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18 Apr 202434:38

Summary

TLDR根据新闻报道,以色列导弹在周五清晨袭击了伊朗的一个地点,这是继伊朗对以色列前所未有的导弹和无人机袭击后,中东紧张局势进一步升级的事件之一。报道还提到了在叙利亚和伊拉克的巴格达地区听到的爆炸声。以色列媒体播放了伊斯法罕上空伊朗防空系统被激活的视频,尽管爆炸的原因尚不清楚。分析人士指出,以色列可能在回应伊朗的攻击,同时避免与美国的压力直接冲突,可能选择在区域范围内对伊朗的利益进行有限的报复,而不是直接对伊朗本土进行大规模攻击。这一系列的事件与以色列和哈马斯的冲突紧密相关,伊朗长期以来一直支持哈马斯等反以色列的组织。目前,国际社会和区域盟友对以色列施加了巨大压力,要求其不要进一步升级局势。

Takeaways

  • 🚨 以色列导弹袭击了伊朗的一个地点,这是根据ABC新闻和耶路撒冷邮报的报道。
  • 📍 据报道,除了伊朗外,在叙利亚和伊拉克的巴格达地区也发生了爆炸。
  • 🇮🇷 伊朗的伊斯法罕地区被特别提及,该地区有核设施,对以色列具有战略和象征意义。
  • 💥 有视频显示伊斯法罕上空激活了伊朗的防空系统。
  • 📹 社交媒体上伊斯法罕成为热门话题,该地区可能因核项目而受到关注。
  • 🛫 商业航班开始绕过伊朗西部飞行,这可能与伊斯法罕的爆炸有关。
  • 🌐 紧张局势波及中东地区,包括以色列与哈马斯的冲突,以及伊朗支持的抵抗组织。
  • 🔄 以色列和伊朗之间的冲突可能会影响该地区的代理冲突,包括可能的黎巴嫩真主党和也门胡塞武装的行动。
  • ❓ 以色列是否对此次袭击负责,以及袭击的具体目标,将影响伊朗的反应和未来的冲突走向。
  • 🔍 以色列过去在伊朗进行过秘密行动,但很少公开宣称对伊朗境内的攻击负责。
  • 🗣️ 国际社会对以色列施加压力,要求其不要进一步升级局势,这可能会限制以色列的回应方式。

Q & A

  • 根据报道,以色列导弹袭击的目标是什么?

    -根据报道,以色列导弹袭击的目标是伊朗的一个地点,具体发生在伊斯法罕。伊斯法罕是伊朗具有战略意义的地区,自2004年以来一直是核设施和相关研究的所在地。

  • 伊朗、伊拉克和叙利亚发生爆炸的报道是如何的?

    -报道指出,在伊朗、伊拉克和叙利亚发生了爆炸。这些爆炸与以色列导弹袭击的报道几乎同时发生,但目前尚未有独立的信息来源证实这些爆炸的具体原因。

  • 以色列为何可能选择在伊斯法罕进行袭击?

    -伊斯法罕是伊朗的一个重要战略地点,拥有核设施,对以色列而言具有象征意义。以色列可能选择在这里进行袭击,一方面是为了传递战略信息,另一方面可能是为了回应伊朗之前的攻击,同时避免过度激化与美国的紧张关系。

  • 国际社会对以色列可能的报复行动有何反应?

    -国际社会,包括美国、欧盟以及其他以色列的盟友和非盟友国家,都对以色列施加了压力,要求其不要进一步激化局势。同时,以色列内部也有声音反对过度升级冲突。

  • 以色列和伊朗之间的紧张关系如何与以色列-哈马斯冲突相联系?

    -伊朗长期以来一直支持被称为“抵抗阵线”的组织,反对以色列和任何与以色列正常化关系的行动。这包括对哈马斯等组织的资助和武装,这些组织反对与以色列和平共处。因此,伊朗在以色列-哈马斯冲突中扮演了重要角色。

  • 伊朗对以色列可能的报复行动有何回应?

    -伊朗已经表明,如果以色列进行报复,它将进行反击,并且可能引入新的武器到冲突中。伊朗还暗示,如果以色列在其领土上发动袭击,伊朗将采取新的战术或策略。

  • 以色列是否有可能对伊拉克和叙利亚的袭击负责?

    -虽然报道中提到了伊拉克和叙利亚的爆炸事件,但目前没有确凿证据表明这些袭击是以色列所为。以色列尚未对这些事件发表评论,也没有声明对这些袭击负责。

  • 以色列是否有可能激活其在该地区的代理进行报复?

    -以色列有能力激活其在该地区的代理进行报复,但是否这样做将取决于以色列对当前局势的评估以及其与美国等盟友的协商结果。

  • 伊朗关闭其东部城市领空的原因是什么?

    -伊朗关闭其东部城市领空可能是对可能的攻击或威胁的反应。这表明伊朗可能预计会有更多的军事活动发生,并且正在采取预防措施。

  • 以色列是否有可能在不激化全面战争的情况下进行有限的报复?

    -以色列有可能进行有限的报复,以展示其军事能力并回应伊朗的攻击,同时避免激化成全面战争。这可能涉及到对伊朗在该地区的某些利益进行打击。

  • 以色列和伊朗之间的紧张关系如何影响中东地区的稳定?

