What the Israel & Iran Strikes Just Revealed

Task & Purpose
21 Apr 202416:50

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses a recent military exchange between Iran and Israel, marking the first time both nations directly struck each other's territories. Iran launched a significant strike package, including ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and kamikaze drones, potentially as a warning or to inflict damage. The attack's limited damage suggests a possible underestimate of Israel's air defense capabilities. In retaliation, Israel's stealthy, low-volume strike on Iranian air bases signals a strategic message without escalating conflict. Both nations' state media downplayed the exchange, emphasizing their military's resolve and the importance of air defense systems. The incident underscores the need for continued vigilance and investment in air defense, as evidenced by the significant portion of U.S. aid allocated to Israeli air defense systems.

Takeaways

  • 🌎 Israel and Iran directly struck each other on their own territory for the first time in history, indicating a significant escalation in their conflict.
  • ⚔️ Iran's April 13th attack on Israel involved a mix of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and kamikaze drones, suggesting a coordinated military strategy.
  • ⏰ Iran gave Turkey, Jordan, and Iraq a 72-hour warning of the attack, which may have allowed these countries to prepare and potentially pass on the information to the United States.
  • 🔄 The slow speed of the Shahed drones used by Iran could have been a tactic to overwhelm Israel's air defense systems before faster ballistic and cruise missiles arrived.
  • 💰 The cost of Israel's anti-air defense response to the Iranian attack was estimated between $500 million and $1 billion, highlighting the financial burden of such engagements.
  • 🚨 The lack of a second Iranian salvo and the limited scale of the attack might suggest a warning shot or a test of capabilities rather than an attempt to inflict maximum damage.
  • 🎯 Iran's choice of weapons and their trajectories imply a strategy aimed at causing significant damage, similar to Russian tactics used in Ukraine.
  • 🛡️ The high interception rate by Israel's air defense, between 95% and 99%, shows the effectiveness of their missile defense systems against the Iranian attack.
  • 📉 Some Iranian missiles failed to reach their targets, suggesting reliability issues with their missile technology, at least in this instance.
  • 🔄 The delay in Iran's retaliation after Israel's strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria could indicate preparation time needed for missile positioning and launch readiness.
  • ❓ The limited damage caused by Iran's attack and the targets chosen suggest a message of retaliation and capability, rather than an attempt to cause widespread destruction.

Q & A

  • What was the significance of the direct strikes between Israel and Iran on their respective territories?

    -The direct strikes marked the first time in history that Israel and Iran struck each other on their own territory, revealing a lot about their respective capabilities and the messages they intended to send to each other.

  • What was the composition of Iran's April 13th attack on Israel?

    -Iran's attack included 130 ballistic missiles, 30 cruise missiles, and 170 smaller kamikaze drones, totaling approximately 330 munitions in a coordinated strike package.

  • What does the theory suggest about Iran's full offensive capabilities during the April 13th attack?

    -The theory suggests that Iran did not use its full offensive capabilities, as evidenced by the 72-hour warning given to certain countries and the relatively small number of missiles launched compared to their arsenal.

  • Why did Iran wait 12 days to retaliate after Israel's strike on their embassy in Syria?

    -The delay could be due to the time needed to prepare and position missiles for launch, suggesting that the attack was not as impromptu as it might have seemed.

  • What was the estimated cost to Israel to shoot down the Iranian attack?

    -It was estimated to cost Israel between $500 million and $1 billion worth of anti-air defense munitions to shoot down the Iranian attack.

  • What was the interception rate of the Israeli air defense system during the Iranian attack?

    -The interception rate was between 95 and 99%, with 93% of the ballistic missiles being intercepted.

  • How did the US military detect failed Iranian missile launches?

    -US military surveillance satellites detected infrared heat signature bursts of missile launches that failed, and some missiles were found to have fallen short of their target.

  • What was the target of the Iranian attack within Israel?

    -Iran appeared to be targeting the Netim air base and the Ngev Airfield Base in southern Israel, near where Israel's nuclear facility is rumored to be located.

  • What was the nature of Israel's retaliation against Iran?

    -Israel's retaliation was a low-volume strike, with reports indicating that only three missiles were fired with no real warning, targeting Iranian air bases.

