Ex-Trump official predicts Melania's behavior amid Trump criminal trial
Summary
TLDRIn the transcript, legal analysts and former White House press secretary discuss the likelihood of Trump's legal efforts to delay or halt the upcoming trial, focusing on the Stormy Daniels case. They highlight the challenges within the New York courts and the potential 'wildcard' of the Supreme Court. The discussion delves into the personal implications for Trump and his family, especially Melania, and the increased threats against Daniels. The conversation also touches on the potential consequences of Trump's social media activity in relation to gag orders.
Takeaways
- ๐ The discussion revolves around the legal strategies and potential outcomes in the upcoming trial involving former President Trump, particularly focusing on the possibility of appeals and the role of the Supreme Court.
- ๐ฃ๏ธ There is a general consensus among the panelists that the New York courts are unlikely to halt the proceedings, indicating a full steam ahead for the trial date.
- ๐ค The Supreme Court is acknowledged as a wildcard, with past cases hinting at the potential, though not guaranteed, involvement at the federal level.
- ๐ซ The argument presented by Trump's legal team regarding presidential immunity is seen as a weak point, as it does not align with the current legal standing on immunity from prosecution.
- โฐ The timing of Trump's legal maneuvers is questioned, with suggestions that they may be untimely and potentially driven by ulterior motives.
- ๐ญ The personal implications of the case for Trump and his family, especially his wife Melania, are highlighted as significant factors influencing his actions.
- ๐ฌ The potential impact of Trump's social media activity on the trial is discussed, with concerns about violating gag orders and the safety of witnesses.
- ๐ The importance of the integrity of the trial process is emphasized, with the need for witnesses to be judged solely on their court testimony.
- ๐ The panelists express doubts about Trump's willingness to take the stand himself, given past performances under pressure and the potential legal risks involved.
- ๐จ The increase in threats against Stormy Daniels and other involved parties is noted, with Trump's statements being seen as potentially exacerbating the situation.
- ๐ The discussion underscores the defiance of Trump against legal orders and the uncertainty of potential consequences for his actions.
Q & A
What is the main topic of discussion in the transcript?
-The main topic of discussion in the transcript revolves around the legal strategies and potential outcomes in the case involving former President Trump, specifically focusing on the appeals process, the Supreme Court's role, and the personal implications for Trump and his family.
What is Ryan Goodman's view on the likelihood of success in the New York courts for Trump's legal team?
-Ryan Goodman believes that there is nothing Trump's legal team can do in the New York courts that will stop the trial. He suggests that the New York courts, including the appellate division and the court of appeals, are signaling that they will rule quickly on repeated motions and appeals, indicating a firm trial date that is likely to stick.
What does the term 'wildcard' refer to in the context of the Supreme Court?
-In this context, 'wildcard' refers to the unpredictable or uncertain element that the Supreme Court could introduce into the case. It suggests that while the outcome is not guaranteed, there is a possibility that the Supreme Court could make a decision that deviates from expectations based on previous cases or legal precedents.
What is the significance of the 'Hail Mary' analogy used in the discussion?
-The 'Hail Mary' analogy is used to describe a desperate, last-ditch effort with a very low probability of success. In this case, it refers to the extremely unlikely chance of Trump's legal team successfully appealing to the Supreme Court and getting a favorable decision, especially given the circumstances and previous rulings.
What was the reason behind Melania Trump's reaction to the news of Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal's allegations?
-Melania Trump did not take the news of the allegations lightly. She was very upset and embarrassed, leading to public displays of discomfort, such as attending the State of the Union separately from her husband. Her strong and independent nature is highlighted as a factor in her response to the situation.
What impact could Trump's social media posts have on the trial, particularly in relation to the gag order?
-Trump's social media posts, where he calls Stormy Daniels and others involved in the case 'liars' and 'sleaze bags,' could potentially violate the gag order by intimidating witnesses and prejudicing the jury. This could lead to increased threats against the witnesses and undermine the integrity of the trial.
How does Stephanie Grisham view Trump's approach to the gag order?