    -以色列和伊朗之间的紧张关系对中东地区的稳定构成了重大威胁。两国之间的直接冲突可能会导致该地区更广泛的冲突,涉及多个国家和代理,从而加剧地区不稳定。

Outlines

00:00

📰 以色列对伊朗目标进行导弹打击

Austin Westfall报道了一则突发新闻,提到以色列导弹打击了伊朗的一个地点。报道中提到了来自Fox News的Trey Yin的推文,他正在追踪有关伊朗、伊拉克和叙利亚大规模爆炸的报道。耶路撒冷邮报的报道指出,这次打击发生在周五早晨,此前有当地消息源报告了在伊朗中部、叙利亚和伊拉克巴格达地区及巴比伦省的爆炸声。此外,还有来自伊斯法罕的视频,显示伊朗的空中防御系统被激活。尽管爆炸的原因尚不清楚,但ABC新闻和耶路撒冷邮报都报道了以色列的这次导弹打击。

05:01

💣 分析以色列的战术意图和国际压力

Dr. Alan Bursting分析了以色列可能的战术意图,指出伊斯法罕是一个具有战略和象征意义的地点,自2004年以来就有核设施。虽然不能确定打击是否针对核设施,但该地区的打击具有重要的象征意义。此外,Alan还讨论了以色列可能采取的行动,包括对伊朗在伊拉克和叙利亚的战略目标进行打击,甚至可能在也门采取行动。他提到,以色列可能在不激化局势的前提下,通过选择性的目标打击来满足国内外的政治需求。

10:01

🕹️ 以色列和美国的谈判及其对伊朗的态度

报道中提到了以色列和美国之间的谈判,以及美国对以色列不要进一步激化局势的压力。美国在联合国安全理事会使用否决权,阻止了巴勒斯坦成为联合国的正式会员国,这可能影响以色列对伊朗的行动。此外,还有关于以色列可能对加沙南部城镇拉法进行入侵的讨论,作为不对伊朗进行大规模报复的交换条件。

15:03

🌐 以色列对伊朗的区域性打击及其战略意义

讨论了以色列可能对伊朗进行的区域性打击,包括对叙利亚和伊拉克的打击,以及可能对也门的行动。这些行动旨在回应伊朗的攻击,并展示以色列的反击能力,同时避免直接与伊朗进行全面战争。报道还提到了以色列对伊朗的直接攻击的可能性,以及这种攻击对区域局势的影响。

20:04

🔄 伊朗对以色列报复行动的可能反应

报道了伊朗对以色列报复行动的立场,伊朗试图通过其攻击引入一种新的策略阶段,改变了与以色列的代理战争的规则。以色列担心如果不对伊朗的攻击进行回应,将会导致未来每次对伊朗目标的攻击都会遭到伊朗的直接反击。伊朗声称,如果以色列再次发动攻击,它将引入一种新武器到冲突中,这可能是一种威胁,也可能是伊朗发展新武器的信号。

25:04

🤝 伊朗与哈马斯的联盟及其对以色列的影响

讨论了伊朗与哈马斯之间的联盟,以及伊朗在以色列-哈马斯冲突中的立场。自1991年以来,伊朗一直资助哈马斯,作为抵抗运动的一部分,反对与以色列的和平进程。此外,伊朗还在区域内支持多个与哈马斯立场相同的组织,包括真主党和也门的胡塞武装。这些组织都反对以色列和巴勒斯坦人之间的和平,并且伊朗通过资助和武装这些组织,增加了其在地区冲突中的影响力。

✈️ 以色列可能的多地同时攻击及其后果

报道了以色列可能同时在伊朗、伊拉克和叙利亚进行攻击的情况,以及这种攻击的潜在后果。强调了以色列可能不会公开宣称对这些攻击负责,这将使伊朗难以做出回应。同时,报道指出了以色列过去在伊朗进行的秘密行动,并讨论了以色列可能针对的具体目标,以及这些目标被攻击的具体情况。这些因素将决定伊朗是否会进行报复,以及这将如何影响以色列-哈马斯战争的走向。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡以色列

以色列是一个位于中东的国家,视频中提到以色列与哈马斯的冲突,以及以色列对伊朗的导弹袭击,显示了以色列在地区冲突中的中心角色。

💡哈马斯

哈马斯是一个巴勒斯坦的伊斯兰政治和军事组织,视频中提到以色列与哈马斯的战争,表明哈马斯是以色列在加沙地带的主要对抗力量。

💡伊朗

伊朗是中东地区的一个国家,视频中提到伊朗与以色列之间的紧张关系,包括以色列对伊朗的导弹袭击,以及伊朗对以色列的威胁和可能的军事回应。

💡导弹袭击

导弹袭击是指使用导弹对特定目标进行的军事打击,视频中多次提到以色列对伊朗的导弹袭击,这是以色列军事行动的一部分,也是地区紧张局势的体现。

💡核设施

核设施是指用于核能生产、研究或武器制造的设施,视频中提到伊朗的核设施,暗示这些设施可能是以色列导弹袭击的目标。

💡地区冲突

地区冲突指的是在特定地理区域内发生的军事或政治争端,视频中讨论了以色列与周边国家和组织的冲突,包括哈马斯和伊朗,体现了中东地区的复杂局势。

💡战略目标

战略目标是指在军事或政治上具有重要意义的目标,视频中提到以色列可能针对伊朗的战略目标进行打击,如核设施或军事基地,这些目标对国家的安全和军事策略至关重要。

💡国际压力

国际压力是指来自其他国家或国际组织的外交或政治影响,视频中提到国际社会对以色列施加压力,要求其不要进一步升级冲突。

💡代理人战争

代理人战争是指两个国家通过支持第三方势力进行间接冲突,视频中提到伊朗通过支持哈马斯等组织与以色列进行间接对抗,这是中东冲突的一个特点。

💡军事回应

军事回应是指一个国家对军事攻击或威胁采取的反击措施,视频中讨论了伊朗可能对以色列的导弹袭击进行军事回应,反映了国家间的紧张关系。

💡地区紧张局势

地区紧张局势是指一个地区内国家间因政治、军事或其他因素导致的紧张关系,视频中提到的以色列、伊朗、叙利亚和伊拉克等国家的动态,展示了中东地区紧张局势的复杂性。

Highlights

有报道称以色列导弹袭击了伊朗的一个地点,这是根据ABC新闻和耶路撒冷邮报的报道。

在以色列、叙利亚和伊拉克发生了大爆炸的报道。

有关伊朗伊斯法罕地区空中防御系统被激活的视频出现。

伊朗机构报道在伊斯法罕东部和伊斯法罕机场附近听到了爆炸声。

以色列可能针对伊朗核设施进行象征性打击。

存在国际压力,特别是来自美国的压力,要求以色列不要进一步激化局势。

以色列可能对伊拉克和叙利亚的伊朗利益进行更大规模的报复。

以色列可能在也门对胡塞武装进行报复性打击。

以色列和哈马斯的冲突与伊朗的关系,包括伊朗对哈马斯的资助。

伊朗关闭了伊斯法罕、设拉子和达兰东部的领空。

伊朗对以色列的攻击是试图改变游戏规则,直接对以色列进行打击。

以色列可能不会对伊朗进行大规模的攻击,而是选择在区域范围内进行有限的报复。

以色列和美国之间就以色列可能在加沙地带的拉法行动进行了谈判。

以色列可能通过精确打击伊朗的战略城市来传递信息,而不升级为全面区域战争。

伊朗可能通过其代理组织,如哈马斯或真主党,进行报复。

以色列对伊朗的直接打击是前所未有的,这可能会改变两国之间的冲突性质。

伊朗在中东地区支持多个什叶派民兵组织,以扩大其地区影响力。

以色列是否对此次袭击负责,以及袭击的具体目标,将决定伊朗的反应和后续局势的发展。

Transcripts

00:00

us whether all right, so

00:01

we're going to break into

00:02

this. We do have some

00:03

breaking news to share.