  • Why might Israel have chosen to target the Isfahan Airbase in Iran?

    -The Isfahan Airbase was chosen possibly because of its proximity to Iran's largest nuclear facility, indicating a strategic message that Israel could potentially strike at Iran's nuclear capabilities.

  • How did both sides downplay the exchange of attacks?

    -Both Israeli and Iranian state media minimized the impact of the attacks, suggesting that they had less destructive power and that their air defense systems performed well.

  • What is the significance of the air defense systems in the context of this conflict?

    -Air defense systems played a crucial role in preventing a larger-scale war, as evidenced by the high interception rate achieved by Israel's system, which is largely funded by the United States.

Outlines

00:00

🚨 Iran and Israel's First Direct Military Exchange 🚨

The first paragraph discusses the historic nature of the direct military exchange between Israel and Iran, including the types of weapons used and the possible intentions behind them. It outlines the theories that Iran's attack was either a warning shot or an attempt to inflict significant damage. Key details include Iran's use of 130 ballistic missiles, 30 cruise missiles, and 170 kamikaze drones, the advanced warning given to certain countries, the slow speed of the Shahed drones, and the cost of Israel's anti-air defense response. The paragraph also explores the possibility of a sustained attack and the potential for Israel and its allies to go on the offensive.

05:02

🛰️ Analysis of Iran's Missile Attack and Israel's Defenses 🛰️

The second paragraph delves into the effectiveness of Iran's missile attack, the strategy behind it, and Israel's air defense capabilities. It mentions the Institute for the Study of War's perspective, Ukraine's interception rates, and the potential expectations of Iran's military planners. The narrative also touches on the unreliability of Iran's missiles, the detection of failed missile launches by U.S. military surveillance satellites, and the implications of Iran's 12-day delay in retaliation. The paragraph further speculates on the reasons behind the limited number of missiles fired by Iran and the public nature of such an attack.

10:02

🔍 Assessing Damage and Messages from the Aerial Confrontation 🔍

The third paragraph focuses on the aftermath of the attacks, providing insights into the damage assessment and the strategic messaging from both Iran and Israel. It details the number of Iranian missiles that hit targets within Israel, the claims of hypersonic missile capabilities, and the limited damage caused. The paragraph also examines Iran's targeting choices, such as the Netim air base and the Ngev Airfield Base near Israel's nuclear facility, suggesting retaliatory and deterrent messages. Additionally, it describes Israel's retaliatory strategy, the potential stealth capabilities of Israeli forces, and the verification of damage through open-source satellite images.

15:04

🏺 Downplaying the Conflict and the Importance of Air Defense 🏺

The final paragraph discusses the rhetoric from both Israeli and Iranian state media, which downplayed the severity of the exchange. It highlights the statements from Iranian leadership that emphasize national will and military emergence over specific military outcomes. The paragraph also underscores the importance of air defense systems, particularly in the context of U.S. aid to Israel, and suggests that the effectiveness of these systems may have prevented a larger-scale conflict. It concludes by noting the incentives for both sides to claim less damage and better performance of their air defense systems.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡World War III

World War III refers to a hypothetical third large-scale war following World War I and World War II. In the script, it's mentioned to emphasize the potential severity of the conflict between Israel and Iran, which could escalate into a global conflict.

💡Ballistic Missiles

Ballistic missiles are a type of missile that follow a ballistic flight path with gravity as the only propulsion. The script discusses Iran's use of 130 ballistic missiles in their attack on Israel, highlighting their offensive capabilities.

💡Cruise Missiles

Cruise missiles are self-propelled, long-range, precision-guided missiles that can fly towards their targets at a relatively low altitude. The script mentions 30 cruise missiles used by Iran, which are part of the strike package to attack Israel.

💡Kamikaze Drones

Kamikaze drones, also known as suicide drones, are unmanned aerial vehicles designed to cause damage by deliberately crashing into their targets. The script describes Iran's use of 170 such drones in their attack, which adds to their offensive strategy.

💡Air Defense Systems

Air defense systems are military equipment designed to detect, intercept, and destroy incoming enemy missiles and aircraft. The script discusses how Israel's air defense systems were able to intercept a significant number of Iranian missiles, showcasing their defensive capabilities.

