If all humans died, when would the last light go out?

xkcd's What If?
28 May 202405:04

Summary

TLDRIn a hypothetical scenario where humans vanish, the script explores the longevity of artificial light sources. Power grids would fail rapidly without human intervention, causing a blackout. Nuclear reactors might run indefinitely but would likely shut down automatically upon a grid failure. Non-grid-tied sources like diesel generators could last days to months, while geothermal and wind turbines might run for years before succumbing to mechanical issues. Solar power, with its durability and low maintenance, is the most promising, potentially providing light for a century if well-maintained. Interestingly, radioactive waste, emitting Cherenkov radiation, could glow for centuries, making it a contender for the longest-lasting light source.

Takeaways

  • 🌍 Without human intervention, power grids would quickly fail due to the lack of fuel supply and maintenance.
  • 🔋 Fossil fuel plants would shut down within hours, leading to cascading failures and a global blackout.
  • ⚛️ Nuclear reactors could theoretically run indefinitely with their fuel, but would shut down automatically upon any malfunction.
  • 🚜 Diesel generators in remote areas might continue to operate for days to months until their fuel is depleted.
  • 🌋 Geothermal plants could run for a few years without human maintenance, but would eventually succumb to corrosion.
  • 🌬 Wind turbines are designed for low maintenance and could potentially run for decades, with some having status LEDs for light.
  • 💧 Hydroelectric generators, like the Hoover Dam, could continue running on autopilot for several years if the grid were intact.
  • 🔋 Battery-powered lights would last only a few decades due to self-discharge, regardless of usage.
  • ☀️ Solar power is the most promising, with off-grid solar systems potentially providing light for over a century if well-maintained.
  • 💡 Solar-powered lights, especially in remote locations, could be among the last human-made light sources remaining.
  • 🧪 Cherenkov radiation from spent nuclear fuel could provide a faint glow for centuries, making it a long-lasting, albeit unconventional, light source.

Q & A

  • What would be the immediate impact on artificial light sources if humans disappeared from Earth?

    -The major power grids would go down relatively quickly, leading to a rapid series of cascading failures and a blackout of all the major power grids.

  • How would the absence of humans affect the operation of fossil fuel plants?

    -Fossil fuel plants would start shutting down in the first few hours due to the requirement of a steady supply of fuel and the involvement of people in their supply chains.

  • What is the potential longevity of nuclear reactors without human intervention?

    -Nuclear reactors could theoretically continue running almost indefinitely in low-power mode due to the large amount of stored energy in uranium, but they would likely shut down automatically if something went wrong.

  • How long could diesel generators in remote communities continue to provide power?

    -Diesel generators could run until their fuel tanks are empty, which could be anywhere from days to months.

  • What is the expected lifespan of geothermal plants without human maintenance?

    -Geothermal plants might run for a few years without human intervention, but would eventually succumb to corrosion.

  • How long can wind turbines operate without maintenance before they stop working?

    -Modern wind turbines are typically rated to run for 3 years without servicing, and some might operate for decades before their gearboxes seize up.

  • What is the expected operational duration of hydroelectric generators if the power grid is down?

    -Hydroelectric generators, like those at the Hoover Dam, could continue to run on autopilot for several years even if the power grid is down.

  • How long would battery-powered lights last without any use?

    -Battery-powered lights would be off in a few dozen years due to self-discharge, regardless of whether they are in use or not.

  • What is the potential longevity of solar power systems in remote locations?

    -Solar panels, especially in dry locations with well-built electronics, could continue providing power for a century if kept free of dust by occasional breezes or rain.

  • What is Cherenkov radiation and how is it related to light sources?

    -Cherenkov radiation is a blue glow emitted when radioactive particles travel through materials like water or glass, and it is seen in the cores of nuclear reactors.

  • Which could be the last surviving human light source, according to the script?

    -Solar-powered lights in remote locations or the light from spent nuclear fuel in the form of Cherenkov radiation could be the last surviving human light sources.

Outlines

00:00

💡 The Last Artificial Light: Power Grids and Nuclear Reactors

The script begins by addressing Alan's question about the longevity of artificial light sources if humans were to suddenly vanish. It explains that most lights would fail quickly due to the collapse of major power grids, which rely on human maintenance and fuel supply. Fossil fuel plants would shut down within hours, leading to cascading failures and blackouts. Nuclear reactors, while capable of long-term operation, would also shut down automatically if any issues arose, due to their safety protocols. The discussion highlights the interdependence of human activity and the functioning of power infrastructure.

