The NBA Playoffs Are Completely Unpredictable

JxmyHighroller
28 Apr 202415:41

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses the unpredictable nature of the NBA, particularly during the playoffs. Despite using numerical metrics and predictive analytics, the speaker admits that forecasting the NBA champion is fraught with uncertainty. The script highlights several instances of remarkable comebacks, emphasizing the volatility of scoring and the increasing reliance on three-pointers, which have become a pivotal factor in determining game outcomes. It also touches on how regular season performance is becoming less indicative of postseason success, with an unprecedented gap observed between regular season and playoff scoring averages. The analogy of 'rubber banding' from Mario Kart is used to illustrate the current state of the NBA, where any lead is precarious and the potential for a comeback is always present, making every game a thrilling spectacle.

Takeaways

  • 📊 The unpredictability of the NBA playoffs has increased, with comebacks and upsets becoming more common.
  • 🏀 The importance of three-pointers has grown significantly, with teams that make more threes winning over 70% of playoff games in recent years.
  • ⚡ The pace of games has increased, with teams incorporating more three-pointers into their game plan, leading to more volatile outcomes.
  • 📉 Regular season performance is becoming less predictive of postseason success, with a widening gap between the two.
  • 🔥 The掘金 (Nuggets) made one of the largest comebacks in playoff history, highlighting the potential for any team to be in the game until the final buzzer.
  • 🎯 The traditional 'four factors' of shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounds, and free throws are being overshadowed by the influence of three-pointers.
  • 📈 The number of highly unlikely comebacks has been rising year by year, with the most in a single season occurring in the current year.
  • 🚨 Even large point leads are not safe, as teams can quickly chip away at deficits with a few well-timed three-pointers.
  • 📉 There is an unprecedented gap in scoring between the regular season and playoffs, with the league averaging 10.5 fewer points per game in the playoffs.
  • 🤔 Coaches and players acknowledge the new reality of the game, where a 20-point lead is no longer considered secure.
  • 🏆 Despite meeting all the prerequisites to be a title contender, the NBA remains unpredictable, and no team is truly safe from an upset.

Q & A

  • What is the speaker's prediction method for the NBA title?

    -The speaker uses numbers and potentially predictive metrics to make a prediction on who will win the NBA title.

  • Which team did the speaker predict to win the NBA title in 2022?

    -The speaker predicted the Celtics to win the NBA title in 2022.

  • What is the main challenge the speaker faces with their prediction method?

    -The main challenge is that no matter how many metrics are factored in, the game is too unpredictable to reach a definitive conclusion.

  • What was a significant event in the Lakers-Nuggets series that impacted the speaker's prediction?

    -The Nuggets made one of the largest comebacks in playoff history, coming back from a 20-point deficit in the third quarter.

  • What does the speaker believe has become the most determining factor in today's NBA games?

    -The speaker believes that making more three-pointers than the opposing team has become the most determining factor in today's NBA games.

  • According to the speaker, how has the importance of three-pointers evolved in the NBA?

    -The importance of three-pointers has increased significantly over the past decade, becoming a focal point for many offenses and the deciding factor in the majority of playoff games.

  • What is the 'four factors' model in basketball, and how does it relate to winning games?

    -The 'four factors' model includes shooting efficiency, turnovers, offensive rebounds, and free throws. How well a team does in these four factors usually determines the outcome of a game.

  • What is the significance of the increase in three-pointers made in a game?

    -The increase in three-pointers made in a game has led to higher variance and unpredictability in game outcomes, making it easier for teams to make large comebacks quickly.

  • How has the regular season performance become less predictive of postseason success?

    -The regular season performance is becoming less predictive of postseason success due to the increased volatility in scoring, reliance on three-pointers, and the unpredictable nature of playoff games.

  • What is the 'rubber banding' analogy used to describe the current state of the NBA?

    -The 'rubber banding' analogy compares the NBA's scoring volatility to the mechanism in the game Mario Kart, where the game artificially adjusts the speed of racers to keep the race competitive, regardless of the lead.

  • What is the impact of a team's regular season performance on their playoff performance according to the speaker?

    -The speaker suggests that a team's regular season performance is becoming increasingly irrelevant to their playoff success due to the unpredictable nature of the NBA playoffs.

  • How has the pace of the NBA games affected the predictability of outcomes?

