Dem Super Tuesday REVOLT: Uncommitted, Adam Schiff Shouted Down

Breaking Points
6 Mar 202428:40

Summary

TLDR这段视频讨论了民主党初选中一些引人注目的结果,尤其关注了在多个州中反对拜登的票数显著增加的情况。特别指出,明尼苏达州有高达20%的选民选择了未投票给任何候选人的选项,反映出选民对拜登政策的不满。节目还提到了美国萨摩亚的情况,一个相对不知名的候选人在那里战胜了拜登。讨论触及了这些选举结果对民主党的意义,以及这种民意变化可能对未来选举产生的影响。

Takeaways

  • 😀在民主党初选中,拜登在美国萨摩亚输给了在美国本土极其著名的人物。
  • 🤔拜登在多个州遭到未承诺票的尴尬,全国范围内未承诺票的表现引人关注。
  • 🗣️尽管拜登实际上正在竞选连任,但他在超级星期二没有发表胜利演讲。
  • 📉在明尼苏达州,接近20%的选民投给了未承诺票,显示出对拜登的不满。
  • 🌍关于加沙地带的政策,民众对拜登的不满通过未承诺票在多个州表现出来。
  • 💬民众通过未承诺票表达对拜登政府应对加沙地带冲突的不满和寻求停火的愿望。
  • 👥在伊朗奥马尔所在的明尼苏达第五区,未承诺票可能赢得至少一名代表。
  • 🔍选民的不满不仅限于加沙政策,还涉及年轻人对当前政治姿态的普遍不满。
  • 📺媒体报道和公众讨论强调了对拜登处理加沙问题政策的批评和对未承诺票背后动力的分析。
  • 🚀未承诺票的强劲表现反映出民众对当前政治领导和外交政策的广泛不满。

Q & A

  • 乔·拜登在2024年民主党初选中的表现如何?

    -根据视频内容,拜登在多个州的初选中遭遇了来自"无党派"选民的大量反对票,被视为对他在加沙问题上的政策的不满。在明尼苏达州,近20%的选民投了无党派票,在科罗拉多州和俄克拉荷马州也有类似情况。

  • 这些"无党派"选票反映了什么信号?

    -视频认为,这些选票反映出民主党选民,尤其是年轻选民对拜登在巴勒斯坦-以色列冲突中支持以色列的立场深感不满,认为这是在纵容种族屠杀。它被视为对拜登政策的强烈抗议。

  • 亚当·希夫在加州参议院初选中的表现如何?

    -亚当·希夫获得了33%的选票,将与另一名候选人进入加州的决选。但是,视频指出,加州选民对加沙问题的关注程度似乎不如其他州那么高。

  • 视频对亚当·希夫在公开场合遭到抗议者打断有何评论?

    -视频认为,像希夫这样的民主党establishment人士在公开场合不断遭到抗议,反映出年轻选民对他们在加沙问题上的立场强烈不满,这对他们的竞选活动造成了相当大的困扰。

  • 视频如何评论拜登阵营对选民关切的回应?

    -视频认为,拜登阵营只是在语言上做出一些调整,但政策本身并未发生实质变化。他们试图用改变语言上的措辞来掩盖实际上对巴勒斯坦人的犹太种族屠杀行为并未改变的事实。

  • 视频对亲以色列游说团体美国以色列公共事务委员会(AIPAC)的行为有何评论?

    -视频指出,AIPAC在加州参议院初选中花费数百万美元反对一名只是略微批评过内塔尼亚胡的亲以色列候选人,显示出它已经变得非常激进,不分是非地支持以色列,即使候选人的立场并不算反以。

  • 视频对南德克萨斯地区选民行为有何解读?

    -视频认为,南德克萨斯地区有不少选民投票给了一名反对拜登的候选人,反映出该地区选民对拜登政策的不满,加之2020年和2022年该地区向共和党人倾斜的趋势,可能会彻底改变得克萨斯州的选举版图。

  • 视频对民主党主流媒体(如MSNBC)的评论是什么?

    -视频批评MSNBC的一些主持人对选民关切移民问题的态度带有轻视和鄙夷,认为这种对待选民的态度是错误的。

  • 视频对年轻选民在一些特别选举中的作用有何看法?

    -视频认为,年轻选民在一些涉及堕胎权利的特别选举中的大量投票,帮助民主党获胜,因此民主党不应无视他们对巴以冲突等问题的关切。

  • 视频对贝尼·甘茨访问华盛顿与共和党人会面有何评论?