-Stephanie Grisham suggests that Trump may not be fully deterred by the gag order, as he has not faced significant consequences for violating it in the past. She implies that he might continue to defy the order, relying on his belief that he won't face any real repercussions.
What is the main legal issue in the case involving hush payments, according to the discussion?
-The main legal issue in the case is not whether Trump had an affair with Stormy Daniels, but whether the hush payments made were intended to influence the election. The focus is on the potential misuse of campaign funds and the intent behind the payments.
What was the outcome of previous instances where Trump was on the stand?
-In previous instances where Trump was on the stand, such as the Jean Carroll deposition, he did not fare well. His responses were found to be non-credible and damaging to his case, suggesting that his testimony could be detrimental to his legal standing.
What is the role of the jury in the trial?
-The role of the jury in the trial is to judge the witnesses based on their testimony in court and the instructions provided by the judge. The jury is meant to decide the outcome of the case without being influenced by external factors, such as public statements or social media posts.
What is the purpose of the gag order issued by the judge?
-The purpose of the gag order is to protect the integrity of the trial by preventing any public statements or actions that could intimidate the witnesses or prejudice the jury. It is designed to ensure that the trial proceeds fairly and that the jury's decision is based solely on the evidence presented in court.
Outlines
๐ Legal Analysis on Trump's Court Cases
This paragraph features a discussion among legal analyst Ryan Goodman, former Trump White House Press Secretary Stephanie Grisham, and host Rocha. The conversation revolves around the legal strategies available to Trump's legal team in light of their repeated failures in court. Goodman asserts that the New York courts are unlikely to halt the proceedings, indicating a full steam ahead for the trial. The Supreme Court's involvement is considered a wildcard, with past cases suggesting that Trump may attempt to bring the case to the highest court, despite the slim chances of success. Grisham provides insight into Trump's personal motivations for wanting to delay the case, highlighting the embarrassment it causes him and his family, particularly his wife Melania. The discussion also touches on the potential impact of Trump taking the stand and the nature of the case, which involves hush money payments and their relation to election influence.
๐ฅ Trump's Social Media Activity and its Legal Implications
The second paragraph focuses on the legal and personal implications of Trump's social media posts, particularly those targeting Stormy Daniels and her former lawyer, Michael Avenatti. The conversation explores whether Trump's comments violate the gag order imposed by the judge and whether they put Stormy Daniels in danger. The panelists agree that Trump's actions could be seen as a violation of the order and may increase threats against Daniels. Grisham suggests that Trump is aware of the legal risks but continues his behavior, possibly due to a belief that he will not face consequences, as he has not in the past. The discussion also touches on the importance of maintaining the integrity of the trial and the role of the jury in assessing witnesses based on their court testimony.
Mindmap
Keywords
๐กAppeals Court
๐กSupreme Court
๐กImmunity
๐กTrial Date
๐กHail Mary
๐กGag Order
๐กWitness Intimidation
๐กPublic Attention
๐กLegal Strategy
๐กNon-Credibility
๐กSocial Media Posts
Highlights
Discussion on the possibility of appeals in the case involving former President Trump.
Mention of three efforts and three failures in the legal process, indicating the challenges faced.
Analysis by legal analyst Ryan Goodman on the likelihood of success in New York courts.
Stephanie Grisham's insight into the personal nature of the case for Trump and his family.
The potential impact of the case on Trump's wife, Melania, and her reaction to the situation.
Speculation on Trump's motivation for attempting to delay the case.
Discussion on the Supreme Court as a wildcard in the legal proceedings.
The distinction between the federal case and the current case regarding presidential immunity.
Concerns about the timing and motives behind Trump's legal moves.
The potential consequences of Trump taking the stand in the case.
Analysis of Trump's past performances under pressure on the stand.
The importance of the upcoming trial and its potential impact on public opinion.
The role of social media in influencing the case and the potential danger it poses to witnesses.
The potential violation of gag orders by Trump's social media posts.
The potential risks to Stormy Daniels due to Trump's statements.
The legal and personal implications of Trump's actions towards the gag orders.