💡Strike Package

A strike package refers to a coordinated grouping of different military assets deployed to execute a specific strike mission. The script uses this term to describe the combination of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and kamikaze drones used by Iran in their attack on Israel.

💡Interception Rate

Interception rate is the percentage of incoming missiles or projectiles that are successfully destroyed or diverted by a defense system before they can hit their targets. The script discusses the high interception rate achieved by Israel's air defense systems against the Iranian attack.

💡Hypersonic Missiles

Hypersonic missiles are missiles that can travel at speeds of Mach 5 or higher, making them difficult to intercept due to their speed and maneuverability. The script mentions Iran's claim that they used hypersonic missiles in their attack, which are technically missiles traveling at speeds over 3,800 mph.

💡Nuclear Facility

A nuclear facility is a site where nuclear material is produced, processed, or used, often for power generation or weapons development. The script discusses the targeting of an airbase near Israel's alleged nuclear facility and Iran's own nuclear facilities, which are central to the strategic considerations of both countries.

💡F-35 Fighters

F-35 Fighters are a family of single-seat, single-engine, all-weather stealth multirole fighters. The script refers to the stealth capabilities of Israeli F-35s, which are implied to have been used in the retaliation against Iran without being detected.

💡State Media

State media refers to news outlets that are controlled or influenced by a state's government. The script mentions state media from both Iran and Israel downplaying the severity of the attacks, which is a common tactic to manage public perception and international relations.

Highlights

Israel and Iran directly struck each other on their own territory for the first time in history.

Iran's April 13th attack on Israel included 130 ballistic missiles, 30 cruise missiles, and 170 kamikaze drones.

Iran gave the United States, Turkey, Jordan, and Iraq a 72-hour warning of their attack.

The United States claims they received no warning of the attack.

Iran's use of slow-moving Shahed drones suggests they may have aimed to overwhelm Israel's air defenses.

It took Iran 12 days to retaliate after Israel's strike on their embassy in Syria.

Iran only fired 130 of their 3,000 ballistic missiles, indicating a limited strike.

Israel's interception rate of Iranian missiles was between 95 and 99%.

The Wall Street Journal reported that about half of Iran's ballistic missiles failed to reach their target.

US military surveillance satellites detected failed missile launches from Iran.

Iran may have needed time to prepare missile launches after Israel's embassy strike.

Iran's attack was modeled on Russian tactics used against Ukraine.

Israel's retaliation was a low-volume strike, potentially to avoid escalating conflict.

Israel targeted Iranian air bases, possibly signaling their ability to strike at Iran's nuclear facilities.

Both Israeli and Iranian state media downplayed the exchange of strikes.

Iran's leader emphasized the importance of national and military will over specific details of the attack.

The United States provides significant funding for Israeli air defense systems.

Both sides had an incentive to claim less damage was done and that their air defense systems performed well.

