WAIT FOR INTEREST

05:34

 RATES TO COME DOWN I DON'T

05:35

 THINK YOU WILL GAIN, YOU WILL

05:37

 PAY MORE.

05:39

 I WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF REAL

05:40

 ESTATE WENT UP IT% OR 10%.

05:50

 IT SOUNDS CRAZY, AND EVERYBODY

05:51

 GETS OUT AND TAKES ADVANTAGE OF

05:52

 IT.

05:56

 NEIL: THERE WERE A LOT OF

05:57

 SPECULATORS.

06:02

 AND IT IS JUST SITTING.

06:07

 AND THE GUARANTEED BUYER.

06:11

 PEOPLE COMING ALONG, BUYERS --

06:15

 DOES THAT LOCALIZED IN SOME

06:16

 PARTS OF IT?

06:18

 >> I AM NOT SURE.

06:22

 I GREW UP IN NEW JERSEY.

06:29

 I DON'T LIKE -- I DON'T LIKE IT

06:30

 TO MEAN NOW IT TO ME NOW.

06:31

 I LIKE NEW YORK CITY.

06:37

 NEIL: MOVING ON TO ANOTHER

06:37

 STATE?

06:42

 YOUR SENSE OF THE ECONOMY, ALL

06:45

 OF THE UNKNOWNS, MULTIPLE WARS

06:49

 GOING ON.

06:50

 STOCKS CLIMB A WALL OF WORRY.

06:56

 >> PEOPLE STALL.

07:04

 AND DESPITE THAT, IT IS THE

07:06

 SHORTAGE OF HOUSES.

07:09

 HE WILL PUSH THE MARKET

07:10

 FORWARD.

07:14

 NEIL: YOU DON'T DABBLE IN

07:16

 SPORTS MUCH.

07:22

 THE PRICE POINTS.

07:27

 I USED TO BUY MY REAL ESTATE IN

07:33

 NEW YORK CITY, I UNDERSTAND

07:35

 RENT CONTROL AND STATE

07:35

 VARIANCES.

07:39

 AND BUYING A LOT IN BALTIMORE

07:44

 AND COLUMBUS BUT YOU KNOW WHY?

07:45

 IT IS A VITAL REAL ESTATE

07:48

 MARKET.

07:49

 GOVERNMENTS ARE FAIRLY TO REAL

07:52

 ESTATE DEVELOPERS AND DO WELL

07:57

 ON FLIPPING OR HOLDING THEM, MY

07:58

 FAVORITE THING.

07:59

 I DO VERY WELL BECAUSE

08:02

 EDUCATING PEOPLE, THERE'S LESS

08:04

 RENT RESTRICTION, PRICES ARE

08:08

 GOING THROUGH THE MOON AND

08:09

 THERE'S ALWAYS ROOM FOR

08:10

 ATTENDANCE COMING IN.

08:14

 I LIKE AREAS OUTSIDE THE CITY.

08:17

 NEIL: YOU LIKE THE CITY MORE TO

08:21

 THE POINT BUT YOU KNOW ABOUT

08:23

 CRIME, DOES THAT SCARE PEOPLE?

08:27

 >> THE ROMANCE, ASK ANY YOUNG

08:29

 PERSON ANYWHERE IN THE DEEP

08:32

 SOUTH OUT WEST IF THEY WANT TO

08:33

 GET THEIR FAIR SHARE.

08:37

 NEW YORK HAS NOT LOST ITS

08:38

 MAGIC.

08:39

 OLDER PEOPLE GRUMBLE AND SAY

08:40

 IT'S NOT WHAT IT USED TO BE.

08:44

 I'VE BEEN HEARING THAT, I SAW

08:48

 THE 70s AND 80s AND 90s.

08:50

 A CHANGE FOR THE BETTER.

08:51

 IT'S A ROUGH TIME WHEN PEOPLE

08:55

 ARE GRUMBLING MORE.

08:57

 ASKED THE YOUNG PERSON WHO JUST

08:58

 ARRIVED HERE AND THERE COMING

08:59

 LIKE CRAZY.

09:01

 NEIL: ARE MORE COMING IN THAN

09:02

 OUT.

09:07

 NEIL: MY GANG IS LEAVING.

09:16

 FOR YOU PERSONALLY, WHEN YOU

09:20

 STARTED OUT, IT WAS A TOUGH

09:21

 ROAD.

09:25

 I WONDER HOW YOU SEE IT NOW.

09:27

 >> IT WAS A TOUGH ROAD FOR

09:32

 CORPORATE.

09:33

 IF YOU ARE IN BUSINESS FOR

09:33

 YOURSELF YOU MAKE YOUR OWN

09:35

 RULES AND HOW FAR YOU WANT TO

09:38

 PUSH THE RISK YOU WANT TO TAKE.

09:41

 NEVER SAW MYSELF AS A WOMAN BUT

09:43

 AS A COMPETITOR AND THAT IS ALL

09:45

 I SAW AND BEING IN BUSINESS FOR

09:48

 MYSELF, THE BEST PLACE TO PLAY

09:52

 ME OUT.

09:57

 IT WASN'T TOUGH.

10:01

 I HAD AN UNFAIR ADVANTAGE OF

10:01

 IT.

10:02

 NEIL: YOU BUILT THAT OUT.

10:08

 AND HAD SOME GENIUSES ON THAT.

10:13

 WHAT DO YOU MEAN BY WELL WORTH

10:13

 IT?

10:14

 >> THE MORE INTELLIGENT A

10:16

 PERSON IS THE MORE HIGH

10:17

 MAINTENANCE THEY ARE.

10:18

 IT'S THE TRUTH, I WOULD GET TOP

10:21

 SALES PEOPLE, I WAS GOOD AT

10:26

 HIRING, NURTURING TO TOP SALES

10:27

 PEOPLE.

10:28

 I WAS A PSYCHIATRIST, A MOTHER,

10:33

 ADVOCATE, BUT IT IS WORTH IT

10:35

 BECAUSE THEY MAKE TEN TIMES

10:35

 MORE MONEY.

10:36

 NEIL: WHAT MADE YOU STAND OUT,

10:41

 SOME PEOPLE ARE SYCOPHANTS, NOT

10:43

 YOUR --

10:44

 >> I'M FASCINATED BY SMART

10:48

 PEOPLE --

10:49

 NEIL: I WANT ALL THESE GUYS TO

10:50

 SUCK UP TO ME.

10:53

 >>