Stephanie Grisham's perspective on Trump's approach to legal orders and potential consequences.
Transcripts
APPEALS THIS WEEK OR BEFORE
MONDAY.
>> ALL RIGHT, PAULA, THANK YOU
VERY MUCH ROCHA IS WITH ME NOW,
THE FORMER SDNY DIVISION CHIEF
RYAN GOODMAN ARE LEGAL ANALYST
AND STEPHANIE GRISHAM, THE
FORMER TRUMP WHITE HOUSE PRESS
SECRETARY SO MANY THREE DAYS,
THREE EFFORTS, THREE FAILURES,
AS PAULA SAID, UNCLEAR WHAT
ELSE THEY COULD TRY TO DO, BUT
SHE LAID OUT ONE POSSIBILITY
THAT WE COULD TRY TO GO TO THE
APPEALS COURT, FAIL, TRY TO GO
TO THE SUPREME COURT, TRIED TO
GET A STAY THERE ON THIS CASE
WHILE IMMUNITY IS DECIDED, IS
ANY OF THIS REALISTIC?
>> I THINK THERE'S NOTHING
THAT THEY CAN DO IN THE NEW
YORK COURTS THAT WILL STOP THIS
I THINK THE NEW YORK COURTS ARE
REPEATEDLY SIGNALLING BOTH THE
JUDGE, THE TRIAL JUDGE, THE
APPELLATE DIVISION HAS ALREADY
DONE THIS AND I BELIEVE THE
COURT OF APPEALS WILL ALSO
RULING VERY QUICKLY ON THESE
REPEATED MOTIONS AND APPEALS.
THEY ARE SEEMED TO BE A FULL
STEAM AHEAD THAT THIS IS A REAL
TRIAL DATE AND IT'S STICKING.
I THINK THE SUPREME COURT IS
ALWAYS A WILDCARD HERE. I MEAN,
WE SAW WHAT HAPPENED WITH THE
IMMUNITY IN THE FEDERAL CASE.
AND SO THAT ONE IS A LITTLE BIT
HARDER TO SAY THAT CAN'T
POSSIBLY HAPPEN IF TRUMP BRINGS
IT TO THE SUPREME COURT. IF HIS
LAWYERS DO
>> BUT
>> I REALLY TRIED TO STAY AWAY
FROM PROTECTIONS WHEN IT COMES
TO ANYTHING REGARDING FORMER
PRESIDENT TRUMP, BUT I THINK
THE TRIALS GOING ON MONDAY.
YEAH. RYAN, DO YOU THINK THAT
THERE'S SUPREME COURT WILDCARD
IS MAINLY DESCRIBES IT. IS
THERE ANY POSSIBILITY THAT THAT
THAT COMES IN IS THAT IS THAT
THE FINAL HAIR MARRY?
>> I THINK IT IS, BUT IT'S A
REAL HAIL MARY THAT'S ALMOST
DURING THE BALL OUTSIDE THE
STADIUM.
>> I LIKE IT. WE'RE USING ALL
THE RELIGIOUS AND SPORTS
ANALOGIES
>> EVERYTHING WOULD GO AHEAD.
>> AND PARTLY BECAUSE THE
IMMUNITY QUESTION THAT HE'S IS
RAISING IS NOT THE SAME AS THE
SUPREME COURT IS CURRENTLY
DECIDING THAT HE IS IMMUNE FROM
ACTUALLY BEING TRIED FROM
PROSECUTION. HE'S REALLY
TRYING TO SAY BECAUSE OF
PRESIDENTIAL IMMUNITY, SOME
EVIDENCE CAN'T BE USED AGAINST
ME SO NOT THE KIND OF CASE THAT
THE COURT WOULD TAKE UP SO TO
HAVE TO BE SOME THINGS SO
BIZARRE FOR THEM TO DRESS IT.
