Barbara Corcoran reveals when housing prices ‘will go through the roof’
Summary
TLDRThe transcript discusses the current state of the real estate market, highlighting that commissions are negotiable and have always been so. It emphasizes the importance of transparent communication between buyers and brokers. The conversation touches on the rising costs of selling homes and the impact of interest rates on the market. The guest speaker shares insights on the resilience of high-end property sales and the potential for real estate prices to increase further. The discussion also covers the attraction of New York City and other markets, the challenges of starting in real estate, and the value of intelligence and sales skills in the industry.
Takeaways
- 📜 The conversation revolves around the current state and future predictions of the real estate market, with a focus on commissions, market trends, and the impact of external factors.
- 💬 Commissions in real estate have always been negotiable and this fact has not changed despite the confusion surrounding the topic.
- 📝 There is now more transparency as brokers are required to provide everything in writing regarding their costs to buyers.
- 🚫 The MLS no longer displays commission rates, which may cause confusion for both sellers and buyers brokers.
- 🔄 Sellers recognize the value that brokers bring by connecting buyers, and this dynamic is not expected to change significantly.
- 📉 The cost of selling homes may decrease, but the overall trend has been increasing along with house prices.
- 🌆 Specific markets like Austin and Florida are mentioned as experiencing shifts, with some areas seeing a slowdown or reaching a price ceiling.
- 🏦 High-end property sales, while not impervious to market trends, still see substantial transactions and can offer good deals.
- 💹 Interest rate environments and speculations about future cuts by the Federal Reserve have not deterred the market; instead, they've caused a slight backup.
- 🌐 Despite global uncertainties and multiple ongoing conflicts, the shortage of houses continues to drive the market forward.
- 🏙️ New York City is highlighted as a resilient market that retains its appeal, with less rent restriction and more opportunities for real estate investment.
Q & A
What is the main topic of discussion in the interview?
-The main topic of discussion is the current state and future of the real estate market, specifically focusing on the negotiability of commissions and the impact on realtors, buyers, and sellers.
What has changed regarding commissions in the real estate market?
-The change is that commissions are now more openly acknowledged as negotiable, which has always been the case, but is now more transparent to buyers who receive everything in writing regarding costs.
Why is communication about commissions not allowed on the MLS?
-Communication about commissions is not allowed on the MLS to prevent sellers and buyers brokers from looking up commission rates, which could potentially influence their negotiations and decisions.
How might the commission structure affect sellers in the real estate market?
-Sellers might not necessarily want to lower the commission as they recognize the value that brokers bring by connecting their buyers. The commission rates might be negotiated slightly, but the overall structure is not expected to change significantly.
What is the current trend in the cost of selling homes?
-The cost of selling homes has been increasing over the past few years, along with house prices. This trend is expected to continue, making it harder to find a good deal in certain markets.
How does the real estate market in Florida look currently?
-The real estate market in Florida is considered overpriced, meaning it's becoming harder to find great deals there. Prices continue to rise, and the market is not as forgiving as it once was.
What is the impact of low-interest rates on the real estate market?
-Low-interest rates could potentially bring more buyers into the market, increasing competition and possibly driving up prices. Waiting for interest rates to decrease might not be beneficial as it could lead to higher costs in the long run.
How does the guest view the potential of the Austin real estate market?
-Austin has seen oversupply in the past, leading to a drop in property prices by 8%. However, the market is expected to stabilize, and the guest does not see it as a market that will get too hot or cold.
What is the guest's perspective on high-end property sales?
-Even in the high-end property market, there are good deals to be found, especially in cash transactions. The guest notes that a significant number of affluent American buyers are participating in these markets.
How does the guest approach the real estate business?
-The guest approaches real estate as a competitor and focuses on educating people about the market. She has found success in investing in areas outside of major cities and appreciates the potential for growth and return in these areas.
What does the guest see as the key to success in the real estate market?
-The guest believes that intelligence and the ability to hire and nurture top salespeople are key to success. She sees herself as a competitor and has built her business on these principles.
Outlines
🏠 Real Estate Market Dynamics
The paragraph discusses the current state of the real estate market, focusing on the negotiability of commissions for realtors. It highlights that commissions have always been negotiable and that this fact has not changed. The conversation touches on the transparency of costs for buyers and the restrictions on sellers and buyers' brokers looking up commissions on the MLS. The impact of these changes on the market, including the potential for costs to go down for sellers and the recognition of brokers' value by sellers, is also explored. Additionally, the discussion includes observations on the housing market in Florida and Texas, noting the high prices and the difficulty in finding good deals due to rising costs and demand.
