5 AI Stocks Investors Are Buying In 2024

Everything Money
21 Mar 202420:11

TLDRThe video script discusses the impact of AI on the world and highlights five companies benefiting from AI advancements. It emphasizes the significant growth of NVIDIA and AMD in the chip manufacturing sector, and the potential of software companies like Adobe, Microsoft, and Google. The speaker uses a stock analyzer tool to evaluate the companies' financial health and future prospects, stressing the importance of understanding the fundamentals and managing emotions in investing.

Takeaways

  • 🚀 AI is revolutionizing industries, similar to past technological advancements like cars, planes, and the internet.
  • 📈 The discussion focuses on five companies benefiting from AI, with an emphasis on their stock performance and future prospects.
  • 🏆 NVIDIA is a market leader in AI, with a significant increase in stock price and market cap, raising questions about hype and sustainability.
  • 🔍 The presenter uses a stock analyzer tool to evaluate companies, considering factors like growth rates, profit margins, and price-to-earnings ratios.
  • 💡 AMD is also highlighted as a strong player in the chip manufacturing industry, with a history of significant stock price volatility.
  • 🌟 Adobe is praised for its successful subscription model and high gross margin, which contributes to strong free cash flow.
  • 🔥 Microsoft's solid balance sheet and high dividend payouts are noted, along with its position as the most valuable company in the S&P.
  • 🌐 Google's fundamentals are improving, with a focus on its dominant search engine and YouTube, despite market cap comparisons with Microsoft.
  • 📊 Analysts predict strong growth for the companies discussed, but the presenter cautions that past performance is not indicative of future results.
  • 💸 The importance of emotional control in investing is emphasized, with the presenter sharing personal experiences and the benefits of community engagement.
  • 📈 The presenter advocates for a disciplined investment approach, using tools and community insights to make informed decisions and manage risks.

Q & A

  • How has AI been compared to other transformative technologies in the transcript?

    -In the transcript, AI is compared to cars, airplanes, the internet, computers, and electric vehicles as a transformative technology that is changing the world.

  • What is the significance of NVIDIA's market cap and its implication on the company's financial health?

    -NVIDIA's market cap crossing $2 trillion indicates its significant value in the market. A great balance sheet, practically zero debt, and a low dividend yield suggest a strong financial health and focus on reinvestment for growth.

  • What is the importance of free cash flow in evaluating a company's performance?

    -Free cash flow is crucial in evaluating a company's performance as it represents the cash generated from operations that is available to the company after accounting for capital expenditures. High free cash flow indicates a company's ability to generate profits and grow sustainably.

  • How does the speaker view the hype surrounding NVIDIA's stock price?

    -The speaker views the hype surrounding NVIDIA's stock price as potentially unjustifiable due to the rapid increase without understanding the company's fundamentals. They emphasize the importance of knowing what a company does before investing.

  • What does the speaker suggest about the long-term growth of AMD?

    -The speaker suggests that while AMD has been performing well and is part of the chip manufacturing growth, it's important to be cautious about the long-term growth and not just focus on the short-term hype. The speaker advises considering the fundamentals and potential competition from other companies.

  • What is the speaker's approach to evaluating a stock using the stock analyzer tool?

    -The speaker's approach involves making assumptions about future growth rates, profit margins, and市盈率 (PE ratios). They use the stock analyzer tool to calculate a low, middle, and high price based on these assumptions and a desired return with a margin of safety.

  • Why does the speaker emphasize the importance of managing emotions in investing?

    -The speaker emphasizes managing emotions in investing because it can significantly impact decision-making. Even the most successful investors have made poor financial decisions due to emotional biases. Controlling emotions, coupled with a solid investment process, can lead to better and more profitable decisions.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on Adobe's business model and financial performance?

    -The speaker admires Adobe's subscription-based business model and its financial performance, highlighting its high gross margin and strong free cash flow generation. They appreciate Adobe's ability to offer continuous updates and improvements to their software products.

  • How does the speaker evaluate the potential of Microsoft as an investment?

    -The speaker evaluates Microsoft's potential by considering its strong balance sheet, high dividend payout, and consistent growth in earnings and revenue. They also take into account Microsoft's market cap and compare it with other tech giants like Google to assess its relative value.

