Prosecutor issues CRUCIAL news on Trump jury
Summary
TLDRIn this episode of 'Legal Breakdown,' hosts Brian Tyer Cohen and Glenn Kersner discuss the upcoming jury deliberation in Donald Trump's New York criminal trial. They delve into the secrecy of the deliberation process, the dynamics within the jury room, and the implications of quick versus extended deliberations. Cohen shares insights from his experience as a prosecutor, highlighting the intensity of post-verdict discussions and the factors that could influence the jury's decision. The hosts also speculate on the potential outcomes, with Kersner expressing skepticism about a not-guilty verdict due to the strength of the prosecution's case.
Takeaways
- 📅 The trial of Donald Trump in New York is imminent with the jury deliberation days away.
- 🔍 The video will provide daily updates on the trial, encouraging viewers to subscribe for ongoing coverage.
- 🎥 The host, Glenn, shares his experience as a prosecutor and his curiosity about the jury deliberation process.
- 🚫 Jury deliberations are typically private, with rare exceptions where secrecy can be pierced, and are considered a 'black hole' to outsiders.
- 🗣️ After a verdict, the host has entered deliberation rooms to see large sheets of paper with notes, indicating how jurors discuss and analyze evidence.
- 🤔 In cases of hung juries, the host has had in-depth discussions with jurors to understand their perceptions and thoughts on evidence and witnesses.
- 🔥 Deliberations can become heated, with jurors continuing to argue their points even after a mistrial is declared.
- 👥 Jurors are first instructed to select a foreman to facilitate discussions and then are given freedom to deliberate as they see fit.
- ⏳ The host predicts that the jury will likely take several days to deliberate given the length of the trial and complexity of the evidence.
- 💡 The host does not expect a not-guilty verdict due to the strength of the prosecution's case and the evidence presented.
- 🤔 The host anticipates that the first communication from the jury might be a note with questions rather than a verdict.
Q & A
What is the significance of the term 'black hole' in the context of jury deliberations?
-The term 'black hole' refers to the secrecy and privacy of jury deliberations, which are designed to be confidential and are rarely revealed to the public. This secrecy is a fundamental aspect of the legal process to ensure fairness and impartiality in decision-making.
Why is it rare to pierce the veil of jury secrecy?
-The veil of jury secrecy is rarely pierced because it is considered a term of art that upholds the sanctity and privacy of the deliberation process. Exceptions to this rule are few and only occur under specific circumstances that are not detailed in the script.
What is the purpose of the large easel provided to the jury during deliberations?
-The large easel is provided to the jury for them to take notes, make notations, and organize their thoughts during deliberations. These notes can include points from the evidence, witness testimonies, and other factors that aid in their decision-making process.
What does the speaker imply about the atmosphere in the deliberation room after a hung jury?
-The speaker implies that the atmosphere can remain heated even after deliberations have concluded and a hung jury has been declared. Jurors may continue to argue their points and express strong opinions about the case, indicating the intensity of the deliberation process.
What is the first task that jurors are typically told to do when they retire to deliberate?
-The first task that jurors are typically told to do is to select a foreperson, someone who can facilitate the civil exchange of ideas and arguments among the jurors during the deliberation process.
What does the judge typically instruct the jurors regarding taking a vote immediately after they retire to deliberate?
-The judge typically instructs the jurors that they are encouraged not to immediately take a vote when they retire to deliberate. This is to prevent them from becoming entrenched in their positions before having a chance to discuss their views on the evidence.
What is the general rule of thumb regarding the duration of jury deliberations in relation to the length of the trial?
-The general rule of thumb is that if a trial took a week, a jury might take a day to go through the evidence. If it took two weeks, they might take two days, and so on. This rule suggests that the deliberation time is often proportional to the length of the trial.
Why does the speaker believe it is unlikely to see a not-guilty verdict in Donald Trump's criminal trial?
-The speaker believes it is unlikely to see a not-guilty verdict because they think the prosecution presented a compelling and professional case on the evidence. The speaker finds it hard to imagine all 12 jurors concluding that there was no crime committed by Donald Trump or that the evidence failed to prove his guilt beyond a reasonable doubt on all charges.
What is the typical response from the judge when the jury asks for clarification on a factual matter during deliberations?