📉 Interest Rates and Market Speculation
This paragraph delves into the impact of interest rates on the real estate market. It suggests that if interest rates were to decrease by another percentage point, it could potentially bring out more buyers who are currently on the sidelines, driving up the market. The speaker advises against waiting for interest rates to decrease, as it may lead to higher costs in the long run. The conversation also addresses the role of speculators in the market and the localized effects of their activities. Personal experiences and preferences in real estate investment locations are shared, emphasizing the importance of understanding local market dynamics and government policies towards real estate development.
💼 Career and Business in Real Estate
The final paragraph focuses on the speaker's personal journey and perspective in the real estate business. It contrasts the challenges faced by corporate entities with the opportunities available for individuals who are self-employed in the industry. The speaker shares insights on the importance of being a competitor and making one's own rules in business. The discussion also touches on the speaker's approach to hiring and nurturing top salespeople, emphasizing the value of intelligence and the high maintenance required for such individuals. The paragraph concludes with a reflection on the speaker's unique advantages in the real estate field.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Real Estate
💡Commission
💡MLS (Multiple Listing Service)
💡Negotiable
💡Buyer's Broker
💡Interest Rates
💡Market Trends
💡Property Taxes
💡Affluent Buyers
💡Real Estate Investment
💡Urban Development
💡Economic Factors
Highlights
Real estate expert discusses the current state of the market and the impact of commission negotiability.
Commissions in real estate have always been negotiable, and this aspect has not changed.
Buyers now receive everything in writing regarding the cost of brokers, which is a positive change for transparency.
Sellers and buyers brokers are no longer allowed to look up commissions on the MLS, a change that may affect communication between parties.
The guest believes that the commission rates will not significantly decrease, as sellers recognize the value brokers bring by finding buyers.
There is a misconception that the cost of selling homes will decrease, but the guest argues that prices have been increasing.
The guest suggests that the high demand for homes in certain markets like Florida and Texas may be slowing down.
Even in a seller's market, the guest notes that good deals can still be found, especially for high-end properties.
The guest comments on the role of foreign and American buyers in the Manhattan real estate market.
The interest rate environment is discussed, with the guest suggesting that if rates decrease, more buyers may enter the market.
The guest shares a personal anecdote about growing up in New Jersey and the current state of the real estate market there.
The guest's perspective on the impact of local economies and government policies on real estate markets is provided.
The guest discusses the enduring appeal of New York City for young people and the city's ability to adapt over time.
The guest's experience as a woman in the real estate business and her approach to competition is highlighted.
The importance of intelligence and high maintenance in top salespeople is emphasized by the guest.
The guest's strategy for standing out in the real estate market is revealed, including her fascination with smart people.
Transcripts
>> I LOOK FORWARD TO INTERVIEW
MY NEXT GUEST.
NO ONE KNOWS REAL ESTATE
BETTER.
GOOD TO SEE YOU.
LET ME ASK YOU, WAS THIS
REALTOR'S DECISION.
THEIR DAYS ARE NUMBERED AT 6%
COMMISSION IS GONE, WHAT DOES
THAT MEAN.
I WANT YOUR TAKE.
>> THERE'S A LOT OF CONFUSION
AROUND THE TOPIC, THE MOST
CONFUSION IS NOW COMMISSIONS
ARE NEGOTIABLE.
THEY'VE ALWAYS BEEN NEGOTIABLE.
THAT HASN'T CHANGED UP.
IF YOU ARE A BUYER IN THE
MARKETPLACE AND NEED A BROKER
TO HELP YOU TO BUY A HOUSE, YOU
WILL GET EVERYTHING IN WRITING,
GIVEN THEIR COST.
THAT'S A GOOD CHANGE.
EVEN THOUGH MOST WORKERS ARE
DOING IT ANYWAY.
THE CONFUSING PART IS SELLERS
AND BUYERS BROKERS ARE NOT
ALLOWED TO LOOK UP COMMISSIONS
ANYMORE ON THE MLS.
I WON'T PAO AS A BROKER.
THERE IS NO COMMUNICATION OTHER
THAN THE MLS, BROKERS ARE IN
PARTICULAR.
NEIL: SELLER WILL WANT TO BRING
IT DOWN.
>> NOT NECESSARILY.
>> THEY COULD BE NEGOTIATED
SLIGHTLY, NOT SO MUCH.
SELLERS RECOGNIZE BROKERS
BRINGING THEIR BUYERS.