00:04

I'm Austin Westfall. I'll be

00:05

on the desk with you for

00:06

the next few hours as we

00:08

cover. largely the Israel.

00:10

Hamas War take a look at

00:10

this tweet from Fox News

00:12

foreign correspondent. Trey

00:14

Yin saying he is following

00:16

reports of large explosions

00:19

and Iran. Iraq. and Syria

00:20

working to confirm and

00:21

gather. more information

00:22

Now, I'm going to read

00:24

a little bit from the

00:25

Jerusalem Post who was

00:27

saying that an Israeli

00:29

missile strike targeted a

00:30

site in Iran early Friday

00:31

morning according to ABC

00:33

News. the report came

00:36

shortly after. local sources

00:37

reported explosions in

00:40

well as in the AUA.

00:41

governent of Southern Syria

00:44

and in the Baghdad area and

00:48

babil gait, uh, governorate

00:49

of Iraq early Friday

00:49

morning, so we're we're

00:52

kind of getting details in

00:53

fluidly right now. what

00:55

we're hearing is that

00:56

there are videos reportedly

00:58

from ispahan, which is in

01:00

Iran. appearing to show

01:01

Iranian air defenses.

01:03

activated in the sky over

01:06

the area. the Iranian

01:08

agency reported that an

01:10

explosion Was Heard uh east

01:13

of vahan and near the

01:16

is van. Airport. bars

01:16

stressed that the cause of

01:18

the explosion was unknown as

01:20

of yet. But again, I will

01:23

reiterate and Israeli missile

01:24

strike targeted a site in

01:26

Iran early Friday morning

01:27

according to ABC News the

01:29

Jerusalem Post. saying that

01:30

the report came shortly

01:32

after local sources reported

01:34

explosions. in central Iran

01:36

as well as in Syria. and

01:38

in Iraq. as well, This is

01:39

a story that we're following

01:41

closely. We're going to be

01:42

following Trey yinks feed

01:43

closely as well as you can

01:45

see. he's working to

01:46

conform. and gather more

01:48

information now, but for now

01:49

we do have the perfect

01:50

person standing by to

01:51

help us. dissect some of

01:53

what's going on. Dr. Alan

01:55

bursting. Um, alone let's

01:59

start here. so far Iraq.

02:01

Iran Syria is where we're

02:02

hearing these explosions are

02:04

taking place we as of yet

02:06

do not have any independent

02:09

is responsible for these

02:10

attacks. What? surface level

02:11

information? are we finding

02:14

so far tonight?

02:16

So good to see you. Um and

02:16

you know like you said

02:18

this is happening as we

02:20

speak. It is currently

02:21

5:00 am in Israel. Um,

02:23

you know, which is typical

02:24

for when like, you know,

02:25

sort of cross border

02:28

everything I'm saying

02:29

obviously is very very

02:33

surface level. Um, right now

02:34

the fact that the now

02:35

occurred the only attack

02:36

that's being reported thus

02:38

far in Iran. the fact that

02:39

it occurred in ispahan.

02:41

is not surprising. His

02:42

fan is very strategic.

02:43

also very symbolic It is

02:45

an area where there have

02:49

nuclear. facilities and

02:51

sites since 2004. Um, I

02:53

cannot say that these

02:53

strikes occurred

02:54

specifically targeting the

02:56

nuclear sites in but it is

02:58

it's a very symbolic

02:59

place. for Israel to

03:00

carry out that attack on

03:02

the 1 hand. on the other

03:03

hand, it's also a very

03:05

symbolic and important. as

03:07

far as Israel's concerned

03:08

the United States right

03:10

now. that it is possible

03:11

that this is a retaliation

03:12

that's being carried out

03:12

throughout the entire

03:15

region. in of only on

03:19

its attack targeted. through

03:20

all of its weight and

03:21

certainly not everything

03:22

that it could but

03:24

everything that it

03:24

chose to throw in the attack

03:26

it through at Israel

03:28

an Israeli interests or us

03:29

interests throughout the

03:31

Middle East. in turn the

03:32

United States has applied

03:32

a lot of pressure on

03:33

Israel saying do not

03:35

escalate this further Do

03:36

not now throw a massive

03:39

Israel carries out now a

03:41

very big retaliation on the

03:42

1 hand. on the other hand.

03:44

not all targeted that Iran

03:47

itself. 1 symbolic attack

03:48

at Iran and then attacks

03:50

at different strategic

03:51

targets that Iran may have

03:53

in Iraq in Syria, We may

03:55

even see a tax that occur

03:57

in Yemen. That is the way

03:58

for Israel. in turn to say

04:00

on the 1 hand it can

04:02

satisfy the internal code.

04:02

Coalition and say yes, we

04:03

attacked Iran and

04:04

specifically. Sahan a very

04:06

strategic ways. on the other

04:08

hand. not you know forgive

04:10

me piss off the United

04:12

States. by now escalating

04:13

situation further and

04:14

actually carrying out the

04:15

bulk of the retaliation

04:16

elsewhere. So again,

04:16

that's all speculation.

04:18

in the last half an hour,

04:20

but that's what I'm reading

04:20

in the fact that like the

04:22

first reports of attacks

04:23

were not all in Iran. In

04:24

fact the majority of them

04:26

so far are not in Iran.