-The judge will almost always respond to a factual question by stating that the jurors' recollection of the evidence and the facts control, and they cannot provide any guidance on matters of fact.
How does the judge handle questions from the jury about legal principles during deliberations?
-When the jury has a question about a legal principle, the judge will turn to the prosecution and defense and ask if they have any proposed answers to the juror's question. The judge will then provide a response that aims to clarify the legal principle in question.
What does the speaker suggest about the correlation between the length of deliberation and the likelihood of a guilty verdict?
-The speaker suggests that a quick verdict is typically favorable for the prosecution because it indicates that the jurors saw the evidence similarly to how the prosecution and others involved in the case did. However, there is no specific time frame that definitively suggests a guilty verdict is unlikely; it's more about the diminishing returns as deliberation time extends.
Outlines
🏛️ Jury Deliberation Process in Criminal Trials
This paragraph discusses the upcoming jury deliberation in Donald Trump's New York criminal trial and the mystery surrounding the deliberation process. The author highlights the rarity of piercing the veil of jury secrecy and shares personal experiences as a former prosecutor, including entering the deliberation room post-verdict. The author describes the scene as reminiscent of a movie, with large sheets of paper taped to walls filled with jurors' notes. They also recount conversations with jurors after a hung jury to understand their perceptions of the evidence and witnesses, which helped in deciding whether to retry or dismiss a case. The paragraph emphasizes the intensity of deliberations, with jurors continuing to argue even after a mistrial is declared.
📊 Assessing the Likelihood of a Verdict in Trump's Trial
The speaker in this paragraph shares their professional assessment of the evidence presented in Donald Trump's trial, expressing skepticism that all 12 jurors would find him not guilty on all 34 charges. They consider a hung jury a possibility but find it unlikely due to the strength of the prosecution's case. The paragraph also touches on the process once juries start deliberating, including the selection of a foreman and the judge's instructions. The speaker predicts that the first communication from the jury will likely be a note with questions, rather than a verdict, and distinguishes between the types of questions a jury might ask—factual and legal. They also discuss the common belief that a quick verdict favors the prosecution and explain why this is the case, while also noting that there's no definitive time frame that signals the likelihood of a guilty verdict.
🔍 Anticipating the Jury's Deliberation Duration and Outcome
In this paragraph, the discussion revolves around the anticipation of the jury's deliberation duration and its potential implications for the outcome of the trial. The speaker suggests that there's a point of diminishing returns for a guilty verdict as deliberation time extends, except in cases with an exceptionally high number of charges. They use their experience from a six-month RICO trial to illustrate how juries can deliberate for extended periods without indicating a problem. The speaker also addresses the common belief that a shorter deliberation time indicates a higher likelihood of a guilty verdict, agreeing with this notion but noting that there's no specific time frame that definitively suggests the opposite. They encourage viewers to subscribe for ongoing coverage of the trial's deliberation phase.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Jury Deliberation
💡Donald Trump's Criminal Trial
💡Prosecutors
💡Defense
💡Jury Secrecy
💡Verdict
💡Hung Jury
💡Legal Principle
💡Evidence
💡Reasonable Doubt
💡Factual Questions
Highlights
Discussion on the upcoming jury deliberation in Donald Trump's New York criminal trial.
Reminder of daily breaking coverage of the trial and call to subscribe for updates.
Explanation of the jury deliberation process and its secrecy.
Personal experience as a prosecutor observing jury deliberation rooms.
Description of the scene in a deliberation room post-verdict.
Insights gained from hung juries and their deliberation discussions.
Potential heated environments within the deliberation room.
The initial task for jurors: selecting a foreman to facilitate discussions.
Judge's instructions to jurors on deliberation and avoiding early voting.
Jurors' tendency to take time to review evidence thoroughly.
Estimation of deliberation time based on trial duration.
Speculation on the likelihood of a not-guilty verdict in the case.
Assessment of the prosecution's compelling case and evidence presented.
Potential for a hung jury and its implications for the case.
Common types of questions juries may ask during deliberation.
Judge's role in responding to jurors' questions about legal principles.
Debunking the myth that shorter deliberation times always indicate guilt.
Importance of the case's complexity and its impact on deliberation time.
Invitation to subscribe for ongoing coverage of the trial's deliberation.