    -视频暗示,以色列方面与包括马加人在内的共和党人接触,这种做法可能并不明智,因为它可能会进一步加剧美国两党在巴以问题上的对立。

Outlines

00:00

😮 民主党初选的惊人结果

讨论了民主党初选中的一些意外结果,特别是美国萨摩亚的情况,其中乔·拜登输给了一个在本土非常有名的人。讨论还触及了拜登在各州遭遇的挑战,特别是未决定票的高比例,以及这表明的对他政策的不满,尤其是关于加沙地带的情况。明尼苏达州的选举结果尤其引人注目,未决定票达到了显著的比例,显示了选民对现状的强烈不满。

05:00

😡 对拜登政策的强烈不满

深入探讨了民主党内对拜登政策的广泛不满,尤其是关于加沙的政策。讨论了明尼苏达的选举结果和民主党初选中出现的'无党派候选人'的现象,反映了对拜登政策的抗议。此外,还讨论了这种不满情绪如何影响选民的投票行为,以及对民主党未来选举可能产生的影响。

10:00

😞 年轻选民的失望与动员

分析了年轻选民对民主党的失望情绪,尤其是他们对拜登政府在以色列和加沙政策上的不满。探讨了这种情绪如何体现在初选的结果上,以及年轻选民如何通过投票表达对拜登政策的不认同。此外,还讨论了这种趋势对民主党未来的影响,特别是年轻选民的投票动员问题。

15:03

🔥 加州政治动态与选举结果

讨论了加州的政治环境和初选结果,重点关注了民主党内的竞争以及选民对各种候选人的支持。分析了不同候选人的表现,特别是针对以色列政策的态度如何影响了他们的选票。此外,还讨论了加州特有的政治问题,如高昂的竞选费用和候选人知名度对选举结果的影响。

20:05

🚀 德克萨斯州和南德克萨斯的选举观察

分析了德克萨斯州尤其是南德克萨斯地区的选举结果,讨论了不同族群选民,特别是拉丁裔选民对民主党和拜登政策的态度。讨论了文化身份和地方政治如何影响选民的选择,以及这对民主党未来在该地区的选举策略可能产生的影响。

25:06

🌟 美国萨摩亚的选举插曲与影响

详细讨论了美国萨摩亚在民主党初选中的特殊情况,其中一个相对不知名的候选人战胜了乔·拜登。分析了这一事件背后的含义,以及它如何体现美国政治景观中的多样性和不可预测性。同时,还考察了这一结果对全国政治舞台的潜在影响。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡民主党初选

民主党初选是美国民主党选出其总统候选人的过程。在视频中提到的初选结果显示,有些州的投票出现了令人意外的结果,比如有大量的'未表态'票。这反映出对现任总统拜登的不满以及对其政策的抗议,特别是在加沙的政策。

💡美属萨摩亚

美属萨摩亚是美国的一个领地,在视频中被提到是因为拜登在这里输给了一个在美国本土非常有名的人。这一结果被视为对拜登的一次重大打击,并体现了选民对他的不支持。

💡未表态票

未表态票指的是在选票上没有选择任何候选人的投票。视频中提到,在多个州的民主党初选中,有相当一部分选票是未表态的。这种现象通常反映了选民对所有候选人的不满或不确定,本文中尤其反映了对拜登及其政策的不支持。

💡加沙

加沙指的是加沙地带,一个位于以色列和埃及之间、巴勒斯坦控制的地区。视频中提到拜登在加沙的政策,暗示着他在这一地区政策上的不受欢迎,尤其是在处理以色列和巴勒斯坦冲突方面。

💡民意

民意在视频中指的是选民的意见和立场。视频通过分析初选结果和选民的投票行为,反映了民众对拜登政府,特别是其对外政策的不满。

💡迷你苏达州

迷你苏达州在视频中被提及是因为其初选结果显示了惊人的'未表态'票数。这一结果被视为对政治建制的强烈反对信号,尤其是对拜登总统的不满。

💡拜登

拜登,即乔·拜登,是美国的第46任总统。视频中讨论了拜登在民主党初选中的表现,特别是他在许多州面临的挑战,以及公众对他政策的不满。

💡选民动员

选民动员在视频中指的是组织和激励选民去投票的过程。视频提到,尽管有组织的动员活动,拜登在一些州仍然面临着'未表态'票的挑战,这表明了动员过程中存在的问题和选民的不满。

💡巴勒斯坦

巴勒斯坦在视频中被提及是因为拜登对以色列和巴勒斯坦冲突的处理受到批评。视频中的评论暗示,拜登的政策没有有效解决冲突,反而可能加剧了美国选民对他的不满。

💡代表

代表在视频中指的是参加党派全国大会的代表,他们负责正式提名总统候选人。提到明尼苏达州将派遣至少三名支持'自由巴勒斯坦、停火并结束加沙战争'的代表,这体现了地方层面对国家政策的不满和对改变的渴望。

Highlights

Joe Biden lost American Samoa to a guy who's extraordinarily famous here in the mainland, Jason Palmer.

Across the country, Biden was embarrassed by the uncommitted vote, with voters protesting his policies.

In Minnesota, close to 20% voted uncommitted and almost 30% were protest votes against Biden.

The younger a precinct was, the stronger the support for uncommitted in Minnesota.

Minnesota will send at least 3 delegates representing a pro-Palestine, anti-Gaza war stance.

Minnesota's governor acknowledged voters are deeply concerned about the Gaza situation.

Around 10% of voters in states like Massachusetts, Colorado, and Oklahoma voted uncommitted against Biden.

Adam Schiff spent more money propping up a Republican opponent than his own campaign in California.

Protesters interrupted Adam Schiff's events over his stance on Israel-Palestine.

62% of Biden 2020 voters want to block weapons shipments to Israel according to a poll.

Biden's stance on Israel-Palestine is disturbingly out of step with Democratic voters' views.

Biden risks losing enthusiasm from young voters, who were key to his 2020 victory.