04:29

Syria, I'm curious about

04:31

isahan because we're we're

04:32

seeing and a lot of the

04:33

initial reports that are

04:34

coming through right now

04:35

we're seeing that ishan is

04:37

trending, uh on social

04:39

media we're seeing what is

04:40

the significance of that

04:43

particular location? so this

04:45

didn't pass there have been

04:48

good call on rest. in that

04:50

area. but more importantly

04:52

than that. It's

04:53

strategic location

04:54

because Iran started its

04:55

nuclear program. in the

04:58

there's a lot of rumors

04:59

that they tried to start

05:00

it before but in the early

05:01

21st century is really

05:02

when it started to develop

05:04

as nuclear program. it

05:06

already in 2004. Um,

05:08

there were there was a lot

05:10

of reports. of different.

05:11

nuclear research that was

05:14

being done. in as I tried

05:15

to read the news as it's

05:15

coming in now, so I'm

05:16

sort of half half looking

05:19

a tweet to come in. um in

05:20

nuclear facilities that may

05:22

have been positioned. in

05:24

ispahan itself. That's not

05:25

to say that their main

05:26

nuclear research site. I

05:27

don't know where their main

05:29

nuclear facilities are. Um,

05:30

I presume that you know

05:31

both

05:31

Israel and the United States

05:33

you know, but historically

05:34

it's fine. It's been 1 of

05:36

the places. alongside Toran

05:38

that Iran has tried to

05:39

very very strategically

05:40

protect. It is deployed a

05:41

lot of anti-air. batteries

05:43

there. So

05:44

they're obviously something

05:45

strategic in that City.

05:48

whether the IDF Israel.

05:49

admits or doesn't admit and

05:50

whether they actually do hit

05:52

those strategic sites. or

05:54

do not the fact that they

05:54

hit specifically the

05:57

Strategic cities. is would

05:59

be as significant. as an

06:00

attacking a strategic site.

06:01

Let's say if missiles

06:02

hit Israel right is the

06:03

difference if you hit the

06:04

northern part of Israel

06:06

or V Jerusalem or to

06:07

the or if an attack would

06:08

come to the United States.

06:09

it would just come off

06:10

differently if it had even

06:11

you know, obviously an

06:12

important place. some

06:14

Seattle or or or,

06:15

California or if it hit

06:16

DC or New York there are

06:18

places that are like

06:20

important to the the culture

06:22

and important to the

06:24

country. in saying that

06:25

this is a site that

06:26

will never be hit. That's

06:27

why 9/11 right the Pentagon

06:29

the, New York. like there

06:29

are sites that are very

06:31

important

06:31

is just 1 of these places.

06:33

that is seen as very

06:34

protected and very

06:35

important. due to its

06:36

involvement in nuclear

06:39

20 years. So carrying out

06:40

a strike there is sending a

06:42

message. It's sending a

06:43

message to Iran but more

06:44

than that. It's also sending

06:45

a message to the Israeli

06:48

retaliated to something

06:50

important. with maybe

06:52

without needing to actually

06:53

escalate. towards a

06:55

full on Regional War. what

06:56

have been some of the

06:59

narratives? surrounding?

07:00

International? pressure

07:02

tort Israel Obviously there

07:04

has been a lot of

07:06

speculation out there about

07:10

weekend. I believe. Um

07:11

there have been many reports

07:12

to say that. Israel will

07:14

respond in some way. I've

07:14

also seen reporting to say

07:16

that they're still weighing

07:18

how to respond. catch us

07:19

up, uh over this past

07:21

week uh has Israel said

07:22

about whether or not they

07:23

will respond in some way

07:25

to Saturday's Iranian

07:28

repeatedly said that

07:29

they're going to respond

07:30

There's been no report

07:31

that Israel said that

07:32

it's not going to respond.

07:33

The Prime Minister said

07:33

that the Minister of

07:35

Defense has said that

07:35

Minister Gantz has said

07:37

that the chief of staff has

07:39

they're going to respond.

07:41

There are some surprising

07:42

political parties that go

07:43

have to do with Israel's

07:44

internal Politics the older

07:45

Orthodox parties and have

07:45

actually called in Israel

07:48

reasons, but the but but

07:50

majority of everyone in

07:52

Israel's establishment.

07:53

security establishment and

07:54

leading the government have

07:55

said that they're going to

07:57

respond. at the same time.

07:59

There's monumental.

08:00

International pressure from

08:02

the United States. to the

08:04

EU. to different allies of

08:06

Israel. to non allies of

08:09

have all called on Israel

08:10

to say Do not escalate the

08:11

situation for they're also

08:13

Regional Partners Jordan

08:15

very scared that the Skies

08:15

of Jordan are going to

08:17

turn out to be the area

08:19

where Iran and Israel

08:20

Clash. There's been a lot

08:21

of pressure back and

08:23

forth. 1 of the 1 of the

08:25

reasons to suspect. that

08:29

escalate the situation very

08:30

much further. That's why

08:32

again at least as of now

08:33

when we're about 45 minutes

08:35

into Israel's retaliation.

08:37

I am saying maybe we'll see

08:39

the region in the less on

08:41

Direct attacks on Iran.

08:41

is because it's been a

08:43

couple of reports about The

08:45

ongoing um, negotiations

08:46

between Israel and the

08:49

United States. that

08:50

really would

08:50

suggest that Israel is not

08:51

going to carry out a major

08:52

attack on Iran. 1 is the

08:53

fact that the United

08:56

States today. vetoed the

08:56

UN Security Council

08:59

Palestine as a full member

09:00

state of the UN. it would

09:02

be very surprising to me.

09:04

if Israel would on that

09:05

day that the US pretty

09:09

favor in the US. Israel

09:10

were to carry out an

09:11

attack in Iran. that the

09:13

US didn't sign off on

09:14

Israel will just slap you

09:15

on in The slap the US

09:19

United States. KNE about

09:19

what Israel's response is

09:21

going to be and therefore

09:22

it's probably not going to

09:25

be that escalatory 1 2

09:26

there's also been reports

09:30

last 2 days. that part of

09:31

the negotiations between

09:31

Israel and the United

09:33

States in the last 2 days.