    -null

Outlines

00:00

🏀 NBA Championship Predictions and the Limits of Metrics

The speaker discusses their past attempts to predict the NBA champions using numerical data and predictive metrics. They recount being close to correct in 2022 with the Celtics, and how the unexpected performance of the Miami Heat affected their prediction in the following season. This season, despite considering the Nuggets as potential champions, they acknowledge the inherent unpredictability of the game. The speaker highlights a specific game between the Lakers and the Nuggets, where the latter made an improbable comeback, as an example of the unpredictability of the NBA playoffs. They also mention how regular season performance seems to be increasingly irrelevant to postseason success.

05:02

📈 The Unpredictability and Statistical Analysis in the NBA

The paragraph delves into the unpredictability of the NBA, especially during the playoffs. The speaker uses a win probability chart to illustrate how teams' chances of winning can change dramatically during a game. They discuss specific games, such as the one between the Knicks and the Celtics, where unlikely comebacks occurred, defying statistical models. The speaker also talks about the 'four factors' that are highly correlated with winning basketball games and how the importance of making more three-pointers than the opposing team has become a significant factor in determining the outcome of games in recent years. They highlight the increased volatility in scoring and how it has affected the game, making comebacks more common and traditional metrics less reliable.

10:04

🚀 The Evolution of Three-Pointers and Their Impact on NBA Games

This section focuses on the role of three-pointers in the modern NBA. The speaker explains how the frequency and effectiveness of three-point shots have increased over time, leading to higher variance in game outcomes. They provide historical context by comparing the number of three-pointers made in past seasons to current games, where teams are hitting a higher volume of threes and thus making them a pivotal aspect of the game strategy. The speaker also discusses how this shift has led to more unpredictable game dynamics, where large point leads are less secure and comebacks are more feasible.

15:05

🔥 The Explosiveness of the NBA Offense and the Rubber Banding Effect

The final paragraph addresses the explosive nature of NBA offenses and how it has led to a 'rubber banding' effect, where significant point leads are less indicative of the final outcome due to the potential for rapid scoring changes. The speaker uses an analogy with the video game Mario Kart to explain how the game adjusts the difficulty to keep the competition close. They emphasize that despite a team's strengths or their standing as title contenders, the NBA remains unpredictable, with no lead being safe and the potential for any team to win at any given moment.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Predictive Metrics

Predictive metrics are statistical measures used to forecast outcomes or trends. In the context of the video, they are employed to predict the NBA championship winner. The video discusses how, despite using these metrics, the speaker's predictions for the Celtics in 2022 and 2023 were close to being correct, highlighting the importance of such metrics in sports analytics but also their limitations.

💡Unpredictability

Unpredictability refers to the nature of an event or situation that is difficult to anticipate or forecast. The video emphasizes that despite the use of numbers and metrics, the NBA playoffs are highly unpredictable, as demonstrated by the unexpected outcomes and comebacks in games. This unpredictability is a central theme of the video, showing that even with advanced analytics, the game's outcome can be hard to determine.

💡NBA Playoffs

The NBA Playoffs are the postseason elimination tournaments organized by the National Basketball Association (NBA) to determine the league champion. The video uses the NBA Playoffs as a backdrop to discuss the unpredictability of sports outcomes, citing specific games and series to illustrate the points made about the volatility and surprising nature of playoff games.

💡Three-Pointers

A three-pointer is a shot in basketball that is taken from beyond the three-point line and is worth three points if made. The video explains how the increased reliance on three-pointers has made NBA games more volatile and unpredictable. It discusses how making more three-pointers than the opposing team has become a significant indicator of winning games in the modern NBA.

💡Comeback Score

A comeback score is a metric used to measure the likelihood of a team's victory based on historical data. The video describes how certain games, such as the Knicks' and Nuggets' victories, had high comeback scores, indicating that they were statistically unlikely to win but did so anyway, underscoring the unpredictability of the NBA games.

💡Regular Season Performance

Regular season performance refers to how well a team does during the standard part of the sports season before the playoffs. The video argues that a team's performance during the regular season is becoming less relevant to their success in the playoffs, with a widening gap between the two in terms of scoring and outcomes.

💡Win Probability Model

A win probability model is a statistical tool used to estimate a team's chances of winning a game based on various factors and historical data. The video discusses how such models can provide a play-by-play breakdown of a team's likelihood of winning or losing, but also notes that these models can be defied by the unpredictable nature of the games.

💡Four Factors

The Four Factors are shooting percentage, turnovers, offensive rebounds, and free throws, which are considered the primary statistical categories that correlate with winning in basketball. The video explains that while these factors are traditionally important, in the modern NBA, the ability to make more three-pointers has become a more decisive factor in determining the outcome of games.