In Texas, the Democrat Armando Perez got significant protest votes against Biden.

The cultural shift making Hispanic voters in South Texas lean more Republican is concerning for Democrats.

AIPAC is spending millions against even mildly Israel-critical Democratic candidates like David Min.

Transcripts

00:00

Ryan uh let's talk about what happened

00:02

in the Democratic primary last night

00:03

because some of these results were

00:05

really interesting huge shout out to

00:07

American

00:08

Samoa yes American Joe Biden lost

00:11

American s Samoa to a guy who's

00:13

extraordinarily famous here in the

00:14

mainland on the mainland uh but other

00:18

otherwise he was embarrassed in a lot of

00:20

States uh by the uncommitted vote

00:23

basically across the country uh we do

00:25

not have a speech to show you from Joe

00:28

Biden because even though he is running

00:29

for real election he did not give a

00:31

super Tuesday victory speech instead he

00:34

uh kind of stared blankly out at a at a

00:37

crowd after mumbling that he would get

00:38

in trouble if he took questions it's

00:39

almost too painful a video to even

00:42

subject you guys to so we're not even

00:44

not even going to show it because it

00:45

would we that would make us complicit in

00:47

the elder abuse that is being uh dealt

00:49

out to Joe Biden not that I have any

00:50

sympathy for him given uh you know what

00:52

he's doing in Gaza right now so you kind

00:54

of kind of guess what he has coming to

00:56

him yet it's still kind of painful and

00:57

sad to watch that's for sure all right

00:59

so let let let's get to what the voters

01:00

are doing to them we can start in

01:02

Minnesota is put this put this first one

01:04

up here uh kind of a shocking to The

01:07

Establishment result in Minnesota with

01:10

close to 20% of the electorate uh uh

01:15

voting uncommitted this is a campaign

01:18

that had about a week to organize itself

01:20

and that that's on top of 8% for Dean

01:23

Phillips yes by the way so almost

01:25

30% just just between the two of those

01:28

against Biden uh people were say so they

01:31

spent about $5,000 over the course of a

01:33

week something like that to organize

01:35

this campaign organizers for that uh

01:38

campaign were telling me over over the

01:40

course of the week that they actually

01:41

expected to outperform Michigan because

01:44

the the phone banking that they were

01:45

doing was just landing on voter after

01:48

voter after voter who was telling them

01:50

uh no we're already uncommitted like it

01:53

basically it was an it was organic that

01:55

it spread from New Hampshire over to

01:57

Michigan and then in into Minnesota in

01:59

Ilan Omar's District which is number

02:01

five in Minnesota uh they'll win they'll

02:04

win at least a delegate they may win

02:06

three delegates at least across the

02:09

state that means the party process in

02:10

Minnesota is going to send at least

02:13

three people to Minnesota who will be

02:15

representing kind of a free Palestine

02:18

ceasefire and the war in Gaza vote huge

02:20

Somali Muslim population obviously

02:22

outside Minneapolis but there was also

02:24

this you know uh the correlation between

02:27

age and support for uncommitted was

02:29

basically one to one the younger a

02:31

Precinct was the stronger the support

02:33

was there was one Precinct that had

02:35

something like 80% for uncommitted that

02:38

must be a fun neighborhood so the the

02:40

governor addressed this uh we have a

02:43

clip of that let's let's roll Tim Waltz

02:45

Minnesota Governor Tim Waltz about

02:46

40,000 votes right now 20% of the vote

02:49

going to uncommitted and we've seen that

02:51

already in this Primary in um in

02:55

Michigan what message are voters in your

02:58

state trying to send to President Biden

03:01

and what do you want to see President

03:03

Biden do in

03:06

response yeah look they're engaged we're

03:09

really proud Minnesota civic

03:10

responsibility we have some of the

03:11

highest voter turnouts these are voters

03:13

that are deeply concerned as we all are

03:15

the situation in Gaza is is intolerable

03:18

um and I think trying to find a solution

03:21

a lasting two-state solution certainly

03:23

the president's mooved towards

03:24

humanitarian Aid and asking us to get to

03:26

a ceasefire that's what they're asking

03:28

to be heard and that's what they should

03:29

be doing uh we've gone through this

03:31

before and we know that now we make sure

03:33

we've got 8 months we start bringing

03:35

these uh folks back in we listen to what

03:38

they're saying uh that's a healthy thing

03:40

that's happening here but I would note

03:42

that uh that the former president uh

03:44

lost twice as many votes here in

03:46

Minnesota to Nikki Haley and I've seen

03:48

some of these exit polls out of North

03:50

Carolina and others 80% of folks said

03:51

they're not voting for him who voted for

03:53

Nikki Haley we'll get these folks back I

03:55

think it's take them seriously their

03:57

message is clear that they think this is

03:59

an intolerable situation and that we can

04:01

do more and I think the president's

04:03

hearing that all right let's bring back

04:05

Crystal and Sager into the conversation

04:07

uh Chrystal what do you make so not of

04:09

the not not only in Minnesota North

04:10

Carolina Colorado around the country

04:12

Minnesota had the strongest performance

04:14

for uncommitted but around the country

04:15

it was clear uh that there is like

04:18

widespread dissatisfaction uh with with

04:20

Biden and with his war effort what what

04:22

did you make of it yeah when you combine

04:24

uncommitted and keep in mind that not

04:27

all of these states had uncommitted on

04:29

the ballot um which is why you should

04:31

consider you know the votes for Maryann

04:33

and the votes for Dean and the votes for

04:35

uncommitted I think you should count all

04:36

of those as basically Biden protest

04:38

votes and also whatever other candidates

04:41

Jen and the other like unknown

04:42

candidates that popped up on some of

04:44

these ballots so quite significant um

04:46

the Minnesota performance is nothing

04:48

short of astonishing and I heard this

04:50

talking point over and over again on CNN

04:52

like oh sure Biden lost a few votes but

04:54

look at Nikki Haley eating into trump it