09:35

have been that the United

09:36

States is going to

09:38

approve. an Israeli

09:41

operation in Rafa right the

09:41

Israeli invasion of the

09:42

most southern town of

09:43

Raphael we've been talking

09:45

about for what a month and

09:46

a half already. is going

09:48

exchange for Israel not

09:50

carrying out. a major

09:51

retaliation in Iran that's

09:52

going to be the back and

09:54

forth today There was a

09:56

meeting between the head of

09:59

Council. it Israel and the

10:00

US National Security

10:03

adviser. and at that

10:05

meeting the United States

10:06

even took a different tone.

10:07

It said yes, we share the

10:10

desire to destroy Hamas and

10:12

Rafa whereas before they

10:14

were saying we disagree

10:16

that. the Israel needs to

10:19

invade Rafa so seemingly

10:20

there's some agreement

10:22

between Israel and the

10:24

United States with regards

10:29

to invading Rafa and if

10:31

that means

10:31

The Israel's agreed to not

10:32

carry out the big retaliation

10:32

against Iran. what we may

10:32

see is again something more

10:33

minimal like a a nominal

10:33

attack. on Iran itself. and

10:33

then a much larger

10:34

retaliation or meaningful

10:34

retaliation. against the

10:35

regional interests of Iran.

10:35

in Syria or in Iraq

10:35

again, I think maybe we'll

10:37

see something in Yemen.

10:40

remains to be seen. and we

10:41

obviously wait here to to

10:43

see if there is any

10:44

confirmation in the

10:45

immediate time as to

10:46

whether or not this is

10:48

actually. an Israeli attack.

10:49

I'm going to pull up some

10:50

live images we have

10:52

because I know we're both

10:54

checking. our feeds right now

10:55

our news wires. We're we're

10:57

both looking for information

10:58

in real time here. This

11:00

is a live image out of

11:01

Tel Aviv. We are watching

11:02

we were watching these

11:03

images live as we were

11:05

watching those Uh, yeah

11:07

Iranian strikes, uh make

11:09

their way it was an

11:10

hours long. Affair as we

11:13

sat here. uh us time.

11:14

Saturday afternoon, this

11:16

is a live image out of

11:18

Southern. Gaza this is a

11:20

camera planted in southern

11:23

Israel looking at. the Gaza

11:24

Skyline. Um, I do know

11:26

that. what we do look at

11:28

and a lot of times what we

11:30

rely on with these feeds

11:31

is seeing any type of

11:32

military activity taking

11:33

place in these areas, but

11:35

now we're talking about a

11:36

completely different area.

11:38

Uh alone we're talking about

11:39

Iran and then we can't

11:40

forget We're also hearing

11:42

reports of explosions

11:43

in Iraq. and Syria, what

11:45

could be the tie-in to

11:46

Iraq and Syria specifically

11:49

here so Iraq is

11:51

particularly interesting in

11:53

this context because let's

11:56

not forget that the entire.

11:58

result of the attack that

12:00

occurred in Syria. against

12:02

the Iranian Consulate in

12:04

Damascus. the IDF has been

12:04

carrying out skirmishes

12:06

with different militias in

12:08

Syria since the War militias

12:09

and also prior to the war

12:11

going back to the Syrian

12:12

Civil War. there have been

12:13

different escalations and

12:15

Realms between the IDF and

12:16

militias. in Syria and even

12:18

the Syrian Army. the idea

12:20

of though has really

12:21

carried out attacks in Iraq.

12:23

Iraq is much farther.

12:24

It's a different state there

12:27

was even some notion. very

12:29

very fleeting. for a while

12:30

with the new new Iraqi

12:31

government here and there

12:32

that they might even be

12:33

relations between Israel and

12:35

Iraq. the Israel is not

12:36

carried out a lot of attacks

12:37

in Iraq specifically. it's

12:38

being reported that

12:40

there are. attacks that are

12:41

occurring in Baghdad. and

12:42

again all this speculation

12:43

All we know is that

12:44

explosions were heard in

12:45

Baghdad and it is

12:46

technically possible that

12:47

that's a coincidence. I

12:49

doubt it, but it is

12:50

technically possible. that

12:51

we're not going to hear

12:51

that Israel's all of a

12:53

sudden the attack sites in

12:55

Baghdad, but instead that

12:56

other things are happening

12:58

in that region. but

13:00

attacking the entire region.

13:03

Iran. Iraq. Syria and there's

13:05

also ongoing as there are

13:06

every nights attacks in

13:08

Lebanon. is Israel also

13:09

trying to send a message

13:11

back? and Iran tried to

13:13

send a message with its

13:14

attack. It did not throw all

13:15

of its weight. into

13:17

attacking Israel. it threw a

13:19

good amount of weight.

13:21

350 drones. ballistic

13:23

missiles and cruise

13:23

missiles trying to send a

13:25

message. attacking the

13:26

entire region. and

13:29

specifically maybe Iranian

13:31

targets. in the heart of

13:33

Baghdad. or in Syria at

13:35

the same moment. as

13:37

overcoming the different

13:39

Iranian air defenses and the

13:41

current attack in. Israel

13:42

sending a message back.

13:43

Israel saying, you know

13:45

don't pay with us. you want

13:46

to carry out that attack

13:47

We have the ability to

13:48

strike back. not only in

13:50

Iran if we want to we

13:52

can but not only in Iran.

13:53

all of your interests Iraq.

13:55

Syria again, I would be

13:57

surprised if Israel does

13:57

not carry out some attack

13:59

in Yemen also, although

13:59

that also would have to

14:00

be negotiated with the

14:01

United States, but Israel

14:03

has yet to retaliate to the

14:04

houthi attacks and it's been

14:05

waiting for an opportunity.

14:06

So it's possible that

14:07

we'll hear about that also

14:09

tonight. So again, that

14:10

would be sort of this

14:10

middle ground on the 1

14:12

hand saying look we

14:14

struck back. on the other

14:16

hand. but we did not now

14:17

escalate it to a foreign

14:18

war right? similarly to the

14:20

way that Israel came under

14:21

pressure from the world.

14:23

and also some internal

14:24

pressure. Saying you don't

14:25

need to retaliate to Iran

14:26

They didn't actually cause

14:28

similarly, right if this

14:30

is it. it may not be but

14:32

if this is it for

14:33

Israel's retaliation. then

14:34

Iran may come under the

14:36

same pressure internally.