💡Volatility

Volatility in the context of the video refers to the fluctuating nature of game scores and the potential for rapid changes in a team's fortunes. The video uses the term to describe the increased variability in scoring, particularly due to the prevalence of three-point shots, which can quickly alter the course of a game.

💡Rubber Banding

Rubber banding is a concept borrowed from video games, where the game adjusts the difficulty to keep the competition close. The video uses this analogy to explain how the increased scoring volatility and reliance on three-pointers in the NBA have made games more competitive, regardless of the point differential, as any team can quickly close a gap with a streak of successful three-point shots.

💡Postseason Success

Postseason success refers to a team's performance in the playoff tournaments following the regular season. The video discusses how a team's success in the regular season may not necessarily translate to the postseason, highlighting the unique challenges and unpredictability of playoff basketball.

Highlights

The author has used predictive metrics to make NBA title predictions for the past two seasons.

In 2022, the Celtics were predicted to win the NBA title and they almost did, coming within two games of victory.

For the current season, the author predicts the Denver Nuggets to win the NBA title.

Despite using numbers and metrics, the author acknowledges the unpredictability of the game and the difficulty in making accurate predictions.

The Nuggets made one of the largest comebacks in playoff history, overcoming a 20-point deficit in game two of the Lakers-Nuggets series.

The unpredictability of the NBA playoffs is emphasized by the fact that no lead is safe, as demonstrated by the Miami Heat's victory over the Celtics.

The author discusses the volatility of the NBA, where regular season performance is becoming less relevant to postseason success.

The importance of three-pointers in determining the outcome of games is highlighted, with teams that make more threes winning over 70% of the time in the last three postseasons.

The article presents a comparison of the importance of three-pointers in different eras, showing a significant shift in their impact on game outcomes.

The author references a study by ESPN's Andrew Lopez on the increase in scoring variance and its effects on the game.

A significant drop in playoff scoring compared to the regular season is observed, indicating a disconnect between regular season and playoff performance.

The article discusses how the increase in three-pointers attempted and made has led to more unpredictable and volatile games.

The concept of 'rubber banding' from video games is used as an analogy to explain the current state of scoring volatility in the NBA.

The article mentions that no lead is safe in today's NBA, as evidenced by the Warriors' drop from a streak of 114 consecutive wins to the current longest active streak of 35.

The author suggests that despite teams meeting all prerequisites to be title contenders, the NBA remains unpredictable with any team capable of winning at any moment.

The Denver Nuggets' ability to come back from a significant deficit is used as an example of the current unpredictability in the NBA playoffs.