04:57

is a very different deal to to vote for

05:00

an actual candidate and also by the way

05:02

for it to be a lot of Democrats and

05:03

independents who are voting for that

05:05

actual candidate then to have voters

05:07

taking the time out of their day to show

05:11

up to directly say screw you and your

05:14

disgusting immoral policy Visa V Gaza I

05:17

mean that is extraordinary with no money

05:18

think of how much money Nikki Hy spent

05:21

there was almost literally no money

05:23

spent on this effort in Minnesota it

05:25

popped up in a week's time and

05:27

outperformed by percentage

05:30

what was done in Michigan so I think it

05:33

is absolutely extraordinary and I do

05:36

think that you have seen a rhetorical

05:39

shift from the Biden Administration

05:42

directly because of this uncommitted

05:44

protest vote so you saw you know kamla

05:47

Harris with some more strenuous language

05:49

backing basically the same policy but

05:51

you also see all of the Dem flax out

05:53

there instead of going back to oh well

05:55

Israel has a right to defend itself now

05:58

the line is well Biden is working day

06:00

and night to you know try to secure this

06:03

ceasefire and he hears them and he

06:05

agrees with them so basically trying to

06:07

Gaslight but you can see there has been

06:09

an impact and that they are feeling

06:11

pressure you couple that with the just

06:13

abject horror of the flower Massacre and

06:17

I think you do see that they are feeling

06:20

some kind of pressure from this movement

06:23

which will only continue and grow post

06:25

super Tuesday and once again the results

06:26

show this is not just a problem with

06:28

Arab American this isn't just a problem

06:30

with Muslim Americans or some other

06:32

narrow demographic group if you are a

06:34

Democrat and you want to win the

06:36

presidency of the United States once

06:38

again you need young people to show up

06:41

for you and not to stay home and young

06:44

people are sending you as loud and clear

06:46

a message as they possibly can that this

06:49

current posture viav Israel and Gaza is

06:52

utterly unacceptable and Biden wouldn't

06:54

have won without a pretty decent Surge

06:56

from young voters in 2020 I mean his

06:58

margins either yeah absolutely and one

07:02

second Ryan can you break down the other

07:04

states for everybody the

07:07

uncommitted yes because I know that we

07:09

have all the other states there do we do

07:11

we have the element that that we can put

07:12

up here all right so let yeah let's

07:15

let's run through these uh quickly so uh

07:18

there we've got North Carolina rocking

07:20

in at at 133% which is you know pretty

07:23

pretty strong performance at least as

07:25

strong as uh Michigan uh move move to

07:28

the next one we got

07:29

Massachusetts coming in at almost 10%

07:32

with another uh nearly 5% for Dean

07:35

Phillips uh move on to the Colorado

07:38

primary uh what eight almost 9% uh plus

07:42

then a handful you know so you're

07:44

looking at almost 20% kind of protest

07:46

votes with about 10% uh there and then

07:49

the Oklahoma primary uh almost 10% of

07:52

Oklahoma Democrats um saying uh un

07:55

uncommitted like end end this war and if

07:59

you know the if the Democratic party was

08:01

but also nine and N for Dean Phillips

08:03

and Marion Williamson yes right right

08:05

which it's also a protest vote at this

08:07

point yes and you know so if if the

08:08

party was an actual like power seeking

08:11

operation that ran rationally somebody

08:13

like the guy you just saw the Minnesota

08:14

Governor Tim Walls would he'd be the

08:15

nominee you know probably Waltz uh you

08:18

know to into into the white house

08:20

instead dad joke yeah do you like that

08:22

one no you loved it uh instead to

08:25

Crystal's Point all we're getting is

08:26

this kind of change in rhetoric and if

08:28

you boil down what their change in

08:30

rhetoric is it's we are not complicit in

08:32

this evil we are just too weak and

08:34

incompetent to stop it which is okay I

08:38

guess that makes us feel better about it

08:41

maybe but that's not much of a selling

08:45

point at

08:46

all well actually this is interesting

08:49

because in California here's

08:51

establishment darling Adam shiff uh if

08:54

we put B6 up on the screen the primary

08:56

this is a huge primary election in

08:58

California people know the high-profile

09:00

candidates uh Katie Porter Barbara Lee

09:04

uh now Steve Garvey actually did better

09:06

than Katie Porter and Barbara Lee's

09:09

margins here or their percentages here

09:11

put together uh so this goes to the

09:13

Jungle Primary runoff type situation

09:15

Adam Schiff secured 33% of the vote uh

09:19

I'm just curious Ryan Crystal sger what

09:21

your take is on uh you know with with

09:24

the Middle East weighing so heavily on

09:25

Democratic voters Minds Adam Schiff is a

09:29

Biden establishment Ally also a

09:32

conspiracy monger and weirdo but that

09:35

aside um I mean that's a it did not

09:38

weigh in here in this in this California

09:40

primary it's very it's very interesting

09:42

Barbara Lee you know uh fairing fairing

09:44

terribly I was actually in California

09:46

over over the

09:47

weekend talking to a voter uh who is his

09:51

his primary issue was uh anti-war and

09:53

later in the conversation he said I hope

09:54

Barbara Lee wins her re-election I was

09:56

like actually you know she's running for

09:58

Senate he's like what he's like no way

10:00

that's awesome that's that's that's so

10:02

cool it's like Barb Barbara Lee is so

10:04

screwed like this is like this is like

10:06

her base and he didn't even know uh that

10:08

she was running which goes to the

10:10

problem for anybody running in

10:12

California that it's just so insanely

10:14

expensive but Sager uh what do you make

10:16

of that well California obviously

10:18

basically a rigged you know electoral

10:20

system so like let's all be honest

10:22

around that uh especially with the

10:24

Dynamics that you just uh highlighted

10:26

also just to pick up on that we have a

10:28

saw here some of the protesters who were

10:30

interrupting Adam shiff and this goes to

10:32

the question of how that will play out

10:33

in the actual general election let's

10:36

take a listen to

10:37

[Applause]