🌍 Alternative Power Sources and Their Durability

This paragraph explores alternative power sources that might outlast the main power grids. It mentions diesel generators in remote communities, which could run for days to months until their fuel is depleted. Off-grid generating stations, especially geothermal plants, are highlighted for their potential to operate without human intervention for several years, although they would eventually succumb to corrosion. The paragraph also discusses wind turbines, which are designed for minimal maintenance and could potentially operate for decades, and hydroelectric generators, which might continue working for several years even without human oversight.

🔋 Battery-Powered and Solar-Powered Lights: The Lasting Light Sources

The script then delves into battery-powered lights, which would eventually fail due to self-discharge over a few dozen years. Solar power is presented as a more promising option, with off-grid solar-powered buildings and remote infrastructure potentially providing light for an extended period. Solar panels are durable and can last as long as the connected electronics, suggesting that with proper maintenance, they could provide power for a century. The paragraph concludes with a discussion of emergency call boxes, often found in remote locations and frequently solar-powered, which could be among the last light sources remaining.

☢️ Radioactive Waste as a Long-Lasting Light Source

The final paragraph introduces a surprising contender for the last remaining light source: spent nuclear fuel. It explains that radioactive materials can emit light through a process called Cherenkov radiation, which is visible in the blue glow of nuclear reactor cores. The script discusses how radioactive waste products, such as cesium-137, are encapsulated in glass blocks that can glow in the dark for centuries due to their radioactivity. The glow would fade over time but remain blue, suggesting that the light from our most toxic waste could be the longest-lasting human-made light source.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Power Grids

Power grids are interconnected networks for delivering electricity from power stations to consumers. In the context of the video's theme, power grids are crucial infrastructure that would rapidly fail without human maintenance, leading to a blackout. The script mentions that 'the major power grids would go down relatively quickly' and that 'a rapid series of cascading failures' would occur, illustrating the immediate impact of human disappearance on electricity supply.

💡Fossil Fuel Plants

Fossil fuel plants are facilities that generate electricity by burning coal, oil, or natural gas. They are significant in the video's narrative as they 'supply the vast majority of the world's electricity.' The script explains that these plants 'require a steady supply of fuel, and their supply chains do involve people doing things,' emphasizing their dependence on human operation and the swift shutdown that would follow human disappearance.

💡Nuclear Reactors

Nuclear reactors are facilities that generate electricity through nuclear fission. The video discusses how 'one reactor operator' mentioned that a reactor in low-power mode 'could continue running almost indefinitely.' However, it also notes that most nuclear reactors would not run for long due to automatic shutdown protocols in case of malfunction, highlighting the contrast between the potential longevity of nuclear energy and the reality of immediate human absence.

💡Geothermal Plants

Geothermal plants are power stations that generate electricity from the Earth's natural heat. The script refers to these plants as being able to 'run for a fair bit of time without human intervention.' It provides the example of the Svartsengi Island geothermal plant in Iceland, which would require maintenance every six months, suggesting that while geothermal plants could operate for a while without humans, they would eventually succumb to corrosion.

💡Wind Power

Wind power is the energy harnessed from wind to generate electricity, typically using wind turbines. The video explains that 'lights relying on wind power would last a bit longer' and mentions the Gedser Wind Turbine in Denmark, which 'generated power for 11 years without maintenance.' It illustrates the durability of wind power but also notes that modern turbines would eventually fail due to mechanical issues like gearbox failures.

💡Hydroelectric Power

Hydroelectric power is electricity generated from the movement of water, often through dams. The script cites an operator at the Hoover Dam who said that 'the facility would continue to run on autopilot for several years' if abandoned. This highlights hydroelectric power's potential for autonomous operation but also acknowledges that without maintenance, issues like clogged intakes could eventually halt its function.

💡Battery-Powered Lights

Battery-powered lights are lighting devices that operate using stored electrical energy in batteries. The video states that 'battery-powered lights would all be off in a few dozen years' due to self-discharge, even without use. This concept is important as it underscores the temporary nature of energy storage solutions without human intervention to replace or recharge batteries.

💡Solar Power

Solar power is electricity generated from sunlight using solar panels. The script describes solar power as 'probably the most promising candidate' for long-term light sources, mentioning off-grid solar-powered buildings and weather stations. It suggests that 'solar panels in a dry place, with well-built electronics, could easily continue providing power for a century,' highlighting solar power's sustainability and potential longevity in the absence of humans.