Transcripts

00:00

over the last two NBA Seasons I have

00:02

made a prediction on who I think will

00:03

win the NBA title and I use strictly

00:06

numbers and potentially predictive

00:07

metrics to narrow down my decisions

00:10

overall I think my predictions went all

00:12

right in 2022 I chose the Celtics to win

00:15

it all and they came within two games of

00:17

doing just that last season I chose the

00:20

Celtics again and if it weren't for the

00:21

heat being the greatest eight seed ever

00:23

assembled that might have panned out as

00:26

well so this season I considered

00:28

predicting the eventual NBA champs once

00:30

again by the way I think it's going to

00:32

be the Nuggets but as fun as these

00:34

experiments are the reality is numbers

00:36

will never get you all the way to the

00:38

correct conclusion no matter how many

00:39

metrics you factor in the game is just

00:42

too unpredictable and just a week into

00:44

the NBA Playoffs we all got a jarring

00:46

reminder of just how unpredictable it

00:49

can be but game two of the Lakers

00:51

Nuggets Series in particular really

00:53

crushed my hopes of ever being able to

00:55

pin down any sort of coherent prediction

00:57

after being down 20 points in the third

01:00

third quarter the Nuggets crawled back

01:01

and completed one of the largest

01:03

comebacks in playoff history joic is

01:05

nearly perfect as usual to close out the

01:07

game Jamal Murray summoned his inner

01:09

Prime Michael Jordan for the millionth

01:11

time to put a dagger in the hearts of

01:13

Lakers fans and we were all stunned but

01:17

why did this comeback feel inevitable

01:20

the Nuggets were dead in the water at

01:21

one point in this game and yet I never

01:23

felt like they were completely out of it

01:25

in no Universe should a Miami Heat team

01:28

without Jimmy Butler and Terry Rosier

01:30

beat a 64- win Celtics team by double

01:33

digits and yet was this game really all

01:37

that surprising has the NBA and

01:39

specifically the playoffs become more

01:41

unpredictable than ever before in the

01:44

past it always felt like there were

01:45

teams who skated past the first round

01:47

teams that seem to be levitating above

01:50

others on their way to the Conference

01:51

Finals but in today's NBA all bets are

01:54

off any team can win at any moment

01:57

regular season performance becoming more

01:59

and more irrelevant to postseason

02:01

success but why is this here's a

02:04

relatively normal win probability chart

02:07

the line starts in the Middle where both

02:08

teams have a 50/50 chance of winning the

02:11

closer the line gets to the top or the

02:13

bottom the better one of the teams

02:15

chances of winning becomes in this game

02:17

the Bucks took an early lead and held on

02:19

to it until the end of the game this is

02:22

normal game two of the Sixers Nick

02:24

series was not

02:27

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02:57

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03:00

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order is lead safe in the NBA today 10