10:45

that to thank you so as everybody could

10:49

see I mean this is going to be an

10:50

everpresent problem I think for many of

10:52

these establishment Democratic

10:54

politicians we covered previously on our

10:56

show about how Joe Biden is going to

10:58

like extensive lengths not to campaign

11:01

um and college campuses pretty

11:03

humiliating when the sitting Democratic

11:05

president you can't go to a college

11:07

campus Al honestly Ryan that may be why

11:09

he didn't do a victory speech last night

11:12

and they're just terrified as I

11:14

understand it they've been contracting

11:15

some thirdparty security service to try

11:18

and screen people before you go in I

11:20

mean once we've gotten to that point you

11:22

know thing things are not looking good

11:23

for you and it is humiliating because

11:25

you've not only got the votes in terms

11:26

of uncommitted but you've also got the

11:29

physical manifestation of that at every

11:31

public appearance that you make from

11:33

here on thus far so overall I mean I'm

11:36

just coming back to the same Trump issue

11:38

where crystal is Right many of those

11:40

people who voted in the primary are Dem

11:42

are just probably Democrats here though

11:44

you know we have a probably a bigger

11:46

problem just given the gap between like

11:49

the policy that would actually have to

11:50

happen to even get maybe half of these

11:52

people back in the door it's very likely

11:54

that he could if there is a fatal blow

11:57

in November there will be many many

11:59

reasons as to why that happened but it's

12:00

very likely we can trace a lot of it

12:02

back to here and to this right now yeah

12:05

a Democrat not being able to go to a

12:07

college campus is like a republican who

12:09

couldn't campaign in The Villages

12:11

Florida and and underscoring that point

12:13

if we could put up B3 and then Chris I

12:15

want to get your uh response to this

12:17

this the element B3 this polling that

12:19

shows that even among uh Republicans 30%

12:23

of Republicans want arms shipments

12:26

blocked uh to Israel but 6 62% of Voters

12:30

who supported Biden in 2020 want the US

12:34

to block weapons shipments to Israel uh

12:38

ceasefire and blocking weapons shipments

12:41

is not a divisive or controversial

12:44

position it is the overwhelming majority

12:47

position of democratic voters uh yet it

12:51

is in stark contrast to what the

12:53

president is actually doing

12:56

Crystal yeah that's exactly right and I

12:58

continue to bring this up but I am

13:01

struck by the poll that found that a

13:03

majority of Joe Biden 2020 voters say

13:06

Israel is committing a genocide I you

13:08

just

13:09

cannot possibly overstate the sea change

13:13

in American politics that has occurred

13:15

Visa the view of Israel and the view of

13:17

our relationship with regards to Israel

13:20

and so when you see you know the actions

13:22

of someone like Joe Biden who's been in

13:24

DC for 50 years and has this view of

13:28

Israel that d back you know hasn't

13:29

progressed since 1970 and whatever he

13:32

thought of it at the time the other

13:34

thing is that you know one of his

13:36

Ironclad Like rules of the road in

13:38

politics is you never lose by being too

13:41

pro Israel because you know there's much

13:44

more funding on that side I'm just not

13:45

trying to be an anti-semitic comment

13:47

it's just statement of reality given the

13:49

the funding behind APAC and how

13:50

influential that has been and how

13:52

comparatively I mean there's basically

13:54

no funding benefit to be gained on the

13:56

Palestinian side of the equation um and

13:59

also typically the people who vote on

14:02

that issue are the people who are most

14:05

vifer usly lock step for whatever it is

14:08

that Israel wants to do um that

14:12

particular Dynamic May well be changing

14:14

I think that's the piece that is

14:16

different that Biden and many other

14:19

Democratic politicians really haven't

14:21

accounted for that now you have this

14:24

very very impassioned and frankly

14:27

radicalized group of predominantly but

14:30

not exclusively young voters who are

14:32

voting directly on this issue and so I

14:36

think that's part of you know where the

14:38

disconnect and why they've been so slow

14:41

to even change the rhetoric with regards

14:43

to Israel and Palestine let alone they

14:45

still haven't changed the policy so this

14:48

is a massive issue that you know there

14:51

videos every day coming out of Kirsten

14:53

gillan's Town Hall you know so many

14:55

protesters there AOC getting chased out

14:57

of a movie theater because she won't

14:58

call it a genocide Adam shiff getting

15:00

shouted down at his own victory speech

15:03

every single Democrat is being held to

15:05

account for this monstrous abhorent

15:07

policy that again a majority of their

15:09

own party says makes them complicit in a

15:12

genocide so I think the political

15:14

landscape has completely flipped in a

15:16

way that many of these politicians

15:18

haven't accounted for um just to throw

15:20

on a couple things specifically about

15:22

California don't claim to be a political

15:24

expert in the ins and- outs of

15:25

California politics I do want to mention