💡Cherenkov Radiation

Cherenkov radiation is a form of light emitted when a charged particle moves through a medium faster than the speed of light in that medium. The video discusses this phenomenon in the context of radioactive waste products, such as cesium-137, which can emit a blue glow due to Cherenkov radiation. This concept is intriguing as it presents a form of light that could persist for centuries, even from our most toxic waste.

💡Radioactive Waste

Radioactive waste refers to materials that are contaminated with radioactive substances and require special handling and disposal. The script mentions that radioactive waste products like cesium-137, when mixed with glass and shielded, can glow in the dark due to Cherenkov radiation. This serves as a surprising example of a long-lasting light source, with the glow persisting for centuries as the radioactive material decays.

💡Half-Life

Half-life is the time required for half of the radioactive atoms in a sample to decay. The video uses the term in relation to cesium-137, which has a half-life of 30 years. It explains that 'two centuries later, the blocks will still be glowing with 1% of their original radioactivity.' This concept is key to understanding the longevity of the glow from radioactive waste and its potential as a light source.

Highlights

Major power grids would go down relatively quickly without human intervention.

Fossil fuel plants require a steady supply of fuel and their supply chains involve human activities.

A rapid series of cascading failures would lead to a blackout of all major power grids.

Nuclear reactors could theoretically run indefinitely with enough fuel, but would likely shut down automatically upon failure.

Diesel generators in remote communities could run for days to months until fuel runs out.

Geothermal plants can operate for a significant time without human intervention but are susceptible to corrosion.

Wind turbines are designed for minimal maintenance and could potentially run for decades.

Hydroelectric generators, like the Hoover Dam, could continue running on autopilot for several years.

Battery-powered lights will turn off within a few dozen years due to self-discharge.

Solar power is a promising candidate for long-term lighting, with potential for a century of operation if maintained.

Spent nuclear fuel emits Cherenkov radiation, creating a blue glow that could last for centuries.

Cesium-137, a radioactive waste product, can glow blue for over two centuries due to its 30-year half-life.

The color of Cherenkov radiation depends on particle decay energy, not the amount of radiation.

Radioactive waste in concrete vaults could be a source of light for centuries.

Off-grid solar-powered infrastructure, such as emergency call boxes, could be among the last light sources.

The longevity of artificial light sources depends on their ability to operate independently of human maintenance.

The last surviving human light source could be solar-powered lights in remote locations or radioactive waste.

Transcripts

00:00

This question comes from Alan, who asks:

00:02

If every human somehow simply  disappeared from the face of the earth,  

00:05

how long would it be before the last  artificial light source would go out?

00:10

We'll start with the obvious:  most lights wouldn't last long,  

00:13

because the major power grids  would go down relatively quickly.

00:15

Without people, there would  be less demand for power,  

00:17

but our fridges and air conditioners  and lava lamps would still be running.

00:20

Fossil fuel plants, which supply the  vast majority of the world's electricity,  

00:23

require a steady supply of fuel, and their  supply chains do involve people doing things.

00:28

As coal and oil plants started shutting down in  the first few hours, other power sources would get  

00:32

hit with the extra load. This kind of situation  is difficult to handle even with human guidance.

00:36

And the result would be a rapid  series of cascading failures,  

00:38

leading to a blackout of  all the major power grids.

00:41

Nuclear reactors, of course, don’t  require a steady supply of fuel:  

00:44

one reactor operator I talked to said that  if their core settled into low-power mode,  

00:47

it could continue running almost indefinitely;  a cube of uranium contains about six million  

00:51

times as much stored energy as  a similar-sized cube of coal.

00:54

Unfortunately, although there's enough fuel,  most nuclear reactors wouldn't keep running  

00:58

for long. As soon as something went wrong,  the core would go into automatic shutdown.

01:02

Every part of a reactor control system is designed  so that a failure causes it to rapidly shut down.

01:06

This would happen quickly; many  things can trigger shutdown,  

01:09

but the most likely culprit would  be the failure of the power grid.

01:12

However, plenty of light comes from  sources not tied to the major power  

01:15

grids. Let's take a look at a few of  those, and when each one might turn off.

01:18

Many remote communities, like those on far-flung  islands, get their power from diesel generators.

01:23

These can run until their tanks run out of fuel,  

01:25

which in most cases could be  anywhere from days to months.

01:27

Off-grid generating stations that don't need a  

01:29

human-provided fuel supply  would be in better shape.

01:32

Geothermal plants can run for a fair  bit of time without human intervention.