Transcripts
you're watching the legal breakdown so
we are just days away from the jury
deliberating in Donald Trump's New York
criminal trial so I really want to get
into what happens in that deliberation
room uh so Glenn and I are going to dive
into that since it's especially timely
right now but first just a reminder that
we're going to be doing daily breaking
coverage of this trial so if you want to
follow along with what happens please
make sure to subscribe all right so
Glenn let's say the defense and the
prosecutors both rest closing arguments
rebuttal final word from prosecutors
then the jury deliberates so talk about
what happens in that room because this
whole process feels like a like a bit of
a black hole for most of us and it's
designed to be a black hole very rarely
do we get to pierce the veil of jury
secrecy that's a term of art the
sanctity and the privacy of jury
deliberations can almost never be
violated there are a few exceptions
which we can talk about in a few minutes
I will say for all the years that I was
a prosecutor trying cases I never was
called for jury service I wish I had
been because I would have loved to have
been in that deliberation room just to
see how it generally works I get to walk
into the jury deliberation room after a
verdict is returned at least in local
court and DC not in federal court
different rules but and what I would
often see um made me feel a little bit
like it was a scene from the movies
because I'd walk in and there would be
these enormous sheets of paper from like
a large easel that is provided to the
jury for their use during deliberations
and they will have torn off the sheets
and they will have taped them to the
walls and they will have all sorts of
notations on those various sheets that
obviously aided and assisted them in
their deliberations and the the way I
would glean a little bit of insight into
how deliberations went is particularly
after it was a hung jury when they
couldn't unanimously agree on a verdict
either guilty or not guilty I would go
back to the deliberation room and I
would spend a long time talking with the
jurors about their perception of the
witnesses of the evidence of the defense
because what I had to do was determine
whether I wanted to retry the case or
perhaps just dismiss it and not take it
to a retrial and jurors would talk
openly about you know their perception
of the evidence what Witnesses they
credited what Witnesses they questioned
maybe they were a little less than
credible where the holes in the evidence
were in their estimation and maybe what
I could do to try to shore up or fill
those holes and I will tell you Brian
even when I was in there after uh jury
deliberations had concluded and a hung
jury was declared a mistrial was
declared by the judge it would still be
heated you know I would see jurors
arguing with one another continuing to
argue their po points whether in favor
of conviction or in favor of acquittal
so often I think it does get quite
heated um interestingly there would be
times that we'd be in the courtroom
while the jury was deliberating and we
would actually hear pounding on the
walls we never knew what was going on
there if somebody was making a point or
if they were you know fist to cuffs were
breaking out and they're throwing each
other up against the wall but you know
it does get quite heated so I think U
the first thing that jurors are told to
do when they retire to deliberate is to
select a four person somebody who can
sort of facilitate
the Civil exchange of ideas and
arguments and that's usually the first
task they have and after that the judge
tells the jurors you are free to
deliberate however you would like
there's a standard judge instruction
that instruction of the law that goes
something like you know you are
encouraged not to immediately take a
vote when you retire to deliberate
because you may become entrenched in
your position before you've ever had a
chance
to discuss you know your view of the
evidence so you're not required to wait
but you might want to wait so I do think
some jurors abide by that instruction I
think some juries take straw holes right
up front because maybe the case was
really clear one way or another and they
want to take a straw poll to see if they
can maybe move to a verdict very quickly
but you know in my experience jurors
like to take their time going through
all of the evidence that they've seen um
you know there's kind of any number of
rules of thumb like if a jury took a if
a trial took a week a jury might take a
day to go through the evidence if it
took two weeks they might take two days
you know I've tried as many cases as
most people um and I would say that's
probably probably a pretty good rule of
thumb you know with a trial like this
that lasted you know in Earnest I think
five or six weeks as far as the
presentation of evidence we could see
the jury take several days to go through
the evidence um but we could also see
them res it fairly quickly what I don't
think we're going to see Brian is an
acqu a not- guilty verdict why do I say
that you know I think the prosecution
presented a really compelling
Professional Case on the evidence so I
am hardpressed to see all 12 jurors
saying no crime here by Donald Trump or
the evidence failed to prove Donald
Trump's guilt Beyond A Reasonable Doubt
on all 34 charges I find that very
unlikely now a hung jury you can always
have a hung jury it only takes one you
know I still my assessment of the
evidence and if there's one thing I know
over my 30 years as a prosecutor it's