  • What is the speaker's perspective on Google's current market position and its key assets?

    -The speaker acknowledges Google's strong market position with a market cap of 1.85 trillion and key assets like Google search and YouTube. They believe that these platforms provide a solid foundation for Google's future growth and stability.

  • What does the speaker suggest for an investor's watch list?

    -The speaker suggests that investors should have a watch list of companies they are interested in, with predetermined prices at which they would consider buying the stock. This helps in making disciplined investment decisions and re-evaluating the companies as their fundamentals change.

Outlines

00:00

🚀 AI's Impact on the World and NVIDIA's Market Performance

This paragraph discusses the transformative power of AI, comparing it to past technological revolutions like cars, airplanes, the internet, and electric vehicles. The focus then shifts to NVIDIA, a company at the forefront of AI technology. Despite skepticism about the hype surrounding NVIDIA's stock, the company's impressive market cap, balance sheet, and free cash flow are highlighted. The discussion includes an analysis of the company's growth and return on invested capital, as well as analyst predictions for the future. The importance of understanding a company's fundamentals before investing is stressed, along with the volatility of stocks in the short term and the importance of long-term value in the stock market.

05:00

📈 AMD's Market Volatility and Investment Considerations

The paragraph examines AMD's market performance, noting its all-time high stock prices and significant growth over the past decade. A comparison is made to the stock's performance during major events, such as sports victories, to illustrate the potential for investment gains. Despite the company's strong balance sheet, the paragraph raises concerns about the sustainability of AMD's high profit margins due to increasing competition in the AI chip market. The use of a stock analyzer tool is introduced, with various growth and profit margin scenarios explored to determine a potential price range for the stock, emphasizing the need for a margin of safety in investment decisions.

10:02

🖼️ Adobe's Subscription Model and Financial Health

Adobe is highlighted as a company that has successfully transitioned from a traditional software sales model to a subscription-based service, offering continuous updates for a monthly fee. The paragraph praises Adobe's stock performance, particularly its high gross margin and free cash flow, which exceeded net income. Analyst predictions for Adobe's future growth are optimistic, with expectations of double-digit increases in both earnings per share and revenue. A detailed analysis using a stock analyzer tool is provided, considering different revenue growth rates, profit margins, and price-to-earnings ratios to estimate a range of potential stock prices for Adobe.

15:02

💻 Microsoft's Valuation and Google's Market Position

This paragraph delves into the financial health and market position of Microsoft and Google. It starts by discussing Microsoft's high market cap and dividend payout, emphasizing the company's strong cash flow generation. The analysis includes a look at free cash flow and net income, comparing Microsoft's figures to those of Google. The paragraph raises questions about the valuation metrics of these tech giants, considering their growth potential and analyst estimates. A stock analyzer tool is used to project future growth and valuation, with a focus on revenue growth, profit margin, and price-to-earnings ratios. The importance of considering market cap in relation to free cash flow when evaluating companies is stressed, as well as the need for a margin of safety in investment decisions.

20:04

🌐 Investing with Confidence and Community Support

The final paragraph emphasizes the importance of investing with confidence, achieved through a solid process and emotional management. It discusses the historical tendency of even the most successful investors to make poor financial decisions due to emotional factors. The paragraph highlights the benefits of community support in investment decision-making, including the ability to bounce ideas off others and consider diverse viewpoints. The speaker shares their own experience of investing in community-building and software development to enhance their investment process and emotional management. The paragraph concludes with an invitation to join the community for a trial period to experience the benefits of collective investment wisdom.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡AI

Artificial Intelligence (AI) refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines that are programmed to think and learn like humans. In the context of the video, AI is highlighted as a revolutionary technology that is transforming various industries and is a key driver in the growth of the companies discussed, such as NVIDIA and AMD.

💡Stock Prices

Stock prices represent the market value of a single share of a company's stock. In the video, the speaker discusses how AI is leading to significant jumps in stock prices for certain companies, but also cautions that these increases might not always be justifiable based on the companies' fundamentals.

💡Market Cap

Market capitalization, or market cap, is the total value of all a company's shares of stock. It is calculated by multiplying the company's shares outstanding by the current market price of one share. In the video, the market cap of companies like NVIDIA and Google is used as an indicator of their size and prominence in the market.