14:37

Or maybe from Russia or

14:38

from other countries saying

14:40

look you don't need to

14:41

retaliate to this now.

14:42

This is not an escalatory

14:43

move that you have no

14:44

choice but to retaliate to

14:46

so again that reason to be

14:48

read into this Regional

14:50

attack and why Israel might

14:52

be carrying that out and

14:52

more policing more

14:54

emphasis on the region

14:55

like Iraq rather than

14:58

Iran. I want to ask. we

15:00

we've been covering. this.

15:02

Iran Israel situation. all

15:03

week ever since Saturday,

15:06

of course. um when we

15:09

talk about how Israel has

15:10

said that they would

15:11

retaliate for Saturday's

15:13

attack. What has Iran said

15:15

in response to that claim

15:16

because Iran has also said

15:18

that they would retaliate

15:19

to Israel's retaliation,

15:22

correct? Absolutely. Iran

15:24

has tried to make clear.

15:25

that what they wanted to

15:28

achieve. in their attack.

15:31

is a a new phase of

15:33

strategy. Up until now.

15:35

Iran has had. this ongoing

15:36

sort of proxy war with

15:38

Israel. In which Israel.

15:40

carries out, you know. it's

15:41

ongoing skirmishes with

15:43

different Terror

15:43

organizations. in the

15:46

region. and Iran funds them.

15:49

and on occasion Israel would

15:50

retaliate against also even

15:52

Iranian revolutionary guards.

15:53

but that had nothing to do

15:55

with direct Israeli Iran.

15:57

Iran was upping the ante

15:58

and saying

15:58

know the rules of the game

16:00

have changed. now you

16:02

struck us in Syria. We're

16:03

striking you directly. the

16:05

big fear in Israel was

16:07

that if Israel does not

16:08

retaliate against this

16:09

right now, what's going to

16:11

happen the next time?

16:13

Israel wants the carry out

16:14

an attack in Syria for its

16:16

own strategic. practical

16:18

going to be now a new

16:21

equation? that every time

16:22

Israel carries out an

16:24

attack against an Iranian

16:25

Target or even non-iranian

16:26

Target. Let's say

16:27

Hezbollah Target. in Syria

16:28

or in Lebanon all of

16:29

a sudden now Iran will say

16:30

well we've made clear we

16:33

send missile when you carry

16:34

out attacks in this region.

16:37

so is so Iran. wanted to

16:38

set a new. rules of the

16:40

game. and Israel in turn

16:41

wanted to say well if

16:42

that's the case then

16:43

you're going to be fired

16:46

back upon. Iran. and answer

16:47

to your question has.

16:49

over the week said no,

16:49

you don't understand we've

16:50

set the new rules of the

16:51

game. We retaliate against

16:53

you and we're done if we

16:55

are attacked as far if

16:56

we're concerned we see that

16:59

rules of the game, are you

17:00

attacked as in Syria? We

17:01

attacked you.

17:02

end the story. That's what

17:03

Iran is saying and the story

17:05

now. if you carry

17:05

another attack as far as

17:06

we're concerned you're

17:08

starting a new wave. and we

17:09

are going to retaliate

17:11

against you. Iran Also

17:12

said something.

17:14

interesting. I'm not sure

17:15

what to make of it. it

17:17

also implied that it has

17:18

something up its sleeve in

17:20

the sense that it said if

17:20

an attack is carried out

17:23

on its own soil. then Iran

17:25

is going to introduce a new

17:27

weapon. into the region

17:29

into the war. now. as far

17:31

as the world knows. Iran

17:33

does not have nuclear

17:35

weapons. and it is possible

17:36

that that is just an

17:38

attempt to threaten. It is

17:39

possible. It's an empty

17:41

threat It's possible that

17:42

what Iran meant is if

17:43

that's the case if they

17:45

are. attacked. then they

17:48

are going to in develop.

17:50

new weapons. but that

17:50

remains to be seen what

17:51

that actually means what

17:53

is going to be Iran's

17:54

response and more

17:56

importantly. are they going

17:59

to respond? themselves? or

18:00

is this going to be now a

18:01

response to the carry out

18:02

through their proxies?

18:02

That's really going to

18:03

tell us? where things are

18:05

going to develop is Iran

18:06

going to now say okay now

18:07

we're attacked now, we're

18:09

in war. unlikely Iran may

18:10

do the same type of

18:11

attack in retaliation,

18:12

but it's unlikely. This is

18:14

all that we see. but we may

18:15

see as Iran saying, okay.

18:16

we're letting his Bala loose

18:19

now you've done that now

18:20

hizballah go and Fire.

18:22

100,000 missiles on Israel

18:23

again unlikely, but they

18:24

could also activate they

18:25

have a lot more militias

18:26

and proxies that they could

18:29

activate. in the region. I I

18:30

should make a correction

18:30

for our viewers because we

18:32

had a Skyline shot up

18:33

earlier that we said was

18:34

Tel Aviv. It was not earlier

18:36

now. It is Tel Aviv, So

18:38

alone. I'll ask you. a

18:39

similar question. I asked you

18:40

over the weekend when the

18:40

Iranian attack was taking

18:42

place. Let's tie this all

18:44

together for our viewers

18:45

because they might hear

18:47

Israel and Iran. and they

18:49

might question well. what

18:49

does this have to do with

18:50

the Israel Hamas War?

18:51

It has quite a bit to do

18:53

with the Israel Hamas War.

18:53

Can you fill in can you can

18:55

you connect the 2 for us,

18:56

please? I'm connecting the 2

18:58

I'm just going to say they

18:59

just saw also a news flash

19:01

saying that Iran has

19:02

closed its airspace at

19:03

East vahan Shiraz and

19:05

daharan, so and they're

19:07

International Airport was was

19:08

possibly 1 of the places

19:08

where some of this activity

19:10

was taking place. So

19:12

at least as far as Iran's

19:13

response is concerned it

19:15

appears to be expecting

19:16

attacks. Also those other

19:18

cities not just in

19:20

isan. Um, in terms of the

19:22

connection to the Israel

19:24

Hamas War Iran has a long

19:28

history. of supporting. the

19:29

was called the resistance

19:33

access. to Israel and to

19:34

normalization with Israel.