01:35

According to the maintenance schedule for the  Svartsengi Island geothermal plant in Iceland,  

01:39

every six months the operators must change the  

01:41

gearbox oil and re-grease all  electric motors and couplings.

01:44

Without humans to perform these  sorts of maintenance procedures,  

01:46

some plants might run for a few years, but  they'd all succumb to corrosion eventually.

01:50

Lights relying on wind power  would last a bit longer. Wind  

01:52

turbines are designed so that they  don't need constant maintenance,  

01:55

for the simple reason that there are a  lot of them and they're a pain to climb.

01:58

The Gedser Wind Turbine in  Denmark was installed in the  

02:00

late 1950s and it generated power  for 11 years without maintenance.

02:04

Modern turbines are typically rated  to run for 3 years without servicing,  

02:07

and there are no doubt some  which would run for decades,  

02:09

and one of them would probably have  at least a status LED in it somewhere.

02:12

Eventually, most of the wind turbines  would be stopped by the same thing that  

02:15

would destroy the geothermal plants:  Their gearboxes would seize up.

02:18

Generators that convert falling water  into electricity will also keep working.

02:22

An operator at the Hoover Dam once  said that if everyone walked out,  

02:25

the facility would continue to run  on autopilot for several years.

02:28

Though if the power grid is down, all  that electricity would have nowhere to  

02:30

go. In the end the dam would probably  succumb to clogged intakes or the same  

02:34

kind of mechanical failure that hit the  wind turbines and geothermal plants.

02:38

Battery-powered lights wouldn’t fare much  better, and will all be off in a few dozen years.

02:42

Even without anything using their power,  batteries eventually self-discharge.

02:45

Some types last longer than others, but  even batteries advertised as having long  

02:49

shelf lives typically only hold  their charge for a decade or two.

02:52

Solar power is probably the most promising  candidate. There are many off-grid solar-powered  

02:56

buildings, weather stations, and other remote  infrastructure around the world. Emergency call  

03:00

boxes, often found along the side of the road in  remote locations, are frequently solar-powered.

03:04

They usually have lights on them, which provide  illumination every night. Like wind turbines,  

03:08

they're hard to service, and  they last for a long time.

03:11

Solar panels will generally last as long  as the electronics connected to them,  

03:14

and as long as the panels are  kept free of dust and debris.

03:17

The wires and circuits will eventually succumb  to corrosion, but solar panels in a dry place,  

03:21

with well-built electronics, could easily  continue providing power for a century if  

03:25

they're kept free of dust by occasional  breezes or rain on the exposed panels.

03:29

If we follow a strict definition of  lighting, solar-powered lights in  

03:32

remote locations could conceivably be  the last surviving human light source.

03:36

But there's another contender, and  it's a weird one: spent nuclear fuel.

03:40

Contrary to popular portrayals,  radioactivity isn't usually visible,  

03:44

which is part of why we need warning signs  around areas with radioactive materials or waste.

03:47

Sure, watch dials used to be coated in  small amounts of radium to help them  

03:51

glow in the dark, but the glow didn't  come from the radioactivity itself.

03:54

It came from the phosphorescent paint on top of  the radium, which glows when it’s irradiated.

03:58

Once the phosphorescent paint breaks down,  

04:00

the watch dials are still  radioactive, but no longer glow. 

04:03

Watch dials, however, are not our  only radioactive light source.

04:06

When radioactive particles travel  through materials like water or glass,  

04:09

they can emit light through  a sort of optical sonic boom.

04:12

This light is called Cherenkov radiation,  and it's seen in the distinctive blue  

04:15

glow of nuclear reactor cores. Some of our  radioactive waste products, such as cesium-137,  

04:19

are melted and mixed with glass, which cools  into a solid block before being wrapped in  

04:23

more shielding for transport and storage. And in the dark, these glass blocks glow blue.

04:29

Cesium-137 has a half-life of 30 years,  which means that two centuries later,  

04:33

the blocks will still be glowing with  1% of their original radioactivity.

04:37

Since the color of the light depends only on  the particle decay energy, and not the amount  

04:40

of radiation, it will fade in brightness  over time but keep that same blue color.

04:45

And thus, we arrive at our  answer: Centuries from now,  

04:47

deep in concrete vaults, the light from  our most toxic waste will still be shining.

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Verwandte Tags
Post-HumanPower GridsNuclear ReactorsRenewable EnergyGeothermalWind PowerSolar PowerBattery LifeRadioactive LightCheremkov Radiation
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