💡Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is the cash a company generates after accounting for cash outflows to support operations and capital expenditures. It is an important metric for evaluating a company's financial health and its ability to generate cash to distribute to shareholders, reinvest in the business, or pay off debt. In the video, the speaker uses free cash flow to assess the profitability and growth potential of the companies discussed.

💡Gross Margin

Gross margin is a financial metric that indicates the percentage of total sales revenue that a company retains after incurring the direct costs associated with producing the goods and services it sells. A high gross margin indicates that a company is efficient at converting raw materials into income and managing costs. In the video, the speaker notes Adobe's gross margin of 88% as a testament to the company's profitability.

💡Enterprise Value

Enterprise value, or EV, is a measure of a company's total value, taking into account its debts and cash. It represents the theoretical takeover price for a company, assuming no net debt. In the video, the speaker compares enterprise value with market cap to understand a company's debt levels and overall value.

💡Dividend Yield

Dividend yield is a financial ratio that shows the annual dividend income per share relative to the market price per share of a company's stock. It is a measure of the return on investment for shareholders in the form of dividends. In the video, the speaker refers to NVIDIA's dividend yield as an indicator of the company's dividend policy.

💡ROI (Return on Investment)

Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment or compare the efficiency of several different investments. It is calculated by dividing the net gain of an investment by the original cost of the investment. In the video, the speaker uses ROI to analyze the profitability and growth of companies, particularly in the context of their investment in AI technologies.

💡Stock Analyzer Tool

A stock analyzer tool is a software or a set of quantitative methods used to evaluate the value and potential future performance of a company's stock. It often involves various financial metrics and projections to determine whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. In the video, the speaker uses a stock analyzer tool to assess the potential value of the companies discussed based on different growth scenarios and financial metrics.

💡Investment Emotion

Investment emotion refers to the psychological factors that influence an investor's decisions, often leading to irrational choices. In the context of the video, the speaker emphasizes the importance of managing emotions in investing, as even the most successful investors have made poor decisions due to emotional biases.

💡Community and Collaboration

In the context of the video, a community refers to a group of individuals who share common interests, in this case, investing. Collaboration is the act of working together to achieve a common goal, such as making better investment decisions. The speaker highlights the value of engaging with a community of investors to share ideas, check emotions, and improve investment strategies.

Highlights

AI is revolutionizing the world, similar to past technological advancements like cars, airplanes, the internet, and computers.

Five companies that involve chips and services are set to benefit significantly from AI advancements.

NVIDIA is a prime example of a company currently experiencing a surge in stock prices, up 244% in the last year alone.

NVIDIA's market cap has crossed $2 trillion, and it has a strong balance sheet with practically zero debt.

The company's 5-year average free cash flow is $9.6 billion, with last year's cash flow at an astronomical $27 billion.

Analysts predict NVIDIA's stock price to triple by 2029, reaching $12,255 a share.

AMD is another company in the chip manufacturing sector that is performing exceptionally well, with significant growth in stock prices.

Adobe is a leader in software subscription services, particularly in photo editing, and continues to leverage AI to improve its offerings.

Microsoft is recognized for its strong balance sheet and high dividend payouts, with a market cap of $3 trillion.

Google, despite its high market cap, has shown consistent growth and strong free cash flow, similar to Microsoft.

Investing with confidence requires the right process and the ability to manage emotions, as even the most successful investors have made poor financial decisions due to emotional influences.

The importance of a margin of safety in investment valuation is emphasized, as it accounts for the imprecise nature of valuation, unpredictability of the future, and human error.

The transcript discusses the use of a stock analyzer tool to evaluate companies and make informed investment decisions.

The speaker shares personal investment experiences and learnings, highlighting the value of community and diverse viewpoints in refining investment strategies.

The transcript underscores the impact of AI on various sectors, including chip manufacturing and software services, and the potential for these companies to continue benefiting from AI advancements.

The importance of fundamentals and reevaluating company values as they change is stressed, as is the significance of adjusting one's investment watch list accordingly.

The transcript provides a detailed analysis of the financial metrics of companies like NVIDIA, AMD, Adobe, Microsoft, and Google, offering insights into their growth potential and investment value.