Transcripts

00:00

it looks like we just dodged World War

00:01

III and parried a regional War for now

00:04

worry not that could all change tomorrow

00:06

because Israel and Iran directly struck

00:08

each other on their own territory for

00:10

the first time in history this week I

00:13

think that the weapons tactics and

00:14

targets each side chose just revealed a

00:18

lot to us about their respective

00:20

capabilities and the message that each

00:22

side was intending to send to the other

00:24

so the big question everyone wants to

00:26

know right now is what extent of Iran's

00:28

offensive capabilities did they actually

00:30

use how much damage did they really

00:33

intend to deliver was this all

00:35

essentially the equivalent of a warning

00:37

shot a limited strike or was it meant to

00:39

inflict massive damage I think there's

00:42

some evidence to support both of those

00:44

theories so I'll present each side to

00:46

you now and I'll add some of my own

00:48

personal insights so you can make up

00:50

your own mind first the facts Iran's

00:52

April 13th attack on Israel included 130

00:56

ballistic missiles 30 cruise missiles

00:58

and 170 of the smaller kamakazi drones

01:01

for about a total of 330 Munitions in

01:04

military parant we call that a strike

01:07

package which refers to a coordinated

01:09

grouping of different military assets

01:11

deployed to execute a specific strike

01:14

Mission Against an enemy Target or

01:16

another way of putting that is Iran

01:18

specifically chose those three type of

01:20

weapons for a very specific purpose the

01:22

evidence to support the first theory

01:24

that this was not Iran's full

01:26

capabilities comes from the Iranian

01:28

claim that they they gave the United

01:30

States turkey Jordan and Iraq 72 hours

01:33

of warning that they would launch this

01:35

attack they claimed that they added a

01:37

diplomatic tag onto that strike package

01:39

by essentially telegraphing in advance

01:42

that they would launch an air attack on

01:43

Israel now turkey Jordan and Iraq all

01:46

confirmed that Iran gave them 3 days of

01:48

warning if we take them at their word

01:51

and believe that then it's also likely

01:54

that one of them passed on that

01:56

information to the United States under

01:58

the table unofficially the reason to

02:00

believe this is because the US

02:02

military's close relationship with all

02:04

three of those countries however the

02:06

United States officially claims that

02:08

they were given no such warning the

02:10

claim here is that the United States

02:12

Israel United Kingdom and Jordan all had

02:15

72 hours to move air defense assets into

02:18

the region to have them on high alert

02:20

ready for the attack proponents of this

02:22

Theory also point to the fact that it

02:24

took 12 days for Iran to retaliate after

02:28

Israel struck their Embassy in syri

02:29

Syria instead of attacking right away

02:32

another Point brought up in this theory

02:34

is that Iran only fired 130 of their

02:37

3,000 ballistic missiles in their

02:39

Arsenal the idea that this was only

02:41

meant to be a limited strike also has to

02:43

do with the fact that the Shah head

02:45

drones that were used only traveled

02:47

about 185 km hour so it took between 6

02:51

to 9 hours to reach Israel in fact I

02:53

remember what it felt like to hear about

02:55

the attack on the news and then there

02:56

was this really long period of over 6

02:58

hours where everyone kind of awkwardly

03:00

and stressfully waited for these slow

03:03

moving drones to make their way across

03:05

the region to see what effect they would

03:07

eventually have and even if we are to

03:09

believe that the United States was given

03:10

three days warning how would we know

03:12

that they'd be able to shoot all those

03:13

down we only know that in hindsight more

03:16

evidence also comes from what didn't

03:17

happen as much as what did happen

03:19

because there was no second Salvo it

03:22

estimated to cost Israel between 500

03:24

million And1 billion worth of anti-air

03:27

defense Munitions to shoot down the

03:29

Iranian ATT attack which likely cost

03:31

them $200 million on their end so the

03:34

question is for how long of a sustained

03:37

period of time could this type of attack

03:39

be prevented a Counterpoint to that

03:41

would be if Iran continued missile

03:44

salvos and Strikes like this for a

03:45

longer period of time then Israel would

03:48

choose to go on the offensive with their

03:50

allies with their own missile strikes to

03:52

prevent them okay for this second theory

03:55

now let's assume this was actually

03:57

Iran's best attempt at afflicting

03:59

maximum some damage on Israel the

04:01

evidence for this comes from the fact

04:03

that this strike package is a meta we've

04:05

seen before it's the same tactics that

04:08

Russian forces have used in their war in

04:10

Ukraine to try to overwhelm Ukrainian

04:13

air defense systems the theory that this