19:37

and to any Israeli

19:38

Palestinian. East. Let's

19:39

just say it that way.

19:40

this goes back to

19:42

officially it started. in

19:43

I mean started in the

19:44

Iranian Revolution like the

19:45

time that Iran started to

19:49

groups was 1991. in 1991,

19:51

Iran forms an alliance with

19:53

Hamas. open Alliance Iran

19:54

starts to fund Hamas with

19:55

a at the time a lot of

19:57

money for Hamas was a very

19:58

young organization at that

20:00

time a million dollars.

20:01

They start to fund the

20:03

organization. because they

20:05

wanted to challenge. the

20:06

idea that Israel was going

20:09

with the PLO. right for our

20:10

views. You may remember. the

20:12

famous handshake between

20:13

Robin and Arafat on the

20:15

White House lawn in 1993.

20:18

Palestinian Liberation

20:19

Organization the PLO

20:21

possibly agreeing. to make

20:23

peace. Hamas was 1 of the

20:25

Palestinian organizations.

20:25

That was very opposed to

20:27

that. They were very

20:28

opposed to that. They see.

20:30

the idea of a

20:31

peace with Israel as

20:32

you know, heresy. They're

20:34

fighting a jihadist war.

20:36

Iran. has over the years

20:39

taken upon itself to fund.

20:41

an ally and armed all of

20:42

these organizations that are

20:43

part of the resistance

20:44

access So that includes

20:46

Hamas the Palestinian Islamic

20:50

Jihad Hezbollah Amal. slew

20:52

of other organizations that

20:53

their 1 common denominator

20:55

is that they object

20:56

to the idea that there

20:59

Israel and the Palestinians

21:01

now Iran is extremely

21:03

involved. in these

21:04

Israeli Palestinian conflict

21:06

on the side of Hamas.

21:08

then in addition to that.

21:10

you have Iranian Regional

21:11

interests. Iran has an

21:14

interest in more and more

21:15

countries where there is a

21:15

Shiite population. That is

21:19

in Islam. where there is a

21:20

Shiite population. and that

21:22

population. causing

21:24

insurrections and creating

21:26

either governments that are

21:29

possibly even theocracy so

21:30

they can be puppet States.

21:32

of Iran. That is what

21:33

Iran has tried desperately

21:35

to create in Iraq. That

21:36

is what Iran has to some

21:39

extent. created in Syria the

21:40

Assad regime after Iran

21:41

saved its life during the

21:41

Iran Civil War is

21:43

completely beholden to it.

21:45

That is why Iran funds the

21:47

houthis in Yemen also

21:49

Shiites. why Iran funds

21:50

Isabella in Lebanon also,

21:52

Shiites is all part of this.

21:54

Regional aspiration. of

21:55

Iran to make sure that

21:56

Shiites in different

21:57

countries are not just

21:58

living peacefully, but

22:00

instead are carrying out

22:02

insurrections. are being

22:03

armed to the teeth are being

22:04

funded or being radicalized

22:06

in order to possibly have

22:09

in Yemen. possibly have

22:10

Revolutions in order to

22:12

become local allies of

22:14

Iran. so between those 2

22:18

the quote unquote resistance

22:21

access. of the Palestinians,

22:23

and also, tearing out all of

22:25

the funding and supporting

22:29

militias in the region.

22:30

Iran and Israel. are

22:32

2 trades that are always

22:33

heading towards Collision.

22:36

until this week that

22:36

collusion has always been.

22:39

been Israel versus

22:40

hizballah, which is in

22:41

Iranian affiliate Israel

22:42

versus Hamas, which is

22:44

funded by Iran. and things

22:44

like that this weekend and

22:46

this week is the first

22:48

ongoing collision between

22:51

Israel and Iran. a lot

22:52

depends on Iran right now.

22:53

will Iran say okay and now

22:54

we're now we're going to

22:55

have a full on war between

22:58

far it seems that the Iran

23:00

would rather. rather have its

23:02

proxies due to the dirty work

23:02

then suffer Israel's

23:04

retaliation, but obviously

23:05

that depends on the extent

23:06

that Israel is going to

23:07

carry out this attack right

23:08

now as we said we're now

23:10

an hour. in so alone. I'm

23:11

going to keep you on here

23:12

with us for a moment here

23:14

while I read a little bit

23:15

of what the Associated

23:16

Press is reporting about the

23:18

report that commercial

23:20

flights began diverting their

23:22

routes over Western Iran

23:23

without explanation early

23:25

Friday as 1 semi official

23:26

news agency in the Islamic

23:28

Republic reported quote.

23:29

explosions heard over the

23:31

city of ispahan. State

23:32

television acknowledged

23:34

quote. loud noise The

23:35

incident comes as tension

23:36

remains high in The Wider

23:38

Middle East after Iran's

23:39

unprecedented missile and

23:41

drone attack on Israel.

23:43

dubai-based carriers.

23:45

Emirates and fly Dubai began

23:46

diverting. around Western

23:48

Iran about 4:30 a.m. Local

23:50

time. They also offered no

23:52

explanation. though local

23:53

warnings to aviators

23:55

suggested that the airspace

23:58

Iranian State television

24:00

began a scrolling on-screen

24:02

alert acknowledging a quote

24:04

loud noise near espon

24:05

without immediately

24:06

elaborating. the Israeli

24:09

responded to a request for

24:10

comments according to the

24:11

Associated Press. So all

24:12

of that is to say alone

24:15

that there's a whole lot.

24:16

of information out there,

24:18

confirmation out there yet.

24:21

So That's something and I'm

24:22

I'm hearing from my

24:23

producer. Can you say that 1

24:25

more time? So we're getting

24:27

some information. uh from

24:28

AP and and a little bit of

24:29

what we were just

24:30

discussing flights being

24:31

diverted around Western

24:33

Iran as 1 report. claims

24:35

explosions heard. near

24:35

ispahan. So I'll ask you

24:37

something that might be

24:38

mind right now as we wait

24:40

for any sort of official

24:41

confirmation. that this may

24:43

be an Israeli strike. you

24:44

follow this stuff very

24:45

closely you follow this

24:46

stuff day in and day out you

24:47

follow the leaks in the

24:50

area. Um, how often is it

24:53

for? 3 Explorer to take

24:55

place in 3 separate states

24:57

all around the same time,

24:58

that we're talking about

24:59

right now. It it does

25:01

seem like something.