15:27

Adam Schiff spent I think more money

15:29

propping up the Republican candidate

15:31

than he did even on his own campaign

15:33

because he wanted to make sure he wasn't

15:35

up against another Democrat in the fall

15:36

because he feels very confident of

15:38

course in California he can beat a

15:39

republican he wasn't so confident he

15:40

could beat say Katy Porter Barbara Lee

15:42

head-to-head the other thing is my

15:44

understanding based on you know the what

15:46

I've seen of the the messaging in that

15:48

race is that none of them really put

15:50

Gaza at the core of their messaging and

15:53

yes barbar Lee is seen as like you know

15:55

generally anti-war but she hasn't been

15:57

leading the charge in the way that say a

15:59

Rashida Talib or like an ilhan Omar has

16:02

and California also their uncommitted

16:05

vote um you know protest vote on super

16:07

Tuesday was one of the lower ones of the

16:09

states that actually went for whatever

16:11

reason I'm not really sure why and I

16:14

think it's also worth mentioning while

16:15

we're in California that both uh George

16:17

gasone in LA and Jose Garza in Travis

16:21

County which soccer you're obviously

16:22

very familiar with held on to their

16:24

seats in these pretty competitive

16:25

Democratic primaries uh not super close

16:28

either and that contrasts with the mood

16:30

of the country back in 2022 where it was

16:33

sort of like oh you know Democrats are

16:35

going to have to you attack to the

16:37

center in order to make up uh from this

16:40

backlash of 2020 well then dos came down

16:44

and now we're here and Israel happened

16:46

so I think there's just there's so much

16:48

going on with young voters in particular

16:50

for Democrats that if there's going to

16:52

be a wakeup call uh you would think the

16:55

results that are coming in showing you

16:57

know some some seriously alarming drops

16:59

and enthusiasm for Joe Biden that could

17:00

affect turnout could affect his margins

17:02

could affect third parties uh these

17:04

would be those red flags those warning

17:06

signs but Ryan there was a a glaring red

17:09

flag last night in American samawa in

17:11

the form of Jason Palmer Jason Jason

17:14

Palmer ran what is I think it's got to

17:16

be the coolest campaign uh ever uh so he

17:20

beat Biden for the delegates from

17:23

American Samoa uh congratulations to yes

17:26

Jason Palmer very very well known here

17:30

in the here in the mainland uh let's

17:32

let's play a little bit of the the case

17:34

that he made to American Samoan voters

17:37

I'm asking for your support and vote and

17:40

would love to talk to you about why I

17:42

believe I'm the best candidate for

17:44

American Samoa a beautiful and diverse

17:46

territory that needs much more attention

17:49

and support from our federal government

17:52

you're probably wondering who is this

17:54

Jason Palmer I've never heard of him

17:56

before well in the main M land I'm

17:59

actually very well known I mean I can I

18:01

can vouch for that

18:04

right that is the man as soon as I saw

18:07

I'm like Jason Palmer the man I don't

18:09

know if you saw Fox News call the race

18:12

um for Jason Palmer but Brett Bear was

18:14

really confused in the video he was like

18:16

I don't know who that is he's out of

18:18

touch he's out of touch Jason Palmer's

18:20

huge and Jason Palmer looks like a he's

18:23

a realtor in you know Suburban

18:25

Minneapolis or something he's got the

18:26

Martin Luther King spe in the background

18:30

it's just uh like if if you were

18:32

watching the video he really had a frame

18:33

picture of Martin Luther King giving his

18:34

American giving his I Have a Dream

18:36

speech behind him I mean it was just

18:38

perfect in so many ways Ryan yeah

18:40

incredible congratulations uh to to

18:42

Jason Palmer krisen Sager you voting for

18:44

him yeah maybe absolutely I'm gonna

18:47

write him in in the fall he's a very

18:49

well-known figure you know known about

18:51

him for years yeah he's big on Tik Tok I

18:54

think I don't know something like that

18:55

the Zoomers love him too good the kids

18:58

the love so good for Jason Palmer very

19:01

very exciting love love to love to see

19:03

it well Sager I want to toss this last

19:04

element to you um in the block this is

19:07

more results out of Texas again I think

19:09

what the theme of this block um when it

19:12

comes to how Biden performed last night

19:13

on super Tuesday we can go ahead and put

19:16

B10 up on the screen just some really

19:18

some of the signs from the polling

19:20

that's found Biden starting to flag with

19:22

Hispanic voters black voters young

19:24

voters started to show up in the returns

19:26

yesterday talk to us a little bit about

19:28

these results from Cameron County yeah I

19:30

had big uh eyes in South Texas just

19:33

because that was such a big flip that we

19:35

saw that happened um in 2020 in some

19:38

cases moving like 40 to 50% of the vote

19:41

from Hillary Clinton to Trump what you

19:43

saw last night was actually pretty

19:45

fascinating it's not just Cameron County

19:47

but what we tried to highlight there is

19:48

a lot of the results all across South

19:50

Texas where you actually saw a pretty