I DON'T SEE THAT AS CHANGING AT
ALL.
HOW IS THAT COMMUNICATED?
COMMUNICATION CAUSED THAT.
NEIL: ONE OF THE RECENT
COMMENTS, THE COST OF SELLING
HOMES WILL LIKELY GO DOWN.
>> IT'S VERY DIFFERENT.
AND GIVE IT TO THE BUYER.
AND THEY TAKE ANY SAVINGS, IT
HAS BEEN GOING UP.
IT'S BEEN GOING UP THE LAST FEW
YEARS, AND HOUSE PRICES HAVE
GONE UP 6%.
AND NOT ENOUGH HOUSES GO
AROUND.
>> YOU DON'T THINK THERE'S A
COMEUPPANCE, THERE'S A TORRID
RUN IN PLACES LIKE FLORIDA,
TEXAS WAS GOING FAST BUT WE
HEAR AUSTIN SLOWING DOWN,
FLORIDA IS HITTING A CEILING,
DON'T KNOW IF THAT'S THE CASE.
WHAT DID YOU THINK?
>> I SAID SOMETHING SIMILAR TO
THAT.
I SAID SOMEONE WAS ASKING IF
YOU COULD FIND A GREAT DEAL OF
FLORIDA ANYMORE, FLORIDA IS
OVER MEANING GETTING A GREAT
DEAL BECAUSE PRICES ARE STILL
GOING UP AND IT IS THE CASE,
IT'S HARD TO FIND A HOUSE IN
FLORIDA, YOU NEVER GET A GOOD
DEAL.
THE PRICE SET IS REALLY WHAT I
MEANT BY THAT.
NEIL: IT IS A LOW TAX STATE BUT
THE REAL ESTATE TAXES, GIVEN
THE RISING REAL ESTATE --
>> SUBSTANTIAL.
PEOPLE THINK ABOUT THAT.
LAUREN: 1 NECESSARILY WRITING
OFF FLORIDA.
ANY MARKET YOU WOULD CONSIDER
THAT WOULD GET TOO HOT OR TOO
HOT?
>> AUSTIN HAS SEEN BAD DAYS.
YOU HAVE TO APPRECIATE IT,
CONSTRUCTION WAS NONSTOP,
OVERSUPPLY OF PLACES TO BUY.
THEY ARE COMING DOWN BY 8%.
NEIL: THE HIGH END PROPERTY FOR
$100 MILLION CONDOS AND
PENTHOUSES SEEM TO BE
IMPERVIOUS.
>> THEY ARE NOT IMPERVIOUS BUT
A LOT OF GOOD DEALS ARE BEING
MADE.
THE TROPHY PROPERTIES THAT ARE
VERY VERY EXTRAVAGANT, A LOT OF
MONEY BEING EXCHANGED SO YOU
CAN GET A DECENT DEAL.
THEY ARE ALWAYS CASH
TRANSACTIONS.
NEIL: A LOT OF FOREIGN BUYERS.
>> GOOD NUMBER OF AMERICAN
BUYERS, 60% OF THE VERY
AFFLUENT PEOPLE BUYING IN
MANHATTAN ARE AMERICANS AND
THAT'S NOT USUALLY THE CASE.
NEIL: THE INTEREST RATE
ENVIRONMENT, PEOPLE GET
CONCERNED, FEDERAL RESERVE
START CUTTING ALREADY.
MARKETS HAVE DONE THE OPPOSITE
AND BACKED UP A LITTLE BIT.
HOW DO YOU EXPLAIN THAT.
>> I CAN'T EXPLAIN THE RATES
BUT I CAN EXPLAIN IF RATES GO
DOWN JUST ANOTHER PERCENTAGE
POINT AND PRICES -- EVERY ONE
WILL COME OUT, PROBABLY 10
BUYERS ON THE SIDELINES, THAT
ARE ACTIVELY IN THE MARKETS.
EVERYONE WILL CHARGE THE MARKET
AND IF YOU WAIT FOR INTEREST
RATES TO COME DOWN I DON'T
THINK YOU WILL GAIN, YOU WILL
PAY MORE.
I WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF REAL
ESTATE WENT UP IT% OR 10%.
IT SOUNDS CRAZY, AND EVERYBODY
GETS OUT AND TAKES ADVANTAGE OF
IT.
NEIL: THERE WERE A LOT OF
SPECULATORS.
AND IT IS JUST SITTING.
AND THE GUARANTEED BUYER.