AND IT'S NOT EVEN A RULING ON
THE MERITS. THE JUDGE ACTUALLY
JUST SAID YOUR MOTION IS
COMPLETELY UNTIMELY. YOU HAD A
TIME TO DO IT, AND THEN YOU
WAITED UNTIL THE LAST MINUTE,
EVEN FOR ME TO SUSPECT YOU HAVE
OTHER MOTIVES FOR DOING IT. SO
THEN ACTUALLY HAVE TO BE
APPEALING LIKE, OH, WE SHOULD
HAVE BEEN ABLE TO SUBMIT THE
MOTION, NOT THE QUESTION. I'M
IMMUNITY ITSELF. SO THAT JUST
SEEMS HE SHOULD THROW THE BALL,
BUT IT'S VERY UNLIKELY THAT IT
LANDS. ALL RIGHT,
>> SO SO STEPHANIE, THE CONTEXT
OF THIS OBVIOUSLY TRUMP'S LEGAL
TEAM KNOWS THESE, THESE DON'T,
THESE AREN'T SERIOUS LEGAL
MOVES. THEY KNOW THAT THEY'RE
DOING IT, OBVIOUSLY BECAUSE HE
WANTS THEM TO DO IT. SO EPIS
LAST MOMENT, THERE'S THIS
FRENETIC DESIRE TO HAVE THIS
CASE DELAYED SO WHY IS TRUMP
DOING THAT? STEPHANIE SO THIS
CASE, MANY PEOPLE HAVE SAID IS
PROBABLY THE LEAST DAMAGING
AGAINST HIM. I DON'T DISAGREE
WITH THAT, HOWEVER, THIS IS
VERY PERSONAL TO HIM. THIS IS
AN EMBARRASSMENT TO HIM FOUR
WITH HIS FAMILY AND MORE
IMPORTANTLY, WITH HIS WIFE
MELANIA. AND I SPENT A TON OF
TIME WITH HER WHEN THE NEWS WAS
BREAKING ABOUT STORMY DANIELS
WHEN WE WERE IN THE WHITE
HOUSE. AND THEN OF COURSE WITH
KAREN MCDOUGAL, WHO WAS THE
FORMER PLAYBOY PLAYMATE. WHEN
THOSE CAME OUT THAT HE
ALLEGEDLY HAD THESE AFFAIRS AND
SHE DIDN'T TAKE IT LIGHTLY AT
ALL. WE WENT TO THE STATE OF
THE UNION SEPARATELY. SHE
REFUSED TO WALK OUT TO MARINE
ONE WITH HIM BECAUSE SHE DID
NOT WANT TO BE LIKE HILLARY
CLINTON AND STANDING BY HER
MAN. SHE'S A VERY INDEPENDENT
AND STRONG WOMAN AND I MIGHT
ADD, THERE HAVE BEEN ARTICLES
JUST RECENTLY THAT SHE'S HIS
SECRET WEAPON FOR THIS FOR THIS
UPCOMING CAMPAIGN. AND SO I
WOULD IMAGINE THAT SHE IS
PUSHING HIM TO MAKE THIS STOP.
I WOULD IMAGINE THAT SHE WILL
PUSH HIM TO GO ON THE STAND AND
DEFEND HIMSELF BECAUSE THIS IS
THIS IS VERY, VERY EMBARRASSING
FOR HER. IT'S HUMILIATING FOR
HER. AND I CAN GUARANTEE YOU
THAT SHE'S NOT HAPPY RIGHT NOW
AND THAT HE'S QUITE WORRIED
ABOUT THAT.
>> ALL RIGHT. SO HIM GOING ON
THE STAND, RIGHT
>> IN THIS
>> CASE, OBVIOUSLY, HE TRIES TO
MAKE IT ABOUT WHETHER HE DID OR
DID NOT SLEEP WITH STORMY
DANIELS THIS CASE IS ACTUALLY
ABOUT HUSH BUDDING PAYMENTS
WHICH WERE PAID AS TO WHETHER
THEY WERE DONE TO INFLUENCE THE
ELECTION, RIGHT? IT'S ABOUT
SOMETHING ELSE, BUT
NONETHELESS, HE, BECAUSE OF
WHAT STEPHANIE SAID, IS GOING
TO MAKE IT ABOUT THAT OTHER
THING, WHETHER HE DID OR
DIDN'T
>> DOES HE GO ON A STAND?