25:02

intentional is taking place

25:03

here. This would be quite

25:05

uh, amazing if it wasn't

25:06

something intentional going

25:09

on here, correct.

25:11

Absolutely, correct. Um

25:15

look it is. in all all all

25:16

all likelihood and Israeli

25:19

like I think ABC or NBC,

25:21

um reported I quoted the

25:22

American sources that said

25:23

that there are yes

25:24

confirmation that Israeli

25:26

missiles. are landing in the

25:29

region. that said and this

25:30

would also not be the first

25:31

time that that's something

25:32

like that would happen. Um

25:34

in 2021. Israel carried

25:37

out. a a simultaneous

25:38

assassination of Palestinian

25:39

Islamic Jihad operatives in

25:42

Gaza and of their not

25:43

senior leadership, but sort

25:44

of 1 level we will senior

25:45

leadership in Damascus at

25:50

has a history of

25:52

doing things like like this

25:54

the 2 big questions or

25:56

several big questions 1 is

26:00

attack or no? Israel

26:01

I remind everyone did not

26:02

actually claim

26:03

responsibility. for the

26:06

attack in Syria. in the

26:08

did not claim responsibility

26:09

for that. for reasons that

26:10

it would actually be

26:11

violating international law

26:13

to attack a consulate and

26:14

we're not I'm not getting the

26:15

ethics

26:16

ethics or the specifics. I'm

26:16

just saying factually Israel

26:19

responsibility for that.

26:20

everyone knew who was

26:22

Israel and Iran retaliated.

26:23

it remains to be seen if

26:23

Israel takes responsibility

26:25

for this and is open about

26:26

that because that'll be a

26:27

game changer if Israel

26:28

responsibility for it That

26:30

also will be easier for

26:31

Iran to say. And and we're

26:34

done and we're done. whereas

26:34

if Israel goes out and

26:36

boasts about this It says

26:38

look at our big retaliation

26:40

in the big city of the

26:42

Iranian revolutionary guards.

26:43

then it will be harder for

26:44

Iran to ignore it. So

26:46

that's 1 question. Another

26:48

question is what

26:48

specifically was targeted

26:52

again all of these places

26:55

is possibly Shiraz um

26:57

Xperia uh the Azure area

26:59

I think was is what was

27:00

reported those attack all

27:02

these areas have a lot of

27:03

strategic targets for Iran.

27:05

What was attacked? that

27:07

makes a big difference? what

27:08

was attacked Was it the

27:11

airport? Was it an Iranian

27:12

nuclear facility? Was it a

27:13

facility the Iranian

27:15

revolutionary guards? Are we

27:16

even going to know Is it

27:16

possible that Iran is not

27:17

going to report in

27:18

Israel is not going to say

27:19

all these things matter.

27:20

What matters most is

27:22

again. What is reported?

27:23

what people know because

27:24

that's going to determine

27:26

if there's a lot of public

27:27

sentiment in Iran saying

27:29

we've just had a national

27:30

humiliation. So you must

27:31

retaliate that's going to

27:32

make your own retaliate

27:33

Whereas if Israel does not

27:35

boast about it. and Iran in

27:36

turn does not. say what

27:38

happened. it could end

27:39

there all these things. are

27:41

going to be what

27:42

determines. the outcome and

27:43

the same goes for when you

27:44

ask like, you know

27:45

simultaneous explosions in

27:47

Iraq Syria, Iran. Same

27:49

thing what was attacked in

27:50

Baghdad, right? It could

27:52

be. that it is the head

27:53

of the Islamic resistance

27:55

in Iraq That is a

27:59

are loyal to Iran. that are

28:01

very very powerful it

28:03

would be a huge win. raise

28:04

your hand. I'm making this

28:05

up as no reason for me

28:06

to think that that's what

28:06

was attacked. I'm just

28:08

saying, let's say that

28:08

that's what was attacked

28:10

It would be a huge win.

28:12

for Israel if that's what

28:13

was attacked. But that's

28:14

also something that Iran

28:15

can say, okay, but that

28:16

happened in Iran. Yes

28:18

that's nothing to do with

28:22

us. in turn if Israel or

28:23

other forces in Iraq, let's

28:25

say start to say look at

28:27

the monumental. blow that

28:30

Israel dealt to Iran. Iran

28:30

is so humiliated. We're

28:32

going to see Iranian

28:32

response. That's just how how

28:34

how this works

28:34

like, unfortunately. It's

28:35

almost the game of Saving

28:38

Face. so, What's matters is

28:39

is Israel going to take

28:41

responsibility? what?

28:43

specifically was targeted?

28:45

and then?

28:46

can Iran, you know sort of?

28:49

afford? to? not to to to

28:50

not retaliate in sense of

28:53

not losing a lot of um.

28:55

Pride. with its local

28:57

population. All those are the

28:58

questions that are going to

29:00

determine. where things go

29:01

right now And again, I'll

29:02

say more importantly for the

29:04

context of these Israel

29:05

Hamas War. They're going to

29:06

determine if militias are

29:08

now activated and I was like,

29:09

okay it's time for you to

29:10

throw your weight into the

29:12

war. or the houthis or if

29:13

it's going to just go

29:14

back to being the same,

29:16

you know low-level fighting

29:18

that we've seen. Has Israel

29:19

flexed their military

29:21

muscle in a way like this?

29:22

Uh, if this is in fact an

29:25

Israeli attack, um, have we

29:26

seen and this is what

29:27

we're talking about something

29:29

that's inside of Iran.

29:31

proper Is this something

29:34

we've seen before? No. um

29:36

again, not openly. Israel

29:38

has in the past carried out

29:39

a lot of clandestine

29:41

operations in Iran. and

29:42

some of them it has been

29:43

open about after the fact.

29:44

prime minister Netanyahu

29:47

held a big press conference.