PEOPLE COMING ALONG, BUYERS --
DOES THAT LOCALIZED IN SOME
PARTS OF IT?
>> I AM NOT SURE.
I GREW UP IN NEW JERSEY.
I DON'T LIKE -- I DON'T LIKE IT
TO MEAN NOW IT TO ME NOW.
I LIKE NEW YORK CITY.
NEIL: MOVING ON TO ANOTHER
STATE?
YOUR SENSE OF THE ECONOMY, ALL
OF THE UNKNOWNS, MULTIPLE WARS
GOING ON.
STOCKS CLIMB A WALL OF WORRY.
>> PEOPLE STALL.
AND DESPITE THAT, IT IS THE
SHORTAGE OF HOUSES.
HE WILL PUSH THE MARKET
FORWARD.
NEIL: YOU DON'T DABBLE IN
SPORTS MUCH.
THE PRICE POINTS.
I USED TO BUY MY REAL ESTATE IN
NEW YORK CITY, I UNDERSTAND
RENT CONTROL AND STATE
VARIANCES.
AND BUYING A LOT IN BALTIMORE
AND COLUMBUS BUT YOU KNOW WHY?
IT IS A VITAL REAL ESTATE
MARKET.
GOVERNMENTS ARE FAIRLY TO REAL
ESTATE DEVELOPERS AND DO WELL
ON FLIPPING OR HOLDING THEM, MY
FAVORITE THING.
I DO VERY WELL BECAUSE
EDUCATING PEOPLE, THERE'S LESS
RENT RESTRICTION, PRICES ARE
GOING THROUGH THE MOON AND
THERE'S ALWAYS ROOM FOR
ATTENDANCE COMING IN.
I LIKE AREAS OUTSIDE THE CITY.
NEIL: YOU LIKE THE CITY MORE TO
THE POINT BUT YOU KNOW ABOUT
CRIME, DOES THAT SCARE PEOPLE?
>> THE ROMANCE, ASK ANY YOUNG
PERSON ANYWHERE IN THE DEEP
SOUTH OUT WEST IF THEY WANT TO
GET THEIR FAIR SHARE.
NEW YORK HAS NOT LOST ITS
MAGIC.
OLDER PEOPLE GRUMBLE AND SAY
IT'S NOT WHAT IT USED TO BE.
I'VE BEEN HEARING THAT, I SAW
THE 70s AND 80s AND 90s.
A CHANGE FOR THE BETTER.
IT'S A ROUGH TIME WHEN PEOPLE
ARE GRUMBLING MORE.
ASKED THE YOUNG PERSON WHO JUST
ARRIVED HERE AND THERE COMING
LIKE CRAZY.
NEIL: ARE MORE COMING IN THAN
OUT.
NEIL: MY GANG IS LEAVING.
FOR YOU PERSONALLY, WHEN YOU
STARTED OUT, IT WAS A TOUGH
ROAD.
I WONDER HOW YOU SEE IT NOW.
>> IT WAS A TOUGH ROAD FOR
CORPORATE.
IF YOU ARE IN BUSINESS FOR
YOURSELF YOU MAKE YOUR OWN
RULES AND HOW FAR YOU WANT TO
PUSH THE RISK YOU WANT TO TAKE.
NEVER SAW MYSELF AS A WOMAN BUT
AS A COMPETITOR AND THAT IS ALL
I SAW AND BEING IN BUSINESS FOR
MYSELF, THE BEST PLACE TO PLAY
ME OUT.
IT WASN'T TOUGH.
I HAD AN UNFAIR ADVANTAGE OF
IT.
NEIL: YOU BUILT THAT OUT.
AND HAD SOME GENIUSES ON THAT.
WHAT DO YOU MEAN BY WELL WORTH
IT?
>> THE MORE INTELLIGENT A
PERSON IS THE MORE HIGH
MAINTENANCE THEY ARE.
IT'S THE TRUTH, I WOULD GET TOP
SALES PEOPLE, I WAS GOOD AT
HIRING, NURTURING TO TOP SALES
PEOPLE.
I WAS A PSYCHIATRIST, A MOTHER,
ADVOCATE, BUT IT IS WORTH IT
BECAUSE THEY MAKE TEN TIMES
MORE MONEY.
NEIL: WHAT MADE YOU STAND OUT,
SOME PEOPLE ARE SYCOPHANTS, NOT
YOUR --
>> I'M FASCINATED BY SMART
PEOPLE --
NEIL: I WANT ALL THESE GUYS TO
SUCK UP TO ME.
>>
5.0 / 5 (0 votes)
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