>> I THINK IT'D BE IN DEEP
TROUBLE AT ONE LEVEL. IT
ACTUALLY DOESN'T MATTER WHETHER
OR NOT THEY HAD AN AFFAIR
BECAUSE IT'S ALL ABOUT WHETHER
OR NOT THEY WERE TRYING TO
SILENCE HER WRITING.
>> IT'S ALMOST YEAH THE DECIR
DIDN'T DID THEY WRITE AND THEN
WE'VE SEEN HIM OPERATE KIND OF
ON THE STAND UNDER PRESSURE IN
A COUPLE OF SITUATIONS IN WHICH
IT DIDN'T GO WELL FOR HIM. SO
THE E JEAN CARROLL DEPOSITION
DOES NOT GO WELL FOR HIM. YOU
ACTUALLY A THE WOMEN LAWYER
WHO'S REPRESENTING E. JEAN
CARROLL AND HE REPEATS THE
HOLLYWOOD ACCESS TAPE IN FRONT
OF HER IN A WAY THAT'S JUST
VERY BAD. RAMAN VERY DAMAGING
FOR HIM. AND THEN IN THE CIVIL
FRAUD CASE, THE JUDGE ACTUALLY
SAYS THAT WHEN TRUMP WAS ON THE
STAND, HE ENDED UP BEING NON
CREDIBLE. HE HURT HIS CASE. SO
I THINK IT'D BE VERY BAD AND
FOR HIM FOR THAT REASON, BUT
FOR PERSONAL REASONS, HAVING TO
DO WITH HIS WIFE TRYING TO TRY
TO WIN PUBLIC ATTENTION OR THE
PUBLIC STORY OR NARRATIVE
THAT'S A DIFFERENT MATTER. BUT
FOR LEGAL MATTER HAD BEEN DEEP
IN DEEP TROUBLE AND THAT IS
ULTIMATELY WHAT I MEAN, WHAT
ULTIMATELY MATTERS WN IT
COMES TO THE OUTCOME? THERE'S
ALSO THE ISSUE OF THOSE, THOSE
SOCIAL MEDIA POSTS AND I
MENTIONED ONE OF THEM WERE
TRUMP IN COMPLIMENTING JUST
STORMY DANIELS, FORMER LAWYER
MICHAEL AVANADE, WHO HAS NOW
GONE FULL BORE ON TEAM TRUMP
SLAMS A STORMY DANIELS AND
MICHAEL COHEN AS WHAT WERE THE
WORD SLEAZE BAGS AND LIARS AND
THINGS LIKE THAT. THERE'S A
LITTLE BIT MORE THAT HAPPENED
HERE WHEN I SPOKE TO THE
DIRECTOR OF THE NEW DOCUMENT OR
WE JUST SAW STORMY DANIELS
SPEAKING IN THAT NEW DOCUMENT
OR I WANT TO PLAY MORE FROM IT
IN TERMS OF WHAT STORMY DANIELS
DESCRIBED AS TO WHAT HAPPENED
TO HER AFTER TRUMP WAS INDICTED
IN THIS CASE AND SHE WAS THE
NAME AT THE CENTER OF IT.
HERE'S WHAT HAPPENED.
>> BACK IN 2018. THAT WAS STUFF
LIKE LIAR GOLD DIGGER
>> THIS TIME AROUND IS VERY
DIFFERENT.
>> IT
>> IS DIRECT THREATS IT IS.
I'M GOING TO COME TO YOUR
HOUSE AND SLIT YOUR THROAT.
YOUR DAUGHTER SHOULD BE
EUTHANIZED THEY'RE NOT EVEN
USING ACCOUNTS THEY'RE USING
THEIR REAL ACCOUNTS
>> SO IN THAT CONTEXT, TODAY,
TRUMP COMES OUT AND SAYS WHAT
HE SAYS ON SOCIAL MEDIA, IS
THAT A VIOLATION OF THE GAG
ORDER? AND HE PUTTING STORMY
DANIELS, WHO IS OBVIOUSLY GONNA
BE THE WITNESS AT THE CENTER AT
ONE OF THE WITNESSES AT THE
CENTER OF THIS IN REAL DANGER?