04:15

was intended to inflict maximum damage

04:18

comes from the fact that the ballistic

04:19

missile chosen by Iran like the EAD fly

04:22

at a supersonic speed of 3,800 mph and

04:26

travel in a high arcing trajectory

04:28

that's difficult to shoot down while

04:30

cruise missiles fly lower at a more

04:32

straight 750 mph using these differing

04:36

speeds and trajectories these weapons

04:38

and this weapon package suggests to us

04:41

that Iran has every intention of causing

04:43

massive amounts of damage with this

04:45

attack yes it's true that launching slow

04:47

moving drones give ample warning because

04:50

it's quickly detected but from Iran's

04:52

point of view that was worth it because

04:55

they hoped that these drones would

04:56

overwhelm distract and confuse Israel's

04:59

air defense es for when the ballistic

05:01

and cruise missiles arrived Iran

05:03

carefully timed the launch of their

05:05

drones and ballistic missiles to arrive

05:08

in the same window to confuse air

05:10

defense systems The Institute for the

05:12

study of War had an interesting take on

05:14

this they reported that the ukrainians

05:16

have an overall interception rate of

05:18

about 46% for recent large-scale

05:22

ballistic missile strikes against them

05:24

and sometimes that number is as low as

05:26

16% recently the isw states that this

05:29

indicates that Iran had every reason to

05:32

believe that Israel's interception rate

05:35

would likely be around that possibly a

05:37

little bit higher so the average

05:39

infringment math here suggests that even

05:41

if the Iranian military planners

05:43

believed 60% of their missiles would be

05:45

intercepted then that means that they

05:47

expected 198 of their Munitions to hit

05:50

their intended targets no one really

05:53

anticipated that the US Israel and

05:55

Allied interception rate would be

05:57

between 95 and 99%

05:59

however while that number is factually

06:01

correct it doesn't tell the whole story

06:03

when we look at the most dangerous and

06:05

important metric the ballistic missiles

06:08

that means that 93% of the ballistic

06:10

missiles were intercepted the fog of War

06:13

still weighs heavily on this recent

06:14

event because these numbers are still

06:16

changing a Wall Street Journal report

06:18

indicates that in reality about half of

06:21

the ballistic missiles Iran fired failed

06:23

to even reach their target so about 65

06:26

missiles reached their target and nine

06:29

of those got through that suggests an

06:32

interception rate lower of about 86%

06:35

which is still better than most experts

06:37

would have anticipated but it reveals

06:38

that the US and its allies need to stay

06:41

vigilant and that underestimating our

06:43

adversaries is not the right move it

06:45

also reveals that Iran's missiles are

06:47

unreliable and poorly made currently

06:50

although that might not always be the

06:52

case in the future so how do we know

06:54

some of those Iranian launches failed

06:56

the US military surveillance satellites

06:58

detected infrared heat signature bursts

07:01

of missile launches that fizzled out and

07:03

some of those missiles were found to

07:05

have not reached their target having

07:06

fallen halfway there in Iraq and Jordan

07:09

photos have been posted of these failed

07:11

launches all over the web already the

07:13

fact that Iran waited 12 Days After

07:15

Israel's strike on the embassy in Syria

07:18

to retaliate might not have been because

07:20

they wanted to Telegraph their attack

07:23

but it might be evidence that they

07:24

needed a week or two to get all of their

07:27

missiles into position and out of the

07:29

safety of their underground bunkers they

07:31

needed to prepare the launches and get

07:33

everything into position if you've ever

07:35

served in any branch of the military

07:36

anywhere or if you've worked for a large

07:39

corporation or government you know how

07:41

nothing gets done in less than 12 days

07:44

in fact it's surprising that they were

07:45

able to launch that kind of attack that

07:47

quickly and it could be taken that they

07:50

didn't Telegraph anything here's how the

07:52

isw put it quote the strike package from

07:55

Iran was modeled on those that the

07:57

Russians have used repeatedly against

07:59

Ukraine to great effect the attack

08:01

caused more limited damage than intended

08:04

likely because the Iranians

08:05

underestimated the tremendous advantages

08:08

Israel has in defending against such

08:10

strikes compared to Ukraine the Iranians

08:13

will learn lessons from this strike and

08:15

work to improve their abilities to

08:17

penetrate Israeli defenses over time as

08:20

the Russians have done in repeated

08:22

strike series against Ukraine so that is

08:25

to say even if Iran's attack failed to

08:27

succeed at what it was trying to accompl

08:29

accomplish we should not underestimate

08:31

our adversaries and should not assume

08:33