19:52

significant uh you saw pretty

19:55

significant protest vote for Armando

19:57

Perez serat um who is a Democrat he's

20:00

kind of an all over the place all over

20:02

the place gentleman but critically um

20:04

was somebody who came out very hard

20:07

against Joe Biden said that he was too

20:09

old disagreed with him on the Israel

20:11

policy uh went after a lot of the

20:13

establishment Democrats that showed me

20:15

that he was one of the most uh polling

20:18

protest vote candidates but it was

20:20

localized to South Texas uh where he

20:22

spent a lot of the time actually um

20:24

campaigning on and I think what it kind

20:26

of highlights for us here on the show is

20:29

that regardless of where people are you

20:31

know in Minnesota we saw some Dean

20:32

Phillips voters and uncommitted voters

20:34

Maryann actually did quite well here in

20:36

in Virginia where Crystal and I are you

20:38

know in certain places where there were

20:40

younger voters South Texas everyone is

20:42

localizing some of their descent against

20:45

Biden and then that comes down to how

20:48

are they actually going to come out and

20:49

vote and if you couple Descent of the

20:51

existing Democrats and then the

20:53

Republican like surge of 2020 and really

20:56

in 2022 as well in South Texas I think

21:00

that it will fundamentally change the

21:01

electoral map of Texas such that the

21:04

Republican suburbs will vote Democrat

21:06

but they will make up for it with a lot

21:08

of uh non-bite non- colge educated

21:10

voters and I found that really

21:12

interesting in the results last night

21:13

yeah and my understanding uh from what

21:16

what's going on around there is that a

21:17

lot of this just feels kind of cultural

21:19

like the area is just becoming

21:21

culturally Republican like it's just in

21:23

the water like it used to be culturally

21:25

Democrat like you're you're a Democrat

21:27

because you in this area uh now fluoride

21:31

in the water it's the fluoride I mean I

21:33

I think some some of it is the is the

21:35

media like the the the Spanish language

21:38

um take takeover by the rightwing of the

21:41

media uh you know that that is dominant

21:44

there I

21:44

think is is where kind of you get that

21:47

in the water like that's that's kind of

21:49

what makes the water is is is what you

21:51

consume on Facebook and also then uh

21:54

through the Spanish language television

21:55

but yeah is is that is that your read

21:57

sagur and Emily that it's just BEC just

21:59

like you're just you just are a

22:01

republican like I think this is going to

22:02

go from a democratic stronghold to

22:04

pretty soon being just Republican

22:06

territory look I I don't think the

22:08

labels are useful it's just like the

22:11

tahano kind of libertarian identity has

22:14

been there for a long time uh in some

22:16

cases longer than even many people who

22:18

have lived in Texas who are white so my

22:20

point is just that trying to apply like

22:22

National like it's the right we take

22:24

over the media and all that I just don't

22:26

really think it's accurate I think a lot

22:27

of it just comes back to the fact that

22:29

they truly felt screwed um by the de

22:33

they felt abandoned by democrats on a

22:35

couple of key issues inflation was a

22:37

huge one actually in 2020 I believe if I

22:40

remember gas and uh Co checks were a

22:42

huge reason why people voted for Trump

22:44

back then but when you continue into

22:46

2022 immigration had become a massive

22:49

you know a massive massive issue down

22:51

there I mean not just there really

22:53

across the entire country I think last

22:54

night we saw as one of the number one uh

22:57

things that people were said that they

22:58

were voting on or was their top priority

23:01

especially in the Republican party so my

23:02

point is just that it doesn't come back

23:04

to Media it comes down to I think

23:06

actually genuinely local conditions and

23:09

to a broader more like libertarian

23:11

aesthetic identity combined with some

23:13

cultural conservatism that has existed

23:15

there for you know more than a hundred

23:17

years now at this point it's a very

23:19

unique part of the country I encourage

23:20

everybody to go if you can it's a it's

23:22

pretty fascinating place and there's

23:23

just a ghoulish segment on MSNBC last

23:26

night I don't know if everyone saw this

23:28

but it was J saki Rachel mat joy and

23:31

Reed laughing about how yes exit poles

23:33

found Republican voters in Virginia were

23:35

very concerned about immigration and

23:36

Jens saki was like I live in Virginia

23:38

come on and then I think one of them

23:40

Rachel mat was like well it's very close

23:42

to West Virginia in this just completely

23:45

obnoxious way and you know it's worth

23:47

noting that just a few days ago a a

23:49

Venezuelan migrant uh who was here

23:51

illegally was charged with sexual

23:53

assault against a 14-year-old in

23:54

Virginia so whatever wherever you stand

23:57

on the immigration issue it has changed

23:59

communities all over the country so I

24:02

think that was another I mean J saki is

24:03

still close with Biden world and

24:04

representative of Biden world and that's

24:06