>> SO I THINK THE SHORT ANSWER
IS YES IN MY EXPERIENCE, WHEN
JUDGES MAKE ORDERS. SO SPECIFIC
AS THE JUDGE DID IN THIS CASE,
RIGHT? I MEAN, IT WASN'T JUST A
YOU CAN'T SAY ANYTHING ABOUT
ANYONE WHICH WOULD BE TOO
BROAD. IT WAS ABOUT THE
SPECIFIC WITNESSES IN THE CASE
AND THAT YOU CAN'T SEE THEY
THINGS THAT WILL CAUSE
INTIMIDATION AND THAT WILL
PREJUDICE THE JURY. I MEAN,
THAT'S THE OTHER PART OF THIS.
YES.
>> THIS CAN LEAD TO
>> INCREASED THREATS WHICH ARE
HORRIBLE. THE THREAT SHE'S
DESCRIBING THERE AGAINST HER,
ALTHOUGH I THINK THOSE ARE
GOING TO HAPPEN REGARDLESS, BUT
I'M SURE THERE IS A LIKELY
UPTICK IN THESE AFTER A POST
LIKE THIS. BUT IT ALSO, I MEAN,
WE ARE NOW DAYS AWAY FROM A
TRIAL STARTING. THE JUDGE IS
TRYING TO PROTECT THE INTEGRITY
OF THE TRIAL WITH THE ORDER.
>> RIGHT. THE WITNESSES NEED TO
BE JUDGED BY THE JURY. THAT IS
STARTING TO BE CHOSEN ALREADY
BECAUSE THE QUESTIONNAIRES HAVE
FANOUT. THE JURORS NEED TO
JUDGE THE WITNESSES BY THEIR
TESTIMONY IN COURT WITH
INSTRUCTIONS FROM THE JUDGE. I
MEAN, THERE'S A PROCESS FOR A
REASON. AND SO TRUMP COMING OUT
AND CALLING THEM LIARS IS ABOUT
AS STARK A VIOLATION AS YOU CAN
GET.
>> AND SO STEPHANIE TRUMP.
KNOWS THAT. IS HE TAUNTING THE
JUDGE ME? DOES HE WANT TO FACE
POSSIBLE JAIL AND SEE IF THE
JUDGE WILL ACTUALLY DO IT FOR
VIOLATING THESE GAG ORDERS
>> HE DEFINITELY DOES NOT WANT
TO FACE JAIL. I CAN GUARANTEE
YOU THAT, BUT AS HE TALKED TO
THE JUDGE, ABSOLUTELY. I MEAN,
HE'S HAD HOW MANY GAG ORDERS
ALREADY. I KNOW WE GOT FINED
LIKE $10,000 FOR VIOLATING IT.
ONE TIME, BUT IT'S ALMOST LIKE
SOME OF THESE JUDGES ARE
BENDING OVER BACKWARDS SO THAT
HE'S NOT LOOKING PERSECUTED
WHERE I BELIEVE I COULD BE
WRONG. THE LEGAL EXPERTS MIGHT
KNOW BETTER, BUT OTHER PEOPLE
WOULD HAVE BEEN THROWN IN JAIL
BY NOW FOR SO DEFIANTLY GOING
AGAINST THESE ORDERS FROM A
JUDGE. SO HE THINKS HE'S NOT
GONNA GET ANY CONSEQUENCES
BECAUSE HE HASN'T SO FAR,
WHICH IS HOW TRUMP LIVES. THINK
ABOUT HIS WHOLE LIFE. HE
HASN'T HAD ANY CONSEQUENCES SO
FAR. SO HE'S GOING TO KEEP
DOING IT ABSOLUTELY. UNTIL
THERE IS AN ACTUAL CONSEQUENCES
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