future strikes would also be

08:35

unsuccessful the fact that it failed to

08:37

inflict more damage should be a huge

08:39

relief because as we'll soon see

08:41

Israel's retaliation was a far different

08:44

style of attack and it might have been a

08:46

very muted one due to the limited damage

08:49

another thing to consider is that this

08:51

was a combined Allied effort on the part

08:53

of Jordan Israel the United Kingdom the

08:56

us to stop the incoming missiles and

08:58

there's no guarantee that those

09:00

countries would step into help again for

09:02

Israel in the future under different

09:05

circumstances one point that could be in

09:07

the favor of either theory is the fact

09:09

that Hezbollah in Lebanon fired 70

09:12

rockets at Israel on April 13th the same

09:15

day of the Iranian attack this might

09:17

have been done in coordination to

09:19

further saturate and weaken Israel's air

09:21

defenses ahead of Iran's attack or you

09:24

could say it was a limited strike and

09:26

shows that if Iran really wanted to

09:28

cause more damage they would have

09:30

requested a larger strike from Hezbollah

09:32

you might ask why didn't Iran fire more

09:35

ballistic missiles they have 3,000 of

09:37

them supposedly in their stockpile part

09:39

of the reason for that might be because

09:41

we forget that just because you have

09:42

more missiles doesn't mean you have more

09:44

launchers it's likely Iran has between

09:47

somewhere 100 and 200 missile launchers

09:49

which limits their ability to fire per

09:51

Salvo one of the downsides of firing

09:54

such a high volume of fire of Munitions

09:56

like Iran did is just how public it is

09:59

when you shoot 330 Munitions everyone

10:02

would very publicly see the damage if a

10:05

high percentage of them got through

10:06

Israel's air defenses their Airfield

10:09

would be cooked if a lot of them hit

10:11

their target instead now that the dust

10:13

has settled on these attacks we have a

10:15

better picture of what really happened

10:17

according to United States officials a

10:19

total of nine Iranian missiles hit the

10:22

ground in Israel Iran claims it was

10:24

their Hypersonic missiles that hit their

10:26

targets and technically anything over

10:28

Mach 5 or 3,800 mph is Hypersonic as far

10:32

as I know according to the US damage

10:34

assessments the missiles only manag to

10:36

damage an Israeli C130 aircraft on the

10:39

Airfield in this day and age damage

10:41

assessments can be done a few days later

10:43

by ordering a public satellite image of

10:46

the location almost anyone can open

10:48

source it now the Associated Press

10:50

investigated and saw the strike caused

10:52

limited damage on Israel this is why we

10:54

know that the United States and Israel

10:57

aren't lying about their interception

10:58

rate but that brings us to our next

11:00

point which is what was Iran really

11:02

targeting inside Israel what message

11:04

were they trying to send with that

11:06

Target they appear to have been

11:07

targeting the netim air base it's said

11:09

to be where they have struck the Iranian

11:11

Embassy from in Syria on April 1st which

11:14

killed two of their cuds Force generals

11:17

five of the Iranian ballistic missiles

11:20

hit this Airfield specifically this

11:22

suggests that the message Iran was

11:23

trying to send likely was that this was

11:26

in retaliation for Israel's strike on

11:28

their consulate why did Israel attack

11:31

the embassy and cross what is seen as a

11:33

red line from their perspective Iran was

11:35

using it as a means to plan attacks

11:37

against them Israel believes that Iran

11:40

helped plan and execute the October 7th

11:42

attack against them and whether you

11:44

believe that is true or not isn't the

11:46

point when we try to understand why this

11:49

happened not whether or not it was

11:50

justified the fact that at least one or

11:53

a handful of missiles got through

11:55

Israel's air defenses could be a message

11:58

that Iran is capable of putting pressure

11:59

on them and hitting their targets and to

12:02

psychologically suggest what would

12:04

happen if a larger weapon payload were

12:06

used like a nuclear strike for example

12:08

the other Target that Iran went after

12:10

was the ngev Airfield Base in south of

12:13

Israel in the ngev desert which is close

12:16

to where Israel's nuclear facility is

12:18

located Israel is rumored to have

12:20

nuclear weapons which they neither

12:22

confirm nor deny four of the ballistic

12:24

missiles hit this Airfield in Israel

12:26

this could have been Iran attempting to

12:28

send a message that they could strike

12:30

Israel's nuclear capabilities if they

12:32

wanted to now when we look at the

12:34

Israeli retaliation now that the dust

12:37

has settle it appears Israel had a very

12:39

different strike package and strategy as

12:41

well as different intended message

12:44

reports as of right now indicate that

12:46

Israel fired only three missiles with no