04:02

points isn't nearly enough of a cushion

04:04

a 20-point win is considered a blowout

04:07

by any metric and yet as long as there's

04:09

time left on the clock a 20-point lead

04:11

can be chipped away relatively quickly

04:13

in the NBA today the Nuggets overcoming

04:15

a 20o deficit in game two against the

04:17

Lakers was remarkable but you know

04:20

what's even crazier with a minute and 15

04:22

seconds left in this game the Nuggets

04:24

had 92 points they ended the game with

04:28

101 that's nine points in 76 seconds to

04:32

close out a playoff game according to

04:35

ineda win probability model the Nuggets

04:38

had just an 18% chance of winning this

04:41

game with a minute and 27 seconds left

04:44

in the fourth even crazier a more

04:46

unlikely comeback happened on the same

04:48

exact night take a look at the clock

04:50

there's just 30 seconds left in this

04:52

game the Knicks have 96 points when the

04:54

clock hit zero they had 104 the Nicks

04:58

scored eight points in just 28 seconds

05:02

to clinch a playoff win you cannot

05:04

predict this there's no metric that will

05:07

see this coming there's no game plan or

05:09

scheme to prevent this the Knicks had

05:11

just a

05:13

1.7% chance of winning this game with 47

05:16

seconds left on the clock a couple

05:18

three-pointers and free throws later and

05:20

those chances were all but irrelevant

05:23

and even when games don't come down to

05:24

the wire like this they are still

05:26

completely unpredictable in game two of

05:29

the Celtics Heat series Boston was

05:31

favored by 15 points going into this

05:33

game they lost by 10 points one of the

05:37

best regular season teams in NBA history

05:40

lost to a team missing two of their

05:42

starters at home by double digits the

05:45

NBA is as volatile and unpredictable as

05:48

it's ever been in predictable. comom win

05:51

probability model not only gives a

05:53

play-by-play breakdown of How likely a

05:55

team is to win or lose it then uses this

05:58

data to identify the most statistic

05:59

statistically unlikely comebacks

06:01

throughout NBA history given a point

06:03

deficit time remaining and ball

06:05

possession their comeback metric shows

06:07

How likely a team was to win or lose

06:10

based on how other teams have fared in

06:12

that exact scenario over the past 10

06:14

years a comeback score of 50 would be

06:17

considered highly unlikely this Nick's

06:19

win over the 76ers in game two had a

06:22

comeback score of

06:23

56.8 now here's a chart of every game

06:26

that featured one of these highly

06:27

unlikely comebacks from year to year

06:29

dating back to the 1997 season for many

06:32

years these comebacks were limited to 10

06:35

maybe 20 a season but year after year

06:38

the number of crazy comebacks continues

06:40

to climb with the most in a single

06:42

season coming this year with 32 as Pace

06:45

continues to increase in the NBA and

06:47

teams incorporate more three-pointers

06:49

into their game plan the outcome of

06:51

these games has gotten more and more

06:53

unpredictable the NBA has always been a

06:56

make or Miss league but as offenses have

06:58

become more potent so has the potential

07:00

for comebacks upsets and unforeseen

07:03

results in any given NBA game there are

07:06

four statistics known as the four

07:08

factors that have the highest

07:10

correlation to winning basketball games

07:12

how well a team shoots the ball

07:14

turnovers offensive rebounds and how

07:16

often a team is getting to the line how

07:18

well a team does in these four factors

07:20

will usually determine the outcome of a

07:22

game but in today's NBA most games boil

07:25

down to just one factor here's a chart

07:28

of how often team teams won a playoff

07:30

game over the years when they made more

07:32

three-pointers than the opposing team

07:35

over the last three postseasons when a

07:37

team makes more threes than their

07:38

opponents they end up winning the game

07:41

over 70% of the time peing in this

07:44

year's playoffs where teams that make

07:46

more threes than the opposing team have

07:48

won the game 81% of the time more than

07:52

rebounding more than getting to the line

07:54

it's simply making or missing threes

07:57

that have become the overwhelming factor

07:59

that is deciding these games when

08:01

compared to the traditional four factors

08:03

making more threes than the opposing

08:04

team is actually a better indicator of

08:07

which team will win the game than any

08:09

other metric right now and you might be

08:11

thinking well of course the team that

08:13

hits more threes wins the game the

08:14

majority of the time but this wasn't

08:17

always the case in fact in the past

08:19

hitting more 3es had almost no

08:21

correlation to whether a team was going

08:22

to win or not from 1990 to 1994 when a

08:26

team made more threes than their

08:27

opponent they won about 45% of the time

08:31

so not only were threes not prioritized

08:34

teams that relied more on three-pointers

08:35

actually performed worse than other

08:38

teams from 2010 to 2014 the win rate for

08:41

teams that hit more threes than their

08:42

opponent in the playoffs jumped to about

08:45

55% so just a decade ago making more

08:48

threes gave teams a slight Edge over

08:50

their opponent but it was still just one

08:52

of many variables that would determine

08:54

the outcome of a game in the past

08:57

three-pointers were viewed as almost a

08:59

home run a game breaker even if the shot

09:01

was a good open look teams didn't take a

09:04

lot and they didn't make a lot but over

09:06

the last decade the shot has not only

09:08

become the focal point for many offenses

09:10

it has become the deciding factor in the

09:12

majority of these playoff games how many

09:14

games have you watched where your team

09:16

gets out to a 10 15 even 20o lead and

09:20

despite a massive cushion they still

09:22

can't relax knowing that all it would

09:23

take is a few long bombs to shift the

09:25

momentum and turn the game around these

09:28

long bombs used to be improbable get

09:30

yourself a double- digigit lead and

09:32

holding on to it late in a game was

09:34

relatively manageable but now a 15-point

09:36

lead in the NBA is nothing teams can

09:39

close that Gap in the blink of an eye in

09:41

2012 just over a decade ago the Miami

09:44

Heat won a playoff game without making a

09:47

single three-pointer in those same

09:49

playoffs the Grizzlies had a game where

09:51

they didn't make a single three and beat

09:53

the Lob City Clippers by double digits

09:56

here's a Series in 2012 where the Jazz

09:58