sort of sticking your head in the sand

24:07

you guys have any final thoughts on this

24:09

uh before we kick you out and talk about

24:11

Victoria nuland I like Crystal uh go you

24:14

opened a can of worms with those

24:15

immigrant comments I'll just say that

24:17

you know I do think that a lot of the

24:19

concern which we see Spike around

24:20

election times fed by right-wing media

24:23

is a sort of like gind up moral Panic

24:26

not to say that it's not a legitimate

24:27

issue and to respond to the MSNBC people

24:29

treating voters with contempt is always

24:31

the wrong move so perhaps I'll say as

24:33

unifying comments rather than starting a

24:35

a storm here um last two Thoughts

24:38

with regards to the Democratic results

24:41

number one just wanted to flag that the

24:43

dude in California uh David Min I

24:46

believe is his name who is running to

24:48

replace Katie Porter in her seat he had

24:50

four and a half million dollars of APAC

24:53

money spent against him in that primary

24:56

and he still was able to succeed and uh

24:59

was the top finishing Democrat and will

25:01

go on to the general election and one

25:04

other note about him this guy is not

25:06

where I am on Gaza and Israel he's very

25:08

pro-israel but he was like mildly

25:10

critical of Benjamin Netanyahu which by

25:12

the way overwhelmingly Israelis are

25:15

extremely critical of Benjamin Netanyahu

25:17

but that's the reason they poured all

25:19

these millions into that race he was

25:20

able to overcome that that is somewhat

25:22

encouraging so I wanted to put that on

25:24

there and then last note with regards to

25:26

the Revolt among young people in a

25:29

number of these special elections where

25:32

the result really turned on you know

25:34

access to abortion and outrage over the

25:37

overturning of Row versus weight it was

25:39

a surge in young people an unexpected

25:42

surge in young people in those special

25:44

elections that help Democrats Democrats

25:46

secure those victories if you are

25:48

dismissing the concerns of these young

25:50

people if you are thinking they're just

25:51

going to get over what they see and what

25:53

I see as a genocide you have another

25:56

thing coming shifting your rhetoric is

25:58

not going to be enough they see right

26:01

through it and that was I think very

26:03

clear in the results last night

26:04

especially in the state of Minnesota

26:06

yeah the Dave minr was fascinating

26:08

because nobody could really understand

26:10

why APAC was spending millions of

26:11

dollars against this guy who's not even

26:13

you know that critical of Israel the

26:15

only thing people could land on his his

26:17

campaign concluded that they're just

26:18

trying to soften him up uh for the

26:20

general election against the Republican

26:22

in a swing District which suggests that

26:25

APAC is moving very much like the NRA

26:28

did the NRA was a bipartisan

26:30

Organization for for decades and then as

26:33

there became some criticism within the

26:35

Democratic party the NRA decided we're

26:37

not going to be bipartisan anymore wec

26:39

we're just going to you know be a

26:41

republican organization and doesn't

26:44

matter if a Democrat says they support

26:46

us we just feel safer over here with

26:49

Republicans that we'll you know we saw

26:51

how that worked out uh for the NRA uh

26:54

but when it comes to APAC yesterday

26:55

we're going to talk about this later

26:57

later in the show

26:58

Benny Gans was here in is here in

27:01

Washington DC Mike Johnson declined to

27:03

meet with him yeah that was fascinating

27:05

careful careful with this like alliance

27:07

with the Maga uh wing of the party here

27:10

Israel I'm not not exactly sure this is

27:12

so well thought out I'm excited to hear

27:14

you guys segment on that because I I saw

27:16

some of your analysis Ryan and I thought

27:17

it was really astute I think on the

27:19

apack side it's just like the Joker

27:20

quote like it's about sending a message

27:23

uh and I think that's they've got

27:24

unlimited amounts of money now at this

27:26

point I mean they're more flush I think

27:28

than they've ever been probably at the

27:30

peak of their spending powers and you

27:32

know in certain ways like their entire

27:33

organization was dedicated and exists

27:36

specifically for a moment like this

27:37

where even if public opinion is turning

27:39

that they can Flex their weight you know

27:41

in such a way that they can try and

27:42

enforce what they want so you know in a

27:44

certain way like they're they're really

27:46

fulfilling their mandate I think yeah

27:48

you they they they certainly are so

27:50

again on Thursday we'll be here uh the

27:53

four of us uh well all I don't know if

27:55

all four of us are starting at 8:30

27:56

we'll we'll figure it out be here at be

27:58

here at 8:30 while we preview the state

28:00

of the union and then at 10:00 there

28:02

will be for premium subscribers Q&A

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analysis uh and and we'll we'll do that

28:08

as long as Saga can stay awake yeah I'll

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try I'm gonna try my best all right

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