12:48

real warning and they neither confirmed

12:50

nor denied they were behind it early

12:52

reports suggest that these might have

12:54

been three air to ground missiles that

12:56

were fired by Israeli fighter jets for

12:59

years we've heard reports of Israeli

13:01

F-35 Fighters entering and exiting

13:03

Iranian airspace without them being

13:05

detected Israel has been training for

13:07

this kind of stealth mission for years

13:09

so just the facts on the night of April

13:11

18th Israel struck Iranian air bases in

13:13

the Central City of Isfahan and ties

13:17

explosions were also heard in the Iraqi

13:18

capital of Baghdad in Syria Syria

13:21

claimed that their air defense networks

13:22

were hit by Israeli missiles this low

13:25

volume of fire could potentially be a

13:26

way to send a message to Iran without

13:29

without forcing their hand to retaliate

13:31

again with a large ballistic missile

13:33

attack which could stress expensive air

13:36

defense systems if Israel had attacked

13:38

with their own large volume of ballistic

13:40

and cruise missiles that we know they

13:42

have it would have escalated things

13:44

further Iran claimed the attack was only

13:47

a few drones that they say they

13:49

intercepted all of with their air

13:50

defense systems again open-source

13:52

satellite images allow us to verify what

13:55

state media and officials claim and

13:57

compare to the truth the BBC stated that

14:00

they verified damage that was done to

14:02

the Iranian Isfahan Airbase where

14:04

anti-air systems were knocked out here

14:07

are the images of the reported damage

14:09

how did the BBC do this damage

14:10

assessment quote Optical imagery will be

14:13

familiar to anyone who regularly uses

14:15

Google Earth essentially a photograph of

14:16

the land below s technology on the hand

14:19

uses radio waves to build an image of

14:22

the Earth's surface one s300 Iranian air

14:25

defense site appears to have been

14:26

destroyed we know that Iran has air

14:29

bases all over their country including

14:31

several ones in closer proximity to

14:33

Israel so why might Israel have chosen

14:36

to Target this specific one in Isfahan

14:39

one theory is the fact that it was

14:40

located only 120 km or about 1 hour's

14:44

drive from Iran's largest nuclear

14:47

facility the underground natan's

14:49

enrichment complex Iran claims that

14:52

their nuclear program is for purely

14:54

peaceful purposes while Israel believes

14:57

that Iran is working on developing

14:59

nuclear weapons at these sites this is

15:01

close to the same location where Iran is

15:03

currently digging a new nuclear facility

15:06

which will be allegedly 90 M underground

15:08

and deep enough to be out of range of

15:11

Bunker Buster air strikes so if Israel

15:13

hypothetically wanted to send a message

15:15

that they can get Munitions through

15:17

Iran's air defense systems and

15:19

theoretically strike Iran's nuclear

15:21

facility the ispahan airbase would be

15:23

the closest place to Target after this

15:25

tit fortat exchange from Israel and Iran

15:28

state media from both sides downplayed

15:31

the exchange was not it a strike two or

15:34

three very they're they're like more

15:37

like toys that our children play with

15:40

not drones it was not worth telling us

15:42

before it happened Iranian leader coin

15:45

said the following to this point quote

15:47

debates by the other party about how

15:49

many missiles were fired how many of

15:51

them hit their targets and how many

15:53

didn't these are of secondary importance

15:55

the main issue is the emergence of the

15:57

Iranian nation and Iranian military's

15:59

will in an important International Arena

16:02

this is what matters the debate about

16:05

how many missiles were fired and if they

16:06

hit their targets is is kind of the

16:08

primary importance if you ask me but

16:10

okay difference of opinion there from my

16:12

perspective it shows that we should

16:13

double down on air defense which is

16:16

actually the main funding in the United

16:17

States $95 billion foreign aid package

16:21

26 billion is earmarked for Israel of

16:24

that 9 billion is for humanitarian aid

16:26

for Gaza and the rest is largely for

16:28

isra Israeli air defense systems which

16:31

is likely one of the main things that I

16:32

think helped prevented this from

16:34

spiraling into a larger War for the time

16:37

being and both sides had incentive to

16:39

claim less damage was done and that

16:41

their air defense systems performed well

16:43

Israel did not push the claim that they

16:45

caused Great damage and it appears like

16:47

for now we've avoided World War II

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العلامات ذات الصلة
Middle East ConflictMilitary TacticsAir DefenseBallistic MissilesCruise MissilesDrone WarfareInternational RelationsIran-IsraelGeopolitical TensionsMissile InterceptStrategic Retaliation
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