hit N9 threes throughout the entire

10:02

series go back even further and you'll

10:04

see shooting volatility and the Reliance

10:06

on three-pointers dip even further in

10:09

1994 the Celtics and hornets combined

10:12

for 13 made three-pointers throughout an

10:15

entire playoff series the Miami Heat

10:19

just hit 13 threes in one half of a

10:21

single game three-pointers are a high

10:24

variance shot inherently high risk High

10:26

reward when a team is only shooting 10

10:28

of them a game this variance plays a

10:30

marginal role on the outcome the result

10:33

of the game is a bit more expected but

10:35

when teams are shooting 35 403s a game

10:38

and hitting half of them the game isn't

10:41

just affected by these shots the entire

10:43

game hinges on the outcome of these

10:45

shots a team can miss a handful of shots

10:48

and find themselves on the bad end of a

10:49

15-point run and then flip the script

10:52

hit a handful of Threes themselves and

10:54

seemingly out of nowhere they have the

10:56

lead in their first three games against

10:58

the nuggets the Lakers have held a

11:00

double digigit lead at some point in the

11:02

game and yet when watching these games

11:04

the score might as well be tied with how

11:06

explosive the Nuggets offense is and

11:08

this volatility has seen a spike in the

11:11

postseason in comparison to the regular

11:13

season this year usually in the

11:15

postseason teams score less than they do

11:17

in the regular season the game slows

11:19

down teams have an entire series to prep

11:21

for the opposing team schemes and sets

11:23

scoring gets more difficult but over the

11:25

last few seasons this discrepancy from

11:27

regular season performance to play play

11:29

off performance has only grown larger

11:31

between an increase in games missed from

11:33

key players injuries going into the

11:35

playoffs in the previous mentioned

11:37

variance in shooting and scoring a team

11:39

doing well in the regular season has

11:40

become more and more nonpredictive of

11:43

how they will do in the playoffs over

11:45

the last 20 seasons on average teams are

11:47

scoring about three to four less points

11:50

in playoff games than they do in regular

11:52

season games so far in the 2024 playoffs

11:55

the league is averaging 10.5 less points

11:58

scored SC per game than they did in the

12:01

regular season that is an unprecedented

12:04

Gap this fallof in playoff scoring shows

12:06

just how disconnected the regular season

12:09

has gotten from the playoffs this has

12:11

always been the case but it is far more

12:13

prevalent now than ever before here's a

12:16

moment in game two of the Bucks Pacers

12:18

series with less than 11 minutes left in

12:20

the fourth quarter the Pacers had a

12:22

four-point lead on the Bucks that's a

12:24

onep possession game 5 minutes and 23

12:27

seconds later the Pacers were up by 23

12:30

points here's game one of the Suns

12:32

t-wolf Series where the suns were down

12:34

15 points with about 10 minutes left in

12:36

the fourth within 2 minutes of game time

12:39

they were down by 25 game one Heat

12:42

versus Celtics with 332 left in the

12:45

third quarter the heat were down 17 a

12:47

lot but still very manageable 3 minutes

12:50

later the heat were losing by 32 points

12:54

these kinds of scoring outbursts are

12:56

happening all the time now and they end

12:58

up being the exciting factor of these

13:00

games more and more often Andrew Lopez

13:03

of ESPN wrote a great article on this in

13:05

March of this year detailing the change

13:07

in scoring variance the league has seen

13:09

over the last few years and how some

13:10

players and coaches are reacting to

13:13

these scoring explosions Victor wanyama

13:15

said during his time in the NBA so far

13:17

he's learned a 20-point lead is nothing

13:20

Minnesota head coach Chris VCH was also

13:23

quoted saying you see a lot of

13:24

unpredictable results regardless of the

13:26

point differential and the margins of

13:28

the score like like wow how that team

13:30

beat that team and then you look at the

13:32

column and they made 22 threes there was

13:34

a time where you weren't taking 23es in

13:36

a game it's all down to that but the

13:38

most eye-opening part about this article

13:40

was this stat when Steve Kerr began his

13:42

tenure with golden state the Warriors

13:44

strung together

13:46

114 consecutive wins when holding a lead

13:49

of at least 15 points now the longest

13:52

active streak when taking a 15-point

13:54

lead is just 35 No lead is safe and any

13:59

team can win at any time I heard a

14:01

really good analogy about how scoring

14:03

volatility has altered the NBA and it's

14:06

probably the simplest way to understand

14:08

exactly what's going on in these games

14:10

you ever play Mario Kart yeah the racing

14:13

game for children well in that game

14:15

whenever you get out to a massive lead

14:17

the game will artificially speed up the

14:19

AI Racers so they can catch up to you

14:22

and make the race more competitive and

14:23

if you fall behind the AI Racers will

14:25

slow down so you can catch up this is a

14:28

mechanism built into the game called

14:30

rubber banding the mechanism exists so

14:33

if you're really good at the game it

14:34

Still Remains challenging and if you're

14:36

not so good at the game you still have a

14:38

chance to win no matter the gap between

14:40

you and the other Racers the game will

14:43

close it and make the races competitive

14:45

scoring variance three-point volatility

14:48

and shot making has triggered this

14:50

rubber banding in the NBA when a team

14:52

jumps ahead by too much the other team

14:55

comes racing back got a team that is the

14:57

deepest most talented team in the league

15:00

yeah well we have three-pointers and we

15:01

know how to use them just went on a hot

15:03

streak hit a bunch of shots got out to a

15:05

lead that's all right you'll eventually

15:07

get cold and we'll hit an improbable

15:09

amount of three-pointers in a row to

15:10

close the gap a team can meet all the

15:12

prerequisites to be a title Contender

15:14

they could check all the boxes that P

15:16

Champions checked off they could be the

15:18

clear favorite in any given series and

15:21

still the NBA is as unpredictable as

15:24

ever where no lead is safe and no team

15:27

is safe

15:32

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العلامات ذات الصلة
NBA PlayoffsPredictive MetricsThree-PointersVolatilityComebacksBasketball AnalyticsSporting EventsUnpredictabilityStatistical AnalysisSport PsychologyGame Strategy
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