how to assess the quality and quantity
of evidence in a criminal case I think
the evidence is strong I think the case
is a common sense one because all of
these crimes were committed for the
benefit of Donald Trump indeed according
to Michael Cohen at the direction of
Donald Trump which makes complete sense
both as a matter of Common Sense and as
a matter of the evidence and the law so
um but you know every jury deliberates a
little bit differently and um we'll just
have to see when we hear anything from
the jury I do suspect the first thing
we'll hear from the jury Brian is not a
verdict it's likely to be a note because
the other thing in my experience that we
often see once juries go out to
deliberate is they come up with
questions and there are two kinds of
questions that we typically see from
juries one is one involves factual
questions questions of fact like you
know your honor we can't quite remember
what witness number seven said about
what time of day a particular thing
happened can we get some additional
clarification of that and I can tell you
Brian the judge will almost always
respond to that note by saying your
recollection of the evidence and the
facts control and I cannot provide you
any guidance on matters of fact but then
they may say you know what judge we have
a question about a legal principle like
you gave us a definition of what proof
Beyond A Reasonable Doubt means but we'd
like a little bit more clarification on
that because we're having some
disagreements that is something that the
judge will then turn to the parties
prosecutors and defense and say do you
all have any proposed answer to the
juror's question about maybe clarifying
a legal principle
and that's something that judges will do
frequently they'll try to be responsive
to the jury's legal questions but they
will never respond in substance to the
jury's factual questions Glenn I feel
like it's common knowledge that a
shorter deliberation means a higher
likelihood that the defendant is guilty
but is is there a cut off I guess in
this trial specifically where you feel
like a deliberation going past a certain
length of time suggests that a guilty
verdict isn't likely I'm trying to I'm
trying to give us some information to
arm us with information so that while
they're deliberating we have a better
idea of what to look out for if
something happens soon versus something
happens later yeah Brian you're
absolutely right in your assessment that
a quick verdict is typically a good
verdict for the prosecution um and there
there's a reason for that when you think
about what it takes to get a case to
trial you've had after the crime was
committed a police investigation then
the prosecutors will often get involved
in the investigation then we present all
the evidence to the grand jury and the
grand jury will make an assessment about
whether there's enough to indict the
defendant once the defendant is indicted
he or she will be presented in court and
there's all sorts of pre-trial
proceedings in the runup to the trial
where defendants will for example make
motions to dismiss for any number of
reasons make motions to suppress
evidence and the the case has been
vetted through lots of people and lots
of processes in the runup to trial and
by the time the the prosecution believes
that the right thing to do is to present
this case to 12 jurors you know they are
we they prosecutors are typically
feeling pretty confident and comfortable
that they have enough evidence to prove
guilt Beyond A Reasonable Doubt of
course prosecutors don't always win we
don't always convince the jury but I
think that's why the prevailing wisdom
and it has been my experience that a Qui
verdict is a good verdict why because
the jurors ended up seeing it the way a
whole bunch of other people both
professionals and lay people like Grand
jurors saw the evidence so a quick
verdict is typically a good verdict for
justice in my estimation for the
prosecution for the victims because it's
a guilty verdict however there is no
length of time that passes that you can
point to a day or a week or two weeks as
meaning that all hope is lost I do think
it is there's a point of diminishing
returns the longer a deliberation goes
the less likely you are to see a guilty
verdict with the following exception I
tried a six-month Rico Rico trial for
example and there were dozens and dozens
and dozens of criminal charges that had
to be resolved by the jury that's the
kind of thing where they could
deliberate for weeks and weeks and weeks
and we will hear nothing from them and
that doesn't mean that there's a hang-up
that doesn't mean they're unable to
unanimously resolve the charges it just
means they need a lot of time to pour
through the evidence this is not really
that kind of a case but 34 felony counts
and a trial that spanned five or six
weeks you know they could go a week and
we could hear nothing or they could
return a verdict within a day or two
okay well we will obviously be here
covering the enti of that as long as the
deliberation goes on so for those
watching right now if you want to follow
along with our coverage please make sure
to subscribe the links to both of our
channels are right here on the screen
highly recommend you subscribing Glenn
is fast on his way to a million so if
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this Channel Please Subscribe as well
I'm Brian tyer Cohen and I'm Glenn
kersner you're watching the legal
breakdown
[Music]
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